DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 5/28/22 – All Day
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 5/28/22 - All Day Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Joe Musgrove FD - P 10800 DK - SP 9900 Opponent - PIT (JT Brubaker) Park - SDFD - 45.51 DK - 24.57 Musgrove is a -226 favorite going into the game on Saturday, the best money line odds on the day. That’s a good place to start with cash games seeing as how he’ll be facing off against one of the worst offenses in baseball. Musgrove isn’t K-ing guys at the same level he was at last year (of the year before) but he’s still going further into games and the lack of walks makes the innings upside all that much better. I like the DraftKings price better than FanDuel, but he’s in play on both sites. Gerrit Cole FD 10500 DK 10500 Opponent - TB (Corey Kluber) Park - TBFD - 39.93 DK - 22.46 He doesn’t have the same moneyline odds as Musgrove because the matchup against the Rays is much worse. But Cole is still one of the best pitchers on this slate and there aren’t a ton of high-quality arms going on Saturday. The Rays strike out around league average, but Cole is helped by the park here with Tampa really favoring pitchers and mitigating power to all sides. Cole is striking out around 11 batters per nine on the season and has been consistently keeping the walks to right around two per nine. He’s expensive but has been a safe arm with upside over many seasons now. Catcher/First Base Freddie Freeman FD - 1B 3800 DK - 1B 5800 Opponent - ARI (Merrill Kelly) Park - ARIFD - 15.02 DK - 11.32 The Dodgers are getting a typical Freddie Freeman performance this season in that he’s an elite bat and is almost impossible (from an MLB perspective) to get out. He’s got an OPS pushing .900 because he’s tough to K (12%) and walks just as much (12%). He’s been one of the best hitters in baseball over the last few seasons and that didn’t change with him coming to LA. He’s very expensive on DK, but that’s to be expected. José Abreu FD 3000 DK 4300 Opponent - CHC (Keegan Thompson) Park - CHCFD - 10.57 DK - 8 Abreu isn’t putting up the same power numbers as last season when he smacked 30 home runs on his way to an .832 OPS. Things are down a bit this time...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 5/27/22 – Main Slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 5/27/22 - Main Slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Sean Manaea FD 9700 DK 10000 Opponent - PIT (José Quintana) Park - PITFD - 42.08 DK - 22.87 Manaea comes in with the best win odds of the day, facing off against the Pirates as a -200 road favorite. Though the 4.04 ERA might scare you, know that the xFIP is lower and this is a guy striking out more than 10 batters per nine and going more than six innings per outing. The Pirates rank 24th in team wOBA this season and are striking out 24.2% of the time, 8th-most in the league. This is a pretty easy play all things considered. Jon Gray FD 7100 DK 5500 Opponent - OAK (Cole Irvin) Park - OAKFD - 37.04 DK - 19.32 Gray’s DraftKings price is a total joke. He’s so cheap over there that I think he’ll easily be the chalkiest play on the slate for that slight. Gray’s 5.14 ERA is underwhelming, but the 3.72 xFIP is almost 1.5 runs lower. He’s striking out close to a batter an inning on the season and has run into some LOB% issues which look more like bad luck than anything else. Plus, he gets to face off against the Oakland A’s who, along with Detroit, occupy the basement in terms of team offense. They stink. Gray is in a tremendous spot here and will cost almost nothing. Shane Bieber (FD $8600 DK $9000) gets to face off against the aforementioned Tigers’ “offense” and could pile up K’s. Garrett Whitlock (FD $7000 DK $6800) is a heavy favorite over the Orioles. Catcher/First Base Will Smith FD 3400 DK 5300 Opponent - ARI (Madison Bumgarner) Park - ARIFD - 10.45 DK - 7.77 Smith should be hitting cleanup for the Dodgers on Friday when they face off against Madison Bumgarner and there’s a reason this squad has a 5.3 implied run line heading in. Bumgarner isn’t nearly as good as the 2.76 ERA would suggest, striking out fewer than six batters per nine and mostly getting lucky this year. Smith has been better for his career against righties, but the matchup is just too good here considering you can load up on bats with some of the pitching options coming on the cheaper side. Keibert Ruiz FD 3000 DK 4500 Opponent - COL (Austin Gomber) Park - COLFD - 10 DK - 7.67 Ruiz projects to hit second...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 5/26/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 5/26/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Shohei Ohtani FD 9900 DK 8700 Opponent - TOR (Hyun Jin Ryu) Park - TOR FD - 39.01 DK - 21.25 The options up top are not very appealing tonight so let's get things started with Ohtani who easily tops our PTS/$ projections. He has been elite on the mound lately averaging six innings per start while holding opponents to just five earned runs(1.50 ERA), striking out 33% of batters, and averaging 26.3 DK/ FD points per game. I am not in love with the matchup against the Jays but the good news is Shohei is catching them at the right time as they rank bottom three in runs scored, wOBA, and wRC+ since the start of May. All things considered, Ohtani is our top pitcher and in play in all formats. Martin Pérez FD 9700 DK 8300 Opponent - OAK (Frankie Montas) Park - OAK FD - 31.28 DK - 15.55 This is a bit of a flashback season for Perez who has returned to Texas, after stops in Boston and Minnesota and is playing some of the best ball of his career. Since being limited in his first two starts, he has been near elite holding opponents to just three earned runs over his last six starts with a 31:8 strikeout to walk ratio. While the upside is somewhat limited with a lack of K's(20% K rate) he gets a terrific matchup against the A's who are ranked bottom five in runs scored, wOBA, wRC+, and strike out at the 6th highest(24.2%) rate overall. Perez is an excellent mid-tier option to pair with Ohtani and still leaves you lots of salary left for bats. Catcher/First Base C.J. Cron FD 3900 DK 6100 Opponent - WSH (Patrick Corbin) Park - WSH FD - 9.75 DK - 7.33 While it seems wild to start things off with Cron who is the most expensive option at first, he has actually been better than most of the superstars at the position(Vladdy, Freeman) to start the year. Cron leads all first basemen in home runs(12), is 2nd in RBI(33), and 4th in wRC+(151) and while he has been better at Coors he gets an elite matchup that cannot be ignored. He faces lefty Patrick Corbin who enters with an ugly Ag ERA after giving up 10 earned runs over his last two starts and more alarming is the fact he has given up...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 5/23/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 5/23/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Gerrit Cole FD - P 11000 DK - SP 10500 Opponent - BAL (Jordan Lyles) Park - NYY FD - 49.53 DK - 28.1 We didn't see the big upside game from Cole in his last start(5 K's) as we had projected but he was efficient in holding the Orioles to just two runs en route to his fourth win in his last five starts. Cole has been elite during that stretch posting a 1.67 ERA backed up by a 2.22 xFIP and 30% K rate. Tonight he gets another crack at this Orioles lineup that has dropped eight of their last 10 games while scoring under three runs per game. Cole is our top projected pitcher and an elite play in all formats. Tyler Anderson FD 9000 DK 9400 Opponent - WSH (Joan Adon) Park - WSH FD - 33.39 DK - 17.27 There is not a whole lot of value on the mound tonight so a large portion of my salary cap will be going towards pitching. Anderson has seen his price reach a season-high but it is justified as he has started the season 4-0 and outside of one start, has been very consistent holding opponents to two or fewer earned runs in six of his seven appearances. The upside is somewhat limited as he strikes out just 23% of batters while facing a Nats team that K's under 20% as a team but he and the Dodgers are huge -225 favourites against an offence who is struggling to score runs. Fire up Anderson in all formats tonight. Catcher/First Base Anthony Rizzo FD - 1B 3800 DK - 1B 5100 Opponent - BAL (Jordan Lyles) Park - NYY FD - 13.24 DK - 9.95 The Yankees' offence once again gets the best matchup on the board Monday as they face Jordan Lyles for the fourth time already this season tagging him for eight earned runs over the last two meetings. Lyles has also really struggled against lefties giving up a .376 wOBA and four of his five home runs on the season. While Rizzo went into Sunday hitting just .230 on the season, he has been very productive for fantasy with a 147 wRC+, 10 home runs, 25 RBI, and 25 runs scored. He is my top play at first base in all formats tonight. Ty France FD 3400 DK 3700 Opponent - OAK (Zach Logue) Park...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 5/21/22 – All Day
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 5/21/22 - All Day Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Brandon Woodruff FD - P 9500 DK - SP 9500 Opponent - WSH (Patrick Corbin) Park - MILFD - 40.12 DK - 21.65 Don’t let the 5.35 ERA fool you, he’s been much better than this for the season and has run bad in a few key areas. He’s actually still striking out batters at a 29% clip for the season and the 3.39 xFIP is almost two full runs lower than the ERA. He has a BABIP against that’s 50 points higher than his career average and the 61% LOB is well below his career average as well. That’s a lot of bad luck in there and going to keep some folks away. But don’t worry about it. He’s been a solid pitcher this season and the matchup works for cash games as well. The Nationals have been terrible this season. Nestor Cortes FD 10200 DK 10600 Opponent - CHW (Dallas Keuchel) Park - CHWFD - 39.95 DK - 21.84 Well, this guy has been a little piece of awesome this season. Cortes comes into the game with a 1.35 ERA (2.78 xFIP) and has had about as good a 40IP stretch as you’ll see in the majors. The K’s have spiked to over 11 per nine thanks in part to throwing a cutter much more than he ever has in the past. He’s a -214 home favorite against the White Sox, the best money line odds on the day and he’ll almost definitely be one of the chalkier plays for this slate. It makes sense considering what he’s doing on the mound so far this season. Justin Verlander (FD $10800 DK $10300) is looking like a strong option for the evening slate. Catcher/First Base Ji-Man Choi FD 2600 DK 3800 Opponent - BAL (Kyle Bradish) Park - BALFD - 11.08 DK - 8.27 We have to try and find some cheaper options at the plate because there are some superstars we are going to want to pay for later. Choi helps with some of the salary concerns, especially on FanDuel where he’s coming at only $2600. He’s striking out a lot this season (33%) but the 14% walk rate plays and he still has an OPS in the mid-700s. Kyle Bradish does have some K stuff in his bag, which is a bit of a concern, but Choi is significantly better for his career against...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 5/19/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 5/19/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Early Jordan Montgomery FD 8100 DK 7800 Opponent - BAL (Bruce Zimmermann) Park - BAL FD - 34.07 DK - 18.16 We have options on this early slate but with some of the top pitchers in tougher matchups, I am going to lean on Jordan Montgomery as the Yankees are heavy favourites here. He hasn't popped off for one of those slate-breaking performances this season but he has been very consistent holding opponents to two or fewer earned runs in six straight starts while averaging 13.8 DK/25.3 FD points per game. The matchup is what really stands out however, as he faces an Orioles team that is 27th in wOBA and 28th in wRC+ against left-handed pitching while striking out at an ugly 28% rate in the split. All things considered, Monty is my top play on the mound on this early slate. Main Zac Gallen FD 10600 DK 10300 Opponent - CHC (Marcus Stroman) Park - CHC FD - 34.75 DK - 18.19 Gallen is arbitration-eligible after this season and is about to get paid based on his early start to the season. He has been elite with five plus pitches and comes in tied with Pablo Lopez with a league-leading 1.05 ERA and has seen an uptick in K's recently with 16 over his last two starts(27% K rate on the season). He gets a matchup against a below-average Cubs offense that strikes out over 25% of the time against right-handed pitching. Even with the high price, I am on board in all formats. Catcher/First Base Early Hunter Dozier FD 2700 DK 4400 Opponent - CHW (Vince Velasquez) Park - CHW FD - 9.54 DK - 7.25 The early slate picks are going to be heavily tilted towards this White Sox/Royals game as both offences get favourable matchups. At first, I like taking the value with Hunter Dozier who was moved up the lineup at the start of May after a solid start to the season and comes in having got on base in eight of his last nine games. He has been better against lefties but still above-average against righties(108 wRC+) and faces Velasquez who has reverse splits and has given up a .458 wOBA to righties. Dozier is my top PTS/$ option at first on the early slate. Main Ty France FD 3200 DK 3800 Opponent - BOS (Rich Hill) Park - BOS FD - 11.64...