DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 9/17/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 9/17/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Zac Gallen FD - P 10000 DK - SP 9900 Opponent - SD (Joe Musgrove) Park - ARI FD - 33.75 DK - 18.09 The streak of starts allowing zero earned runs ended at six last time out in Colorado but Gallen was still dominant striking out 11 adding to his very impressive season for a rebuilding D-Backs team. The matchup tonight may not look that great against the Padres but considering they have scored a league-low 38 runs over the last 14 days with the second-worst wOBA(.275) and wRC+(78) I am fully on board with Gallen in all formats. George Kirby FD 9300 DK 8000 Opponent - LAA (Shohei Ohtani) Park - LAA FD - 35.61 DK - 19.04 It is the year of the teammates when looking the rookie of the year awards in both leagues. In the NL, it's Strider and Harris for the Braves up top and in the AL it's Julio Rodriguez and not far behind is George Kirby. He has been good all year but has really come on in the second half holding opponents to two or fewer earned runs in eight of nine starts and one or fewer in four straight. He will face off against another top pitcher in Shohei Ohtani but gets is cheaper and gets the better matchup against the Angels' offense that has been below average over the last month when looking at wOBA(.302) and wRC+(95) and has struck out over 25% of the time. At these prices, Kirby is easily our top PTS/$ play on the mound tonight. Catcher/First Base Freddie Freeman FD - 1B 4300 DK - 1B 5600 Opponent - SF (Undecided) Park - SF FD - 12.63 DK - 9.52 The Dodgers were the first team to clinch their division so there is always the risk of them limiting their starters down the stretch but if Freeman is starting, he is must-play right now. He has been tremendous in the second half(.344/.413/.523 slash line) and even better in the short term hitting .432 over his last 10 games while averaging 13.6 DK/18.1 FD points per game. He and the Dodgers get another smash spot against the Giants who will be throwing a bullpen game and seeing as Freeman was once a regular in the $6K range on DraftKings, I will be buying low in all formats as my top play at first. Yuli Gurriel...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 9/16/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 9/16/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Justin Verlander FD 11000 DK 11000 Opponent - OAK (Adrián Martínez) Park - OAKFD - 47.25 DK - 26.47 Verlander is a huge favorite against the Athletics today and for good reason. The guy had been having an excellent season with a 1.84 ERA while striking out more than a batter per inning. Sure, the ERA was run hot compared to the xFIP, but these are also the A’s we are talking about. The concern here is that this is his first game back starting in the last couple of weeks and the Astros might limit him here. That’s a tough pill to swallow seeing as how we are paying top dollar. But he might be worth the risk here as a -375 favorite against one of the worst offenses in baseball. Jack Flaherty FD 7800 DK 7000 Opponent - CIN (Undecided) Park - CINFD - 38.75 DK - 20.99 Flaherty is another tough case here but not for the same reasons as Verlander. He gets an excellent matchup at home against the Reds and is a -275 favorite. Plus, he’s coming so cheap on both FanDuel and DraftKings that you’ll have no problem fitting in bigger bats. The issue is Flaherty is cheaper because he’s really struggled in his five starts back this season. He’s walked more batters than he’s struck out which is brutal. Vegas still trusts him here and I want to put stock in that, but this isn’t a for sure lock in cash. Strongly consider Taijuan Walker (FD $9100 DK $8000) against the lowly Pirates. Catcher/First Base Paul Goldschmidt FD 4500 DK 6200 Opponent - CIN (Undecided) Park - CINFD - 15.87 DK - 12.03 The Cardinals have one of the highest implied run lines of the day even though the Reds’ pitcher hasn’t even been announced yet. It is sure to be someone bad so we are fine rolling these bats out in cash. Goldschmidt is having one of the best hitting seasons in the majors this year with a 1.015 OPS and 35 home runs. He’s been elite and there’s a reason he is so expensive. But in terms of safety for cash games, it doesn’t get much better. Triston Casas FD 2400 DK 2000 Opponent - KC (Jonathan Heasley) Park - KCFD - 10.43 DK - 7.86 Casas should be hitting around 7th for the Red Sox when they face off against...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 9/13/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 9/13/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Jacob deGrom FD 12000 DK 11800 Opponent - CHC (Adrian Sampson) Park - CHCFD - 53.74 DK - 31.27 DeGrom is as big a favorite in Tuesday’s game as you’ll really ever see in a Major League Baseball game. He opened at -423 against the Cubs at home and now it’s sitting at -390. That is just a ridiculous number and he makes for an incredibly tough fade as a SP1. Even with the price being as high as it is, you pretty much have to play him. The numbers are just sick. He is striking out batters at a 41% clip with a 15.75:1 K:BB. Those are video game stats for a starting pitcher. We will have to make some concessions with the bats but it doesn’t matter because deGrom is just that good. Jordan Montgomery FD 9100 DK 8400 Opponent - MIL (Matt Bush) Park - MILFD - 39.08 DK - 20.61 While it isn’t in the deGrom category of crazy favorites, Montgomery is in a good spot of his own on Tuesday against the Brewers. He’s sitting at -210 at home and the price on DraftKings actually makes it palatable that we can get a bat or two into the lineup. He’s gone six of more innings in four of his last six starts including a complete game one-hitter against the Cubs and he limits the walks in a big way which makes up for the K rate being a little on the lower side. Catcher/First Base Adley Rutschman FD 3100 DK 5400 Opponent - WSH (Cory Abbott) Park - WSHFD - 11.5 DK - 8.75 Ryan Mountcastle FD 2700 DK 3700 Opponent - WSH (Cory Abbott) Park - WSHFD - 11.4 DK - 8.71 No teams come into this slate with overwhelmingly high run lines, but the Orioles are in a good spot against the Nationals and Cory Abbott. The ultra-prospect Rutschman has had an excellent first season in the majors with an .800 OPS and 10 home runs through his first 377 plate appearances. He’s walking almost 14% of the time and striking out less than 18%. That’s right where you want to be from a cash game perspective and the price doesn’t break the bank on FanDuel at all. Meanwhile, Mountcastle should be hitting cleanup for the O’s on Tuesday and is more of a boom-or-bust type for fantasy purposes. He does has 21...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 9/12/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 9/12/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitcher Framber Valdez FD 11000 DK 10700 Opponent - DET (Eduardo Rodriguez) Park - DET FD - 39.65 DK - 20.51 Valdez checks all the boxes today and it starts with his consistency with rice straight starts allowing two or fewer earned runs. In that time, he has also seen his K rate spike with eight or more punchouts in four of those starts. He now gets an elite matchup against a Tigers offense that ranks dead last with a .279 wOBA/81 wRC+ and as a big favorite, is my top pitcher in all formats on Monday. Spencer Strider FD 10400 DK 10100 Opponent - SF (Alex Cobb) Park - SF FD - 39.03 DK - 21.35 The rookie of the year awards have been a runaway in both leagues and it’s been Strider in cruise control in the NL. He has gone 6-1 over eight second half starts while recording a 2.14 ERA/2.07 xFIP and elite 38.5% K rate. He now faces a struggling Giants team that has fallen of the map in the standings and struck out over 26% of the time over the last month. It’s a double pay up kind of night and Strider is an elite play in all formats. Catcher/First Base Nathaniel Lowe FD 3600 DK 4200 Opponent - MIA (Braxton Garrett) Park - MIA FD - 8.84 DK - 6.7 If we are going to be paying up for two pitchers tonight, we best find some mid-tier value bats and the Rangers offer just that. It starts at first base with Nathaniel Lowe who has been one of the hottest bats in baseball down the stretch sporting a .396/.460/.693 slash line since mid August. He and the Rangers get a terrific matchup against Bryan Hoeing who has been roughed up for 10 this and eight earned runs in his first two appearances. All things considered, Lowe is my top play at first and one of my top overall PTS/$ plays on this slate. Yuli Gurriel FD 2300 DK 3300 Opponent - DET (Eduardo Rodriguez) Park - DET FD - 8.04 DK - 6.2 More value at first base with Yuli Gurriel who checks almost every box starting with the matchup. He and Astros face a struggling Eduardo Rodriguez who has given up eight earned runs including five long balls in his last two starts. For Gurriel, he is rarely going to win you a...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 9/10/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 9/10/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Kevin Gausman FD 10300 DK 9700 Opponent - TEX (Kohei Arihara) Park - TEX FD - 38.28 DK - 20.44 Choosing pitchers can be tricky down the stretch as some teams will be limiting starters to prepare for the playoffs. The Jays don't have that option as they are not only short on starters due to injury but also in a very tight race for the AL Wildcard. Gausman has had a few blips on the radar in the second half but has still been terrific holding opponents to two or fewer earned runs on five of his last seven starts and has a 30% K rate in the second half. He now gets an elite matchup against a Rangers team that has lost 10 of their last 11 games while tallying a .277 wOBA, 80 wRC+, and 24% K rate in that time. Fire up Gausman in all formats. José Urquidy FD 9500 DK 9000 Opponent - LAA (Shohei Ohtani) Park - LAA FD - 34.81 DK - 18.09 There isn’t a whole lot to get excited about in terms of value SP2 options so I am fully on board with the system which prefers a double pay-up almost daily. Urquidy isn’t a pitcher that provides a ton of upside with a below-average K rate(19.5%) but he has been rock solid in the second half holding opponents to two or fewer earned runs in six of eight starts for a 2.45 ERA. With a plus matchup against an Angels team that has been a bottom 10 offense in the second half and striking out over 25% of the time, Urquidy is easily my top SP2 on this slate. Catcher/First Base Christian Walker FD 3900 DK 4400 Opponent - COL (José Ureña) Park - COL FD - 13.06 DK - 9.9 The system is all over the Coors game on DraftKings once again on Saturday and it comes as no surprise as both sides get plus matchups and are way too cheap to stack. It starts with Christian Walker who has been very consistent lately with hits in nine of the last 10 games he has started including four multi-hit efforts. The red-hot D-backs offense also gets another elite matchup against Jose Urena who has been nothing short of a disaster in the second half posting an 8.65 ERA over nine starts. Arizona is our top overall PTS/$ stack tonight...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 9/9/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 9/9/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Lucas Giolito FD 8200 DK 8500 Opponent - OAK (James Kaprielian) Park - OAKFD - 38.87 DK - 20.74 We’ve got a game in Coors with a run line higher than everywhere else so we are going to want to stack that game as much as possible. That’s going to mean saving some on pitching which, thankfully, is entirely possible on this slate. Giolito is facing off against the second-worst offense in baseball in the A’s as a -162 road favorite. It’s been an up-and-down season for the White Sox righty and he’s had some true blowup games. But he’s still striking out more than a batter per nine, the price is down here and the matchup against Oakland is such a good one. Noah Syndergaard FD 7900 DK 9900 Opponent - WSH (Patrick Corbin) Park - WSHFD - 34.9 DK - 17.92 Syndergaard isn’t able to really dial up the K’s anymore which is definitely a bit of a concern when rostering him in cash games. His major superlative here is that he is playing on the Phillies and they are playing the Nationals. Washington has one of the worst offenses in baseball and Thor is coming as the day’s biggest moneyline favorite at -250 in this home game. That really helps on FanDuel where the win is weighted more than DraftKings. Plus, his price there helps fit in some Coors bats. I prefer Giolito because of the K upside but Syndergaard is a fine option too. Strongly consider Lance McCullers Jr. (FD $8800 DK $9000) Catcher/First Base C.J. Cron FD 3700 DK 5200 Opponent - ARI (Zach Davies) Park - ARIFD - 13.94 DK - 10.48 Like we said, there’s a game in Coors here and the run line is pushing up to 11, a couple of runs higher than the next closest game on this slate. With a run expectation much higher we are going to want to be overweighted on this game. Cron is expensive but is having a fine enough season with a .799 OPS and 26 home runs. He’s better against lefties so I don’t love the reverse platoon here, but he’s also been so, so much better at home on the year. Carson Kelly FD 2600 DK 3900 Opponent - COL (Germán Márquez) Park - COLFD - 11.07 DK - 8.31 Carson Kelly moves down in the Diamondbacks’ order but he’s also not...