Dodgers Lead the DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 10/4/22
Mike Trout Leads the DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 10/4/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Julio Urías FD 10400 DK 9000 Opponent - COL (Ryan Feltner) Park - COLFD - 47.51 DK - 24.47 With the playoffs all but locked up across the league, we are in tricky spots when it comes to cash games on these final sites. There are a few teams still duking it out for seeding, but they really aren’t on the main slate here and that’s going to leave us with some issues. The Dodgers are taking it easy on their starters down the stretch so pitch counts are problems, but Urias is still coming in here as a -355 home favorite. That’s worth at least something and he isn’t breaking the bank on DraftKings at all. Again, these are weird times when it comes to late season MLB DFS. And while he likely won’t win, Urias is still at least a part of the NL Cy Young race. Justin Verlander FD 11200 DK 10500 Opponent - PHI (Ranger Suárez) Park - PHIFD - 39.51 DK - 21.97 Speaking of the Cy Young race, Justin Verlander is currently the odds-on favorite to win in the American League, holding a betting line lead over Dylan Cease. It’s unlikely that this outing changes those odds all that much, but it’s at least something to consider. He draws a tough matchup against the Phillies who are still fighting for some playoff seeding, but Verlander, in terms of skill, is about as good as it gets on this slate. Strongly consider Sean Manaea (FD $8100 DK $6500) Catcher/First Base Freddie Freeman FD 4300 DK 5700 Opponent - COL (Ryan Feltner) Park - COLFD - 13.14 DK - 9.9 In his first year with the Dodgers, Freeman didn’t have quite the power numbers we’ve come to expect seeing as how he hit *only* 20 home runs down from the 30+ he’d hit in previous seasons with similar numbers of plate appearances. But he still had over a .900 OPS and walked (12%) almost as much as he struck out (14.5%). He’s one of the elite hitters in the game and still makes for a great cash game option. José Abreu FD 3100 DK 4500 Opponent - MIN (Josh Winder) Park - MINFD - 10.05 DK - 7.6 Abreu had a fine season this time around with an .815 OPS thanks to a lower K rate (16%) and some run hot when...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 10/3/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 10/3/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Brandon Woodruff FD - P 10700 DK - SP 10600 Opponent - ARI (Tommy Henry) Park - MIL FD - 40.77 DK - 22.31 We still have some teams playing for positioning in the season's final days, and no team is feeling the pressure more than the Brewers who trail the final wildcard spot by two games. This makes paying up for Woodruff the optimal play as we know he isn't going to be limited. That and he has been incredible down the stretch holding opponents to just five earned runs over his last five starts(1.36 ERA) and has tallied double-digit strikeouts in four straight. He now faces a D-Backs team that did get to him in their last start but they have struggled since with an 81 wRC+ and 25% K rate so I am not concerned and will be loading up on Woodruff in all formats. Patrick Sandoval FD - P 9000 DK - SP 7700 Opponent - OAK (Adrián Martínez) Park - OAK FD - 37.87 DK - 1.99 Sandoval let us down a bit as a value SP2 in his last start but I am going back to the well as he has shown tremendous consistency in the second half. He has held opponents to two or fewer earned runs in nine of 10 starts for an impressive 2.15 ERA and while the upside isn't always there, he has struck out seven or more three times. It will get another crack at the A's on Monday and they have been a bottom three offense all season and have struck out 27% of the time over the last month. At these prices, I am on board with Sandoval as a top SP2 option in all formats. Also Consider: George Kirby(SEA) as a -250 favorite in a game with a low total(7) going up against a below-average Tigers offense Catcher/First Base Ty France FD - 1B 3400 DK - 1B/3B 4400 Opponent - DET (Bryan Garcia) Park - SEA FD - 10.4 DK - 7.93 If we are going to be targeting top pitching on the mound, a balanced approach with our bats is the way to go. Enter Ty France who comes with a mid-tier price on both sites and has been red-hot coming in with hits in seven straight including four multi-hit efforts and has posted a .308 average with 148 wRC+ over his last 17...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 10/1/22(Main Slate)
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 10/1/22(Main Slate) Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Early Ross Stripling FD - P 8000 DK - RP 7400 Opponent - BOS (Brayan Bello) Park - TOR FD - 27.36 DK - 15.06 With all the injuries to the Jays' starting rotation in 2022, Stripling could be considered the MVP of the team as he has been rock solid. He stepped into a regular spot in the rotation in early June and over 18 starts has held opponents to two or fewer earned runs in 14 of 18 starts for an impressive 2.80 ERA. He now faces a Red Sox team that has dropped seven of their last 10 games and was shut out in game one of the series on Friday night. Stripling offers us savings on this smaller slate allowing us to spend up for an expensive SP1 and/or some big bats. I will have exposure in all formats. Main Cristian Javier FD - P 10100 DK - SP 9400 Opponent - TB (Shane McClanahan) Park - HOU FD - 41.62 DK - 22.39 Like we have discussed a ton recently, there is elevated risk with pitch counts this time of year but we just can't ignore how dominant Javier has been in the second half and specifically down the stretch. He has held opponents to just one earned run over his last four starts and tallied an elite 1.96 ERA over 11 second-half starts with a 30.4% K rate. The matchup isn't at the top of my list against the Rays who are all but locked into a wildcard spot but have struggled a bit lately losers of four of their last five going into Friday night while striking out over 27% of the time. At these prices, especially under $10K on DraftKings, Javier is my top pitcher on this slate. Catcher/First Base Early Luis Arraez FD - 1B 3000 DK - 1B 3500 Opponent - DET (Drew Hutchison) Park - DET FD - 8.66 DK - 6.78 We talked about Arraez a ton this season as he led the league in hitting for a good portion of the year and he is also finishing strong. While he hasn't provided a ton of upside with a league-average 99 wRC+ in September, he has been very consistent with hits in 20 of 22 games while hitting .299 for the month. He and the Twins also get a plus matchup on Saturday against Drew Hutchinson who...
The Blue Jays the DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 9/30/22
Corbnin Burnes and the Blue Jays the DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 9/30/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Corbin Burnes FD 10300 DK 10500 Opponent - MIA (Sandy Alcantara) Park - MIAFD - 46.55 DK - 26.63 The Brewers are still in the Wild Card fight here and this time of year, that’s about all you can ask for when it comes to starting pitching. There are a lot of ways to pay up today and there are too many big arms to avoid playing all of them. So we’ll take Burnes here. He’s struggled at times in the second half of the season, but this is still a guy with a strikeout rate close to 11 per nine and he’s facing off against the 27th-ranked offense in the league. He’s not a huge favorite because he’s going against Alcantara, but the run line in this game is so, so low. Jack Flaherty FD 7900 DK 7400 Opponent - PIT (Johan Oviedo) Park - PITFD - 36.64 DK - 19.62 This is a somewhat tricky spot because the Cardinals aren’t playing for a ton here so Flaherty could really be managed. But he’s coming real cheap on DraftKings on a day where that matters and he’s a -204 home favorite against the Pirates. Pittsburgh ranks third-to-last in team offense this season and they strike out close to 26% of the time. Flaherty has been a mixed bag this season, but he’s coming off a nine-strikeout performance against the Padres last time out. In the effort to get some bats in, I think he is okay in cash. Very strongly consider Logan Gilbert who is a -224 favorite at home against the lowly Oakland A’s. Catcher/First Base Vladimir Guerrero Jr. FD 3800 DK 5500 Opponent - BOS (Nick Pivetta) Park - BOSFD - 12.78 DK - 9.62 Alejandro Kirk FD 2300 DK 4800 Opponent - BOS (Nick Pivetta) Park - BOSFD - 11.43 DK - 8.67 We aren’t going to be able to play all of the big bats on this slate, but we can start things off with the Blue Jays. They are facing off against Nick Pivetta who brings in a 4.48 ERA and does allow the long ball. Guerrero isn’t having the same kind of season he had last time out with the OPS *only* sitting at .813. But this is a guy who does have 30 home runs and is tough to put down on strikes at just...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 9/29/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 9/29/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Early Ranger Suárez FD - P 9200 DK - SP 8400 Opponent - CHC (Javier Assad) Park - CHC FD - 32.08 DK - 15.88 The final week of the regular season can be a nightmare for DFS, especially pitching, trying to figure out pitch counts and team's motivations. That shouldn't be an issue here as the Phillies are still alive and chasing the final NL wildcard spot. While Suarez lacks elite upside with a 19.7% K rate, he has provided a very solid floor allowing just one earned run in his last two starts lowering his ERA to 2.55 in the second half. Better yet, he gets a plus matchup against the Cubs who have struggled to a .280 wOBA/79 wRC+ over the last two weeks while striking out over 27% of the time. Fire up Suarez in all formats on the early slate. Main Shohei Ohtani FD - P 11100 DK - SP 10500 Opponent - OAK (Cole Irvin) Park - LAA FD - 47.97 DK - 26.58 He isn't going to win the Cy Young or the MVP in 2022 but Ohtani has improved in almost every single area when it comes to his performance on the mound. He already has five more wins(14), an ERA(2.47) over half a run better, and is striking out almost 4% more batters. He has been especially dominant down the stretch allowing just four earned runs over his last five starts(1.13 ERA) and now faces a bottom five offense in the A's who has struck out 26% of the time over the last two weeks. Lock and load with Ohtani in all formats. Catcher/First Base Early Triston Casas FD - 1B 2900 DK - 1B 2200 Opponent - BAL (Mike Baumann) Park - BOS FD - 9.92 DK - 7.48 It has taken some time for the prized Red Sox prospect to prove he belongs in the majors but is finishing the season strong and went into Wednesday night with hits in five of his last six games. He has also flashed some big power with three home runs in that time and gets a plus matchup against Mike Baumann(4.32 ERA/4.44 xFIP) and a struggling O's bullpen that has posted a 6.10 ERA over the last two weeks. Casas hits down in the lineup but is near min price on both sites and allows us to load up on bats elsewhere....
Mike Trout Leads the DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 9/27/22
Mike Trout Leads the DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 9/27/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Lance McCullers Jr. FD 10800 DK 10500 Opponent - ARI (Zach Davies) Park - ARIFD - 41.61 DK - 22.47 As we get to the end of the season, pitch counts and playing time can always get a little funky. But we have to take what we are given here. McCullers opens as a -225 home favorite against the Diamondbacks on this slate and, from an ERA perspective, has been solid this season. But I would caution just a little that the 3.68 xFIP is about 1.5 runs behind. He’s striking out batters at more than 9.5 per nine, but the walks are a little on the high side. I do think there is some risk here, but he’s also in an excellent spot. Carlos Carrasco FD 9500 DK 9300 Opponent - MIA (Pablo López) Park - MIAFD - 39.76 DK - 21.08 If you want to go a bit cheaper then Carrasco could fit the bill here. There are a lot of good pitchers going today and he’s still got some of the best win odds at -214 at home. The Marlins are among the league’s worst offenses this season, sitting at 27th overall in team wOBA. Carrasco is striking out more than a batter per nine and has kept the walks relatively in check. I like him for more than $1K cheaper on both sites than McCullers. Logan Webb FD 9600 DK 7200 Opponent - COL (Germán Márquez) Park - COLFD - 39.05 DK - 20.49 If you are really looking to save some on an arm for this slate then Webb is in a good spot at home against the Rockies. Away from home, Colorado has been awful this season with a .276 team wOBA and 24% K rate. That’s a bottom-feeding offense when they are away from the best hitter’s park in baseball. Webb isn’t an ace by any means, but he’s solid enough and keeps the walks down. He’s a bargain on DraftKings with the matchup. Consider Robbie Ray (FD $10200 DK $10300) Catcher/First Base Matt Olson FD 3300 DK 4500 Opponent - WSH (Paolo Espino) Park - WSHFD - 10.91 DK - 8.13 The Braves have one of the higher overall run lines on the day at 4.9 thanks to facing off against Paolo Espino on this slate. Olson should be hitting fifth in the lineup against the righty and...