DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/17/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/17/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Kenta Maeda FD - P 8700 DK - SP 9600 Opponent - KC (Kris Bubic) Park - MIN FD - 34.81 DK - 19.29 A common theme so far in the 2020 season has been a ton of ugly slates in terms of starting pitching and Monday fits that mold perfectly. The only real ace on the mound is Hyun Jin Ryu and he faces a surprising Orioles team that leads the pack in terms of hitting lefty pitching. I love the upside but for cash games, I will be rolling with Kenta Maeda who is having a solid start to his Twins career winning three of his four starts with a 2.66 ERA backed up by a tremendous 3.34 xFIP. For FanDuel, he has tallied a quality start in three straight and now faces a Royals team that has struck out 27% of the time over the last week and rank in the bottom half of the league in almost all hitting categories on the season. Fire up Maeda in all formats. **Update - Matt Wisler has been named the Twins starter for Monday night. Stay tuned to the projections for our updated top pitchers for the night.** Ross Stripling FD - P 8100 DK - RP 7900 Opponent - SEA (Justin Dunn) Park - LAD FD - 36.19 DK - 19.42 While the consistency isn't quite on the same level as his ex-teammate Maeda, Stripling is still a very solid option tonight, especially at his price point. Despite some struggles early on with the fastball(four of five home runs given up off four-seamer), he has won three of his four starts and while the K rate is down he has recorded seven in two of his four starts. What stands out the most tonight is that Stripling gets a great shot at his fourth win as the Dodgers are huge -260 favorites against a Mariners team that ranks dead last in runs scored over the last 14 days and bottom 5 in wOBA(.289) and wRC+(86) on the season with a 24% K rate. Maeda has a slight edge in raw points projection but from a PTS/$ perspective, Stripling is the play in the system. Lock and load in all formats. Catcher/First Base Freddie Freeman FD - 1B 3900 DK - 1B 5300 Opponent - WSH (Anibal Sanchez) Park - ATL FD - 14.31 DK - 10.75 Travis d'Arnaud...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 8/13/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 8/13/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Yu Darvish FD - P 9600 DK - SP 10400 Opponent - MIL (Brett Anderson) Park - CHC FD - 36.91 DK - 20.11 Buckle up for the weirdest slate of the season with six games, all starting at the same time. Luckily, we do get some decent pitching options and it starts with Yu Darvish who is having a fantastic start to the season as he has allowed just four earned runs over his first three starts(2.12 ERA) and just one over his last two starts. On top of that, he is rolling with a 16:2 K to BB ratio and faces a team in the Brewers who are near the bottom of the league in offense to start the year and have an ugly 28% K rate. Darvish is easily my top pitcher on this weird all-day slate. Jake Arrieta FD - P 8300 DK - SP 7300 Opponent - BAL (Thomas Eshelman) Park - PHI FD - 31.13 DK - 15.62 From a PTS/$ perspective, it is impossible to ignore Arrieta tonight who, in my opinion, is greatly underpriced for this slate. He and the Phillies are the biggest favorites(-191) on the slate and while the game is in one of the best hitters parks, Arrieta is a groundball machine and also doesn't hand out free passes(2.4% BB rate). That alone puts him in cash consideration and he has also shown a little upside with a 24% K rate but I wouldn't bank on him breaking the slate. Either way, he is my top PTS/$ option tonight, especially on DraftKings as the SP2. Catcher/First Base Willson Contreras FD - C 3200 DK - C 4400 Opponent - MIL (Brett Anderson) Park - CHC FD - 12.16 DK - 9.17 Despite it being a small slate, we have two elite hitting catchers in great spots tonight but with the risk of Realmuto sitting(day game after night game) plus the discount, I side with Contreras tonight. The Cubs are one of my favorite teams to stack today and checks all the boxes as he hits cleanup on a Top 5 offense and has been very successful vs. southpaws posting a .381 wOBA, 137 wRC+, and .267 ISO in the split since the start of last season. He is one of the top bats on the slate and in play in all formats. Joey Votto FD - 1B 3200 DK...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 8/12/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 8/12/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Kenta Maeda FD - P 8700 DK - SP 9100 Opponent - MIL (Eric Lauer) Park - MIL FD - 32.69 DK - 18.09 Maeda will take the mound for the Twins on Wednesday and has been a welcome addition to the club after being traded from the Dodgers in the offseason. While he has yet to throw 90 pitches in a game, he has been efficient averaging 5.7 innings over three starts where he has only given up five earned runs(2.65 ERA) with a 16:3 walk rate. He now gets a plus matchup against a Brewers team that is bottom 10 in almost all offensive categories including K rate(28%). All things considered, Maeda is my top pitcher in all formats on the main slate. Zack Greinke FD - P 9800 DK - SP 10300 Opponent - SF (Undecided) Park - HOU FD - 34.11 DK - 17.81 At the time of writing this(Tues night), there is no line on this game as the Giants have yet to announce a starter but I am not going out on a limb predicting the Astros will be big favorites here at home. I am not thrilled about paying these prices for Greinke but SP2 is a little muddy on tonight's smaller main slate. The strikeout rate(18.6%) is somewhat concerning but digging deeper, he has improved each game in almost all facets(innings pitched, strikeouts, ER allowed). The Giants are another one of those struggling offenses to start the year giving Greinke a great shot at a win and his best performance of the season. Safe in all formats on this slate. Catcher/First Base Rhys Hoskins FD 2900 DK 3800 Opponent - BAL (Wade LeBlanc) Park - BAL FD - 12.56 DK - 9.28 J.T. Realmuto FD 3500 DK 5100 Opponent - BAL (Wade LeBlanc) Park - BAL FD - 12.36 DK - 9.41 We are back to a non-Coors main slate tonight and the first team I am targeting(you might see a lot of them this article) is the Phillies. They lead all team on the main slate in implied runs tonight as -171 home favorites and a lot of it has to do with the matchup against Wade LeBlanc who was terrible with the Mariners last season and that has carried over to Baltimore. He has given up at least one home run in each start and 11 earned runs in...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/10/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/10/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Patrick Corbin FD - P 10800 DK - SP 10400 Opponent - NYM (Steven Matz) Park - NYM FD - 35.25 DK - 19.11 It is a very interesting night for pitching in that we have a borderline ace priced over 10K and then a huge gap down to the next highest-priced pitcher. Let's start at the top with Corbin who draws a tougher matchup as the Nats are a slight -120 road favorite against the Mets Top 10 offense(10th in wOBA, 6th in wRC+). I am not overly concerned here as he is easily the most talented pitcher on the slate and despite giving up eight hits and three earned runs in his last start vs. the Mets last Tuesday tallied 21.4 DK points on the back of eight strikeouts. There is risk with almost every pitcher on this slate in some form or another so let's take the best of the bunch and get him into our lineups in all formats. Dallas Keuchel FD - P 7800 DK - SP 7800 Opponent - DET (Michael Fulmer) Park - DET FD - 29.74 DK - 14.53 There are a few different ways to go with your SP2 tonight and Keuchel is the one that stands out the most. The first thing he gives us is innings as he has gone at least 5.1 in each of his first three starts and while it was a little concerning he had just three K's in his first two starts, he cleared that up striking out eight Brewers last Wednesday, going seven innings. Tonight, he and the White Sox are -148 favorites in a favorable matchup against a Tigers team who may be swinging some hot bats at the moment but are striking out over 29% of the time for the season. Under $8K on both sites, Keuchel is a top PTS/$ play on the mound in all formats. Catcher/First Base Eric Hosmer FD - 1B 3100 DK - 1B 3300 Opponent - LAD (Dustin May) Park - LAD FD - 9.11 DK - 6.96 Hosmer made his return to the lineup on Saturday and while he went hitless for the first time this season, the price is too hard to ignore for the consistency we are used to getting at the plate. The matchup may not be at the top of the list against Dustin May but the Padres offense has...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 8/6/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 8/6/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Tyler Chatwood FD - P 9600 DK - SP 9400 Opponent - KC (Brad Keller) Park - KC FD - 33.19 DK - 16.61 The price on Chatwood continues to go up but I am still shocked it is below $10K on DraftKings with the combination of how well he has pitched and the matchup. Let's talk Chatwood first who has been dominant to start the year allowing just six hits and one earned run over 12.2 innings while striking out 19 batters(40%). Tonight, he gets another plus matchups the Cubs open as -165 favorites against a Royals team that sits at the bottom of the standings and ranks bottom six in runs scored, wOBA and wRC+ on the season. All things considered, Chatwood is my top pitcher in all formats tonight. Nate Pearson FD - P 7500 DK - SP 7300 Opponent - ATL (Touki Toussaint) Park - ATL FD - 27.64 DK - 13.97 Things really fall off after the top three pitchers on the main slate. Despite the Jays opening as slight underdogs(+119), I love the PTS/$ floor and ceiling at these prices with the Jays #1 prospect, Nate Pearson. In his first career start, against the defending champs, he went almost pitch for pitch with Max Scherzer before being shut down at just over 70 pitches and tallied five strikeouts while allowing just two hits. He gets another tough NL East opponent tonight as the Braves are Top 10 or close in almost all offensive categories to start the season but the good news is that they have struck out over 28% of the time as a team. At these prices, on this smaller main slate, I am willing to take the risk and ride with Pearson as my SP2 in all formats on DraftKings and as a punt GPP play on FanDuel to load up the bats. Catcher/First Base Anthony Rizzo FD - 1B 3700 DK - 1B 5000 Opponent - KC (Brad Keller) Park - KC FD - 13.66 DK - 10.24 I was high on the Cubs last night and headed right back there tonight as they are currently one of six teams projected to score five or more runs. It starts with Anthony Rizzo who despite having just a .222 average going into Wednesday night has hits in eight of 11 games and sits with an elite .398 wOBA so I am...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 8/5/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 8/5/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Yu Darvish FD - P 9500 DK - SP 10400 Opponent - KC (Kris Bubic) Park - KC FD - 34.26 DK - 18.81 Darvish bounced back after an opening day loss with a terrific performance against the Pirates where he allowed just two hits over six innings while striking out seven and walking one. He got up to 86 pitches which is positive and I feel he gets over that 90 pitch mark tonight in another plus matchup justifying his price on DraftKings. He will face a Royals team that sits in the basement of the American League and went into Tuesday night with an 87 team wRC+(24th) and .293 wOBA(22nd). The Cubs are huge -220 favorites and Darvish is my top pitcher in all formats on both sites. Randy Dobnak FD - P 7100 DK - RP 7200 Opponent - PIT (Trevor Williams) Park - PIT FD - 27.29 DK - 14.15 The Twins improved their major-league best record on Tuesday moving to 9-2 on the season and in large part to a starting rotation that has posted a sub 3.00 ERA. Tonight Randy Dobnak take the ball as the Twins open as -180 road favorites in Pittsburgh against the Pirates who currently sit 2nd to last in team wOBA(.251) and wRC+(59). Dobnak got up to 94 pitches in his 2nd start of the season and shutout the Indians over five innings putting up 20.3 DK/33 FD points. Combine the matchup and price tag and you have my top PTS/$ play at the pitcher position. Catcher/First Base Daniel Murphy FD - 1B 3500 DK - 1B 5100 Opponent - SF (Logan Webb) Park - COL FD - 13.42 DK - 10.26 The Rockies, at home in Coors, lead the way in implied runs once again and it makes sense to go back to the well as there have been an average of 12.5 runs over the first four games with the home team averaging over seven per game. As of now, the Giants are projected to start Logan Webb who hasn't gone deep into either of his first two starts and while he only gave up two runs, he gave up 10 hits in 7.2 innings. While a small sample size, he has really struggled vs. lefties so that is where Murphy comes into play. He hits 5th in the order and has started the season on fire...