DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 8/27/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 8/27/19 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! The Red Sox travel to Colorado to play the Rockies in Coors Field. This is a service announcement from your favorite fantasy site and it's simply impossible to fade this game. We have a total approaching 14 runs in that game and it's actually one of the highest totals I can ever remember seeing. Building around this game is going to be critical and it should make for a fascinating slate. Pitchers Andrew Heaney FD - P 8200 DK - SP 9800 Opponent - TEX (Mike Minor) Park - LAAFD - 29.79 DK - 15.64 Heaney has been wildly inconsistent throughout his career but a 14-strikeout gem in his last start shows just how dangerous he can be. That start happened to come against these Rangers and that's really no surprise when you see that they rank 29th in K rate and 24th in OBP against left-handers. That K-upside makes this FanDuel price truly mind-blowing, particularly after collecting 73 FD points against this team in his most recent start. Heaney has actually faced the Astros and Red Sox three times over his last five games, pitching to a 2.89 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 10.9 K/9 rate in that impressive five-game span. Patrick Corbin FD - P 10000 DK - SP 11200 Opponent - BAL (Aaron Brooks) Park - WSHFD - 42.71 DK - 23.58 Corbin is probably the best cash game pitcher available. The reason for that is because he gets such a premium matchup against the Orioles. In fact, Baltimore currently ranks 19th in K rate, 25th in runs scored, 26th in xwOBA and 25th in OPS. That's scary against a pitcher like this, with Corbin generating a 29 percent K rate en route to a 3.17 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. That's why he and the Nationals enter this game as a -330 favorite. playing some of the best baseball in the Majors right now. Catcher/First Base Matt Adams FD - 1B 2800 DK - 1B 4500 Opponent - BAL (Aaron Brooks) Park - WSHFD - 13.8 DK - 10.41 We have the Red Sox playing in Coors Field and you're going to start with a Washington bat? While the Colorado-Boston game might be the highest projected scoreline, the Nationals are actually one of the best stacks on the board. The reason for that is because they face Aaron Brooks, who's pitching to a 6.21 ERA and 1.44 WHIP. That's pretty much on...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/26/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/26/19 Coors isn't on the main slate and we have a only a few games in the evening. Should be an interesting Monday in MLB on DraftKings and FanDuel. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Sonny Gray FD - P 11300 DK - SP 11200 Opponent - MIA (Pablo Lopez) Park - MIAFD - 38.13 DK - 20.29 Gray is striking out batters at the best clip of his career this season with a 29.2% K rate though the walks are still something of an issue. His 3.55 xFIP is below the career average and overall this will likely end up as the best season of his career. He gets to face the Marlins on the road in Miami which is about as good a spot you can be as a starting pitcher. With Caleb Smith going opposite, the win -165 win odds are a little lower than you’ll usually see against this squad, but he’s still easily the highest projected pitcher on this slate. The FanDuel price is very steep but no other pitcher is all that close in terms of projection. Dustin May FD - P 6200 DK - SP 8500 Opponent - SD (Eric Lauer) Park - SDFD - 28.72 DK - 14.37 The top prospect was called up in the beginning of August and had two impressive starts against the Cardinals and Marlins respectively before turning in a two-inning clunker against the Braves last time out. He’ll have a chance to rebound against the Padres on Monday. He’s a -150 road favorite in a good pitcher’s park which continues to limit power all around. The Padres are 24th in the league against righties this season with a 27% K rate in that split. May doesn’t project as a huge strikeout guy, but the control has been elite at basically every level including the majors. It’s hard to imagine him killing you in this spot and makes for a very good SP2 options on DraftKings. J.A. Happ (FD $6500 DK $7100) has been kind of brutal this season, but this is a good spot against a very weak Seattle team. Catcher/First Base Josh VanMeter FD - 1B 2500 DK - 2B/OF 3600 Opponent - MIA (Pablo Lopez) Park - MIAFD - 10.92 DK - 8.36 The Reds aren’t heading in the right direction right now, but that doesn’t mean we can’t find some value with their lineup on the shorter slate. VanMeter seems locked into the leadoff...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 8/25/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 8/25/19 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! We've been killing it with our picks recently and we're hoping to keep that momentum going here. Sundays are always tricky though because it's a great day to rest your studs after a long week. That does open up value though and it'll be critical to monitor lineup developments as they're released. Pitchers Stephen Strasburg FD 10100 DK 11300 Opponent - CHC (Cole Hamels) Park - CHCFD - 36.87 DK - 20.35 While this is a tough matchup, it's really tough to fade Strasburg the way he's pitching right now. A 3.65 ERA and 1.08 WHIP speak for itself, but he's actually probably even been better than those numbers suggest, with a 3.34 xFIP and 29 percent K rate. Those elite peripherals tell us that he's been slightly unlucky this season and he's truly in the mix for an NL Cy Young with his stellar numbers. It's not like the Cubs are the scariest matchup either, with Chicago ranked 19th in K rate, 14th in runs scored and 15th in xwOBA. That doesn't even take into consideration that Wrigley Field ranks in the bottom-5 in park factor, making it one of the best parks to pitch in. Aaron Nola FD 10700 DK 11000 Opponent - MIA (Elieser Hernandez) Park - MIAFD - 38.19 DK - 20.82 This play is pretty simple. Any time you get an elite pitcher facing the Marlins, you use them! Nola is just that, as he's recaptured his All-Star form since the opening months. Over his last 12 starts, Nola is pitching to a 2.13 ERA, 0.96 WHIP and 10.1 K/9 rate. Those are shocking numbers from a player whose prices has never recovered, particularly in such a tasty matchup. In fact, the Marlins currently rank either 29th or dead-last in runs scored, OBP, OPS and xwOBA. That was evident when Nola pitched eight one-run innings in his last start against Miami while striking out 10 batters. Not to mention, Nola enters this matchup as a projected -200 favorite. Catcher/First Base Josh VanMeter FD 2700 DK 4000 Opponent - PIT (Dario Agrazal) Park - PITFD - 10.06 DK - 7.71 While I'd rather use VanMeter at second base on DraftKings, this $2,700 price on FanDuel is absolutely ridiculous. This dude has been raking since being recalled from the minors and it's really no surprise when you see his Triple-A numbers. At that level this season, JVM provided a .429 OBP,...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 8/24/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 8/24/19 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Mike Clevinger FD - P 11200 DK - SP 11800 Opponent - KC (Glenn Sparkman) Park - CLE FD - 41.92 DK - 22.99 One of the league's unassuming aces, Clevinger has been truly stellar in the 73 innings he's pitched so far this year. He was already good last year, but adding 4 K/9 and increasing that rate to a ridiculous 13 Ks per 9 has pulled his xFIP down more than a run this season. He's coming off a brutal three game stretch against three of the league's offenses in Minnesota, Boston, and New York, and he managed 25 Ks against 5 BBs over that stretch. He'll face no such juggernaut here, as the Royals have posted the league's 4th lowest wOBA in the Majors vs. right handed pitching this season. Clevinger is a high floor, high ceiling option, and is the clear starting pitcher one on this slate as best I can tell. Chris Bassitt FD - P 8300 DK - SP 9600 Opponent - SF (Madison Bumgarner) Park - OAK FD - 32.96 DK - 17.45 A familiar name in our pitcher two discussions this season, Bassitt has established himself as a reasonably priced mid-tier starter that's playable in certain match-ups. His 8.42 K/9 is nothing to write home about, but it's plenty at these prices in a good match-up. The Giants certainly qualify there. In 2019 they've mustered the fifth worse wOBA against right handed pitching in the majors, while striking out a league average rate. Bassitt has a 3.81 FIP at home this year, and getting a plus spot against the G-men makes this a high floor (if not super high ceiling) pitcher two play on DraftKings. Catcher/First Base Yasmani Grandal FD - C 3100 DK - C 4100 Opponent - ARI (Zac Gallen) Park - MIL FD - 11.34 DK - 8.46 Catcher is always a little bit weird, in that you're often picking between a small handful of legitimately good hitters and a bunch of bums. Today, I submit that you should play one of the decent hitters. Grandal is second the majors in catcher WAR (behind JT Realmuto), and his excellent approach (15.7% BB rate) has made him a popular high floor cash game play all season long. It's not a dream spot against Zac Gallen, who was a top 100 prospect with excellent stuff going into this season. Gallen's double digit K/9 is...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 8/23/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 8/23/19 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! It's very rare that we don't get a full 15-game slate on a Friday but that's the case here. We still do have 13 games in the night slate though and that is still a good amount to play DFS. What's interesting about this slate is that we have the Astros facing one of the worst lefties in the league. That means many of these guys will find their way into this article and we'll do our best to pair them with value plays. Pitchers Jose Berrios FD - P 8900 DK - SP 10000 Opponent - DET (Matthew Boyd) Park - MIN FD - 39.48 DK - 21.08 Wow, this Berrios FanDuel price is absolutely fantastic. I was sure that we'd be looking at a five-figure number but we're actually getting quite the discount. A couple of bad starts recently is what's lowered that number but we're still talking about one of the best pitchers around. That's evident by his 3.37 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 8.6 K/9 rate. That pairs beautifully with the fact that he's thrown at least 5,2 innings in 23 of his 25 starts this season and six innings seem like a guarantee against an offense like this. In fact, the Motor City Kitties currently rank bottom-two in runs scored, OBP, OPS, xwOBA and K rate. That's why Berrios and the Twinkies enter this matchup as a -220 favorite. Lance Lynn FD - P 9700 DK - SP 10500 Opponent - CHW (Dylan Cease) Park - CHW FD - 38.31 DK - 20.78 If you would have told me that Lynn was a $10,000 player at the beginning of the year, I would have told you you're crazy. If you would have told me that I would recommend him at this price, I would tell you that you're certifiably insane. We're at that point though and it's far from crazy to say that because of his bounceback season. Over his last 19 starts, Lynn is pitching to a 2.90 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 10.8 K/9 rate. Those are ridiculous numbers in a hitter's haven like Globe Life Park and anytime he gets to pitch on the road, we have to be even more encouraged. All of that puts him in consideration but facing a White Sox team who ranks 28th in runs scored, 27th in OPS, 26th in K rate and 25th in xwOBA makes him one of the best...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 8/22/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 8/22/19 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Gerrit Cole FD - P 12200 DK - SP 12000 Opponent - DET (Jordan Zimmermann) Park - HOU FD - 54.97 DK - 31.25 Paying up for pitching is a little easier today and that is good news as we are loaded with aces on the bump. My top play of all of them is easily Gerrit Cole who checks every single box imaginable starting with the Astros opening as a massive -475 favorite. That is is in large part due to the matchup against a Tigers team that has scored a league-low 136 runs in the second half with an ugly .293 wOBA, 80 wRC+, and 27% K rate. For Cole, he trails only Charlie Morton and teammate Justin Verlander in ERA(2.81) in the American League and his 2.82 xFIP leads all qualified starters in baseball. Not only has he produced a sky-high floor holding opponents to two or fewer earned runs in five straight and 13 of his last 14 starts but he also has arguably the highest upside in baseball with a 36.8% K rate and 15.6% swinging-strike rate. If you have the salary and can sacrifice the bats tonight, Cole is my top pitcher in all formats. Mike Soroka FD - P 9300 DK - SP 10000 Opponent - MIA (Sandy Alcantara) Park - ATL FD - 34.21 DK - 18.12 While Soroka might not have anywhere near the same upside(19.7% K rate) as Cole, he comes at a huge discount and also has an elite matchup. The Braves open as -265 favorites at home vs. the Marlins who are neck and neck with the Tigers as the worst offense in baseball and rank last or second last against right-handed pitching with a .283 wOBA, 75 wRC+, .124 ISO, and 25% K rate. For Soroka, he has had a few blips on the radar in his rookie season but still offers a fairly high floor(for the price) averaging over six innings per start this season with and enters tonight with a very impressive 2.41 ERA and while it is a bit run-hot the xFIP(3.91) is still in a good spot as he just doesn't walk many batters overall(6.1%). All things considered, Soroka should be considered a top option on this slate from a PTS/$ perspective and is in play in all formats. Aaron Civale FD - P 8500 DK - SP 6200 Opponent - NYM (Noah Syndergaard) Park...