DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 4/29/22 – Main Slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 4/29/22 - Main Slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Nestor Cortes FD - P 10000 DK - RP 10000 Opponent - KC (Kris Bubic) Park - KCFD - 36.41 DK - 19.62 Nestor Cortes is a $10K pitcher just a month or so into the season just like we all thought, right? Well, he deserves every bit of this pricing bump considering how lights-out he’s been to start the season. He has a ridiculous 45% K rate through his first 15.2 innings on the season and has 25 K’s to 3 BBs. It’s just be so sick from the 27-year-old who showed flashed of this last season. The K rate isn’t likely to sustain at this level, but it really doesn’t need to for him to maintain this price point. He’s a -200 road favorite against the Royals and could be a popular arm on the slate. Frankie Montas FD - P 10200 DK - SP 8100 Opponent - CLE (Aaron Civale) Park - OAKFD - 41.92 DK - 22.79 Montas has gone six or more innings in each of his last three starts and is able to do so by combining swing-and-miss stuff with excellent control. He has a 5:1 K:BB ratio and comes as a -127 home favorite in this matchup. But the Indians have one of the lowest implied run lines on the slate seeing as how the over/under on this game is sitting at an even 7. Montas is a great price on DraftKings where he’s likely to one of the highest owned players on Friday. Catcher/First Base Joey Votto FD - 1B 2900 DK - 1B 2800 Opponent - COL (Antonio Senzatela) Park - COLFD - 13.58 DK - 10.16 The Reds have been horrible to start the season with a 3-15 record and the worst team wOBA in the league, kind of by a lot. It’s been a rough road. And now we are left in an interesting spot. Because some of their prices are way down as they head into Coors Field for the weekend. Votto is hitting in the middle of the order and coming sub-$3K on both sites. Yes, he’s been worse than bad to start the season but I think we need to take the risk on the park and an early sample size driving things down. C.J. Cron FD 4100 DK 5200 Opponent - CIN (Hunter Greene) Park - CINFD - 14.18 DK - 10.66...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 4/28/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 4/28/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Justin Verlander FD - P 10700 DK - SP 10100 Opponent - TEX (Martin Pérez) Park - TEX FD - 38.19 DK - 21.37 It has been an excellent return to the mound for Verlander who has been out since the 2020 season. As expected he has been limited but thrown 80+ pitches in all three starts and has looked really good over his last two striking out 13 and walking just one across 14 innings. The matchup doesn't project for a ton of strikeouts as the Rangers have a sub 20% K rate on the season but also rank in the bottom third in wOBA(.288) and wRC+(91) among all teams in baseball. With a pitch count that likely disappears tonight and a price that is still in check for an ace, I will have exposure in all formats. Jameson Taillon FD - P 8500 DK - SP 8100 Opponent - BAL (Bruce Zimmermann) Park - NYY FD - 37.8 DK - 20 Pitch counts have been the lead story this season with shortened spring and Taillon is another one who has been held in check early on and has yet to top 84 pitches in his three starts. The good news here, like for Verlander, is that the pitch count could disappear and no better time for fantasy as the price is still in the mid-range. He also gets an elite matchup against an Orioles team that ranks near the bottom of the league in every hitting category including the 2nd highest K rate(26.3%) in baseball. Taillon is our top PTS/$ pitcher on both sites today. Catcher/First Base Ty France FD - 1B 4200 DK - 1B 5600 Opponent - TB (Undecided) Park - TB FD - 11.73 DK - 8.94 The Mariners are not my top team to stack tonight but I most certainly want some exposure to Ty France who is arguably the fantasy MVP thus far. He has been everything(and more) the Mariners expected when they got him from the Padres and is in the midst of a breakout season with a .466 wOBA, 220 wRC+, and five home runs going into last night. He also gets at least one at-bat vs a lefty and he destroys in the split with a .384 wOBA/151 wRC+ since the start of last season. There appears to be more than enough value on this slate to pay up for...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 4/26/22 – Main Slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 4/26/22 - Main Slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Carlos Rodón FD 11100 DK 10100 Opponent - OAK (Daulton Jefferies) Park - OAKFD - 49.8 DK - 27.75 Rodon had the best season of his career in 2021 and has somehow found a way to improve on it this time around. He’s been an ace’s ace over his last 150 innings or so, striking out close to 13 batters per nine innings and cutting down the walk rate considerably. His first 17 innings in a Giants’ uniform this season have been electric and he gets a good matchup against the A’s on Monday and is a whopping -269 home favorite, the second-best of any pitcher on this slate. This is a pretty easy call all things considered and I suspect he’s the highest-owned pitcher on the slate. Luis Severino FD 8300 DK 9200 Opponent - BAL (Jordan Lyles) Park - BALFD - 37.71 DK - 20.3 After struggling mightily with injuries over the last couple of seasons, it looks like Luis Severino is back now and has had a great start to this season. Through his first 13 innings this year, the righty has a 25% K rate with an ERA in the low-2’s. The 3.26 xFIP shows that he’s been running a bit hot, but you have to like that he’s gone five innings in each of the last two. And now’s he’s a -289 home favorite, which are the best win odds on the slate. I think Rodon is the better play, but Severino rings in as a SP2 on DraftKings and an upside play on FanDuel if you decide to fade Rodon over there. Catcher/First Base Yasmani Grandal FD 2400 DK 4200 Opponent - KC (Daniel Lynch) Park - KCFD - 11.33 DK - 8.34 The White Sox face off against the lefty Daniel Lynch on Tuesday and have one of the highest implied run lines on the slate. Lynch has been mostly below average for his career, failing to deliver much in the way of strikeouts while sporting a 5.13 xFIP over his first 78 innings. Grandal has really struggled out of the gate this season but for his career, the switch-hitter has been better against southpaws. He moves up in the order with the injury to Eloy Jimenez and the price is way down because he’s started so slow. This is a good time to buy. Freddie Freeman FD 3900 DK...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 4/25/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 4/25/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Max Scherzer FD - P 10800 DK - SP 9300 Opponent - STL (Miles Mikolas) Park - STL FD - 42.82 DK - 24.13 Max has gone at least five innings in each of his three starts and seems to have shed the pitch count going seven innings against the Giants on 102 pitches while limiting them to one hit. Not only does he go deep into games giving him a better chance at the win/quality start(FD), but he also provides a ton of upside and comes in striking out 33.3% of batters he faces. In a time when it is very rare for pitchers to go much past the 5th inning or third time through the order, I love locking in the raw points with Max in all formats, especially on DraftKings in the mid $9K range. Kyle Gibson FD - P 8400 DK - SP 6800 Opponent - COL (Kyle Freeland) Park - PHI FD - 34.93 DK - 17.46 If you are not looking to spend around 40% of your salary cap on pitching on DraftKings, we do some decent value in Kyle Gibson as the Phillies are currently the biggest favorites(-193) on the slate. Gibson has also been consistent to start the season with quality starts in two of his three outings with a 27.5% K rate backed up by a slate-leading 16.3% swinging-strike rate. The matchup is average-at-best as the Rockies have been no pushover to start the season but Gibson at a sub $7K price, Gibson is easily my top SP2 if you want to stack a few top bats with a top pitcher. Catcher/First Base Freddie Freeman FD - 1B 4000 DK - 1B 5300 Opponent - ARI (Merrill Kelly) Park - ARI FD - 13.9 DK - 10.47 The first base position is loaded tonight and definitely a spot you are going to want to pay up. Now the question is who to build around and while I don't think you can really go wrong with Vlad or Freddie here, I lean toward the latter. First of all, he comes slightly cheaper on both which could come into play with wanting to pay up at pitcher but more than anything it's about current form as Freeman has been red-hot over the last week with hits in five of seven games while averaging 13.6 DK/17.9 FD points per game. Freeman is our top...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 4/23/22 – Main Slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 4/23/22 - Main Slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Noah Syndergaard FD - P 10200 DK - SP 8600 Opponent - BAL (Spenser Watkins) Park - LAAFD - 36.73 DK - 18.87 Ok, the good news first. Syndergaard is a huge favorite in this game, coming in at -228 at home, easily the best win odds on the day. He’s facing off against an Orioles team that ranks third-to-last in the league in team wOBA and who strikes out the at the second-highest rate in the league. The matchup and win probability are about as good as it gets. The issue for Thor is that in his first 11 innings this season he’s only struck out five batters and the 1.59 ERA is a bit of smoke and mirrors compared to the 4.13 xFIP. It’s still early of course, but that is a bit concerning. If he’s going to turn it around, from that respect, this is the matchup to do it. Ian Anderson FD - P 9700 DK - SP 9600 Opponent - MIA (Elieser Hernandez) Park - ATLFD - 35.38 DK - 18.23 Anderson is another odd case here. He’s coming off a couple of solid seasons with xFIPs under 4.00 and an almost a K-per-inning strikeout rate. And he’s facing a mediocre Marlins offense that doesn’t do all that much particularly well. Plus, Anderson is a -169 home favorite, one of the better implied win odds on the day. But he’s also struggled to start this season, striking out only eight and walking six in the first eight innings. It’s an issue for sure, but he has a track record that would suggest this won’t last. Catcher/First Base Matt Olson FD - 1B 3800 DK - 1B 4500 Opponent - MIA (Elieser Hernandez) Park - ATLFD - 13.62 DK - 10.14 Bringing Matt Olson on board in the off-season is already looking like the right choice for the Braves with the first basemen rocking a 1.100+ OPS through the first couple weeks of the season and walking more than he’s striking out. Sure, the .486 isn’t anywhere close to sustainable, but the patience at the plate should mitigate the regression there. Elieser Hernandez has some K stuff in his repertoire, but he struggled with control at times as well. The Braves are in a good spot on Saturday’s slate and Olson is coming a bit too cheap. Jared Walsh FD - 1B 3600...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 4/22/22 – Main Slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 4/22/22 - Main Slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Tarik Skubal FD 7900 DK 8600 Opponent - COL (Antonio Senzatela) Park - DETFD - 33.32 DK - 17.84 Skubal started to realize some of his prospect potential last season and that’s been able to carryover early on into this campaign. Through his first two outings the young lefty has a 10:1 K:BB rate and has looked excellent to start the season. Getting the Rockies out of Coors is a huge advantage here and Skubal is coming in as a -141 home favorite with the over/under sitting at 8. That gives the Rockies one of the lowest implied run lines of the day and Skubal is coming cheap enough on both sites. Running him in cash would give us a lot of flexibility with bats. Reid Detmers FD 6700 DK 7700 Opponent - BAL (Bruce Zimmermann) Park - BALFD - 29.9 DK - 15.24 Detmers is coming as one of the biggest moneyline favorites on the day at -187 and it’s for pretty good reason considering the matchup. The Orioles are one of the worst offenses in the league, ranking 28th in team wOBA so far this season while striking out 27% of the time, the second-most in the league. This lines up real well for the the young lefty Detmers who’s struck out close to a batter an inning through his first 28 major league innings. It’s a bit speculative for sure, but he’s coming so cheap I think we can easily take the risk here considering the matchup and the K upside. Strongly consider Justin Verlander (FD $10500 DK $10500) on both sites. He’s a -172 home favorite though draws a tougher matchup against the Blue Jays. Catcher/First Base Darin Ruf FD 2600 DK 2400 Opponent - WSH (Patrick Corbin) Park - WSHFD - 12.59 DK - 9.46 It sure doesn’t look like we are ever going to get a return to the Patrick Corbin of 2018 and 2019. That guy hasn’t been around for a while and he’s struggled to start this season as well with a 4.79 xFIP, a load of walks, and a K-rate below his career averages. Ruf has stunk so far this year, but this is a guy who’s crushed lefty pitching in his shorter career. He has a .392 wOBA, 150 wRC+ and .927 OPS against southpaws. Run should hit second in the lineup with the lefty on the...