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DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 4/21/22

Posted by on Apr 21, 2022 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, DraftKings MLB Picks, FanDuel MLB Picks, featured, Season Long MLB |

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 4/21/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Carlos Carrasco FD - P 10100 DK - SP 9800 Opponent - SF (Anthony DeSclafani) Park - NYM FD - 33.48 DK - 17.62 To say the Mets are absolutely loaded at starting pitcher would be a massive understatement as today's starter, Carlos Carrasco, is the #4 starter in the rotation. After a rocky 2021, he is off to a terrific start in 2022 giving up just five hits and one earned run over his first two starts while striking out 13(33%) and walking just two. All this on a pitch count of 72 and 82 but the good news is seeing it climb each start so we likely see around 90 tonight in a plus matchup against the Giants who are mid-pack in wOBA(.303) but are striking out at a 25.5% rate. The price is rising but Carrasco is still my top pitcher on this slate. Paul Blackburn FD - P 7600 DK - SP 8600 Opponent - BAL (Tyler Wells) Park - OAK FD - 31.51 DK - 16.93 At first glance, it was very close at SP2 for me between Joe Ryan and Paul Blackburn but I am leaning the latter here for multiple reasons starting with the elite matchup. Both pitchers face bottom five offenses but Blackburn faces an Orioles team that leads the league in strikeouts(28%) and 10% more than the Royals. The other thing I like with Blackburn here is when he isn't striking guys out he is creating a ton of ground balls(59%). All things considered, he is my top PTS/$ play at pitcher today. Catcher/First Base Vladimir Guerrero Jr. FD - 1B 4100 DK - 1B 5900 Opponent - BOS (Tanner Houck) Park - BOS FD - 13.79 DK - 10.38 Zack Collins FD - C 2700 DK - C 2700 Opponent - BOS (Tanner Houck) Park - BOS FD - 7.34 DK - 5.44 The Jays lead all teams in implied runs and with the amount of value at both the pitcher position and with the bats, it is not all that hard to build around Vlad in all formats. If not for Ohtani who was doing modern-day Babe Ruth things, Vlad would have won the MVP last year and is off to a hot start in 2022 as he went into last night with a .317/.364/.707 slash line with five home runs and 10 RBI. One of the value plays...

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DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 4/19/22 – Main Slate

Posted by on Apr 19, 2022 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, DraftKings MLB Picks, FanDuel MLB Picks, Season Long MLB, Uncategorized |

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 4/19/22 - Main Slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Corbin Burnes FD - P 10800 DK - RP 10500 Opponent - PIT (JT Brubaker) Park - MILFD - 45.35 DK - 25.42 Burnes is coming off a Cy Young season in 2021 thanks to just an insane 36% K rate while never really walking anyone. It was one of the great pitching seasons we’ve seen in a while. Things haven’t started quite at the same rate this year, though he’s still been solid in the first two outings. The Pirates have been better than expected at the plate this season, ranking in the top 3rd in terms of wOBA, but it’s hard to imagine that continuing over the course of the season. They just don’t have the bats up and down the lineup. I like this spot for Burnes who comes in as a -250 favorite, the best win odds on this slate. Robbie Ray FD - P 9900 DK - SP 9800 Opponent - TEX (Jon Gray) Park - SEAFD - 43.13 DK - 24.09 Ray has struggled in his first two games as a Toronto Blue Jay this season, walking a bunch of guys last games and not dialing the K’s up to where he was last season. He comes into this one as a -139 home favorite against the Rangers who have improved their offense this season and aren’t striking out a ton. But the 7.5 run line is lower here and Ray is simply coming too cheap for how he projects over the course of the season. This is a guy who’s struck out more than 11.5 batters per nine over the last couple of years and last season finally got the walks under control. I’m going back to the well here on the lefty. Catcher/First Base J.T. Realmuto FD 3900 DK 5300 Opponent - COL (Kyle Freeland) Park - COLFD - 13.97 DK - 10.66 Rhys Hoskins FD 3800 DK 5500 Opponent - COL (Kyle Freeland) Park - COLFD - 14.22 DK - 10.55 The Phillies will play in Coors here on Tuesday with the chance to put up a bunch of runs in the mile-high air. Their 6.0 implied run line is the highest of the day, facing off against the lefty Kyle Freeland. The top of the order will feature some righties on the better side of their platoons and all are in good spots here. From a fantasy...

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DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 4/18/22

Posted by on Apr 18, 2022 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, DraftKings MLB Picks, FanDuel MLB Picks, featured, Season Long MLB |

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 4/18/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Sean Manaea FD - P 9700 DK - SP 9100 Opponent - CIN (Nick Lodolo) Park - SD FD - 37.82 DK - 20.52 Manaea is one of many Athletics players shipped out before the 2022 season and the Padres couldn't be happier to have him aboard. He tossed seven innings of no-hit ball in his first start and while he picked up the loss in his second start, he struck out six and allowed just two earned runs on four hits. He now faces a Reds team that has lost six straight and eight of their last nine and ranks dead last in wOBA(.251) and wRC+(53) while striking out just over 26% of the time. With all the top pitchers in much tougher matchups, it is Manaea sitting at the top of my rankings in all formats tonight. Shane McClanahan FD 9200 DK 8100 Opponent - CHC (Kyle Hendricks) Park - CHC FD - 36.44 DK - 19.7 While he has yet to make it through five innings in his first two starts, there are a lot of positives for McClanahan starting with a 3.00 ERA and even better 2.52 xFIP. Better yet are the elite K stuff he is showing us as he has already racked up 15 strikeouts( 39.5%) and backed it up with an insane 18% swinging-strike rate. The Cubs' offense has been no pushover but to say they are overperforming is probably not too much of a stretch. The other plus of a shaky(ish) start is that the price has stayed in check making him one of our top PTS/$ plays on the mound tonight. Catcher/First Base Sean Murphy FD - C 2600 DK - C 4800 Opponent - BAL (Spenser Watkins) Park - OAK FD - 11.37 DK - 8.56 We almost never mention catchers in our articles but it has been impossible to ignore what Murphy is doing for the A's right now. He comes into tonight with hits in five straight including three multi-hit efforts, two home runs, and seven RBI. I have no issue paying the premium catcher price on DraftKings for multiple reasons starting with the balanced attack I am taking at pitcher, the value throughout the A's lineup, and the fact the A's get one of the best matchups on the board against Spenser Watkins. Murphy is my top catcher on DraftKings tonight and a nice lower-owned target for...

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DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 4/15/22 – Main Slate

Posted by on Apr 15, 2022 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, DraftKings MLB Picks, FanDuel MLB Picks, Season Long MLB, Uncategorized |

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 4/15/22 - Main Slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Carlos Rodón FD 10100 DK 9800 Opponent - CLE (Zach Plesac) Park - CLEFD - 37.7 DK - 20.91 I hate the matchup against Cleveland but just about everything else is working for Rodon. For starters, if his first game of the year can be believed, then the 2021 stats weren’t a fluke at all. In his first outing with the Giants, Rodon came out and struck out 12 batters in just five innings. It was a lights-out performance that solidified the idea that the changes he made in his approach were going to carry over to this season. Frankly, it was awesome. If he is operating on this ace level, and it sure seems like he is, then the price is simply too low independent of who he has to face while on the mound. The Giants are -153 road favorites in this game with the over/under set at 8. It’s still a good spot and we might look back and wonder how we're ever getting Rodon this *cheap*. Freddy Peralta FD 9900 DK 10000 Opponent - STL (Miles Mikolas) Park - STLFD - 37.01 DK - 20.11 On the other side of this coin was the first game from Freddy Peralta. He struggled some out of the gate, walking four batters in his first four innings against the Cubs. Sure, he struck out six batters as well in that stretch, as a reminder of his swing-and-miss stuff. But the control is definitely a concern. I don’t mind the matchup against the Cardinals here though they don’t strike out a ton as a team (17% this season, fourth-least in the majors). But like Rodon, I do think we are still buying a bit low on the potential K upside just because of his track record. MacKenzie Gore FD 6400 DK 5000 Opponent - ATL (Kyle Wright) Park - ATLFD - 27.78 DK - 13.74 If looking for a speculative play with some upside, Gore might be the guy. He’s set to make the start for the Padres, replacing Blake Snell in the rotation. The 23-year-old has been one of the top prospects for years and this will be a chance to start realizing some of that potential. He has elite swing and miss stuff in his bag and has flashed it in his limited time in the minors. As always with this, there is real risk...

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DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 4/14/22(Main Slate)

Posted by on Apr 14, 2022 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, DraftKings MLB Picks, FanDuel MLB Picks, featured, Season Long MLB |

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 4/14/22(Main Slate) Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Walker Buehler FD - P 10500 DK - SP 9700 Opponent - CIN (Reiver Sanmartin) Park - LAD FD - 35.36 DK - 18.81 As expected, pitching has been a roller coaster ride early in the season but I am starting to get more confident as teams are now entering the second time through the rotation. Despite being limited to 78 pitches, Buehler looked good on opening day going five innings, allowing two earned runs on just four hits while striking out five. He is now the biggest favorite(-250) on this slate, and by a wide margin, and facing a Reds team that sits second to last in team wOBA(.257) and wRC+(59) early in the season. Buehler is our top projected pitcher on this slate and a core play in all formats. Charlie Morton FD - P 9000 DK - SP 9300 Opponent - SD (Joe Musgrove) Park - SD FD - 33.5 DK - 18.04 Morton's first start of the season was eerily similar to Buehler's as he went 5.1 innings, gave up two earned runs, and struck out five on 78 pitchers. He is a power pitcher who has recorded a 29% K rate since the start of 2019 and backed it up with a 12.5% swinging-strike rate. It aligns well with the matchup as he faces a Padres team that is still without their superstar, Fernando Tatis Jr, and are scoring just 3.7 runs per game while striking out 24% of the time. There is most definitely a path to 90 pitches for both these pitchers so paying up for both on DraftKings is not out of the question but my favorite spot to use Morton is on fanDuel where he the 8th most expensive pitcher on the main slate. Catcher/First Base C.J. Cron FD - 1B 4100 DK - 1B 4500 Opponent - CHC (Justin Steele) Park - COL FD - 15.83 DK - 11.9 The Rockies are off to a hot start winning four of their first five games and they are back home tonight where it comes as no surprise they lead all teams in implied runs. They face a young lefty in Justin Steele who has struggled against power-hitting righties so that is where we will start things tonight. Cron is coming off a very productive first season with the Rockies and has carried it over into 2022 as he comes in...

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Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – RBC Heritage

Posted by on Apr 13, 2022 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, DraftKings MLB Picks, FanDuel MLB Picks, featured, Season Long MLB |

Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – RBC Heritage Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! The Course Harbour Town Golf Links Par 71 - 7,099 Yards Greens - Bermuda **Click the image above to see a hole by hole breakdown from PGATour.com** Previous Five Winners 2021 - Stewart Cink(-19) 2020 - Webb Simpson(-22) 2019 - C.T. Pan(-12) 2018 - Satoshi Kodaira(-12) 2017 - Wesley Bryan(-13) From the Green Jacket to the Plaid Jacket as the PGA Tour heads to Hilton Head, South Carolina for the 2022 RBC Heritage. You would almost think it's another major with arguably the best field we have seen here as five of the world's Top 10 and 24 of the world's Top 50 golfers will tee it up at Harbour Town GL this week. It's not only the jacket color that changes this week as the course is a near-polar opposite of Augusta. Harbour Town is a Pete Dye special that mitigates distance off the tee and forces players to find certain areas of the fairway(or rough in the right places) if you are to have a shot at these very small Bermuda greens. With players finding fairways at an above-average rate compared to Tour average, it puts a ton of emphasis on approach shots and those players who are dialed in with their irons are the ones who find their way to the top of the leaderboard comes Sunday. With the course being a par 71, there is also one less Par 5 hole which pushes Par 4 scoring way up my weights in the model. Let's look at those top stats below and then get into the picks. Top Stats(in order) Strokes Gained: Approach Par 4 Scoring Strokes Gained: Putting Fairways Gained Opportunities/Birdies Gained Top Targets Matt Fitzpatrick World Golf Ranking (#23) Vegas Odds (22/1) Draftkings ($9,500) FanDuel ($10,800) The model absolutely loves the top guys this week but coming off a major at Augusta, I...

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