DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 5/9/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 5/9/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Carlos Rodón FD - P 11100 DK - SP 10000 Opponent - COL (Austin Gomber) Park - SF FD - 39.91 DK - 21.93 The fact that Rodon gave up three hits and two earned runs and that was his worst start of this young season says everything about how elite he has been in 2022. In fact, he has yet to allow more than three hits in a start and has allowed just five total earned runs through five starts(1.55 ERA/2.72 xFIP) with a league-leading 37% K rate. The matchup is a tough one against the Rockies who are a Top 10 scoring offense but a lot of their stats come at home in Coors as they have a wOBA that is 50 points higher than on the road. Rodon is our top projected pitcher(raw points) on this slate and in play in all formats. Brandon Woodruff FD - P 10200 DK - SP 9300 Opponent - CIN (Luis Castillo) Park - CIN FD - 39.94 DK - 21.71 There have been some ups and downs for Woodruff to start the 2022 season but he is an elite starting pitcher who is underpriced on both sites in this elite matchup. The Brewers open as -180 favorites in this game against the Reds who rank near the bottom of every hitting stat(.272 wOBA, 70 wRC+) including the 2nd worst K rate(26.5%) which Woodruff exposed for 12 K's in his last start. All things considered, Woodruff is our top projected PTS/$ pitcher on this slate. Also Consider: Paul Blackburn(OAK) as a value option on both sites who is having a terrific start to the year with a 2.22 ERA and equally impressive 2.49 XFIP Catcher/First Base Ty France FD - 1B 3700 DK - 1B 4200 Opponent - PHI (Ranger Suárez) Park - SEA FD - 13.76 DK - 10.49 The Mariners have fallen three games below .500 on the season but still have an above-average offense and draw a plus matchup on Monday. Ty France is in the midst of a breakout season as he enters Monday with .324/.392/.486 slash line with five home runs and 21 RBI. He faces off against Ranger Suarez who has given up 5+ hits in four of five starts and has struggled mightily against righties giving up a .415 wOBA and all four of his home runs. France is my top play at the...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 5/7/22 – All Day
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 5/7/22 - All Day Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Editor’s Note: Some of these plays will be the same as yesterday’s because of the sheer number of postponements that went down in baseball on Friday. Gerrit Cole FD - P 11000 DK - SP 8800 Opponent - TEX (Dane Dunning) Park - NYYFD - 40.66 DK - 23.22 Cole has the best win odds on the day, sitting at -212 at home against the Rangers. He hasn’t been quite as lights out as in other years though he’s still striking out more than 10 batters per nine. But the xFIP is up some and so are the walks. I don’t think there are crazy reasons for concern here, and Vegas doesn’t seem all that worried about it, but it at least warrants mentioning. Cole isn’t going to crush you on the price for either site and I expect he’ll be one of the more popular plays here. Max Scherzer FD - P 10800 DK - SP 10000 Opponent - PHI (Zach Eflin) Park - PHIFD - 37.52 DK - 21.16 It’s not a necessity, but I think we are going to want to go double expensive with our arms on this slate considering there are some real aces taking the mound on Friday. Scherzer has been electric once again this season, striking out more than 12 batters per nine and rocking a 2.61 xFIP. He’s one of the reasons the Mets have been so good this year and he comes in as a -140 road favorite against the Phillies with a 7 over/under. It’s not the best matchup on the slate, but Scherzer is arguably the best pitcher overall so it makes it a bit easier to stomach. Logan Webb (FD $9200 DK $9600) is interesting here. He’s a -149 home favorite against the Cardinals and gets to go in one of the best parks for pitchers. Sonny Gray (FD $8900 DK $7700) is a big home favorite against the lowly A’s and though he’s struggled this season is almost too good a bargain on DK to pass up. Catcher/First Base Max Muncy FD 3000 DK 4600 Opponent - CHC (Drew Smyly) Park - CHCFD - 12.54 DK - 9.27 We’re going to have some Dodgers on this list today, especially for the first leg of the doubleheader against the Cubs. Muncy is having a weird season in that he’s walking at an elite rate (19%)...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 5/6/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 5/6/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Gerrit Cole FD 10000 DK 9700 Opponent - TEX (Glenn Otto) Park - TEXFD - 48.38 DK - 27.56 Cole has the best win odds on the day, sitting at -212 at home against the Rangers. He hasn’t been quite as lights out as in other years though he’s still striking out more than 10 batters per nine. But the xFIP is up some and so are the walks. I don’t think there are crazy reasons for concern here, and Vegas doesn’t seem all that worried about it, but it at least warrants mentioning. Cole isn’t going to crush you on the price for either site and I expect he’ll be one of the more popular plays here. Max Scherzer FD 10800 DK 10500 Opponent - PHI (Kyle Gibson) Park - PHIFD - 41.88 DK - 23.57 It’s not a necessity, but I think we are going to want to go double expensive with our arms on this slate considering there are some real aces taking the mound on Friday. Scherzer has been electric once again this season, striking out more than 12 batters per nine and rocking a 2.61 xFIP. He’s one of the reasons the Mets have been so good this year and he comes in as a -140 road favorite against the Phillies with a 7 over/under. It’s not the best matchup on the slate, but Scherzer is arguably the best pitcher overall so it makes it a bit easier to stomach. Catcher/First Base Christian Walker FD 2400 DK 3300 Opponent - COL (Chad Kuhl) Park - COLFD - 10.15 DK - 7.69 We don’t usually go super cheap at first base, but we have a couple of expensive arms in great spots today so savings with the hitters is going to take precedence. Walker already has six home runs on the season and is on the way to the best power numbers of his career. He’s also walking 10% of the time and getting by despite the .133 BABIP being about as bad as it gets. I think some positive regression in that department and we are buying way low on this guy. Carson Kelly FD 2200 DK 3400 Opponent - COL (Chad Kuhl) Park - COLFD - 9.55 DK - 7.18 To fit a couple of the expensive pitchers into lineups on DraftKings (or one on FanDuel) we are going to need to try and...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 5/5/22(Main Slate)
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 5/5/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Shane McClanahan FD 10100 DK 9700 Opponent - SEA (Robbie Ray) Park - SEA FD - 37.83 DK - 20.38 The days of getting McClanahan as a value pitcher are long gone as he is quickly becoming one of the more dominant ace pitchers in baseball that nobody knows about. He posted a terrific 3.43 ERA/3.23 xFIP last season and has been even better through five starts this year with a 3.00 ERA and a sparkling 1.57 xFIP. That isn't even what stands out the most, however, as he is coming off an 11 strikeout effort against the Twins pushing his K rate up to 39.3% on the season. He now gets a plus matchup against a struggling Mariners team that has lost seven of their last eight games while scoring just 2.4 runs a game and striking out 25% of the time. McClanahan is our top pitcher in all formats tonight. Miles Mikolas FD 9600 DK 8200 Opponent - SF (Logan Webb) Park - SF FD - 29.89 DK - 15.1 Not nearly as dominant from a strikeout and upside perspective but Miles Mikolas has been having a solid start to the year and comes at a nice mid-range price on both sites. After struggling in his first start, he has been near-elite giving up just three earned runs, striking out 24, walking just two, and averaging 39.8 FD/23.3 DK points per game. The matchup doesn't stand out on paper as the Giants rank mid-pack in most categories and strikeout league average(23%) but have lost four of their last five games. Mikolas is my top SP2 on DraftKings and a terrific option on FanDuel in all formats if you are looking to get more bats in your lineup. Catcher/First Base Trey Mancini FD 2700 DK 3000 Opponent - MIN (Chris Archer) Park - MIN FD - 8.64 DK - 6.61 There is no one team that stands out above the rest on this slate but there is one game that stands out with two starting pitchers, more than due for regression, facing off. Let's pick on Chris Archer first as he enters the night with a tidy 2.93 ERA that I do not believe in at all considering the xFIP(4.87) that is nearly two runs higher along with the very unsustainable .200 BABIP against. For the Orioles, I start with Mancini who is at near punt prices on both...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 5/2/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 5/2/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Pablo López FD - P 10500 DK - SP 10000 Opponent - ARI (Zac Gallen) Park - MIA FD - 35.68 DK - 18.95 The Marlins are off to a great start entering Monday three games over .500 and sitting second in the NL East and a large part of that success can be attributed to their starting rotation which has the 7th best ERA in baseball. Leading the way has been Pablo Lopez who has allowed just 13 hits and one earned run over his first four starts and now gets an elite matchup against the D-Backs who rank dead last in wOBA(.238) and wRC+(51). Lopez is our top projected pitcher on Monday and a great play in all formats. Drew Rasmussen FD - P 8200 DK - SP 8300 Opponent - OAK (Daulton Jefferies) Park - OAK FD - 27.45 DK - 14.75 Rasmussen came over from the Brewers last season and was converted to a starter late in the year in hopes he would make the opening day rotation in 2022. He did just that and despite being on a pitch count through four starts has been terrific with a 3.50 ERA and even better 3.12 xFIP and has recorded 18 strikeouts with just four walks. He stands out tonight as he should get a shot at exceeding 90 pitches in a plus matchup against the A's who are below average in both wOBA(.285) and wRC+(95) but what really stands out is their league-high 28.7% K rate. He comes at a terrific price point on this small slate and is my top PTS/$ option on both sites. Catcher/First Base Yandy Díaz FD 2700 DK 4200 Opponent - OAK (Daulton Jefferies) Park - OAK FD - 8.63 DK - 6.58 First things first. There is likely enough value on this slate, even with paying up for pitching, where you can get exposure to Vladdy or Ty France but I am leaning toward the PTS/$ route at first, at least in cash games. Diaz has lacked early in the season with just one home run but has been very consistent hitting .298 with a .444 on-base percentage and 163 wRC+. He has also improved against righties(.362 wOBA/146 wRC+) and faces Jefferies who has given up a ton of hard contact in three of his starts. At this time, Diaz is probably best for cash but the upside is most...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 4/30/22 – All Day
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 4/30/22 - All Day Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Shane Bieber FD - P 10400 DK - SP 8900 Opponent - OAK (Cole Irvin) Park - OAKFD - 45.44 DK - 25.26 Bieber hasn’t dialed it all the way up to start the season, striking out less than a batter an inning through his first 22 innings. That’s way off his career pace, but it’s still early in the season and I’m not all that worried about this ace. The velocity is down some which is a bit concerning though, again, it’s early the year and the colder weather can sometimes have this effect. I still like him as a -151 road favorite against the A’s with the run line at a paltry 6.5. Because he hasn’t been lights out to start the season, the price is down some on DraftKings. Gerrit Cole FD - P 9800 DK - SP 10000 Opponent - KC (Carlos Hernández) Park - KCFD - 43.32 DK - 24.46 Cole had a brutal outing against the Tigers on the 19th and that’s really skewing a lot of his season stats. It’s such an outlier that I’m willing to kind of wipe it off the books considering he had five walks in 1.2 innings, something that just legit never happens for the guy. And even with that he has 21 Ks in 18 innings pitched. He’s still an ace and that should be the case again here on Saturday where he’s a big favorite against a lighter-hitting Royals squad. The price isn’t high enough on FanDuel where he’s likely to be very high owned on the evening slate. Logan Webb (FD $10200 DK $10000) is a huge -240 home favorite today against the Nationals. He’s got the park in his favor and the Nationals are a weaker offense. He just isn’t elite with the K’s. Sean Manaea (FD $9600 DK $8900) draws the Pirates as a -166 road favorite heading into Pittsburgh. Catcher/First Base José Abreu FD 3400 DK 4600 Opponent - LAA (José Suarez) Park - LAAFD - 10.74 DK - 8.13 The White Sox are facing off against the lefty Jose Suarez on Saturday which is good news for their whole offense. Suarez has been decidedly below average for his career, sporting a 5.04 xFIP, while striking out batters less than 20% of the time. Meanwhile, Abreu has been much better against lefties, rocking a .929 OPS and .390 wOBA...