DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 9/26/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 9/26/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Bryce Elder FD - P 8900 DK - SP 8400 Opponent - WSH (Cory Abbott) Park - WSH FD - 21.96 DK - 10.9 I am not thrilled about targeting value pitching in both slots today but considering we have a four-game slate with the top pitchers facing each other's top offenses, it feels like the optimal way to build lineups. Let's start with the Braves' Bryce Elder who has been up and down from the minors all season but has been huge down the stretch allowing just nine hits and two earned runs over his last three starts while racking up 22 strikeouts(30% K rate). He will look to continue that success in a plus matchup against the Nationals who have dropped 10 of their last 14 games while scoring just 2.8 runs per game(.280 wOBA/77 wRC+) and striking out 23.6% of the time. Fire up Elder in all formats. Roansy Contreras FD - P 8200 DK - SP 7500 Opponent - CIN (Chase Anderson) Park - PIT FD - 31.31 DK - 16.25 Going down a bit further we have another rookie in Roansy Contreras who despite a couple of blowups, has been impressive in 2022. He has allowed three or fewer earned runs in 13 of his 16 starts and one or fewer in four of his last five and despite giving up six earned runs in his previous start, struck out a career-high 10 batters. What really stands out on Monday is the matchup against the Reds who have tallied a league-low .255 wOBA and 55 wRC+ over the past two weeks. I will have exposure in all formats. Catcher/First Base Adley Rutschman FD - C 3100 DK - C 4700 Opponent - BOS (Connor Seabold) Park - BOS FD - 11 DK - 8.37 Ryan Mountcastle FD - 1B 2700 DK - 1B 4000 Opponent - BOS (Connor Seabold) Park - BOS FD - 10.9 DK - 8.33 With just four games on Monday, our options are pretty limited but this is a game I will be stacking heavily on both sides. Let's start with the Orioles and Adley Rutschman who came into the season as a top prospect and is now the center of a rebuilding team that is also pushing towards the playoffs. He is coming off an 0 for 5 on Sunday but went into that game hitting .320 with a .416...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 9/24/22(Main Slate)
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 9/24/22(Main Slate) Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Framber Valdez FD - P 11200 DK - RP 10200 Opponent - BAL (Tyler Wells) Park - BAL FD - 34.65 DK - 18.09 The one thing holding Valdez back from being a dominant pitcher early in the season was the lack of strikeouts. Well, he has shut up those critics(myself included) in the second half recording seven or more in eight of 10 starts while going 8-1 with a 2.42 ERA/2.71 xFIP. He now gets a plus matchup against the O's who came out firing in the second half but have fallen off big time sitting bottom five in wOBA(.288) and wRC+(86) over the last month. Considering Kershaw gets a much tougher matchup against the Cards and Darvish is pitching in Coors, Valdez is easily my top pitcher in all formats. Logan Gilbert FD - P 10200 DK - SP 8500 Opponent - KC (Kris Bubic) Park - KC FD - 36.09 DK - 20.02 While there is always a risk in rostering a pitcher in September on a team that has clinched, this is not the case with Gilbert and the Mariners who are in a tight battle for an AL Wildcard. That is great news as Gilbert has been phenomenal down the stretch allowing just six earned runs over his last six starts(1.57 ERA) and has struck out nine or more batters in three of his last four. Like Valdez, he also gets a terrific matchup as a -185 favorite against the Royals who are not only a below-average offense overall(.301 wOBA/92 wRC+) but also worse against right-handed pitching(.296 wOBA/.89 wRC+). He is in play in all formats, especially on DraftKings where the price still sits in the mid $8K range. Catcher/First Base Ty France FD - 1B 3000 DK - 1B 3900 Opponent - KC (Kris Bubic) Park - KC FD - 10.82 DK - 8.25 Carlos Santana FD - 1B 2300 DK - 1B 2800 Opponent - KC (Kris Bubic) Park - KC FD - 9.26 DK - 6.96 The Mariners will be without their star, Julio Rodriguez, for at least 10 days and that puts some pressure on the rest of the lineup as they are trying to hold on to the final AL Wildcard spot. The good news for us in fantasy is that it opens up some value and that starts at first base with France and Santana. France has been...
Padres in Coors and Chris Bassitt Highlight DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 9/23/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 9/23/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Chris Bassitt FD 10500 DK 9500 Opponent - OAK (Cole Irvin) Park - OAKFD - 43.5 DK - 23.95 There are a number of good to very good pitchers going on this slate today which is actually going to make the hitting side of things a little tougher. But in terms of cash, I think we can start with Bassitt here. He’s facing off against the A’s who rank second-to-last in team wOBA this season and strike out 24% of the time. Bassitt has been effective this season with a low 3’s ERA while striking out a little north of 8.5 batters per nine. This game is on the road, but he is a -224 favorite, setting him up with some of the best win odds on the slate. Lucas Giolito FD 9300 DK 7700 Opponent - DET (Eduardo Rodriguez) Park - DETFD - 38.89 DK - 20.61 It’s been an up and down season for Giolito this year and he’s got some blowup games on the resume for sure. But this is still a guy striking out close to ten batters per nine and his 3.65 xFIP is about 1.5 runs lower than the disaster 5.07 ERA. It’s the latter that has his price down on both sites, but he’s running horrible in BABIP against on the season. That’s some bad luck and Friday he gets the worst offense in the league in the Tigers. I think the DK price is completely in play and you shouldn’t be scared off by the ERA. Strongly consider Carlos Rodón (FD $11000 DK $10300) against Arizona Catcher/First Base Josh Bell FD 3200 DK 3800 Opponent - COL (Ryan Feltner) Park - COLFD - 14 DK - 10.54 The Padres enter Coors for the weekend and that is almost always where we want to be from a cash game perspective. Does it work out every single time? No. But there’s a reason this is the best hitter’s park in baseball and if we can get cash game plays there then that should be the goal. Bell has moved down in the San Diego order some but this is still a guy with an OPS over .800 on the season who walks 12% of the time and does have power when things are going right. Second Base Jake Cronenworth FD 3500 DK 4200 Opponent - COL (Ryan Feltner) Park - COLFD - 13.34 DK...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 9/22/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 9/22/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Early George Kirby FD 9300 DK 9600 Opponent - OAK (Adrián Martínez) Park - OAK FD - 41.99 DK - 22.71 Would anyone be surprised(outside of Robbie Ray) if Kirby started the Mariners first game in the playoffs? In terms of efficiency, he has been one of the best in the league this season let alone for his own team. He hasn't walked more than one batter in any start, has held opponents to two or fewer earned runs in 11 of his last 12 starts and also limited opponents to four or fewer hits in four straight. He now gets an elite matchup on Thursday against an A's team that has ranked bottom five all season and has struck out over 27% of the time over the last month. Locka nd load with Kirby in all formats. Main Justin Verlander FD 11100 DK 10700 Opponent - BAL (Kyle Bradish) Park - BAL FD - 40.88 DK - 22.85 Despite being limited to just 79 pitches in his return from the IL, Verlander looked dominant holding the A's hitless over five innings while striking out nine. That performance lowered his league-leading ERA to 1.78 on the season as he remains the Vegas favorite to win the AL Cy Young. He will look to add to his elite resume in a terrific matchup against an Orioles team that has really fallen off over the last couple of weeks scoring just over three runs a game with a .282 wOBA and 82 wRC+. Verlander comes at a high price but is easily our top pitcher in all formats. Catcher/First Base Early Wilmer Flores FD 2800 DK 4700 Opponent - COL (José Ureña) Park - COL FD - 8.74 DK - 6.67 David Villar FD 2800 DK 2500 Opponent - COL (José Ureña) Park - COL FD - 7.44 DK - 5.68 The Giants are once again high on our PTS/$ rankings in Coors and with their lineup full of super-utility players, I will just group them together to start things off. Let's start with Flores who is having a career year in terms of home runs, RBI, and runs scored and while the average is down he has been good in the short term with hits in four of his last five including three multi-hit efforts. For Villar, the rookie has had some growing pains since being called up in July but...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 9/20/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 9/20/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Charlie Morton FD 9200 DK 9000 Opponent - WSH (Patrick Corbin) Park - WSHFD - 40.62 DK - 21.58 For the main slate, we have a couple of pitchers in very good spots taking the mound on Tuesday. The first is Morton who faces off against the lowly Washington Nationals as a whopping -348 home favorite. Those win odds are about as high as you’ll ever see even if we’ve had some example close to it of late. The 38-year-old Morton is having another solid, if unspectacular, season striking out more than 10 batters per nine though the ERA is over 4.00. Regardless, he’s not expensive and this is too good a matchup to pass up. Luis Castillo FD 9700 DK 9100 Opponent - OAK (JP Sears) Park - OAKFD - 39.87 DK - 21.15 And then there’s Castillo who is on the road in Oakland, but coming in as a -222 favorite against an A’s team that ranks second-to-last (and could finish last) in team wOBA this season while striking out 24% of the time as well. Castillo has been excellent this season with a 2.68 ERA and 3.17 xFIP while striking out batters at more than a 27% clip. His DraftKings price won’t kill you and it’s going to make sense pairing he and Morton together over there on the main slate. Catcher/First Base Adley Rutschman FD 3100 DK 5000 Opponent - DET (Joey Wentz) Park - DETFD - 12.55 DK - 9.54 Ryan Mountcastle FD 2900 DK 4200 Opponent - DET (Joey Wentz) Park - DETFD - 12.44 DK - 9.5 We are pretty much going to be focused on three teams for cash game plays on this slate. One of them is the Orioles who face off against lefty Joey Wentz on Tuesday and come in with a 5.1 implied run line. Rutschman should hit second when facing the southpaw and the Uber-prospect has had an excellent first season in the majors with an .820 OPS and 11 home runs through his first 400 plate appearances. He’s tough to strikeout at 17% and walks 14% of the time. Those peripherals are great and Wentz doesn’t have much in the way of K stuff. And then there’s Mountcastle who doesn’t have the on-base stuff that Rutschman has, but makes up for it some with more power (22 home runs). He’s been slightly better for his career against...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 9/19/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 9/19/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Kyle Wright FD - P 10100 DK - SP 8800 Opponent - WSH (Cory Abbott) Park - ATL FD - 44.56 DK - 24.16 The Braves are all but locked into a wildcard spot but now have their sites set on the Mets for the AL East lead. Spencer Strider is going to be the NL Rookie of the Year but it's Kris Wright leading the entire league in wins(18) and backs it up with an impressive 3.18 ERA/3.36 xFIP. Despite having just average K stuff, Wright has been terrific for fantasy averaging 18.9 DK/35 FD points per game in the second half and gets a terrific matchup against a below-average Nationals team. Wright is easily my top pitcher in all formats tonight. Wade Miley FD - P 8000 DK - SP 6600 Opponent - MIA (Edward Cabrera) Park - MIA FD - 29.66 DK - 14.03 I am never going to get excited about playing 35-year-old Wade Miley but he checks almost all the boxes tonight, at least for cash games. At $6,600 on DraftKings, we are really only looking for about 12-14 points for cash games and he has accomplished this in both of his starts since returning to the mound in September thanks to 11 K's across those starts. More importantly, he gets a great matchup against a Marlins team that ranks dead last in wOBA(.271) and wRC+(75) in the second half while striking out over 24% of the time. The cheap price tag also allows us to pay up for Wright and multiple big bats which makes him my top SP2 on DraftKings and a value GPP arm on FanDuel. Catcher/First Base Adley Rutschman FD - C 3100 DK - C 5100 Opponent - DET (Tyler Alexander) Park - BAL FD - 11.37 DK - 8.65 Julio Rodriguez likely has the AL Rookie of the Year locked up but Rutschman is making it close and also helping the O's make the AL Wildcard interesting, as well. He has been playing his best baseball down the stretch with hits in four of his last five games including three multi-hit efforts with a .313/.400/.583 slash line over his last 14 games. He and the O's also get arguably the best matchup outside of Coors against Tyler Alexander who has posted a 6.34 ERA/5.04 xFIP in nine second-half starts. Fire upRutschman in all formats. David Villar FD - 3B...