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DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 6/5/19

Posted by on Jun 4, 2019 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, DraftKings MLB Picks, FanDuel MLB Picks, featured, News | 0 comments

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 6/5/19 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Charlie Morton FD - P 10400 DK - SP 11600 Opponent - DET (Spencer Turnbull) Park - DET FD - 38.04 DK - 21.26 Morton has been a huge contributor to the Rays leading the league with an outstanding 2.64 rotation ERA this season. Outside of one start against Boston, he has been extremely consistent holding opponents to two or fewer earned runs in 10 of his 12 starts and sits with a 2.54 ERA on the season with a 3.41 xFIP to back it up. After eight straight seasons posting a sub 20% K rate, he has seen an uptick in five straight years and sits with a career-high 30.4% K rate and 12.6% swinging strike rate this season. He now gets an elite matchup against a Tigers team that has been much worse against righties and have been better than only the Marlins in wOBA(.293), wRC+(74), and ISO(.150) and have an ugly 26.4% K rate in the splits and have struck out 28% of the time over the past seven days. Morton is my top pitcher in all formats. James Paxton FD - P 10000 DK - SP 11300 Opponent - TOR (Trent Thornton) Park - TOR FD - 40.56 DK - 22.88 Paxton was on a pitch count in his return from injury in his last start but looked like peak Paxton tossing four no-hit innings while striking out seven and still managed to tally 33 FD/21.8 DK points. With that performance, I fully expect him to get at least 85+ pitches tonight and he gets another premium matchup against a Jays team that has been bad overall but slightly worse against lefties with a .283 wOBA, 75 wRC+, .163 ISO, and 25.5% K rate. Paxton also throws his fastball 64% of the time with a 12.6% swinging strike while the Jays rank dead last against fastballs to this point in the season. Unless there is word of another pitch count, I think we can target Paxton in all formats and even if there is a pitch count I will be targeting in GPP formats in this spot. Brad Peacock FD - P 8600 DK - SP 9600 Opponent - SEA (Mike Leake) Park - SEA FD - 28.92 DK - 15.49 After finishing the 2017 season with 21 starts in his last 22 outings with an impressive 3.27 ERA/3.67 xFIP, Peacock was sent back to the pen in 2018...

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DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday, 6/4/19

Posted by on Jun 4, 2019 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, DraftKings MLB Picks, FanDuel MLB Picks, featured | 0 comments

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 6/4/19 After a silly four-game slate on Monday, we get back to a full schedule for Tuesday in baseball. There are some aces, some hitters' ballparks and everything else in between. Let's get to some plays for FanDuel and DraftKings. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below.START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quick weather update: We have rain forecasted all across the country and there's a lot of games we're going to need to key in on. The teams/cities we need to focus on are Milwaukee, Chicago, St.Louis, Cleveland, Detroit and Kansas City. The good news is that summer is right around the corner and we won't have to worry about this crap then. PitchersStephen Strasburg FD - P 10600 DK - SP 11500 Opponent - CHW (Reynaldo Lopez) Park - WSHFD - 39.82 DK - 21.65Can we start calling Strasburg one of the best pitcher's in the league? This guy just continues to do work and he might be in the midst of the best season of his career. In fact, the Washington righty is pitching to a 3.19 ERA and 0.99 WHIP while striking out 98 batters across 79 innings. That K rate makes him one of the most dangerous arms in the league, especially against a White Sox team who has the worst K rate in the Majors dating back to last season. Not to mention, Chicago ranks 22nd in runs scored, 21st in wOBA and 24th in SLG while being without a DH in an NL park. That's why Strasburg enters this matchup as a -270 favorite with the White Sox projected for only 3.5 runs. Noah Syndergaard FD - P 9000 DK - SP 9600 Opponent - SF (Madison Bumgarner) Park - NYMFD - 35.4 DK - 18.73The inconsistency of Syndergaard will drive any fantasy owner mad but it's hard to overlook his upside. We're talking about a guy who has a 2.78 career FIP to match a beautiful 27 percent K rate. While his season-long numbers are not close to that, his 3.63 xFIP and .278 xwOBA indicates that he has some positive regression headed his way. That sort of upside is all we can ask for, especially when he gets to face a dreadful offense like the Giants. So far this season, San Francisco ranks 28th in OPS, 27th in runs scored and 25th in xwOBA. Vegas thinks this will be a pitcher's duel too, as Syndergaard enters this matchup as a -150 favorite with a total of 7.  We also really like Chris...

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DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday, 6/3/19

Posted by on Jun 2, 2019 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, DraftKings MLB Picks, FanDuel MLB Picks, featured, News | 0 comments

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday, 6/3/19 Monday's a weird one with only three games on the slate. That, coupled with the fact that the slate doesn't even start until 9:40 EST and we definitely have a different animal on our hands here. But we've got you covered with some picks for this three-gamer. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Aaron Nola FD - P 9600 DK - SP 9600 Opponent - SD (Eric Lauer) Park - SDFD - 35.21 DK - 18.98 After struggling some to start the season, Nola has rounded back into ace-like form in the short term. In five of his last seven games he’s allowed only one earned run in each (the other two games he allowed three). That’s been good for 40 IP, 11 ERs, and 46Ks over that stretch. On Monday, he’ll face a Padres team striking out 27% of the time against righties on the season and is chucking in one of the best pitchers’ parks around. He’s a -126 road favorite on the ultra-short main slate of games and I suspect he’s also the chalk arm. It makes sense considering the peripherals and the matchup. Walker Buehler FD - P 10400 DK - SP 8900 Opponent - ARI (Robbie Ray) Park - ARIFD - 34.87 DK - 19.03 After a mediocre start to the season, Buehler looked like he had turned a corner with four straight starts of six or more innings and a 26:3 K:BB ratio in that time. But then he had some trouble against the Mets in his last start, going five innings and allowing five earned runs thanks to a couple of dingers. He’ll look to right the ship on Monday against the Diamondbacks. Arizona is right around an average team this season against righties and strike out 23% of the time in that split. Considering the lack of options on this three-gamer, we might just have to pay the piper and roster the two most expensive arms. Luckily both Nola and Buehler can flash ace stuff and the drop off after these two guys is stark. Catcher/First Base Daniel Vogelbach FD - 1B 3700 DK - 1B 4300 Opponent - HOU (Corbin Martin) Park - SEAFD - 11.29 DK - 8.45 Edwin Encarnacion FD - 1B 3900 DK - 1B 4400 Opponent - HOU (Corbin Martin) Park - SEAFD - 11.3 DK - 8.41 The 26 year-old Vogelbach has already put together a *career* year and it’s barely even June. The dude...

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DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 6/2/19

Posted by on Jun 1, 2019 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, DraftKings MLB Picks, FanDuel MLB Picks, featured | 0 comments

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 6/2/19Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below.START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! We've had a pretty light weather week all things considered but we do have some concerns here. There are a few games we do need to focus in on, with Pittsburgh, Texas, Chicago, New York and Baltimore all having rain in the forecast. That's scary for DFS owners but luckily, all of the games start within three hours of one another. PitchersRich Hill FD - P 8900 DK - SP 9600 Opponent - PHI (Nick Pivetta) Park - LADFD - 33.07 DK - 18.08This price really shocks me and it's hard to understand why these DFS sites continue to undervalue Hill. We're talking about one of the best arms in the Majors, with Hill pitching to a 2.96 ERA and 1.05 WHIP since 2015. That's nearly identical to his numbers for this year and it's hard to argue with his 30 percent K rate in that span. That obviously puts him in play and it's hard to understand why he remains a four-figure player. Vegas appears to love Hill too, as they have him as a -190 favorite with Philly projected for only four runs.Lucas Giolito FD - P 10600 DK - SP 11100 Opponent - CLE (Zach Plesac) Park - CHWFD - 34.32 DK - 17.32Giolito was a gas can last season but he's truly developed into one of the best pitchers in the league this season. What's really impressive is his recent form, with Giolito posting a 1.24 ERA and 0.69 WHIP over his last five starts while striking out 39 batters across 36.1 innings. That shows us that he's truly taken the next step in his game and we love him against the Indians. So far this season, Cleveland ranks 25th in scoring and 26th in both OPS and wOBA. Post hype prospects for the win, it seems. Gerrit Cole has one of the best K rates in Major League history and is worth considering, despite the high price tag and tough matchup against the A's. Catcher/First BaseDaniel Murphy FD - 1B 3900 DK - 1B 4900 Opponent - TOR (Aaron Sanchez) Park - COLFD - 14.81 DK - 11.37The Rockies are at home and that means we're getting at least a few of these guys into our article. We really like Murphy with the platoon advantage in his favor, with the lefty posting an OPS north of .900 against righties dating back to 2016. While he did get off to a slow start this season, recent results...

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DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 6/1/19

Posted by on May 31, 2019 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, DraftKings MLB Picks, FanDuel MLB Picks, featured, News, Uncategorized | 0 comments

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 6/1/19 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Jacob deGrom FD - P 9900 DK - SP 9400 Opponent - ARI (Zack Greinke) Park - ARI FD - 40.24 DK - 22.93 Justin Verlander FD - P 11900 DK - SP 11900 Opponent - OAK (Brett Anderson) Park - OAK FD - 41.09 DK - 23.09 If two DFS plays have ever been cut from such a similar cloth, it doesn't exactly spring to mind. Let's give you the tale of the tape. This year, Justin Verlander has averaged 6.58 innings pitched per start with a 10.78 K/9 and a 1.93 BB/9. His xFIP is 3.62 thanks to generating ground balls on just 35.7% of the balls put into play against him. Jacob deGrom has averaged 5.72 IP per start with 11 K/9 and a 2.57 BB/9, but his xFIP is slightly lower at 3.40 thanks to a slightly higher 43.3% ground ball rate. He's arguably the slightly better pitcher overall, but he's not going as deep into games. And then there's match-ups. The D-Backs have a .313 wOBA against righties this season, and the A's trail with a .312 wOBA. The Diamondbacks strike out slightly more with a 23.0% K rate as opposed to the A's 20.2%. Things slightly point deGrom here, but the extra distance Verlander has been able to go really does matter for both the raw points and the likelihood of snagging a win. We've made it this far and not discussed their respective prices, though. By now you've realized that when two plays are this similar, price is going to often win the day. I'll go ahead and take deGrom and the savings, but I wouldn't mind running both on DraftKings. Zack Greinke FD - P 10000 DK - SP 9200 Opponent - NYM (Jacob deGrom) Park - ARI FD - 37.15 DK - 20.18 You're pretty unlikely to run Greinke alongside deGrom, but is this really a crazy play for big tournies? The 35 year old Greinke is pretty much the same (excellent) pitcher he's been over the last two seasons. The K's are down slightly, but he's walking exactly no one, and he's going deep into games as a result. His 3.37 xFIP is actually better than his career numbers, and he just looks terrific. And then there's his match-up. The Mets own the league's 19th best wOBA against righties with the 12th highest strikeout rate, which puts them squarely in the "solid match-up"...

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FanDuel and DraftKings MBL Picks for Friday, 5/31/19

Posted by on May 31, 2019 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, DraftKings MLB Picks, FanDuel MLB Picks, featured | 0 comments

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 5/31/19Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below.START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW!If you've been reading my articles, you may know that I am a Rockies fan. That was by no means my motivation here, as I maintain a totally unbiased view for fantasy purposes. What we can't overlook is the fact that Colorado is projected for nearly eight runs here. Not only is that the highest projection of the season, it actually doubles many of the other team totals on this slate. That says a lot about how much we like the Rockies and picking the right ones will be key in a slate like this. PitchersJoey Lucchesi FD - P 7600 DK - SP 8800 Opponent - MIA (Caleb Smith) Park - SDFD - 32.04 DK - 16.83This FanDuel price is hard to understand, considering on we Lucchesi should be closer to a $10,000 value. Vegas completely agrees with us, making the southpaw a -160 favorite in a game that has a total of 7. That alone makes him a great bet for a quality start, as he should cruise right through this lineup. So far this season, the Marlins rank last in wOBA, xwOBA, xSLG, OPS and runs scored. Lucchesi appears to be finding his form too, posting a 0.68 WHIP over his last three starts while striking out 21 batters across 19 innings. Caleb Smith FD - P 9800 DK - SP 9700 Opponent - SD (Joey Lucchesi) Park - SDFD - 36.75 DK - 19.86It's rare for us to recommend two pitchers from the same game but we absolutely love both of these guys. Before an ugly start against the Nationals in his most recent outing, Smith was arguably the best pitcher in the NL. In fact, Smith pitched to a 2.38 ERA and 0.89 WHIP over his first nine starts while striking out 71 batters across 53 innings. That's ridiculous and he should have no problem against an offense like this. Not only does San Diego rank 25th in runs scored, they also sit 27th in K rate and 28th in xwOBA. Don't forget about Trevor Bauer, who has a 30 percent K rate dating back to last season and faces a White Sox team who has the worst strikeout rate in the Majors in that same span. Catcher/First BaseDaniel Murphy FD - 1B 3900 DK - 1B 4800 Opponent - TOR (Edwin Jackson) Park - COLFD - 15.35 DK - 11.79Alright, here's the start of it and you'll see a lot more Rockies coming. Let's kick...

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