DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 9/8/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 9/8/19 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! This is one of the biggest weekends for me personally because many of my H2H playoff matchups are being decided today. That means we have to get things right today and we truly feel like we have some great picks for you on this slate. With that in mind, let's start with one of the best pitchers in baseball... Pitchers Gerrit Cole FD - P 12000 DK - SP 12200 Opponent - SEA (Felix Hernandez) Park - HOU FD - 52.34 DK - 29.84 It's going to be very tough to fade Cole. The simple fact is, we have one of the best pitchers in baseball facing one of the worst lineups. Let's start with Cole, as his 2.81 ERA and 0.95 WHIP is no match for his absurd 39 percent K rate. That happens to be the best K rate of any starter in the league and he's truly one of the best bets for double-digit Ks in a matchup like this. The opposition makes us like him even more, with Seattle ranked 28th in K rate and 25th in xwOBA. That's why he and the Astros enter this matchup as a -500 favorite, one of the largest spreads of the season. Adrian Houser FD - P 7100 DK - SP 5500 Opponent - CHC (Jon Lester) Park - MIL FD - 29.48 DK - 15.5 This is simply a price play. Facing the Cubs is obviously tough but Houser is way too good of a pitcher to be $7,100 on FanDuel and $5,500 on DraftKings. Our numbers tell us that he should be $1,000 more on each site and it's hard to understand why these algorithms are keeping him so cheap. We're talking about a pitcher with a 3.45 ERA and 1.29 WHIP and he's been even better recently. Over his last seven appearances, Houser is pitching to a 2.29 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 9.2 K/9 rate. That's really all you can ask for against a team who sits 20th in K rate and might be without Javier Baez. Catcher/First Base Ji-Man Choi FD - 1B 2900 DK - 1B 4000 Opponent - TOR (Jacob Waguespack) Park - TB FD - 10.15 DK - 7.64 Why do these DFS sites continue to disrespect Choi? This dude has been mashing righties throughout his career and it truly doesn't make sense why he's priced so cheaply. Let's take a look at those splits, with...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 9/7/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 9/7/19 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Justin Verlander FD - P 12300 DK - SP 12400 Opponent - SEA (Yusei Kikuchi) Park - HOU FD - 51.85 DK - 29.92 The clear top pitcher on the slate, and one of the best pitchers in all of baseball. Verlander is an astounding -380 favorite going into this tilt with Seattle, and it makes sense. He's nearly replicated last year's absurd peripherals, putting together 11.98 K/9 while allowing just 1.63 BB/9. He's gotten punished harder by the homerun this season, but then again, basically everyone has. He's officially an ace's ace no matter how you slice it. The match-up is excellent as well. The Mariners are a below average offense against right handed pitchers while striking out at the fifth highest rate. It'll be hard to make an argument for fading Verlander in cash games today. Chris Bassitt FD - P 8200 DK - SP 9800 Opponent - DET (Jordan Zimmermann) Park - OAK FD - 32.12 DK - 16.91 If you're looking for a solid pitcher two on DraftKings today, I'll be looking at Bassitt. The A's righty has managed his transition to a full time starter's role admirably, and while his ERA has outpaced his xFIP by more than a run he brings enough upside to the table to be a reasonable play in the right match-up. And the Tigers? They are most certainly that. They rolled out one of the most atrocious lineups in recent memory against the Royals, featuring studs like Dawel Lugo and Grayson Greiner. The heart of the order was Ronny Rodriguez, Christin Stewart, and Jeimer Candelario. This team is downright awful, and Bassitt is a -280 favorite as a result. It's quite simply tough to have a bad game against a lineup like the ones the Tigers have been trotting out there recently. Also considered: Joey Lucchesi, since he's facing the Rockies at home. Catcher/First Base Yasmani Grandal FD - C 3100 DK - C 4500 Opponent - CHC (Yu Darvish) Park - MIL FD - 11.1 DK - 8.29 We'll start off with a familiar name at catcher for this season in Yasmani Grandal. If you find yourself in the unfortunate circumstance of having to roster a "hitter" at this position, he's as good an option as you'll find on any given night. The price is right, and he's actually pretty good with the stick. He's now on back to back seasons with...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 9/6/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 9/6/19 While many people will be focused on football this weekend, baseball is as strong as ever. What I love about this time of the year is that we get a bunch of fish joining the MLB contests. People make deposits for the NFL and play MLB in their off days just to try it out. That makes the field so much weaker, which is huge for players like us who play every day. With that in mind, let's get into the best pitcher on the board. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Clayton Kershaw FD 11700 DK 11900 Opponent - SF (Jeff Samardzija) Park - SFFD - 41.7 DK - 23.14 How can we possibly fade Kershaw on this slate? While many people were worried about CK at the beginning of the year, he's arguably been the most reliable pitcher in the Majors this season. That's evident by the fact that he's pitched at least six innings in all 24 of his starts. That's absurd and it's led to a 2.89 ERA and 1.01 WHIP. Facing the Giants at home is simply the icing on the cake, with San Fran ranked 26th in runs scored, 27th in OBP, 26th in OPS and 28th in wOBA. That's no surprise when you see that Kershaw has allowed just two runs across 14 innings against this team in two starts, thus making him a -250 favorite here. Miles Mikolas FD 6300 DK 8000 Opponent - PIT (Joe Musgrove) Park - PITFD - 28.07 DK - 14.46 Mikolas is by no means a safe play but he's a quality option in such a superb matchup. Let's begin with his opponent, as Mikolas gets a matchup against a Pittsburgh club who's been one of the worst offenses since the break. They currently rank 21st in runs scored and 22nd in OPS since the All-Star break. That's huge for a guy like Mikolas, with the right-hander pitching to a 3.49 ERA and 1.13 WHIP since joining the Cardinals last season. Vegas really likes Mikolas too, making him a -130 favorite in this matchup. Whoever starts for the Rays between Charlie Morton and Brendan McKay are definitely in play as a -350 favorite against a 28th-ranked Toronto offense. Catcher/First Base Howie Kendrick FD 2400 DK 5000 Opponent - ATL (Dallas Keuchel) Park - ATLFD - 8.98 DK - 6.98 The price discrepancy between these sites is truly amazing, as Kendrick is one of the best values on FanDuel. What's...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 9/5/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 9/5/19 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Early Zach Plesac FD - P 8600 DK - SP 8100 Opponent - CHW (Reynaldo Lopez) Park - CLE FD - 27.68 DK - 14.66 After flying through the Indians farm system, rookie Zach Plesac has been having a solid season in the bigs posting seven wins in 17 starts with a 3.61 ERA and while the xFIP(5.10) suggests some regression, he has attacked weaker opponents very well this season. Great news as he will get a terrific matchup this afternoon against the White Sox who have struggled to a .301 wOBA, 87 wRC+, and 26% K rate over the last 14 days and are the only team in that time without at least 10 home runs. We have a small sate today with some of the top pitchers in sub-optimal matchups making Plesac the easy play for me considering his price in the $8K range on both sites. Also Consider: Logan Webb(SF) to save even more salary at the position and load up on bats Main John Means FD - P 7400 DK - SP 6100 Opponent - TEX (Kolby Allard) Park - BAL FD - 26.72 DK - 14.09 Strasburg is easily the top pitcher on this slate but to fit him on DraftKings along with some top bats, we are going to need some value and for me, it comes in the form of John Means. After it looked like his run-hot ERA came to end through a down stretch from the middle of July to the middle of August, he has picked it back up allowing just five earned runs over his last three starts while averaging 20.4 DK/35.7 FD points per game. He is in a great spot to continue that run tonight facing a Rangers team with an ugly 84 wRC+ and 26.4% K rate vs. lefties and has also been struggling a ton over the last seven(62 wRC+) and 14 days(49 wRC+). At his price on DraftKings, we are looking for about 12 points(2x) to hit value and also gives us about 4x upside. He is in play in all formats for me tonight. Also Consider: Stephen Strasburg(WSH) if playing up or rookie Kolby Allard(TEX) who looked terrific in his last two starts(12 IP, 2 ER, 12 K's, 1 BB) Catcher/First Base Early Carlos Santana FD - 1B 4000 DK - 1B 5100 Opponent - CHW (Reynaldo Lopez) Park - CLE FD - 14.34 DK -...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 9/4/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 9/4/19 Wednesday’s MLB action gives us a mix of games throughout the day with some ace-level guys going in the evening main slate. This late in the season we are getting call-ups, teams who’ve essentially given up and those in the thick of playoff races. It can make things somewhat tough sledding, but we’ve got you covered. Let’s check out some plays for FanDuel and DraftKings. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Shane Bieber FD - P 11000 DK - SP 11500 Opponent - CHW (Ivan Nova) Park - CLEFD - 39.55 DK - 21.82 We’ve had Bieber-fever all season long and it’s paid off. We’ll ride the wave again on Wednesday facing the White Sox at home. Cleveland is a -260 opening favorite, the second-highest of the evening slate. Bieber has some of the best peripherals you’ll see with a 6.2 K:BB ratio on the season and a 3.17 xFIP. It really doesn’t get much better than that and he’ll work against a White Sox team striking out a whopping 26% of the time versus right-handed pitching and ranked third to last in wOBA. This is a prime cash game spot for Bieber who has such a high floor because of the efficiency. Zac Gallen FD - P 8500 DK - SP 9600 Opponent - SD (Chris Paddack) Park - ARIFD - 36.71 DK - 19.09 Gallen definitely walks on the wild side at times as evidenced by the six walks in six innings game against Colorado three starts ago. And yet he was miraculously able to strikeout eight and allow only one earned run in that game. The last two starts have been steadier, striking out 14 batters in 10 innings while walking *only* three. He’s the second-best moneyline favorite (-280) on Wednesday at home against the Padres. The DraftKings price is a little steep if you are trying to pair him with Bieber though as we get later in the season there have been more and more ways to save on bats so I’m not completely worried about it. The Padres will K a lot (26% on the season) offering a chance for Gallen to dial up the punch outs. I think there’s some case for Jake Junis (FD $7900 DK $7500) here as well considering the price and the matchup. Catcher/First Base Ryan O'Hearn FD - 1B 2700 DK - 1B 3400 Opponent - DET (Edwin Jackson) Park - KCFD - 11.02 DK - 8.33 After...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 9/3/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 9/3/19 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! If you're in your season-long playoffs like I am, this is arguably the biggest week of the season. That's why these articles are so important because it will help people in whatever formats they choose to play. While this is DFS-centric, all of this information can help you to examine players in particular situations. I've learned so much about splits from all of these articles and it's a great tool to gain knowledge. Pitchers Mike Montgomery FD 7300 DK 4300 Opponent - DET (Daniel Norris) Park - DETFD - 27.36 DK - 13.75 This is a total puny play but Montgomery is one of the best DK values I've seen all season long. That $4,300 price tag is actually below many of the premier hitters and it's going to be tough to fade him at that sort of price. The reason for that is because of this matchup, with the Tigers ranked dead-last in runs scored, OBP, K rate and xwOBA. Montgomery has been much better recently too, pitching to a 2.45 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 9.5 K/9 rate over his last five starts. That's all you can ask for from a $4,300 pitcher with the best matchup in baseball. Jack Flaherty FD 10000 DK 10500 Opponent - SF (Dereck Rodriguez) Park - SFFD - 40.87 DK - 22.07 Now that we got a punt play out of the way, let's get a higher-end option into our build. Let's start with this matchup, as he faces one of the worst offenses in baseball. In fact, the Giants currently rank 25th in runs scored, 26th in OBP, 27th in wOBA and 26th in OPS. That's truly scary against one of the hottest pitchers in the game, with Flaherty pitching to a 1.01 ERA, 0.79 WHIP and 11.1 K/9 rate over his last 10 starts. Vegas couldn't agree more with our assessment, projecting the Giants for less than four runs while making the Cardinals a -280 favorite in this game. Catcher/First Base Carlos Santana FD 4000 DK 4800 Opponent - CHW (Dylan Cease) Park - CHWFD - 13.2 DK - 9.84 We are definitely going to want some exposure to the Indians tonight as they lead all teams in implied runs(6.3). They are at home and will be going up against Dylan Cease who has but nothing short of a disaster this season and after giving up eight earned runs in his last start now enters this matchup with a 6.92...