DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 6/11/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 6/11/19 Tuesday's MLB slate is lining up to be an interesting one especially in making decisions around the pitchers' slots. But there's also a game in Coors to contend with as well as some offenses in great spots against weaker arms. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below.START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW!PitchersChris Paddack FD - P 9300 DK - SP 10600 Opponent - SF (Tyler Beede) Park - SFFD - 35.04 DK - 19.02While Paddack isn't necessarily a good value on DraftKings, we absolutely love him on FanDuel. To show the disparity between the two sites, DK has him as their highest-priced pitcher while FanDuel has him ranked sixth among pitchers. We think he should be somewhere in between but he's really hard to fade in this matchup. Pitching at Oracle Park is huge in itself but Paddack also gets to face a Giants team who ranks 26th in wOBA, 27th in OPS and 28th in runs scored. This San Diego righty was arguably the best pitcher in the league across his first seven starts too, pitching to a 1.55 ERA and 0.69 WHIP while striking out 46 batters across 40.2 innings. His last three starts haven't been as impressive but we can excuse them because they were all tough matchups. James Paxton FD - P 9400 DK - SP 10100 Opponent - NYM (Zack Wheeler) Park - NYYFD - 38.5 DK - 21.55Paxton is one of the most injury-prone pitchers in the league but he's tough to fade whenever he takes the mound. Dating back to 2017, Paxton is posting a 3.36 ERA and 1.11 WHIP while providing a K rate north of 30 percent. That's simply elite production and it's pretty much on par with what he's been doing this season. Many people were concerned about Paxton pitching in Yankee Stadium this season but his 0.34 ERA and 0.71 WHIP in three home starts should quiet those notions. Facing the Mets is not a matchup to fear either, as they're a league-average offense based on nearly every metric, Catcher/First BaseHowie Kendrick FD - 1B 3000 DK - 1B/3B 5300 Opponent - CHW (Manny Banuelos) Park - CHWFD - 10.89 DK - 8.46This is yet another occasion where we're banking on a guy on one site and not another. This $5,300 price tag on DraftKings shows just how good Kendrick has been, as FanDuel is clearly slow to adjust with their $2,900 price tag. The fact that he's so much more on DK just tells you that he's...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 6/10/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 6/10/19 Can Chris Sale keep up this kind of dominance? Can Darvish survive in Coors? How many Yankees are too many? Tons of questions for Monday's FanDuel and DraftKings' slate of games. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Chris Sale FD - P 11800 DK - SP 10900 Opponent - TEX (Mike Minor) Park - BOSFD - 41.57 DK - 23.86 After struggling mightily to start the season, Sale has rounded back into old, ace-like form over the last couple of months. In fact, through May and the beginning of June Sale has 47.1 IP, 78 Ks, 9 walks and only 12 earned runs (good for a 2.28 ERA). These numbers are about as good as you’ll ever see over this time period and he’s back to being in the discussion for best pitchers in the game (if he ever left). The Rangers are a below average team hitting lefties this season, striking out 27% of the time with a .310 team wOBA in that split. Sale, pitching at home, as a -230 favorite (highest of the day) should have him the chalk pitcher even at the inflated salaries on both sites. Kevin Gausman FD - P 6000 DK - SP 6400 Opponent - PIT (Joe Musgrove) Park - ATLFD - 26.64 DK - 13.86 Dude’s been abysmal the last two starts, allowing 15 ER in just six combined innings. Is now the time to buy super low on the guy? It sure could be. The last two are such an eyesore, but BABIP and LOB% issues were big (not all, but big) reasons for the grizzly lines. Vegas still likes him as a -145 home favorite against the Pirates who are about middle of the road this season against righties. It’s really the price and earlier season performance we’d be buying on with Gausman for Monday. And that’s something of a leap of faith, especially considering the Pirates were part of these last two terrible starts. But coming so cheap on DK and knowing I want to spend up for Sale here does make Gausman worth the risk. Catcher/First Base Michael Chavis FD - 1B 3100 DK - 2B/3B 3800 Opponent - TEX (Mike Minor) Park - BOSFD - 12 DK - 9.19 Sam Travis FD - 1B 2100 DK - 1B/OF 2700 Opponent - TEX (Mike Minor) Park - BOSFD - 0.13 DK - 0.1 Christian Vazquez FD - C 2300 DK - C 3300 Opponent - TEX...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 6/9/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 6/9/19Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below.START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW!The last two days have been the quietest weather days of the season and we are so thankful that Mother Nature is not playing games with us. That's not exactly the case here though, as we have rain forecasted throughout the country. The cities/teams we need to focus in on here are Philly, Milwaukee, Chicago, Detroit and Kansas City. The good news is that all of these teams start within three hours of one another, so be sure to monitor forecasts before submitting lineups. PitchersJake Odorizzi FD - P 9800 DK - SP 10900 Opponent - DET (Ryan Carpenter) Park - DETFD - 37.72 DK - 20.29This guy is not getting the credit he deserves, as he's simply been one of the best pitchers in the AL. That's evident by the fact that the Minnesota righty is pitching to a 1.96 ERA and 0.96 WHIP so far this season. That has led to an 8-2 record, with Odorizzi striking out 70 batters across 64.1 innings. What really makes him tempting here is this matchup though, with Detroit ranked 29th in both wOBA and K rate while ranking dead-last in runs scored. That's why Vegas has Minnesota as a -255 favorite. Odorizzi isn't a flashy name, but he's a very solid play in any format today.Noah Syndergaard FD - P 8400 DK - SP 8900 Opponent - COL (Jeff Hoffman) Park - NYMFD - 36.87 DK - 19.8The inconsistency of Syndergaard makes him a tough pitcher to trust but this drop in price limits the amount of risk. The baseline numbers are not pretty from Syndergaard but the peripherals tell us that he's been very unlucky this season. In fact, Thor is posting a .278 xwOBA which is right in line with his 2.79 career FIP. That doesn't even consider the fact that Syndergaard is providing a 27 percent career K rate, as he simply has some of the best stuff in the Majors. Facing the Rockies when they are on the road is a treat too, with Colorado ranking 28th in road OPS the in each of the last two seasons. Our projection system really likes Madison Bumgarner at home against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Catcher/First BaseJi-Man Choi FD - 1B 2800 DK - 1B 4100 Opponent - BOS (Eduardo Rodriguez) Park - BOSFD - 10.18 DK - 7.67The slugging first baseman has quietly been a productive fantasy producer this season and it's a wonder why his price remains so low....
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 6/8/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 6/8/19 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Early Zack Greinke FD - P 9600 DK - SP 10100 Opponent - TOR (Aaron Sanchez) Park - TOR FD - 36.74 DK - 20.09 Greinke is coming off one of his worst starts of the season(4 IP, 4 ER, 2 K) against the Mets but I have no issue going back to the well as he has been one of the more consistent arms in all of baseball. He has held opponents to three or fewer earned runs in 11 of his last 13 starts for an impressive 3.09 ERA which is backed up an above average 3.47 xFIP. He has given up a home run in three straight and has a 15% HR/FB rate on the season but that doesn't seem sustainable moving forward seeing as he is giving up a very low 86 mph average exit velo(26th among starters) combined with a low 32% hard contact rate. What stands out more than anything here is the matchup against the Jays who have been a bottom-feeding offense all season and have bottom three wOBA(.287), wRC+(78), and K rate(25%) against right-handed pitching. All things considered, Greinke is my top cash game pitcher on this slate. Lucas Giolito FD - P 11400 DK - SP 11200 Opponent - KC (Brad Keller) Park - KC FD - 38.11 DK - 19.49 Giolito is one of my favorite pitchers to write about this season as he has gone from a gas can in 2018 that we targeted against on the regular to a near elite ace we target almost every start in 2019. What changed? A lot actually and it starts with him ditching the sinker that he threw 19% of the time a year ago while opponents crushed it to the tune of a .339 wOBA/125 wRC+/19.4% HR/FB. He has replaced it with a four-seam fastball that opponents are hitting just .238 off with a .287 wOBA/89 wRC+ while it also generates over a 9% swinging strike rate. He is also throwing a changeup almost 10% more and that pitch is generating a crazy 19% swinging strike rate. The other change, and while it may seem small, has been his setup position on the first base side of the rubber vs. the middle. I am back on him today as he gets a plus matchup against a Royals team that has really struggled lately with a .290 wOBA, 78 wRC+, and 27% K rate...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 6/7/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 6/7/19 We've got a full Friday of MLB action with some aces, some great looking stacks and really everything else in between for FanDuel and DraftKings. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Gerrit Cole FD - P 11200 DK - SP 12200 Opponent - BAL (Gabriel Ynoa) Park - HOUFD - 50.25 DK - 28.49 This is easily the best pitching option on the board and it's going to be tough to fade him. Not only does Cole lead the league in strikeouts, he's actually posting a ridiculous 37 percent K rate. That happens to be one of the best marks in MLB history and his 1.05 WHIP tells us that his 3.95 ERA is due for some positive regression. We're going to bet on that starting here, with the Orioles ranked 24th in runs scored, 25th in OPS and dead-last in xwOBA. All that has made Cole a -355 favorite in this game, which happens to be one of the largest spreads of the season. Jacob deGrom FD - P 10300 DK - SP 9400 Opponent - COL (Antonio Senzatela) Park - NYMFD - 46.46 DK - 26.6 deGrom is always in play when pitching at Citi Field, as he's simply one of the best pitcher's in the Majors. Getting to throw in Citi Field only helps, with that pitcher's haven surrendering the fewest runs in the league since the beginning of last season. That's why deGrom has a FIP barely above 2.00 in that span, as his 31 percent K rate in that span makes him arguably the best pitcher in the NL. While the Rockies offense can be tough, they usually struggle on the road. In fact, Colorado ranks 28th in road OPS this season which isn't far off of their 27th-ranked road OPS from last year. That's why we're looking at a total of 7.5, with the Mets projected as a -205 favorite. Listen to "MLB FanDuel, DraftKings and Betting Picks - Friday 6/7/19" on Spreaker. Catcher/First Base Matt Olson FD - 1B 3000 DK - 1B 4000 Opponent - TEX (Lance Lynn) Park - TEXFD - 11.86 DK - 8.86 This is the first of many Oakland bats in this article, as Olson is probably the best power bat of the bunch. Since the beginning of 2017, Olson is one of the team leaders with 60 home runs and an ISO approaching .250. He's hit those 60 dingers in just 249 games, which simply states...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 6/6/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 6/6/19 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Joey Lucchesi FD - P 8200 DK - SP 9000 Opponent - WSH (Patrick Corbin) Park - SD FD - 32.08 DK - 16.82 Pitching on the main slate tonight is actually fairly complicated. While it seems like there is one clear ace going (more on him in a minute), our system is prioritizing Joey Lucchesi instead. Why? Well, there are a few reasons. The first comes down to Lucchesi himself. He's striking out a batter per inning, has upped his ground-ball rate to 49.5%, and has maintained a 3.71 xFIP this year. That's pretty solid. He's pitching in the spacious Petco Park, and you love to see that as well. But this is where it gets weird. On paper, the Nationals are just a much tougher match-up than the Padres are. Their OPS is .059 points higher against southpaws, and they strikeout 5% less often. And yes, Vegas sees this as a pick 'em with a 7.5 total. I actually have my doubts, and I highly recommend betting the Nats here, but if they are even close to correct taking the savings on Lucchesi looks like a no-brainer. Patrick Corbin FD - P 10900 DK - SP 10300 Opponent - SD (Joey Lucchesi) Park - SD FD - 35.33 DK - 19.17 The other half of the best pitching match-up on the slate, Corbin has to be one of the more underrated pitchers in the Majors right now. He piloted a sparkling 2.61 xFIP last season to a pedestrian 11 and 7 record, and never really got credit as one of 2018's very best pitchers. This year he's taken a slight step back, as his K/9 has dipped below 10 and his BB/9 and HR/9 have crept upward. Still, Corbin is an excellent pitcher, and this really is a great match-up. The Padres hold the 3rd highest K rate in the majors vs. left handed pitching while ranking in the bottom 10 in wOBA, and while they have some better right handed bats than they did last year I just can't sit here and feel scared of facing them in Petco. Maybe it's nuts, but I don't even mind running Corbin and Lucchesi against one another on a night without a lot of great options. Also considered: Tyler Skaggs. A quick note on the Cleveland/Minnesota match-up. With Berrios and Bauer facing off, you have two legitimately good pitchers that blend both a...