DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 9/6/22
The Brewers Head Into Coors In DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 9/6/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers José Quintana FD 8200 DK 7500 Opponent - WSH (Paolo Espino) Park - WSHFD - 38.42 DK - 19.78 With a game in Coors, it’s always great to find cheaper pitching options in good spots so we can load up on bats. Quintana is one of those dudes. He comes in as the biggest money line favorite on the day at -260 facing off against the Washington Nationals at home. It’s a great spot against a team all the way in the tank after trading Juan Soto. Quintana isn’t a strikeout ace, but his peripherals are fine enough and this matchup and win expectation play at these price points on both sites. Kyle Wright FD 10600 DK 9700 Opponent - OAK (Cole Irvin) Park - OAKFD - 43.13 DK - 23.24 If you want to spend up a little more for a slightly better pitcher then Kyle Wright could be the play. He opens as a -227 road favorite against the lowly Oakland A’s who rank second-to-last in team wOBA this season and strikeout 23% of the time. Wright has gone six or more innings in nine straight games and pitched seven innings in five of the last ten. He’s striking out just under a batter an inning on the season and induces a ton of grounders with a 54% GB rate on the season. Shane Bieber (FD $10800 DK $10600), Logan Gilbert (FD $9500 DK $8500), and Joe Musgrove (FD $10400 DK $9500) are all also fine options on this slate. They are just going to cost you more. Catcher/First Base Rowdy Tellez FD 3100 DK 4200 Opponent - COL (Chad Kuhl) Park - COLFD - 14.52 DK - 10.97 The Brewers’ 6.6 implied runs are easily the highest on the slate and are more than a run higher than the next-closest team. We are going to want as much exposure to them as possible here. Tellez is something of a no-brainer on both sites at these prices seeing as how he’s slated to hit third in the lineup against the righty Chad Kuhl. Tellez has 28 home runs on the season (easily a career best) with a .795 OPS. He’s just too cheap and coming in too good of a spot to fade here. I prefer Tellez to all other options, but if you want to go in a different direction on...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 9/5/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 9/5/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Blake Snell FD 10300 DK 10200 Opponent - ARI (Ryne Nelson) Park - ARI FD - 39.54 DK - 21.73 After a small blip on the radar against the Guardians, Snell got back on track shutting out the Giants over six innings while striking out eight batters. It was a continuation of a dominant second half where he has tallied a 2.30 ERA/2.69 xFIP and a 33% K rate while averaging 22.6 DK/39.5 FD points per game. He now gets a matchup against a D-Backs team that has been better in the second half but is bottom 10 against left-handed pitching. All things considered, Snell is my top pitcher in all formats on Monday. Andrew Heaney FD 9400 DK 9600 Opponent - SF (Logan Webb) Park - SF FD - 31.94 DK - 17.1 We can't talk about pitchers who have looked terrific and helped their teams' playoff pushes in the second half without mentioning Andrew Heaney. He dealt with injuries and only made three starts before the break but has been borderline dominant post-break tallying a 2.87 ERA/2.96 xFIP across seven starts while striking out a ridiculous 35% of batters. The Giants have been a Top 10 team against lefties but have really struggled overall in the second half so I am not worried at all and will have exposure to Heaney in all formats. Also Consider: Kevin Gausman(TOR) and Taijuan Walker(NYM) on the early slate Catcher/First Base Harold Ramírez FD 3100 DK 3600 Opponent - BOS (Michael Wacha) Park - BOS FD - 7.75 DK - 6.01 The Rays are right in the thick of the playoff race in the American League and for fantasy purposes provide a ton of PTS/$ value with no real superstar on their team. One of the players providing said value has been Harold Ramirez who has shined brightest since the start of July with a .359 average and while he lacks power upside has been very productive for fantasy with a .377 wOBA. The matchup may not top the charts as Wacha has been above-average this season, the Rays have got to him both times and his underlying numbers do point to some luck and upcoming regression. All things considered, Ramirez is a top PTS/$ play on this early slate, especially on DraftKings at just $3100. José Abreu FD 3600 DK 4400 Opponent - SEA (Marco Gonzales) Park - SEA FD -...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 9/3/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 9/3/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Max Scherzer FD 11200 DK 10900 Opponent - WSH (Patrick Corbin) Park - WSH FD - 52.37 DK - 29.66 After a couple bumps in the road, Mad Max was back to his dominant self holding the Rockies to one run while striking out 11 but got the deGrom treatment and took the loss. He will look to help the Mets hold on to the NL East tonight in an elite matchup against his old team. The have been bad all season but got considerably worse in the second half, especially in the K department, after trading Juan Soto. The price is high but as we discuss daily, it is not hard to build around considering the plethora of value bats in good spots. Fire up Scherzer in all formats. Jake Odorizzi FD 8100 DK 6100 Opponent - MIA (Edward Cabrera) Park - MIA FD - 29.25 DK - 14.38 Odorizzi isn’t going to win you many GPP’s on his own due to a lack of K upside but checks all the boxes for cash games. It starts with being a huge favourite giving him elite win equity and rolls into his consistency holding opponents to two or fewer earned runs in five of his last sox starts. To top it off, he also gets an elite matchup against a Marlins team that ranks dead last in wOBA(.268) and wRC+(72) in the second half while striking out over 24% of the time. Odorizzi is my top SP2 from a PTS/$ perspective on this slate. Catcher/First Base Pete Alonso FD 3700 DK 5500 Opponent - WSH (Patrick Corbin) Park - WSH FD - 13.57 DK - 10.14 The broken pricing algorithm does make it much easier to fit Goldy but I am going to go a little more balanced and it starts with Alonso. He checks all the boxes starting with matchup as he faces Patrick Corbin who is 1-7 with a 8.54 ERA over his last nine starts while also giving up the third-most home runs(24) on the season. For Alonso, he comes in hot with hits in seven of his last nine games, has been better in the second half, and hits lefties very well. While Goldy tops the projections, the Polar Bear is my favourite PTS/$ pay up at first base tonight. Ty France FD 3700 DK 4300 Opponent - CLE (Xzavion Curry) Park - CLE FD -...
The Red Sox and Mets Highlight DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 9/2/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 9/2/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers David Peterson FD 8000 DK 8300 Opponent - WSH (Josiah Gray) Park - WSHFD - 36.42 DK - 18.93 The pitching options aren’t amazing on this slate though there are some guys in reasonable spots all things considered. Peterson has moved between the bullpen and the starter’s role this season and has been reasonably effective, striking out more than 10 batters per nine and sporting an ERA and xFIP in the low 3’s. The walks are a bit of an issue, but he is a -280 home favorite against the Nationals, easily the best money line win odds on the slate. I like him on both sites, but especially FanDuel where we can roster big bats because of the lower price point. Charlie Morton FD 9800 DK 9300 Opponent - MIA (Sandy Alcantara) Park - MIAFD - 37.63 DK - 19.83 The Braves are also solid home favorites today, coming in at -179 against the Marlins. The only reason Morton isn’t a bigger favorite here is he has to face off against Sandy Alcantara, the Marlins’ best pitcher. Otherwise, this is a great spot for Morton who is striking out batters at a 29% clip this season. The walks are a little on the high side but his 3.53 xFIP is much better than his 4.10 ERA and he’s run a little bad on his Hr/FB rate compared to his career numbers. Catcher/First Base Pete Alonso FD 3700 DK 5500 Opponent - WSH (Josiah Gray) Park - WSHFD - 12.93 DK - 9.66 Only two teams have a run line over 5.0 on Friday’s slate but we are going to be able to stack some hitters from those squads for sure. The Mets are one them facing off against Josiah Gray and the Nationals. Alonso is having another excellent season with an .852 OPS thanks to 31 home runs and a strikeout rate less than 20%. He is a good price on FanDuel and I think we can pay up for him on DraftKings as well. Paul Goldschmidt FD 4600 DK 6500 Opponent - CHC (Adrian Sampson) Park - CHCFD - 13.7 DK - 10.39 Goldschmidt has been one of the best hitters in baseball this season with a 1.035 OPS, .440 wOBA, and 33 home runs. The 34-year-old has been amazing and it’s why the price is so high. But he’s got a good matchup against Adrian Sampson and...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 9/1/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 9/1/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Shane Bieber FD 10200 DK 9000 Opponent - BAL (Kyle Bradish) Park - BAL FD - 39.93 DK - 21.86 After giving up six runs in his first start of the second half, Bieber has been a force for the Guardians holding opponents to just seven earned runs over his last six starts while averaging 26.1 DK/46.1 FD points per game. While the K rate has dropped a bit in 2022, it has also picked up in the short-term as he has tallied eight or more in four of those six starts and faces an O's team that has lost two straight while scoring just two runs and striking out 19 times(32%). All things considered, Bieber is our top projected pitcher and an elite play in all formats. Spencer Strider FD 10000 DK 9500 Opponent - COL (Chad Kuhl) Park - COL FD - 47.01 DK - 25.99 It's a close race for the NL Rookie of the Year between two Braves with the odds leaning towards Spencer Strider who has been phenomenal, especially in the second half. He comes into Thursday's action having held opponents to one earned run in five of six second-half starts(2.51 ERA/2.60 xFIP) and shown a ton of upside striking out 34% of batters in that span. What is even more incredible is the fact he is putting up these numbers with pretty much two elite pitches(fastball/slider). On Thursday, he gets another plus matchup against the Rockies who are a bottom-three road offence(.29th in wOBA & wRC+) and a bottom-five offence overall in the second half. Fire up Strider in all formats. Catcher/First Base Matt Olson FD 3900 DK 5300 Opponent - COL (Chad Kuhl) Park - ATL FD - 14.2 DK - 10.58 Travis d'Arnaud FD 3000 DK 3900 Opponent - COL (Chad Kuhl) Park - ATL FD - 10.5 DK - 8 The Braves are once again topping our projections as a team with an outstanding matchup on Thursday. They will face a struggling Chad Kuhl who has posted a 9.39 ERA/6.03 xFIP over his last seven starts while giving up a whopping 11 home runs. My exposure to the Braves starts at first base with Matt Olson who remains affordable on both sites, mostly due to the lack of consistency on a day-to-day basis(.252 average) but there is no denying the upside as he entered Wednesday with 27 home runs and 87...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 8/30/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 8/30/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Max Fried FD 10500 DK 9900 Opponent - COL (José Ureña) Park - COLFD - 45.94 DK - 25.08 There are a few different aces taking the mound on Tuesday though not are all on the main slate. Fried is going against the Rockies who are one of the worst offenses in the league when they are away from Coors and he’s in an excellent spot to get the win. He’s a crazy -384 home favorite against Colorado, some of the best win odds you’ll ever see. Though he isn’t striking out a batter an inning on the season, he’s going more than 6.3 innings per start because he limits the walks and induces ground balls at more than a 50% rate. Kevin Gausman FD 10200 DK 8700 Opponent - CHC (Marcus Stroman) Park - CHCFD - 41.3 DK - 22.37 Gausman is another big favorite on Tuesday, though doesn’t have quite the same win odds as Fried. He’s sitting at -217 at home against the Cubs and coming under $9K on DraftKings. Pairing these two should be no problem over there. He’s struggled in two of his last three starts but has put together an excellent season, striking out more than 10 batters per nine while sporting a 7:1 K:BB ratio. That’s some of the best peripherals you will see. I slightly prefer Fried on FanDuel but it’s very close because Gausman has more K upside. Catcher/First Base Matt Olson FD 4000 DK 5100 Opponent - COL (José Ureña) Park - COLFD - 13.32 DK - 9.91 There are a few teams in good spots on Tuesday with the run lines trending into the mid-5s. The Braves are one of them facing off against Jose Urena. Olson hasn’t put up quite the same power numbers as his last season in Oakland when he hit 39. But he does have 27 on the season with an .835 OPS. The price is up there because the Braves are a good offense, but I think you can afford him considering they are in one of the best spots on the slate. Shea Langeliers FD 2800 DK 3000 Opponent - WSH (Erick Fedde) Park - WSHFD - 10.51 DK - 8.03 For their purposes, the A’s are actually in a pretty good spot against Erick Fedde and the Nationals. Oakland has a mid-4’s implied run line which, for them, represents an above-average number....