DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 8/21/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 8/21/22 It's been an incredible weekend for sports. The Astros-Braves series has been the one to watch, and the Blue Jays-Yankees showdown has also been exciting. Every matchup gets more important the closer we get to the finish line, and it's finally in sight after nearly six months of ball! Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Shohei Ohtani FD - P 11000 DK - SP 10500 Opponent - DET (Eduardo Rodriguez) Park - DET FD - 43.08 DK - 23.58 I thought there was no chance that Shohei could be an elite two-way player, but he's proving me wrong. His pitching is actually what surprises me most, developing into an ace this season. The right-hander has a 2.69 ERA and 1.06 WHIP for the year but has been even better recently. In fact, Ohtani has a 1.81 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, and 12.9 K/9 rate across his last 11 starts. That makes him tough to avoid against the Tigers, with Detroit sitting bottom-three in runs scored, OBP, OPS, wOBA, and xwOBA. That's why he enters this matchup as a -200 favorite, with the Motor City Kitties projected for only three runs. Luis Castillo FD - P 10800 DK - RP 9400 Opponent - OAK (JP Sears) Park - OAK FD - 41.7 DK - 22.22 Castillo has taken on the ace role in Seattle, and it looks like the Mariners have stumbled into just that. This guy was always a great pitcher in Cincy, but a 2.73 ERA and 1.05 WHIP have him looking like one of the best pitchers in baseball. He's been even better as of late, collecting at least 40 FanDuel points in eight straight starts, totaling a 1.81 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, and 10.7 K/9 rate in that span. A 40-point floor is impossible to find, and it should be easy to reach in this matchup. Just like the Tigers, the A's rank 29th or 30th in runs scored, OBP, OPS, wOBA, and xwOBA. All of that has Oakland projected for just three runs in this spot, with Seattle sitting as a -220 favorite. Ryan Pepiot (FD $7600/DK $6400) will be a -175 favorite against a 27th-ranked Marlins offense and is way too cheap with that win potential in his back pocket. Catcher/First Base Luis Arraez FD - 1B 3200 DK - 1B/2B 3900 Opponent - TEX (Kohei Arihara) Park - MIN FD - 10.01 DK - 7.84 We're paying up at the pitcher position,...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 8/20/22(Main Slate)
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 8/20/22(Main Slate) Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Joe Musgrove FD 10500 DK 10100 Opponent - WSH (Josiah Gray) Park - WSH FD - 47.98 DK - 25.98 The pitching landscape isn't great on the main slate today as the top guys have had their struggles in the second half but the good news is that they get plus matchups. Let's start with Joe Musgrove who hasn't been nearly as bad as the 4.97 ERA in the second half as the xFIP(3.71) is running over a run better and the BABIP(.321) and HR/FB rate has also spiked above the norm. I am not worried at all, especially in a matchup against the Nats who are a bottom-five offence since trading Juan Soto and have also seen their K rate jump about 3-4 % as well. Musgrove is my top pitcher on this slate. Logan Gilbert FD 9800 DK 8000 Opponent - OAK (James Kaprielian) Park - OAK FD - 37.44 DK - 20.66 Gilbert's numbers(6.59 ERA) may look ugly in the second half but considering 13 of the 20 earned runs over five starts came against the Yankees, I am not too concerned. He looked much better in the other three starts going six innings in each, posting a 3.50 ERA and tallying 19 strikeouts(26% K rate). What really stands out is the matchup as he faces the A's who were playing above their heads to start the second half but have come back down to Earth scoring just 2.8 runs per game over their last 17 games. Better yet, they have struggled even more against righties ranking second to last in wOBA(.274) and wRC+(80) in the split. Fire up Gilbert in all formats. Catcher/First Base Paul Goldschmidt FD 4800 DK 6000 Opponent - ARI (Madison Bumgarner) Park - ARI FD - 13.32 DK - 10.09 If there is one player we want to be paying up for on this slate it's Paul Goldschmidt. He is the odds-on-favourite to win the MVP leading the NL in average, wOBA, wRC+, is third in home runs and second in RBI. He has been incredibly consistent all season and has always hit lefties well but this season he has been on another level hitting .429 with an insane .561 wOBA, 272 wRC+, and .405 ISO. Now he faces a struggling lefty in Madison Bumgarner who has given up four or more runs in five of his last six starts(6.19 ERA)...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 8/18/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 8/18/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Early Zac Gallen FD 10100 DK 8500 Opponent - SF (Logan Webb) Park - SF FD - 31.52 DK - 16.7 It is hard to get behind Heaney on this slate, even with the win equity, as he hasn't made it through five innings in four straight starts. Instead, I will save some money and roll with Zac Gallen who has been very consistent lately holding opponents to two or fewer earned runs in five of his last six starts(1.41 ERA/3.09 xFIP) including twice against today's opponent, the Giants. For fantasy, he has provided a 2x floor(on DK) in each of those starts and flashed big-time upside with 30+ DK points(3.5x at these prices) in three of those starts. All things considered, Gallen is my top pitcher on the early slate. Main Jacob deGrom FD 12000 DK 10300 Opponent - ATL (Max Fried) Park - ATL FD - 35.2 DK - 20.46 He still hasn't exceeded 76 pitches in any of his three starts but has still looked absolutely dominant allowing just six hits in 16.2 innings while striking out 28 of 56 batters he has faced. I would have to check but I don't remember any pitcher striking out 50% of batters he has faced over a three-start stretch and it is backed up by an insane 24.6% swinging strike rate. Since last facing deGrom, the Braves have been on a tear but I am not concerned with the fantasy floor here at all and there is still so much more upside should he finally get close to a full workload. Fire up deGrom in all formats. Also Consider Yu Darvish(SDP) who is a massive favourite(-380) against a Nats team that has seen their K rate spike since trading Juan Soto Catcher/First Base Early Paul Goldschmidt FD 4700 DK 5800 Opponent - COL (Antonio Senzatela) Park - COL FD - 11.23 DK - 8.51 This early slate has a very similar feel as the main slate last night and at least for the Cards, that is a good thing. They have a terrific balance of elite, top-priced plays and value at the top of the order which makes a partial or full-stack extremely viable. Goldy is right near the top of our projections and while the price is peaking on FanDuel, he still remains under $6K on DraftKings despite staying red-hot with hits in six of his last seven...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 8/17/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday, 8/17/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Carlos Rodón FD - P 10700 DK - SP 10800 Opponent - ARI (Zach Davies) Park - SF FD - 38.31 DK - 21.04 Rodon has quietly had a monster year in San Fran, and it'd be scary to see where this team would be at if he weren't throwing gems every time out. The former ChiSox pitcher has a 2.95 ERA and 1.06 WHIP this year, striking out 168 batters across 134 innings. Those are some of the best averages in DFS, with Rodon registering a 2.51 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, and 11.1 K/9 rate across his last 11 starts. He should be able to keep that form going at home against Arizona, with the Diamondbacks ranked 22nd in OBP, 21st in wOBA, and 23rd in xwOBA. That's why he's entering this matchup as a -210 favorite, with the D'Backs projected for just three runs. Cal Quantrill FD - P 8300 DK - SP 7000 Opponent - DET (Daniel Norris) Park - CLE FD - 36.19 DK - 18.13 Quantrill is not someone you'll get excited about, but this guy is really starting to mow down opposing bats. He's actually thrown 13 scoreless innings in his last two starts, shutting out the Blue Jays and Astros. Those are two of the best offenses in baseball, and we're obviously not worried about him facing a Detroit team that's bottom-three in every offensive category. Q has been feeling it much longer than that two-start stretch, tallying a 2.80 ERA and 0.99 WHIP across his last six starts. He's also allowed four runs or fewer in 20 of 22 starts this year, which gives him one of the highest floors of any player on this slate. Not to mention, he's a -230 favorite in this magical matchup! Max Scherzer (FD $11500 DK $11100) is one of the best pitchers in the sport and gets to face an Atlanta team with the second-worst K rate in baseball. Catcher/First Base Vladimir Guerrero Jr. FD - 1B 3900 DK - 1B 6100 Opponent - BAL (Austin Voth) Park - TOR FD - 14.99 DK - 11.29 Vladdy got off to a slow start this season, but the 2021 AL MVP frontrunner has been raking for well over a month now. He's got a hit in 25 of his last 27 games, providing a .345 AVG, .391 OBP, .600 SLG, and .992 OPS in that span. That's...
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – BMW Championship
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – BMW Championship Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! The Course Wilmington Country Club Par 71 - 7,534 Yards Greens - Bentgrass **Click the image above to see a hole-by-hole breakdown from PGATour.com** The first event of the FedEx Cup Playoffs wrapped up on Sunday night with Will Zalatoris beating out Sepp Straka on the third playoff hole. Pretty incredible for Willy Z considering he was closer to the bottom of the leaderboard than the top after a 71 in round one. The win moved him from 12th to 1st in the standings and he and 67 others will now head to the BMW Championship where the field will be cut down to 30 for the final event, the Tour Championship. The BMW Championship has alternated courses each year for the playoffs and this year will be hosted at Wilmington Country Club. While we don't have course history to go off of this week, it is not hard to tell the players will face a U.S. Open-like challenge in this Par 71 that stretches over 7,500 yards. On top of that, it has tree-lined fairways with strategic bunkers placed in key landing areas on both sides of the fairway, some blind tee shots, and doglegs which can also create some problems as missing the fairway means dealing with around 4-inch bluegrass rough. On approach, the golfers will see very large bentgrass greens that are expected to be firm and fast. Statistically, my top stat is going to be SG: Approach as a whole with some added weight on long-iron proximity. Now let's jump into the picks. Top Targets Justin Thomas FedEx Cup Rank (#10) Vegas Odds (14/1) Draftkings ($10,100) FanDuel ($11,200) Thomas made his first start in the USA since a rough stretch overseas where he missed the cut at the Scottish Open and finished T53 at the Open Championship. While the irons were not exactly sharp(+.8 SG:...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/15/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/15/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Gerrit Cole FD - P 11000 DK - SP 10100 Opponent - TB (Undecided) Park - NYY FD - 45.9 DK - 26.22 Cole got back to his dominant self in his last start against the Mariners holding them to four hits over seven innings while striking out eight and walking none. Oddly enough the price has come down to almost a season-low, at least on DraftKings, while entering the night as one of the biggest favourites on the board. He faces a Rays team that he has absolutely dominated all season holding them to just eight hits and two earned runs over three starts while striking out 29 batters(40%). Cole leads all pitchers in our projections and is an elite play in all formats. Joe Ryan FD - P 9000 DK - SP 7300 Opponent - KC (Kris Bubic) Park - MIN FD - 34.7 DK - 18.66 There is a path to paying up for both pitchers on this slate but I am jumping on the value train to get a huge upgrade in my bats and Joe Ryan leads the way. While he has gotten roughed up in two of his last three starts, I am not worried for several reasons starting with the fact those came against red-hot teams in the Padres and Dodgers. Those two starts also came on the road and Ryan has some very glaring home/road splits this season and has been elite at home with a 2.92 ERA(5.05 ERA on the road). Tonight he faces a Royals team that has been better in the second half in terms of wOBA and wRC+ but have also seen their K rate(23.3%) go up. All things considered, Ryan is my top SP2 on this slate. Catcher/First Base Vladimir Guerrero Jr. FD - 1B 4000 DK - 1B 6000 Opponent - BAL (Kyle Bradish) Park - TOR FD - 14.83 DK - 11.17 Vladdy's hit streak came to an end at 22 games on Sunday and while the power somewhat lacked(3 HR), he posted an elite .374/.424/.582 slash line during that time. This and the smaller slate explain the high price tag tonight but with Alonso and Freeman in much tougher matchups, Vladdy is easily the top pay-up option. He and the Jays also get a plus matchup against Kyle Bradish who has posted a 6.42 ERA over 13 starts and has given up at least...