DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 4/12/22 – Main Slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 4/12/22 - Main Slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Yu Darvish FD - P 9700 DK - SP 10100 Opponent - SF (Alex Cobb) Park - SFFD - 34.55 DK - 18.65 Darvish was anything but sharp in the first game of the season, walking four and only striking out three in his four innings. That’s not the kind of efficiency (or lack thereof) we want to see out of a SP in this price range. But I think we can go back to the well for Tuesday with some factors working in his favor. The run line in this game is low (8) thanks to a fantastic pitcher’s park in San Fran and the Giants have one of the lowest implied run lines on the day. Darvish has gotten the walks in check over the last couple of seasons so I’m not as worried about any control issues and I think the FanDuel price is especially a bargain. Patrick Sandoval FD 8400 DK 7900 Opponent - MIA (Jesús Luzardo) Park - MIAFD - 32.3 DK - 16.84 Sandoval draws a good matchup against the Marlins as a -167 home favorite, some of the better win odds on this main slate of games. Miami has scored all off 11 runs through their first four games, highlighting just how bad of an offensive attack this team is working with this season. Sandoval, for his part, is coming off a solid 2021 campaign that saw him strike out more than 9.5 batters per nine with a 3.79 xFIP that played better than average. I like the price on both sites and think he makes a strong SP2 candidate on DK. If you think the 9.45 K/9 rate from last year is real then Alex Cobb (FD $7600 DK $7000) is a total bargain here even in a bad matchup against the Padres. Catcher/First Base Max Muncy FD - 1B 3100 DK - 1B/2B 4600 Opponent - MIN (Chris Archer) Park - MINFD - 13.95 DK - 10.31 Muncy is still coming too cheap to start the season, especially considering the kind of potent lineup he’s able to hit in combined with his own skills at the plate. He’s coming off a .900 OPS season, walking at a borderline elite level, and carrying a ton of power (36 home runs last season). Archer is still able to strike batters out, but has struggled with consistency over the last couple...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 4/11/22(Main Slate)
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 4/11/22(Main Slate) Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! After a wild opening weekend to the 2022 season, we now enter the first full week of the season and it starts with a full day of baseball. For this article, we will be looking solely at the seven-game main slate that locks at 6:40 pm ET on both sites. Let's get started. Pitchers Huascar Ynoa FD 8600 DK 8600 Opponent - WSH (Undecided) Park - WSH FD - 28.36 DK - 14.73 We are now five days into the season and that means teams are reaching the bottom of their rotations. On the main slate, it will be tough to pay up for Manoah against a stacked Yankees lineup so I will be taking a more balanced approach that starts with Ynoa. It feels like we have been waiting for a breakout for a while but he has plus stuff and had an xFIP(3.40) that was over a half a run better than his ERA94.05) over 17 starts last season. He also produced an above-average 27% K rate and faces a Nats team that is striking out over 30% of the time to start the season. Fire up Ynoa in all formats. Nick Martinez FD 5700 DK 5900 Opponent - SF (Alex Wood) Park - SF FD - 13.28 DK - 6.97 This slate is probably going to lead me to a similar strategy I have used almost every slate to start the season and that is to save at pitching and load up on bats. So far so good so let's keep it rolling on Monday. Martinez is sub $6K on both sites but I am really only interested on DraftKings as a cheap Sp2 to give me 4-5 innings and 12-15 DK points. Martinez hasn't pitched in the majors since 2017 and has been in Japan but has apparently picked up some velocity over the last couple of seasons and is a brand new pitcher. I am willing to find out at these prices against a Giants team that is Top 10 in K %(29%) early in the season while scoring just 10 runs through three games. Catcher/First Base Jared Walsh FD 3400 DK 4700 Opponent - MIA (Elieser Hernandez) Park - MIA FD - 12.36 DK - 9.32 Overall, it has been a rough start for the Angels' offense who have scored just 10 runs in their first four games but there have been some bright...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 4/9/22 – All Day
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 4/9/22 - All Day Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Brandon Woodruff FD - P 10500 DK - SP 9700 Opponent - CHC (Justin Steele) Park - CHCFD - 38.48 DK - 21.04 The Brewers and Cubs were rained out on Friday pushing the Woodruff start to Saturday and he remains in a good spot. We will have to wait on the wind direction to figure out just where this over/under will land, but the Brewers’ righty comes in as a -150 road favorite against Chicago. Woodruff was excellent last season, striking out more than 10.5 batters per nine and rocking a 3.05 xFIP which trailed the 2.56 ERA by about a half a run. I like the pricing on both sites and think he has some solid K upside against this Cubs’ lineup. Carlos Rodón FD - P 10100 DK - SP 9300 Opponent - MIA (Pablo López) Park - SFFD - 38.18 DK - 21.05 Rodon will make his first start in a Giants uniform after coming over as a free agent in the off-season. The lefty was insane last season, finally putting together all of the promise he had coming up, converting the stuff to real strikeouts in a big way. He K’d more than 12 batters per nine and the 2.44 BB/9 rate was, by far, the lowest of his entire career. It all just worked itself out and now he moves to the NL and to one of the best pitchers’ parks in baseball for the season. You have to love the strikeout upside here against the Marlins and he makes for one of the better pitching options on the day as a -151 home favorite. I don’t mind Kyle Gibson (FD $8300 DK $7200) as a cheaper DraftKings option on this slate facing off against the A’s. Catcher/First Base Matt Olson FD - 1B 3800 DK - 1B 5200 Opponent - CIN (Vladimir Gutierrez) Park - ATLFD - 15.24 DK - 11.35 The Braves get one of, if not *the* best matchup of the day facing off against Vladimir Gutierrez who we will get to a little later. For Olson’s part, he’s sliding into the Freddie Freeman slot in the lineup after coming off a career year in 2021. He sported a .911 OPS with 39 home runs for the A’s. One of his biggest changes was cutting out the strikeouts, reducing the K rate from north of 25% to 17%...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 4/8/22 – All Day
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 4/8/22 - All Day Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Gerrit Cole FD - P 10800 DK - SP 9800 Opponent - BOS (Nathan Eovaldi) Park - NYYFD - 41.27 DK - 23.33 Cole was masterful again last year, striking out more than 12 batters per nine, rocking an xFIP under three, and getting through games in an ultra-efficient manner with a 6:1 K:BB ratio. I don’t love setting things up here against the Red Sox in Yankee Stadium, but he’s almost just too good a talent to pass up. The Yankees have had a longer leash with his pitch counts in the past and he won’t totally break the bank for you considering the strikeout upside. He's an especially good deal on DraftKings coming less than $10K. Shane McClanahan FD - P 8700 DK - SP 6600 Opponent - BAL (John Means) Park - TBFD - 38.22 DK - 20.68 McClanahan enters Friday as one of the biggest moneyline favorites on the day at -184 with the Tampa Bay and Baltimore game also having the lowest total at 7.5. That’s a good place to be for a starting pitcher and the young lefty is coming off an excellent rookie campaign in 2021. He struck out more than ten batters per nine and sported a 3.23 xFIP along the way. The one knock is that he didn’t average a ton of innings per start which does cut into the upside. But if we learned anything from the first set of games, starting pitchers by and large are on short strings to start the season. He is coming way too cheap on both sites. Max Scherzer FD - P 11000 DK - SP 10200 Opponent - WSH (Josiah Gray) Park - WSHFD - 38.98 DK - 21.99 On the evening slate, it sure looks like we are going to want to roster Max Scherzer even as one of the more expensive arms going. The Mets' big off-season signing brings high expectations here especially considering they are going to now be without another ace Jacob DeGrom for some time. Simply put, Scherzer has been one of baseball’s best arms going on almost a decade now and continues to put up some of the most dominating numbers in the game. He’s struck out 12 batters per nine like clockwork and, for the most part, has really limited the walks as well. The Mets are -182 road favorites against the Nationals...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 4/7/22 – Opening Day
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 4/7/22 - Opening Day Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Yu Darvish FD 9400 DK 9500 Opponent - ARI (Madison Bumgarner) Park - ARIFD - 39.11 DK - 21.31 Darvish saw his numbers dip a bit last season, though the 4.22 ERA definitely ran a bit bad considering the 3.75 xFIP was about a half a run lower. He still struck out closer to 11 batters per nine and walked fewer than 2.5 in that span. He’s getting one of the better matchups on the day against the Diamondbacks and is coming in at a -148 road favorite. The Diamondbacks still project to be one of the worst teams in baseball this season, though that’s a bit more on their staff than on the bats. This is still a good spot for Darvish though with the conditions. Adam Wainwright FD 8000 DK 7500 Opponent - PIT (JT Brubaker) Park - PITFD - 36.71 DK - 18.5 Adam Wainwright doesn’t have the same kind of K upside from some other arms we have going on this slate which is always a slightly iffy proposition. But he does come in with easily the best win odds on the day considering the Cardinals are -205 home favorites against the Pirates. The game’s 8 over/under suggest not many runs are going up on the board and that the Pirates are going to struggle, which makes sense considering their projected lineup. Wainwright wasn’t quite as good as his 3.05 ERA would suggest with the 3.87 xFIP trailing by about three-quarters a run. But the matchup and win expectation are the best of the slate here. Corbin Burnes FD 11200 DK 8300 Opponent - CHC (Kyle Hendricks) Park - CHCFD - 39.9 DK - 22.43 The Cubs project to finish near the bottom of the NL this season and that makes for a good spot with Corbin Burnes today. Games are already getting canceled across the slate, though it looks like this one in Chicago should hold up. Burnes is coming off a 2021 Cy Young bid and the stuff was completely elite. He struck out 12.6 batters per nine and had a close to a 7:1 K:BB rate. The 2.30 xFIP is about as good as you’ll ever see as well. It was just a fantastic season. He’s coming way too cheap on DraftKings though that is now a smaller slate of games. Catcher/First Base Matt Olson FD 3700 DK 5700 Opponent...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 10/2/21 – Main Slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 10/2/21 - Main Slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Lucas Giolito FD 9900 DK 10300 Opponent - DET (Matt Manning) Park - DETFD - 40.98 DK - 22.32 We are rounding out the season here and there are teams like the White Sox who have definitely taken their foot off the gas. They have a playoff spot locked up and these games are more about prep than anything else. We saw that with Lance Lynn on Friday who went only 84 pitches in the win. That could, for sure, be the case with Giolito here. But he still comes in with the best win odds and is a -284 home favorite against the lowly Tigers. It is something to monitor, but Giolito has had a fantastic season and the K stuff should be there even if the innings are a bit lower. Chris Flexen FD 9100 DK 8900 Opponent - LAA (Jhonathan Diaz) Park - LAAFD - 33.21 DK - 17.68 The Mariners are technically (somehow) in the Wild Card hunt in the American League despite a -49 win differential on the season. But alas, luck plays a factor and here we are. Flexen is -177 home favorite and this game only has an eight over/under. He doesn’t have much in the way of K stuff this season, but the Angels stink and this is a must-win for the Angels. That isn’t the case for almost anyone else on the slate. I don’t want to run Corbin Burnes into the Dodgers’ lineup nor Julio Urias into the Brewers considering those two teams aren’t really pressing right now. Catcher/First Base Yuli Gurriel FD 3200 DK 4600 Opponent - OAK (Paul Blackburn) Park - OAKFD - 12.77 DK - 9.79 The Astros are another team with everything locked up here so who knows which way they go with their lineup. In an ideal world, Gurriel is hitting cleanup against Blackburn and is still coming at a lower price on FanDuel. He is going to finish the season with an OPS around .840 and has 14 home runs. The 2019 power doesn’t look like it’s coming back, but that’s the case for a lot of guys. He puts the ball in play nearly 80% of the time and makes for a high-floor cash play. Mitch Garver FD 3100 DK 4200 Opponent - KC (Kris Bubic) Park - KCFD - 11.61 DK - 8.68 Garver should be in the three...