DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/29/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/29/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Corbin Burnes FD - P 11100 DK - SP 10400 Opponent - PIT (JT Brubaker) Park - MIL FD - 39.23 DK - 22.57 The Dodgers got to him last time out but it doesn't really change the big picture which has been another Cy Young-worthy season. He is one of just seven pitchers in baseball with an ERA(2.84) and xFIP(2.97) under three and then adds a ton of upside with a 31.4% K rate and 15.4% swinging strike rate. He will look to add to those numbers tonight in an elite matchup against a Pirates team that ranks dead last in wOBA(.271) and wRC+(71) in the second half while striking out 26% of the time. Burnes leads our projections on Monday and is an elite play in all formats. Frankie Montas FD - P 9100 DK - SP 7200 Opponent - LAA (José Suarez) Park - LAA FD - 35.6 DK - 19.44 It has been an up-and-down start with the Yankees since being traded but to be fair, he has faced some tough offences and ran a BABIP that is 44 points higher than his time with the A's. More good news as he easily gets his best matchup since the trade against an Angels team that is bottom five in wOBA(.284) and wRC+(82) in the second half with a 25% K rate as a team. The DraftKings optimizer is always going to lean on double pay-up at starting pitching but it is hard to ignore the absurd price on such a talented arm in Montas. I will have exposure in all formats. Catcher/First Base Paul Goldschmidt FD 4700 DK 6200 Opponent - CIN (Chase Anderson) Park - CIN FD - 16.17 DK - 12.26 It should come as no surprise that Paul Goldschmidt leads our overall projections on Monday as he is chasing Triple Crown history. He leads in average(.338) and RBI(105) and is just two home runs(33) behind Schwarber and not that it counts but he also leads the slash line Triple Crown with a crazy .338/.421/.629 line. It's no secret he has been all-world against lefties but has definitely held his own(lol) against righties with a .415 wOBA/173 wRC+ on the season. Paying up for pitching and a big bat is not that hard these days and Goldy is one of those elite bats we can build around in all formats. Rhys Hoskins FD 3400...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 8/27/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 8/27/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Yu Darvish FD 10600 DK 10400 Opponent - KC (Daniel Lynch) Park - KC FD - 40.37 DK - 21.82 Darvish missed just one start(paternity list) and will be back on the mound Saturday to help the Padres attempt to hold on to the final NL wildcard spot. His second-half performance almost mirrors his first half in terms of ERA(3.41/3.35) but one area he has seen a huge improvement is in the strikeout department as he is striking out 29.6% of batters, almost 4% more than before the all-star break. That lines up well in this matchup against the Royals who have been a bottom 6 offense all season and have been striking out nearly 4% more in the second half. Darvish is our top projected pitcher on slate and an elite play in all formats. Davis Martin FD 6300 DK 5700 Opponent - ARI (Merrill Kelly) Park - ARI FD - 23.02 DK - 11.32 There is definitely a path to paying up for both pitchers on DraftKings tonight but I love finding a value SP2 to help load up on bats. Tonight I am Davis Martin who has been recalled by the White Sox to make another start after a successful one in early August where he held the Royals to three hits and one earned run over 5.2 innings. There is always some risk with these young guys who bounce around between the minors and majors and even between the bullpen and rotation but at a sub $6K price tag we are only looking for about 12 DK points and another performance like his last also gives him 3x+ upside. I will be taking a shot in all formats tonight. Also Consider: Brandon Woodruff(MIL) as a -200 favourite against the Cubs or Domingo German(NYY) as a -240 favourite in a plus matchup against the A's Catcher/First Base Pete Alonso FD 4100 DK 5200 Opponent - COL (Kyle Freeland) Park - NYM FD - 13.21 DK - 9.87 With Goldschmidt in a tougher matchup and priced like a mid-tier starting pitcher, it makes easy to start off with and build around Alonso tonight. He comes in red-hot with three straight multi-hit games, gets a plus matchup against a struggling Kyle Freeland(5.96 ERA/.828 OPS against since start of July), and crushes lefties(.368 wOBA/143 wRC+). He is my top pay-up bat tonight and I will be building around him and...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 8/26/22
Mets and Phillies lead the DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 8/26/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Chris Bassitt FD 10400 DK 9900 Opponent - COL (Chad Kuhl) Park - COLFD - 44.23 DK - 24.31 The Mets are whopping -331 favorites against the lowly Rockies here on Friday and Bassitt rings in as one of the best cash game options on the slate. The Rockies don’t strike out a ton, but away from home this season they have the second-least runs in the league and just don’t have much pop in in the lineup at all. Bassitt is putting down right around a batter per inning on the season, keeps the walks mostly in check and averages more than six innings per start. That all lines up as a pretty safe play here. Gerrit Cole FD 11000 DK 10700 Opponent - OAK (JP Sears) Park - OAKFD - 45.16 DK - 25.64 I get that four of his last six starts have been pretty rough but Cole still rates out as one of the best pitchers in the game. The A’s have the second-worst team OPS in the league this season and strike out more than 23% of the time. Cole’s 2.81 xFIP is about 0.6 runs behind the 3.41 ERA and he still strikes out more than 11 batters per nine. Some might be down on Cole a bit here, but I’m not and think he’s actually a bargain on DraftKings. Consider Bailey Falter (FD $6200 DK $6700) coming cheap as a big favorite here on Friday. Catcher/First Base Rhys Hoskins FD 3400 DK 4700 Opponent - PIT (Bryse Wilson) Park - PITFD - 14.06 DK - 10.43 J.T. Realmuto FD 3700 DK 5700 Opponent - PIT (Bryse Wilson) Park - PITFD - 12.84 DK - 9.79 The Phillies have one of the highest team run lines on the day facing off against Bryse Wilson and the Pirates. Hoskins and Realmuto should hit second and fourth respectively and both are coming moderately priced on FanDuel especially. Realmuto is a bit steep on DraftKings but that’s because of the the positional scarcity. Hoskins has 28 home runs on the season and though, for his career, he’s been much better against lefties, the .822 OPS against righties still plays. Meanwhile, Realmuto now has the OPS up and over .800 and for a catcher (or really anyone) offers a higher fantasy floor with the 14 home runs and 15 stolen bases. Again, he’s...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 8/25/22(Main Slate)
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 8/25/22(Main Slate) Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Jacob deGrom FD 12500 DK 10800 Opponent - COL (Ryan Feltner) Park - NYM FD - 51.84 DK - 30.19 The Mets ace finally got a full workload in his last start and despite giving three runs, continued his swing and miss domination with nine strikeouts. Over four starts, he has now recorded 37 strikeouts(46%) while walking just one and enters the night with a today 2.31 ERA and eye-popping 1.08 xFIP. He now gets arguably his best matchup of the season against the Rockies who have dropped 12 of 15 road games in the second half and have the widest home/road splits over the course of the season(.349 wOBA at home/.284 on the road). I will be building around deGrom in all formats. Lance Lynn FD 9100 DK 7800 Opponent - BAL (Jordan Lyles) Park - BAL FD - 31.37 DK - 17.08 There is probably a path to playing both deGrom and Nola on this slate but if you want any sort of bats in your lineup a value SP2 might just be the route to take. Enter Lance Lynn who has been very good in the second half holding opponents to two or fewer earned runs in four of six starts resulting in a 3.06 ERA and slightly better 2.73 xFIP. The Orioles have been much better in the second half and sit ahead of the White Sox in the wildcard standings but are still just an average offence against right0handed pitching and strike out more in the split than against lefties. All things considered, Lynn is my top SP2 option on DraftKings tonight and a salary-saving GPP option on FanDuel. Catcher/First Base Vladimir Guerrero Jr. FD 4000 DK 5600 Opponent - BOS (Kutter Crawford) Park - BOS FD - 13.03 DK - 9.81 The Jays are right up there with the Yankees in terms of implied runs tonight forcing some decisions for the expensive bats, especially if loading up on deGrom.At first base, I will be playing the homer card and rolling with Vladdy who is tearing the cover off the ball in the second half hitting .319 with a .400 wOBA and 167 wRC+ and despite a drop in the power numbers(6 HR) is still running a 53% hard contact rate and 13% barrel rate in that time. It also helps he faces a pitcher in Kutter Crawford who has given up 17 earned...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 8/23/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 8/23/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Robbie Ray FD 10600 DK 9900 Opponent - WSH (Erick Fedde) Park - WSHFD - 46.18 DK - 25.35 There are some strong pitching options on Tuesday which could make some of the decisions a bit closer. But I think we can pretty confidently run out Ray as one of the top arms. It can be a bit of adventure watching Ray take the mound every five days seeing as how he has double-digit K upside but also struggles, at times, with control. But he’s a -273 home favorite against the lowly Nationals and do think he has as much upside as anyone going on this slate. Justin Verlander FD 11200 DK 10500 Opponent - MIN (Aaron Sanchez) Park - MINFD - 44.07 DK - 24.58 Verlander is the favorite, as of right now, to win the C Young. Some of it is built on luck seeing as how the 3.46 xFIP is about 1.5 runs behind the 1.95 ERA. He’s been helped by BABIP and the LOB% for sure. But he’s still a whopping -370 home favorite against the Twins and he’s exhibited excellent control this season with a 5.5:1 K:BB ratio. The price is really high which is something to take into consideration here. Strongly consider Max Fried (FD $10200 DK $9400), especially as an SP2 on DK. Catcher/First Base MJ Melendez FD 2400 DK 4500 Opponent - ARI (Zach Davies) Park - ARIFD - 11.28 DK - 8.52 With the pitching choices ranging on the more expensive side, we are going to have to find some savings with the bats here. Melendez offers one of those opportunities seeing as how he’s slated to hit leadoff for the Royals and is coming pretty cheap on FanDuel. He’s got some power in the bat with 14 home runs and does walk 12.5% of the time. The lower .700s OPS isn’t amazing, but on FanDuel the plate appearance expectation makes up for some of that. Elehuris Montero FD 2700 DK 2800 Opponent - TEX (Dane Dunning) Park - TEXFD - 11.03 DK - 8.38 Montero has been starting at 1B for the struggling C.J. Cron and is coming cheap on both sites. The Rockies have the highest implied run line on the day at 5.8 and not all of their guys are priced through the roof. Montero strikes out a lot so far in the majors but he’s slated to...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/22/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/22/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Starting Pitcher Jordan Montgomery FD 9200 DK 8300 Opponent - CHC (Drew Smyly) Park - CHC FD - 32.25 DK - 17.1 To say Montgomery flipped a switch when the Yankees traded him to the Cardinals would be an understatement. It started with a win against his old team and he has only gotten better in his last two starts holding the Rockies and Brewers to a combined one run while striking eight in each of those games(35% K rate). He now faces a Cubs team that has been on a bit of a roll lately but have faced the Nats & Reds, who are a combined 64 games under .500, nine times in the last two weeks. The Cards swept them in their last series and I look for much of the same dominance on Monday. Monty is my pitcher on the slate in all formats. Jeffrey Springs FD 8000 DK 7700 Opponent - LAA (Tucker Davidson) Park - LAA FD - 36.55 DK - 19.92 Springs is on his third team in five years but like many other pitchers, he has found his way with the Rays. He only rallied four K’s in his last start but held the Yankees to just two hits and has tallied a 2.49 ERA over five second-half starts with 25 strikeouts and just four walks. Tonight he faces a struggling Angels team that has lost five of their last six games while scoring just 15 runs. At these prices, Springs is my favourite PTS/$ pitcher on this slate. Catcher/First Base Paul Goldschmidt FD 4700 DK 6200 Opponent - CHC (Drew Smyly) Park - CHC FD - 12.3 DK - 9.32 At this point, there isn’t much more we need to say to sell Goldy as an elite DFS play. He comes in with hits in 10 of his last 11 games including five multi hit efforts, five home runs, and 16 RBI. It is also no secret he demolishes lefties and enters with an insane .435 average, .568 wOBA, and 276 wRC+. In a plus matchup against Drew Smyly, I will be building around the future 2022 NL MVP in all formats. Matt Olson FD 3800 DK 4600 Opponent - PIT (Roansy Contreras) Park - PIT FD - 11.9 DK - 8.86 Whether you are fading Goldy to get exposure to Max Scherzer on the mound or just prefer a more PTS/$ friendly...