DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/9/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/9/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Joe Musgrove FD 9000 DK 8500 Opponent - MIA (Zach Thompson) Park - MIA FD - 42.81 DK - 23.93 Very small slate tonight but we are still gifted with a couple of really good options on the mound. It starts with Joe Musgrove who, after getting hit around in his first start out of the break, has been terrific over his last three. In those starts, he has held Oakland, Miami, and Colorado to just three earned runs while striking out 20 batters. Musgrove provides a safe floor as he doesn't walk batters or give up many hits(.97 WHIP) and also provides a ton of upside with a 28% K rate and is a massive -235 favorite against a Marlins team that strikes out 26% of the time. Fire up Musgrove in all formats. Freddy Peralta FD 10200 DK 10500 Opponent - CHC (Alec Mills) Park - CHC FD - 39.95 DK - 22.69 After pitching in All-Star game, Peralta was eased back in to the rotation to start the second half and was limited to 51 and 68 pitches in his first two starts. The funny part is that during those "limited" starts he still gave us nice fantasy returns. He was unleashed in his last start making it back up to 98 pitches and struck out nine Pirates. Tonight, he gets another plus matchup against a depleted Cubs team that traded away everyone but the popcorn vendors at the deadline. The price is back up but Peralta gives us both a safe floor and a very high ceiling. Playable in all formats. **Update: This game has a right risk of PPD with 60-80% chance of rain so stay tuned for weather report in chat closer to lock*** Catcher/First Base José Abreu FD 3600 DK 6000 Opponent - MIN (Beau Burrows) Park - MIN FD - 13.46 DK - 10.19 Not only do we have a smaller five-game slate tonight but two of the games have weather implications and one (MIL/CHC) with a high chance of PPD. Thankfully this game has no issues as the White Sox are in a good spot against the Twins who will be running a bullpen game starting with a pitcher in Burrows who has given up 11 earned runs in just nine innings pitched. For Abreu, he has shown some consistency lately with hits in six straight, runs in five of those,...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 8/6/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 8/6/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Chris Bassitt FD - P 9800 DK - SP 9800 Opponent - TEX (Mike Foltynewicz) Park - OAK FD - 44.32 DK - 24.15 My top pitcher on this slate is driven mainly by matchup as we all know Burnes is the better overall pitcher and it's not really close(sorry A's fans). While he faces a tough Giants team, Bassitt becomes my top option as he gets an elite matchup against the Rangers who have scored a league-low 44 runs since the ASB. In Bassitt's defense to my opening statement, he is having a career year with 3.28 ERA/3.92 xFIP and has already set career-highs in wins(11) and K rate(25%). All things considered, I will be overweight on Bassitt in all formats, especially on FanDuel where he is $1,100 cheaper than Burnes. German Márquez FD - P 9900 DK - SP 8400 Opponent - MIA (Sandy Alcantara) Park - COL FD - 31.57 DK - 16.52 We have a full slate but the SP2 decision on DraftKings is not an easy one. It may seem crazy to consider a pitcher in Coors "safe" for cash games but hear me out. First of all, Vegas seems to expect a decent performance as the initial total(9.5) is the lowest I have seen in Coors since early in the season and the home team opens as a -160 favorite. For Marquez, he has actually been better at home with a 3.29 ERA(3.83 on the road) and .266 wOBA against(.300 on the road). At his price on Draftkings, we are looking for about 16 points for min value and he has hit that in seven of his last eight starts, topping 20 points four times. Lock and load. Catcher/First Base Joey Votto FD 4200 DK 6000 Opponent - PIT (JT Brubaker) Park - PIT FD - 12.05 DK - 9.04 The price went up after another terrific outing but if you are paying up for one player, Joey Votto has placed himself in that conversation. From a first base perspective, he is still cheaper than Vladdy, has been much better in the short term, and has a better matchup against JT Brubaker. The Reds are in a great spot to pile up the runs again tonight and Votto is my top play at first base. Jonathan Schoop FD 3700 DK 4200 Opponent - CLE (Cal Quantrill) Park - CLE FD - 10.33 DK -...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/2/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/2/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Tylor Megill FD 8500 DK 9600 Opponent - MIA (Undecided) Park - MIA FD - 34.87 DK - 18.14 The week gets started with a small slate and an even smaller selection of pitchers but one that jumps off the page is rookie Tyor Megill. The Mets rookie has been brilliant through seven starts with a 2.04 ERA on three plus pitches in a fastball, slider, and changeup. That changeup is creating a 41% swing rate at balls outside the zone and a wild 22% swinging-strike rate(see video below). Tonight the 1st place Mets face the last-place Marlins who rank as a bottom-five offense in almost every category since the All-Star break. The price is creeping up there but all things considered including the limited options, I will have exposure to Megill in all formats. Tylor Megill, Wicked Changeups. 🤢 pic.twitter.com/xQkcOAk9ba — Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) July 29, 2021 Andrew Heaney FD 7600 DK 8600 Opponent - BAL (Jorge López) Park - BAL FD - 34.79 DK - 18.51 You know it's a limited pitching slate when Andrew Heaney makes the article so make sure to load up on your antacids if watching the game. On a serious note, he is coming off two plus starts allowing the Rockies and Twins just four hits each while striking out 15 which was then rewarded by a trade to the Yankees who loaded up for bear on offense. His first start in pinstripes comes against the Orioles as a -240 favorite and at his price on both sites, is my favorite PTS/$ play on the mound. Catcher/First Base Anthony Rizzo FD - 1B 4400 DK - 1B 4700 Opponent - BAL (Jorge López) Park - NYY FD - 13.94 DK - 10.43 Rizzo was a part of the Yankees trade deadline additions and has fit right in and already setting records. He reached base in each of his first eight at-bats and finished the series against the Marlins 5 for 9 with two walks, two home runs, three RBI, and five runs scored. He now gets a matchup against a struggling pitcher who has given up 4+ earned runs in six of his last nine starts. He isn't a must-play on FanDuel who has caught up to the new situation but on DraftKings, he is easily my top play at first base tonight. Josh Bell FD 3100 DK 4500 Opponent - PHI (Ranger...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 7/30/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 7/30/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Corbin Burnes FD - P 11200 DK - RP 10200 Opponent - ATL (Touki Toussaint) Park - ATL FD - 37.75 DK - 20.86 It is very close for me at the top tonight so I will lean on the projections which favor Burnes and by a fairly wide margin. While both have been extremely consistent all season, Burnes gives us so much more in terms of strikeouts with almost a 10% higher K rate and 4% higher swinging strike rate. The Braves are just league average(100 wRC+) against righties but they strike out 25% of time. All things considered, Burnes is my #1 pitcher in all formats. José Berríos FD - P 9000 DK - SP 8100 Opponent - STL (Wade LeBlanc) Park - STL FD - 33.96 DK - 18.42 Once again we have options at SP2 on DraftKings. You can fairly easily pair Lynn and Burnes with all the value on this full slate but if you want more room for bats, I like this spot for Berrios who has seen his price trend back down into the low $8K range. This gives him a high floor and ceiling as he has hit 2x value on DraftKings in eight of his last 10 starts and hit 3x or more in four of those. The matchup isn't at the top of my list but the Cards have been slightly worse against righties(.299 wOBA/88 wRC+) so all things considered, Berrios is my favorite mid-tier value tonight. Catcher/First Base Joey Votto FD 4200 DK 4700 Opponent - NYM (Carlos Carrasco) Park - NYM FD - 9.21 DK - 6.91 This one fits right into the "ride the hot hand" narrative as Votto has been out of this world since the All-Star break. He has now homered in six straight games and has nine in 13 since the break to go along with a .375 average. His price on FanDuel shot up to the point where we really have to contemplate using him in cash button DraftKings, he is still under $5K and will be a core play for me in all formats. Rowdy Tellez FD 2300 DK 2600 Opponent - ATL (Touki Toussaint) Park - ATL FD - 10.36 DK - 7.8 While not quite on the same level as Votto, Rowdy also comes in red-hot with hits in six straight games including four long balls, and has been a...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 7/29/21 – Main Slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 7/29/21 - Main Slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Freddy Peralta FD - P 9700 DK - SP 10000 Opponent - PIT (Chad Kuhl) Park - PIT FD - 38.87 DK - 22.08 He was limited in his last start due to a prolonged break between starts but is expected back to full go on Thursday and is in a great spot. He has been extremely consistent all season holding opponents to two or fewer earned runs in 16 of 18 starts for an elite 2.29 ERA and added a ton of upside with a 35% K rate. He now faces a Pirates team that is dead last in runs scored, 27th in wOBA, and 28th in wRC+ on the season. Unless more news comes out about a limit, Peralta is my top pitcher on this main slate on both sites. Joe Musgrove FD - P 8400 DK - SP 8200 Opponent - COL (Kyle Freeland) Park - SD FD - 35.86 DK - 19.44 After a shaky first start out of the ASB, Musgrove bounced back with his longest outing(6 IP) in a month and despite the low strikeout count(4) was still able to give us more than 2x and 4x returns on DraftKings and FanDuel. It has been a roller coaster ride and there are some red flags but I do like the price on this small slate given the matchup vs. the Rockies who are dead last in road offense by a wide margin. I will have exposure in all formats. Catcher/First Base Rowdy Tellez FD 2200 DK 2600 Opponent - PIT (Chad Kuhl) Park - PIT FD - 10.72 DK - 8.06 First base is a bit of a mess tonight with Vladdy in a potential rain game in Boston and my other favorite in Jonathan Schoop is likely out with back tightness after being scratched last night. As of now, I will be going the value route and riding the hot hand in Rowdy Tellez who has hits in five straight including three multi-hit efforts and three home runs. The savings makes this a great option if you are paying up for pitching like me. If you have the salary also consider: Vladimir Guerrero Jr.(TOR) if the rain goes away and the game is a full-go or Shohei Ohtani(LAA) who has heated back up with hits in five straight including three multi-hit efforts Second Base Kolten Wong FD - 2B 3000...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 7/26/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 7/26/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Shohei Ohtani FD - P 11000 DK - SP 9200 Opponent - COL (German Márquez) Park - LAA FD - 38.55 DK - 20.5 While his bat has been a bit cold(.214 average) since the break, he came out firing in his first start going six inning against the A's allowing just three hits on and no runs while striking out eight. He also comes in having held opponents to two or fewer earned runs in nine of his last 11 starts and has lowered his ERA to 3.21 on the season backed up by a nice 3.58 xFIP, as well. He now gets a terrific matchup against the Rockies who are the worst road team in the league with an ugly .262 wOBA and .106 ISO. The $11K price tag on FanDuel is a bit much in cash but on DraftKings, he is easily my top pitcher in all formats. Wade Miley FD - P 9600 DK - SP 8600 Opponent - CHC (Kyle Hendricks) Park - CHC FD - 30.64 DK - 16.46 For the second pitcher on DraftKings, it will really come down to how much value pops up when lineups come out. If the value is limited, I will be turning Wade Miley who is having an excellent season in Cincy with a 2.72 ERA/3.74 xFIP. While the K upside is somewhat limited(19.8%), he provides a very solid floor going deep into games(6+ IP in 7 straight) and he has also limited opponents to two or fewer earned runs in 14 of 17 starts. He gets a bit of a boost to the K's as the Cubs strike out 25% of the time vs. lefties and 26% of the time overall and have also been about 15% below average in terms of creating runs out of the ASB. All things considered, I love the safety he provides, and he is an excellent SP2 option on DraftKings. Also Consider: Luis Garcia(HOU) on FanDuel at $1K discount from Ohtani and he also makes a nice pairing with Ohtani on DraftKings keeping you under $20K for pitchers Catcher/First Base José Abreu FD - 1B 3700 DK - 1B 5200 Opponent - KC (Mike Minor) Park - KC FD - 12.21 DK - 9.23 If you are paying up at first there are two options for me, in cash games, I lean Abreu over Vladdy because of the massive price...