DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 5/30/19 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Mike Minor FD - P 9200 DK - SP 10300 Opponent - KC (Jake Junis) Park - TEX FD - 31.87 DK - 16.56 Minor is an excellent case study of a pitcher who went from being targeted against for stacking to a no doubt ace all in one season. The biggest change was the approach as he is throwing fewer fastballs(49-42%) and more curves(11-16%) and changeups(19-24%) which have generated a 12% and 15% swinging strike rate respectively. Through 11 starts, he has held opponents to two or fewer runs eight times leading a very impressive 2.55 ERA and while the xFIP(4.07) is higher leading us to believe regression is coming, I don't think there is much as his expected stats suggest(.349 SLG/.349 xSLG, .282 wOBA/.288 xwOBA). The matchup also stands out tonight as the Royals have really struggled against lefties with a .277 wOBA(27th), 69 wRC+(28th), and .122 ISO(27th) while striking out 24% of the time. All things considered, Minor is my top pitcher in all formats. Hyun-Jin Ryu FD - P 11000 DK - SP 11200 Opponent - NYM (Jason Vargas) Park - LAD FD - 42.73 DK - 23.55 Ryu has been one of the most efficient pitchers in baseball this season leading the league with an elite 1.65 ERA that is also backed up by a tidy 2.81 xFIP. While we usually associate the Dodgers with "pitch count risk", that just hasn't been the case for Ryu who is averaging 96 pitches and seven innings per start(excluding the start he was pulled with a groin injury). The Mets have been better against left-handed pitching(.335 wOBA, 113 wRC+) but Pete Alonso has cooled off as of late and Brandon Nimmo is on the 10-day IL. Those are two of the leaders in the split. The Dodgers open as -225 home favorites in this one and Ryu is most definitely in play in all formats. Also Consider: Chris Sale(BOS) as a GPP pivot in a tougher matchup in Yankee Stadium. The good news is that he has found his rhythm and has posted a 2.44 ERA/2.81 xFIP with a 41.8% K rate over his last seven starts. Catcher/First Base Roberto Perez FD - C 2500 DK - C 3700 Opponent - CHW (Manny Banuelos) Park - CHW FD - 9.85 DK - 7.44 The Indians are in a terrific spot tonight facing Manny Banuelos who has really struggled lately. He has...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 5/29/19 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Blake Snell FD - P 11800 DK - SP 11300 Opponent - TOR (Trent Thornton) Park - TB FD - 44.75 DK - 25.31 Snell stumbled a bit when he returned from a foot injury allowing nine earned runs to the Royals across two start but since then has been back to his elite self. He has allowed just 15 hits and four earned runs in his last four starts(24.1 IP) while striking out 37(40.2%) and walking just six(6.5%). Even with those couple bad starts, he still sits with a 3.07 ERA and much better 2.58 xFIP and while the wOBA against(.268) is very impressive, the xwOBA(.242) is even better. To top it off, he gets an elite matchup tonight vs. a Blue Jays team that ranks 27th in wOBA(.277) and wRC+(71) against left-handed pitching with a 26% K rate. Paying up for pitching has been a dicey proposition this season but I am fully confident in Snell in this spot and he is easily my top pitcher in all formats. Madison Bumgarner FD - P 9700 DK - SP 9900 Opponent - MIA (Pablo Lopez) Park - MIA FD - 35.59 DK - 18.48 He doesn't exactly have the best offense behind him which has limited his wins in 2019but outside of that he has been a very consistent fantasy producer. He has gone at least 5 2/3 innings in each of his 11 starts, is striking out over a batter per inning(25%) and walking just 4.6% of batters. Like Snell, MadBum also gets a plus matchup against a team who struggles against lefties ranking dead last in wOBA(.259) and wRC+(62) in the split. The only concern here is that the Marlins K much less(20%) against southpaws but all things considered, Bumgarner is my top PTS/$ value at pitcher on this slate. Catcher/First Base Rhys Hoskins FD - 1B 4400 DK - 1B 4900 Opponent - STL (Genesis Cabrera) Park - PHI FD - 14.2 DK - 10.58 The Phillies are in a great spot tonight as they will be facing rookie Genesis Cabrera making his major-league debut. Never heard the name? There is likely a reason as he posted a 4.00+ ERA through AA, and through seven starts(nine appearances) in AAA this season he has posted a 6.35 ERA/6.37 xFIP while walking over 10% of batters he faces. That won't equate well in the majors and especially not against a Phillies...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 5/28/19 Coming off a big Memorial Day week, we *start* the week on a Tuesday with a full slate of evening MLB action for FanDuel and DraftKings. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below.START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! The most important thing prior to grinding DFS is checking the weather. That happens to be a nightmare on this slate, as half the schedule has rain in the forecast. The home teams we need to keep an eye on are New York, Minnesota, Boston, Baltimore, Colorado and Philadelphia. The Rockies game is one you'll definitely have to monitor and you'll see why with our picks.PitchersRich Hill FD - P 8800 DK - SP 10800 Opponent - NYM (Steven Matz) Park - LADFD - 35.54 DK - 19.54While this DraftKings price is a bit lofty, it's nearly impossible to fade Hill on FanDuel at $8,300. We're talking about a guy who owns a 2.67 ERA and 1.07 WHIP this season while posting a 2.96 ERA and 1.05 WHIP dating back to the beginning of 2015. That simply means he's one of the best arms in baseball, as he also has a K rate north of 30 percent in that four-year span. Getting to face the Mets should only help those gaudy numbers, with New York ranking 22nd in K rate and 18th in runs scored. That's why Hill enters this matchup as a -210 favorite with the Mets projected for only three runs. Lucas Giolito FD - P 9400 DK - SP 9900 Opponent - KC (Brad Keller) Park - CHWFD - 34.04 DK - 17.02Giolito is actually a guy who I have not been able to figure out since his call-up but it truly appears that he's in the midst of a breakout season. In fact, Giolito is posting a 1.25 ERA and 0.86 WHIP over his last six starts while striking out 41 batters across 36 innings of action. That's obviously absurd production and it's clear that he's really found his stride. Getting to face Kansas City shouldn't slow down those elite numbers, with the Royals ranked 19th in runs scored, 26th in xSLG and 20th in both OPS and xwOBA. Vegas understands all of these statistics, as they have Giolito as a -170 favorite in this matchup. Trevor Richards (FD $7500 DK $8200) is super cheap on both sites and has a spectacular matchup against a Giants' offense who ranks bottom-three in nearly every offensive statistic. Catcher/First BaseJesus Aguilar FD - 1B 2400 DK - 1B 2900 Opponent -...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday, Memorial Day 5/27/19 It's Memorial Day and that means afternoon baseball on the schedule. We got a full slate of games for FanDuel and DraftKings with some big arms plus bats primed for some runs. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Max Scherzer FD - P 11800 DK - SP 11100 Opponent - MIA (Jose Urena) Park - WSHFD - 48.3 DK - 27.34 Max Scherzer continues his dominant ways on the mound, striking out more than 12 batters per nine this season, his third straight year around that number and limiting the walks with a 6:1 K:BB ratio. Simply put, he’s among the very best pitchers in the game and priced accordingly. On Monday, paying top dollar is the way to go. He’s facing a Marlins’ team that easily ranks dead last in wOBA against righties this season (.270) and strikes out 26% of the time in that split. They are are the worst offense in the league and that isn’t likely to turn around any time soon. Scherzer opens as a -280 favorites, the best money line win odds on the day, and it’s for good reason. Pay up for Max here and find the savings somewhere else in your lineup. Luis Castillo FD - P 9600 DK - SP 10700 Opponent - PIT (Nick Kingham) Park - CINFD - 39.49 DK - 21.71 Castillo is making something of a leap this season, taking his K% from 23% in 2018 to over 30% this season. It’s come at the expense of him walking a few more batters, but overall he’s putting up ace-level numbers for Cincinnati. The 3.21 xFIP is about a run higher than the 2.38 ERA but it’s not anything close to a concern here. He’ll face a rather light-hitting Pirates order that sits in the bottom third against righties this season. You do have to get through Polanco and Bell around the top of the order, but their talent falls precipitously as you work your way down the lineup. Castillo is the second-highest win odds on the day as a -205 home favorite. Main slate consideration For the evening slate, Clayton Kershaw (FD $10000 DK $10200) is looking like the play against a completely compromised Mets’ team. Catcher/First Base Joey Votto FD - 1B 2900 DK - 1B 3700 Opponent - PIT (Nick Kingham) Park - CINFD - 13.95 DK - 10.45 I think it’s pretty safe to say the power is all but a...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 5/26/19Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below.START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW!The first thing we need to check before any slate is the weather and we have plenty of questionable forecasts here. In fact, we need to key in on Washington, Pittsburgh, Chicago, San Francisco, Kansas City and Los Angeles. All of those teams have rain projected in the forecast and you need to keep an eye on that prior to lineup lock. PitchersZack Wheeler FD - P 9500 DK - SP 8600 Opponent - DET (Spencer Turnbull) Park - NYMFD - 38.91 DK - 20.56Wheeler hasn't been the most consistent pitcher for the Mets this season but we absolutely love him against an offense like this. Let's start with Wheeler, as his 4.74 ERA and 1.37 WHIP is not indicative of how good he's been. In fact, Wheeler is posting a .299 xwOBA, 3.20 FIP and 26 percent K rate. Those numbers tell us that he has some positive regression headed his way and facing the Tigers is a good way to start that. So far this season, Detroit ranks 29th in both K rate and runs scored while ranking 28th in wOBA. That's why Wheeler enters this game as a -190 favorite. Kenta Maeda FD - P 9200 DK - SP 9500 Opponent - PIT (Chris Archer) Park - PITFD - 33.53 DK - 17.96Maeda is personally one of my favorite pitchers in the league and he's hard to fade in a stellar matchup like this. The Pirates are simply one of the best matchups in baseball, with Pittsburgh sitting 27th in runs scored and 22nd in wOBA. That's really no surprise when you consider the fact that PNC is one of the best pitcher's parks in the Majors. That means you always have to target pitchers against the Pirates, especially guys like Maeda. In three of his last four starts, Maeda hasn't allowed a single run while collecting 27 Ks across 23.2 innings. You'll want to tread cautiously since he is coming back off of the IL here, but the Dodgers were already cautious with him, so I doubt it changes too much. Still, he isn't going to be as safe as Wheeler.Jack Flaherty has been inconsistent so far this season but he has too much potential to be priced at just $8,100 on FanDuel. Catcher/First BaseMax Muncy FD - 1B 3400 DK - 1B/2B 4600 Opponent - PIT (Chris Archer) Park - PITFD - 12.48 DK - 9.29Muncy has been making minced meat of righties since joining the...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 5/25/19 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Hyun-Jin Ryu FD 11000 DK 11200 Opponent - PIT (Joe Musgrove) Park - PIT FD - 39.61 DK - 21.77 There's no way to put this delicately: Hyun-Jin Ryu is now one of the best pitchers in the Major Leagues. It's very rare to find a pitcher who can walk fewer than a single batter per 9 innings, and even more rare to find one that can pair that with striking out more than a batter per inning. Ryu is doing both right now. And even with the Dodgers conservative approach, this hyper-efficient approach is letting him stay in games for 6.5 innings per start as well. This also happens to be basically a perfect match-up for his skill set as well, with the Pirates holding the league's 3rd lowest wOBA vs. left handed pitching this season thanks to their league lowest 5% walk rate. Ryu should cruise here once again. Tyler Skaggs FD 7400 DK 7300 Opponent - TEX (Mike Minor) Park - TEX FD - 29.78 DK - 15.58 So let's get one thing out of the way before we even write these guys up. This is a tough slate to find a second pitcher on. Instead of paying more for only slightly better options, our system is throwing up its hands and suggesting that we should potentially chase solid pitchers in very difficult circumstances. We'll start with Skaggs. He's undoubtedly been worse this season, and after last year's mini-breakout Angels fans have to be at least a little bit disappointed. Still, he's pitched just 40 innings so far this season, and most of his bad ERA can be attributed to one truly terrible start against Detroit. He actually managed these Rangers well in the one time they faced this season, putting together 6.1 innings of 1 ER ball on 5 Ks and 1 BB. You don't want to trust a one game sample any more than you want to trust a 40 IP sample, but it's something. Pitching in Texas is different than pitching in Anaheim, of course, and this is far from a 'safe' play. But at these prices? You can make a case for it. Kyle Freeland FD 6000 DK 5500 Opponent - BAL (Andrew Cashner) Park - BAL FD - 29.6 DK - 15.09 And then there's Freeland. After a season where Freeland dodged bullets like Neo in the Matrix to a 17-7 record and a 2.85...