DFS NFL Podcast – Week 4 Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings 9/25/19
DFS NFL Podcast - Week 4 Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings 9/25/19 The DFSR crew is back back with their DFS NFL Podcast breaking down the Week 4 cash game plays for FanDuel and DraftKings. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! There's plenty to like at quarterback with Russell Wilson walking into a smash spot against a Cardinals' defense that's allowed some of the highest opposing QB fantasy performances this season. But Patrick Mahomes is always lurking considering just how easy he piles up points. At running back, it sure seems like Christian McCaffrey or bust at the top spot considering the way the Panthers use him in the offense. He is a game script independent back at this point. After him, things look a little dicier. The guys wade through some names who are either in tough matchups or have questionable usage. And finally they discuss Keenan Allen as the top overall WR but look at some mid-tier guys as well at WR and TE. All of this and more on a Week 4 cash game podcast for FanDuel and...
DFS NFL Podcast – Week 2 Recap and Week 3 Preview for FanDuel and DraftKings 9/17/19
DFS NFL Podcast - Week 2 Recap and Week 3 Preview for FanDuel and DraftKings 9/17/19 After a Week 2 filled with injuries to key players, the DFSR guys jump on their DFS NFL Podcast for FanDuel and DraftKings look back at Sunday and preview Week 3. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! It was a bad week to be a starting quarterback in the NFL. After Sam Darnold was ruled out with mono, Ben Roethlisberger and Drew Brees were hurt in Sunday’s action. This follows Andrew Luck retiring and Nick Foles going down in Week 1. All of a sudden, 17% of teams are without the QBs they thought they’d enter the season with. On top of that, there’s some running back concern going into Week 3 with James Conner, LeSean McCoy and Damien Williams all suffering Week 2 injuries. Plus the guys ask if we should just stream defenses against the Dolphins for the rest of the season? Is Lamar Jackson a fantasy god? Who are the *safe* running backs and...
DFS NFL Podcast – Week 2 DraftKings and FanDuel Cash Game Picks 9/11/19
DFS NFL Podcast - Week 2 DraftKings and FanDuel Cash Game Picks 9/11/19 The DFSR guys are back for their DFS NFL Podcast covering FanDuel and DraftKings Cash Game plays for Week 2. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! They need to get into Lamar Jackson one more time here and discuss whether it's going to be worth it to go back to the well this time around against the Cardinals. The price has come up and they discuss whether Week 1 was a total outlier or if there's maybe reason to still trot him out there in cash games. They also discuss Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen as well at the position. Things seem a little less clear at running back where there could be some buy low candidates who struggled in Week 1 or have to trust the usage we saw in the opening week. And at receiver, they discuss some mid tier options to round out salaries if the other positions have solid pay up options. Subscribe to this podcast on iTunes Listen on Stitcher Listen on...
DFS NFL Podcast – Week 1 Cash Game Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings 9/4/19
DFS NFL Podcast - Week 1 Cash Game Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings 9/4/19 The Daily Fantasy Sports Rankings crew of James Davis and Doug Norrie take to the podcast discuss Week 1 Cash Game plays for FanDuel and DraftKings. It’s finally here! Week 1 main slate is around the corner and the guys take to the podcast to discuss cash game strategies, what to prioritize in Week 1 and how to go about creating *safe* DFS lineups. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! The DFSR NFL Podcast is back! It’s been a long offseason with plenty of player movement, news, speculation and much more. And the guys are excited to be back talking footballs and preparing for Week 1 on FanDuel and DraftKings. They take a slightly different approach to Week 1 on the podcast. Typically, they’ve written the cash game article and are breaking down their picks. This week, it’s in reverse with the guys looking at a group of players and deciding essentially where they’ll land for the write ups. The biggest issues boil down to a seeming treasure trove of value at Running Back with Wide Receiver looking a little thinner from a value perspective. That leaves some questions about where to pay up. At quarterback they discuss the safety in a guy like Lamar Jackson but also look at Carson Wentz and some other QBs in that middle tier price range. At running back they look at a whole host of plays and try to narrow the field. And finally, wide receiver proves to be the trickiest as of this taping with some elite WR1 guys in shadow coverage matchups and some other values maybe being a little too speculative for Week 1. Subscribe to this podcast on...
NFL Consistency – A look back at 2018’s Wide Receivers
NFL Consistency - A look back at 2018's Wide Receivers - 9/2/19 We’ve already taken a look at the differences in consistency around the quarterback position from 2018 and how certain QBs stack up going into this season. We’ve also rolled through some Week 1 running games to use in Week 1 for FanDuel and DraftKings plus some air attacks to look at in the passing game for DFS. Want to see some optimal lineups for NFL Week 1? Grab DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Also, tune into our NFL podcast, broadcasting twice a week during the season. Episode 2 from this season is below. Now let’s glance at the top wide receivers from last season and how they stacked up against each other over the course of the season from a consistency and upside perspective. And like we said with quarterbacks, we’ll do this by comparing the DraftKings coefficient of variation (CV - standard deviation / average points) of each player’s performance over the course of the year. This will allow us to compare players at each position to their peers. The lower the CV, the more consistent the player was over the course of the year. The average DraftKings points, kind of speaks for itself. Takeaways Davante Adams FD 8700 DK 7700 Opponent CHI Proj Points FD - 15 DK - 18.07 Considering the offense was stale and Aaron Rodgers did play banged up last season, Davante Adams was a pillar of consistency over the course of the sixteen weeks. He was obviously a monster and it helped that he caught at least one touchdown in 12 of his 16 games games. His lowest targeted games were seven twice and he had nine games of 11 or more targets. That being said, it’s tough to imagine with another year of Geronimo Allison and Marquez Valdes-Scantling that Adams is the ultra-target machine we saw last season. Additionally, with a change of coaching out of the stale Mike McCarthy offense and into Matt LaFleur’s style we could see the ball spread more. I very much doubt we see this level of consistency from Adams again though he’s clearly WR1 in this offense. Juju Smith-Schuster FD 8100 DK 7500 Opponent NE Proj Points FD - 15.36 DK - 18.56 The Steelers and Vikings both sustained two top 15 receivers in Antonio Brown/Juju Smith-Schuster and Adam Thielen/Stefon Diggs respectively. The latter obviously come back as a tandem but now Juju is thrust into Pittsburgh's WR1 role. It’s going to be tough making strides in...
NFL Consistency – A look back at 2018’s Quarterbacks
NFL Consistency - A look back at 2018's Quarterbacks Leading into the season, we’ve been looking at putting together something of a primer for Week 1. We started with an early look at Week 1 pricing with early FanDuel and DraftKings optimal lineups. Then it was on to rushing attacks and runnings backs as well as passing games to target heading into the first week of the season. Over the next few articles we’ll look at the consistency or volatility around certain players at each position. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! We’ll do this by comparing the DraftKings coefficient of variation (CV - standard deviation / average points) of each player’s performance over the course of the year. This will allow us to compare players at each position to their peers. The lower the CV, the more consistent the player was over the course of the year. The average DraftKings points, kind of speaks for itself. For quarterbacks, I took the top 15 average weekly scorers who started eight or more games in 2017. Check out the graph below. Takeaways Models of Consistency Patrick Mahomes FD 8700 DK 7200 Opponent JAX Proj Points FD - 21.14 DK - 22.02 Um, what? Mahomes is living so far to the right of this graph that the formatting literally cut his name off. Sure, I could have fixed it, but I appreciated the metaphor here. He was so much better than every other quarterback that they couldn’t even see fully him. It’s not news that he had a historic season, dwarfing the rest of the competition by an epic landslide. But he was also about as consistent as it comes on a week-to-week basis. Only Baker Mayfield and Lamar Jackson had lower CVs and neither played full seasons. It stands to reason each of their numbers would have only trended up if given more run. I don’t believe Mahomes’s TD pace is replicable, but I thought the same thing at the beginning of last season as well and was promptly proven wrong. Lamar Jackson FD 7400 DK 6000 Opponent MIA Proj Points FD - 19.48 DK - 20.15 Speaking of Lamar Jackson,I wrote about Lamar Jackson and his potential as a Week 1 play already so go back and check that out for a rehash on how awesome his running statistics were last season. It remains to be seen if he can keep that going for an entire season as defenses adjust to the attack. But the rushing attempts and...