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DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 10/1/20

Posted by on Oct 1, 2020 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, DraftKings MLB Picks, FanDuel MLB Picks, featured, Season Long MLB |

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 10/1/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Clayton Kershaw FD 9800 DK 9400 Opponent - MIL (Brandon Woodruff) Park - MIL FD - 33.83 DK - 19.06 Pretty convenient for the Dodgers to have a former Cy Young(2011, 2013, 2014), and is in the conversation for another, as your game two starter. He ended up with 10 starts this season, going 6-2, and posted an elite 2.16 ERA/3.05 xFIP and also posted his highest K rate(28.8%) since 2017. He now faces a Brewers team that ranked 23rd in wOBA(.307) and 25th in wRC+(89) and struck out the 3rd most(26.6%) overall. All things considered, Kershaw gives us a high probability for the win in an uncertain playoff environment and also comes with a ton of upside vs. the Brewers. He is my top pitcher in all formats. Luis Castillo FD 10200 DK 8600 Opponent - ATL (Ian Anderson) Park - ATL FD - 34.93 DK - 18.26 Ian Anderson FD 9200 DK 7500 Opponent - CIN (Luis Castillo) Park - CIN FD - 38.87 DK - 20.7 After watching the offenses combine for a whopping 37 strikeouts(40%) in game one, I feel both these pitchers are in play in game two. Let's start with Ian Anderson and the Braves who are -133 favorites in game two after taking game one 1-0 in extra innings. Despite a small sample size, Anderson was very impressive in his rookie season considering he is still 22-years-old. He held opponents to two or fewer earned runs in five of his six starts for a very impressive 1.95 ERA and he also recorded a 29% K rate. Even if the win isn't there, I think there is enough K's for him to pay off his price. On the other side of the game, we have Luis Castillo who was a little unlucky with the record(4-6) considering he posted a 3.21 ERA and even better 2.82 xFIP over 12 starts. Castillo was also dominant vs. righties holding them to a .221 average with a 35% K rate and the Braves appear to be running out at least six today. I lean Anderson for the savings in cash games but love the upside with Castillo here for GPP's. Catcher/First Base Yasmani Grandal FD - C 3000 DK - 1B/C 4200 Opponent - OAK (Undecided) Park - OAK FD - 9.54 DK - 7.08 The A's manager, Bob Melvin, is keeping his game three starter quiet at...

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DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 9/30/20

Posted by on Sep 29, 2020 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, DraftKings MLB Picks, FanDuel MLB Picks, featured, Season Long MLB |

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 9/30/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW!   Pitchers Walker Buehler FD - P 10000 DK - SP 8800 Opponent - MIL (Undecided) Park - LAD FD - 38.03 DK - 20.78 Buehler was limited in his last start of the regular season after returning from a blister issue but looked terrific holding the A's to just one hit over four innings while striking out six. He will get the start in game one for the Dodgers and is not only coming cheap(relative to what he cost all season) but gets arguably the best matchup on the slate. The Brewers limped into the playoffs losing five of their final eight games and are one of two teams in the playoffs with a sub .500 record. On top of that, they struck out a whopping 26% of the time this season, 27% against right-handed pitching. Buehler is my top pitcher on Wednesday in all formats. Hyun-Jin Ryu FD - P 8300 DK - SP 8100 Opponent - TB (Tyler Glasnow) Park - TB FD - 34.34 DK - 17.95 From a PTS/$ perspective, Ryu is right at the top of the ranks on both sites which is impressive as the jays are slight underdogs on Wednesday. For me, it comes down to the fact he is cheaper than Glasgow in this game and was arguably better in every area this season. He held opponents to two or fewer runs in nine of his 12 starts for a very impressive 2.69 ERA backed up by a 3.32 xFIP. He didn't flash the same upside as Glasgow in the strikeout department but the good news is that the Rays have struck out 30% of the time over the last two weeks and 28.5% of the time vs. lefties on the season. All things considered, I am expecting another low scoring game which has Ryu sitting as my favorite SP2 today. Catcher/First Base Anthony Rizzo FD - 1B 3600 DK - 1B 4400 Opponent - MIA (Sandy Alcantara) Park - CHC FD - 12.27 DK - 9.2 Jesús Aguilar FD - 1B 2900 DK - 1B 2900 Opponent - CHC (Kyle Hendricks) Park - CHC FD - 8.64 DK - 6.49 This game presents a bit of an opportunity and the Cubs currently sit second behind the Dodgers in implied runs so I will start with Rizzo. The first thing that stands out here is the price on DraftKings as he is...

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DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Playoff Picks for Tuesday 9/28/20

Posted by on Sep 28, 2020 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, DraftKings MLB Picks, FanDuel MLB Picks, Season Long MLB |

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 9/28/20 The MLB playoffs are here and thigns kick off Tuesday with an AL-only, four-game slate. Let's go through the DraftKings and FanDuel plays. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Blake Snell FD 8300 DK 7800 Opponent - TOR (Hyun-Jin Ryu) Park - TORFD - 37.91 DK - 20.73 Snell enters the first day of the playoffs as the best money line favorite on the shorter slate. He was excellent in his 11 starts this season, striking out more than 11 batters per nine and keeping the xFIP at 3.06. There are still a few more walks than you like to see, but he’s a positive bargain on FanDuel as the sixth most expensive pitcher on the slate. The Blue Jays strike out 24% of the time against lefties this season though they did have a solid OPS in that split. That being said, with playoff teams we are looking for any edge because all of the matchups are rough. This is a good spot for Snell. Shane Bieber FD 11200 DK 9000 Opponent - NYY (Gerrit Cole) Park - NYYFD - 46.37 DK - 25.81 Bieber is second on this list only because of the price. Because every other number has been out of this world for the Indians’ ace this season. He led baseball in pitcher WAR, struck out more than 14 batters per inning and sported a 2.04 xFIP. Even when batters made contact (which wasn’t often) he induced a nearly 50% ground ball rate. Yes I get this is a terrible matchup against an excellent Yankees offense that finished 5th in team wOBA even with all of their injuries. But Bieber is also just the best pitcher in baseball right now and that’s always going to be a tough fade. Catcher/First Base Yasmani Grandal FD 2900 DK 4300 Opponent - OAK (Jesus Luzardo) Park - OAKFD - 9.72 DK - 7.21 Eloy Jiménez FD 3600 DK 4600 Opponent - OAK (Jesus Luzardo) Park - OAKFD - 9.71 DK - 7.39 It isn’t much, but the White Sox open with the third-highest implied run line on the slate against the lefty Luzardo. While a platoon neutral switch hitter for his career, Grandal was significantly better against lefties this season with a .905 OPS in around 40 plate appearances (I know, I know small sample size). But he should hit in the middle of the order and is reasonably priced on both sites. Meanwhile, Jimenez...

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DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 9/24/20

Posted by on Sep 24, 2020 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, DraftKings MLB Picks, FanDuel MLB Picks, featured, Season Long MLB |

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 9/24/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW!   Pitchers Ian Anderson FD - P 9900 DK - SP 8800 Opponent - MIA (Pablo Lopez) Park - ATL FD - 37.32 DK - 20.04 With almost every ace going last night combined with a few on the early and all-day slates, we are left with few options tonight. Rookie Ian Anderson has been a breath of fresh air for a Braves team that has been hammered with injruies in the rotation. He struggled with the move from AA to AAA in 2019 but the jump to the majors has been something else as he enters his final start of the season with a 2.36 ERA/3.51 xFIP and has also provided a ton of upside with a 31.5% K rate. Tonight he and the Braves are -165 home favorites against the Marlins who have lost four in a row and strike out around 24% of the time against right-handed pitching. Anderson is the top pitcher in the system and in play in all formats at these prices. Corbin Burnes FD - P 10600 DK - RP 8400 Opponent - STL (Kwang Hyun Kim) Park - STL FD - 32.33 DK - 17.08 The number two option tonight is another young arm from the 2016 draft that made his way to the bigs quickly spending the entire 2019 season in the Brewers pen with a few spot starts. It took him until mid-August to get stretched out this shortened season but since then, he has been incredible posting a 1.13 ERA backed up by a 2.33 xFIP. He has gone at least five innings in those seven starts and has held opponents to one or fewer earned runs in six of those while recording a godly 37.6% K rate. He now gets a matchup against a below-average Cardinals offense that has been even worse down the stretch posting a .290 wOBA and 82 wRC+ over the last 14 days. Both Anderson and Burnes are solid options in all formats and I love pairing them together on DraftKings. Catcher/First Base Christian Vázquez FD - C 2900 DK - C 4500 Opponent - BAL (Alex Cobb) Park - BOS FD - 10.19 DK - 7.86 As far as catchers are concerned, this is one of the best slates of the year with four guys in great spots and in play. The system sides with Vazquez here from a DraftKings PTS/$ perspective as he...

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DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 9/23/20

Posted by on Sep 22, 2020 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, DraftKings MLB Picks, FanDuel MLB Picks, featured, Season Long MLB |

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 9/23/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Trevor Bauer FD - P 11400 DK - SP 9800 Opponent - MIL (Adrian Houser) Park - CIN FD - 40.93 DK - 22.35 Wednesday brings us a ton CY Young candidates and with Shane Bieber in a tougher matchup against the White Sox, I will defer to Trevor Bauer as my top option. Not a bad secondary option as Bauer is having a career-year as he enters this game with a 1.80 ERA/3.31 xFIP and has also flashed his elite upside with a 35% K rate. In his final regular season start, he opens a -154 favorite against a Brewers bottom 10 offense that strikes out over 26% of the time on the season. Bauer is my top pitcher on the early slate(FanDuel) and a top option overall when looking at raw points projections. Kenta Maeda FD - P 10000 DK - SP 9200 Opponent - DET (Casey Mize) Park - MIN FD - 44.54 DK - 24.87 While Shane Bieber is pretty much a lock to win the AL Cy Young award, Kenta Maeda sure made a case for himself on his new team in 2020. Through 10 starts, he has gone 5-1 with a very impressive 2.52 ERA which is backed up by a 2.73 xFIP and he has also flashed some big upside lately with seven or more strikeouts in six straight starts(31.6% K rate on the season). On Wednesday, he gets a terrific home matchup against a Tigers team that ranks bottom 10 in almost every offensive category and have been even worse lately with a .261 wOBA and 66 wRC+ over the last 14 days. Fire up Maeda in all formats. Catcher/First Base Christian Walker FD - 1B 3000 DK - 1B 3300 Opponent - TEX (Wes Benjamin) Park - ARI FD - 8.9 DK - 6.7> The Diamondbacks aren't a team I go out of the way to stack but love some of the value pieces that we can target allowing us to pay up for pitchers(two on DK) and more bats. One of those values is Christian Walker who has been average on the season(.280/.343/.477 slash line) but comes in hot with hits in five straight and eight of his last nine games with eight runs scored. At these prices and hitting third in the lineup, Walker is in play in all formats. Paul Goldschmidt FD - 1B 3600 DK - 1B...

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DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 9/22/20

Posted by on Sep 22, 2020 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, DraftKings MLB Picks, FanDuel MLB Picks, Season Long MLB |

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 9/22/20 The MLB season is drawing to a close but there are still games to be played. Let’s take a look at some baseball picks for FanDuel and DraftKings. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Framber Valdez FD - P 10000 DK - RP 9700 Opponent - SEA (Ljay Newsome) Park - SEAFD - 37.23 DK - 19.59 Valdez struggled in starts against the Dodgers and Angels but bounced back last time around against the Rangers, striking out 11 batters in 6 1/3 innings while allowing only a single run. He’s had an excellent season with a 3.02 xFIP and is striking out batters 26% of the time while issuing only a 6% walk rate. These are near ace-level peripherals and on Tuesday he’ll face the Mariners who have the 27th-ranked team wOBA in the league right now. They are a light-hitting crew that strikes out 25% of the time on the season. This is a smash spot for Valdez as a -172 opening money line favorite. Blake Snell FD - P 9200 DK - SP 9500 Opponent - NYM (Seth Lugo) Park - NYMFD - 35.05 DK - 19.21 After getting up over 100 pitches in two of his previous four games, the Rays dialed it back for Snell in the doubleheader against Baltimore on Thursday, throwing him only 72 pitches though that did take him through more than five innings. He’s been excellent in his shortened season with a 3.07 xFIP and a strikeout rate close to 11 per nine. The only hesitation here on Tuesday is that the Mets are a very good offensive team and that could cause some issues. But pitching is pretty weak all around on this slate and Snell rates as the best overall arm opponent notwithstanding. Catcher/First Base Freddie Freeman FD - 1B 4000 DK - 1B 5400 Opponent - MIA (Jose Urena) Park - ATLFD - 14.37 DK - 10.79 Freeman is putting together a monster, MVP-caliber season with just about every number checking the right box. He’s walking (17%) more than he’s striking out (14%), has a 1.084 OPS and has just generally been crushing. Only the power is lagging behind his per plate appearance numbers from last season, but notably much. And this is a near-perfect matchup for Freeman against Jose Urena who has only struck out six batters per nine for his career while walking more than three. He’s the very definition of a below-average...

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