DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 9/20/19 We only have two Friday's left in the regular season and I'm truly sad to the season coming to an end. It's been a fun season up to this point and our projection model has been killing it all year. Luckily, we don't have any Coors Field games on this slate and that makes things so much easier on us. What is weird about this time of the year is that we have wacky things happening with these rotations and lineups. So, be sure to monitor lineups and pitch counts before doing anything. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Zack Greinke FD 9200 DK 9800 Opponent - LAA (Jaime Barria) Park - LAAFD - 37.86 DK - 20.39 The statistics from the Angels aren't going to tell you that this is a good play but this is simply not the same team right now. In fact, the Angels are without their three-best hitters, with Mike Trout, Justin Upton and Tommy LaStella all sidelined. That has players like Kole Calhoun, Albert Pujols and Jared Walsh making up the heart of this lineup. That's truly horrifying for Angels fans and it's no surprise this club ranks dead-last in runs scored for the month of September. We have to love someone as consistent as Greinke opposing them too, with the veteran posting a 2.95 ERA and 1.00 WHIP so far this season. That's why he and the Astros enter this matchup as a -350 favorite. Anibal Sanchez FD 8300 DK 8100 Opponent - MIA (Robert Dugger) Park - MIAFD - 31.35 DK - 16.33 These prices are truly shocking. Sanchez has really bounced back the last two seasons and it's hard to understand why these DFS sites are disrespecting him with these prices. In fact, Sanchez has a 3,38 ERA and 1.18 WHIP dating back to last season. He's shown signs of that recently, pitching at least seven innings in his last two starts while allowing a total of 10 baserunners and two runs. That's truly scary for one of the worst offenses in baseball, with the Marlins ranked bottom-two in runs scored, OBP, OPS and xwOBA. That doesn't even take into consideration that Marlins Park is one of the most pitcher-friendly parks in the Majors, with Sanchez entering this matchup as a -200 favorite. Only some pitch count concerns have me worried about Clayton Kershaw (FD $10400 DK $10800) not getting full run here. Catcher/First Base Ji-Man Choi FD 3000 DK...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 9/19/19 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Early Eduardo Rodriguez FD - P 9300 DK - SP 9800 Opponent - SF (Madison Bumgarner) Park - BOS FD - 33.3 DK - 17.53 We have two small slates today but the good news is that the pitching is actually pretty good. It starts with the early slate and Eduardo Rodriguez who checks almost every box. He and the Red Sox are are early -175 home favorites in a plus matchup against a Giants team that has posted a league-low .276 wOBA and 70 wRC+ over the last month while striking out just over 25% of the time. ERod has also been red-hot down the stretch holding opponents to one or fewer earned runs in five of his last six starts and has also ramped up the swings and misses with 29 K's over his last three starts. He is our top projected pitcher on the early slate and with a price tag under $10K on both sites, is the top play in all formats. Also Consider: Madison Bumgarner(SF) vs. a Red Sox team that could be without both Mookie Betts and J.D> Martinez once again Main Mike Clevinger FD - P 11800 DK - SP 11400 Opponent - DET (Daniel Norris) Park - CLE FD - 47.88 DK - 26.53 We don't exactly get a discount for the top pitcher on the main slate as Mike Clevinger is $11K+ on both sites but what we do get is an elite ace in a must-win situation as the Indians as in a tight race with the Rays for the final Wildcard spot. Clevinger is a huge reason the Indians are in this position as he has been one of the best pitchers in baseball in the second half holding opponents to two or fewer earned runs in 11 of 13 starts(2.17 ERA/3.18 xFIP) and has also provided a ton of upside striking out 33% of batters with a ridiculous 15.4% swinging-strike rate. Enough value plays should arise where we can load up on Clevinger in all formats. Also Consider: Jack Flaherty(STL) as a GPP pivot off Clevinger or J.A. Happ(NYY) against an Angels team without Trout Catcher/First Base Early Jose Osuna FD - 3B 2800 DK - 1B/OF 4100 Opponent - SEA (Yusei Kikuchi) Park - PIT FD - 9.1 DK - 6.98 The pickings are extra slim on this small, three-game slate especially considering four of the six pitchers are above...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 9/18/19 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Gerrit Cole FD - P 12100 DK - SP 12800 Opponent - TEX (Kolby Allard) Park - HOU FD - 52.55 DK - 29.76 Just like last night, there is a huge gap in talent between the top pitcher in Cole and the next tier of pitchers propping him up as easily the top choice from a raw points perspective. He is in a dead heat with teammate Justin Verlander for the American League Cy Young award and Cole has most definitely made his case striking out 10 or more batters in six straight and nine of 11 starts since the All-Star Break and has also posted an elite 1.90 ERA/2.27 xFIP in that time as well. To top it off, he also gets a plus matchup against a Rangers team that has posted wRC+ 13% below league average over the last couple weeks and strikes out just over 25% of the time against right-handed pitching for the season. Fire up Cole in all formats. Aaron Civale FD - P 8500 DK - SP 9100 Opponent - DET (Spencer Turnbull) Park - CLE FD - 36.56 DK - 19.88 From our top projected player in raw points to one of our top projected players from a PTS/$ perspective. Civale flew through the Indians minor-league system after being drafted in the third round in 2016 and he is quickly proving why he in the show in 2019. He has gone at least five innings in each of his first eight major-league starts and has yet to allow any opponent score more than two earned runs on him. The elite ERA(1.93) is obviously run-hot for the kid as he sits with a 4.56 xFIP but digging deeper the xwOBA(.270) is only slightly higher than his wOBA(.266) and his xSLG(.316) is over 30 points lower than the LSG(.347). The best news here and the reason why the Indians are early -300 favorites is the matchup against the Tigers who have scored the third-fewest runs since the ASB with an ugly .299 wOBA, 83 wRC+, and 27% K rate. All things considered, Civale is in play in all formats tonight. Also Consider: Jake Odorizzi(MIN) as a 0275 home favorite against the White Sox or Dylan Bundy(BAL) as a mid-range SP2 option on DraftKings   Catcher/First Base Trey Mancini FD 3900 DK 4900 Opponent - TOR (Clay Buchholz) Park - TOR FD - 11.02 DK - 8.48 At...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 9/17/19 With less than two weeks remaining in the regular season, we have another fun Tuesday slate on the docket. This happens to be one of the last series played in Coors Field though, so it's time to get in those bats before it's too late. With that in mind, let's get into our Tuesday plays. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Yu Darvish FD 10400 DK 11200 Opponent - CIN (Sonny Gray) Park - CINFD - 40.32 DK - 21.51 Darvish got off to a terrible start at the beginning of the year but he's been one of the best pitchers in the Majors over the last two months. In fact, Darvish has a 2.44 ERA, 0.78 WHIP and 12.6 K/9 rate over his last 11 starts. That's the guy that we've been waiting for all season and we have to love him in a matchup like this. The Reds currently rank 20th in runs scored and 28th in xwOBA and could be without Joey Votto for this game. That was a team with Dereck Dietrich, Yasiel Puig and Scooter Gennett as well and it's clear that this is one of the worst lineups in baseball. Patrick Corbin FD 9700 DK 10800 Opponent - STL (Miles Mikolas) Park - STLFD - 35.45 DK - 19.37 Corbin doesn't get the best matchup in the Cardinals on Tuesday, but he's still coming far too cheap on both sites, but especially on FanDuel. Dude is striking out 10.33 batters per nine on the season and owns a 3.66 xFIP. St. Louis actually ranks below average this season against lefties with a .316 team wOBA in that split. I think we are getting Corbins peripherals at a discount even if there aren't tremendous win odds in his favor. You obviously have to strongly consider Justin Verlander (FD $12000 DK $12800) but it's so very expensive at this point and will come at the cost of decent bats. Catcher/First Base Daniel Murphy FD - 1B 3100 DK - 1B 4400 Opponent - NYM (Marcus Stroman) Park - COL FD - 14.14 DK - 10.86 These prices are downright insulting. We're talking about a great bat hitting in Coors Field being priced like a league-average hitter. That simply makes no sense when you consider that Murphy has an OPS north of .900 against righties since 2016. He happens to face a struggling righty here too, with Stroman generating a 4.50 ERA and 1.67 WHIP since...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 9/16/19 Sunday football is over meaning we start the week with some MLB action as the season winds down. There are eight games on this slate with some pitchers who've hit a late season lull and offenses against weaker arms. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Robbie Ray FD - P 9200 DK - SP 9800 Opponent - MIA (Pablo Lopez) Park - ARIFD - 38.35 DK - 20.63 After looking like he’d cured some of his control issues this season, Ray has had a rough time of it in the short term. He had walked 10 batters in 14 innings before getting shelled by the Mets last time out and not getting through a full inning. He’ll look to bounce back against a Marlins’ team that’s ranked second to last in the league against lefties this season in wOBA. Ray is a -210 home favorite and the Marlins’ 3.4 implied runs are the second-lowest on the slate. Dude can still dial up the K’s, striking out close to 12 batters per nine this season. If he can exhibit even modest control in this matchup he has incredible upside. Tanner Roark FD - P 7900 DK - SP 9300 Opponent - KC (Glenn Sparkman) Park - OAKFD - 33.91 DK - 17.39 Roark has the best moneyline win odds on Monday as a -300 opening home favorite against the Royals. Kansas City is garbage, looking terrible most of the season and now shuttling in September callup and non-prospects into their lineup to round out the roster. Roark is a slightly above average pitcher in an fantastic spot at solid prices on both sites. The sub-$8K FanDuel price puts him into cash consideration there seeing as how you can then stack bats a bit easier. The DraftKings’ price isn’t as advantageous, but at sub$10K, you are getting just enough strikeout equity considering he K’s about 8.5 batters per nine. Strongly consider Matthew Boyd (FD $8900 DK $12000). Similar to Ray, Boyd had put together an exemplary season before struggling in about half of his last six starts. The strikeouts are still (mostly) there, but he’s been knocked around some, allowing five or more earned runs in three of those games. But I like his price on FanDuel even as an underdog to the O’s here. Catcher/First Base Eric Thames FD - 1B 2700 DK - 1B 4100 Opponent - SD (Undecided) Park - MILFD - 11.31 DK - 8.49 The Brewers...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 9/15/19 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Writing up and stacking Coors Field is way too simple, so we're going to fade that game altogether. You know that all of those guys are good plays, so we'll do our best to offer up premium plays from other games. There are some great options on the board and the Astros happen to be our favorite stack of the day. With that in mind, let's get to Justin Bieber and Miley Cyrus as our two pitchers of the day. Pitchers Shane Bieber FD - P 11200 DK - SP 11800 Opponent - MIN (Jose Berrios) Park - CLE FD - 39.32 DK - 21.63 Ok, we lied about Justin Bieber but many people may not realize that this Bieber is one of the ten best pitchers in baseball right now. That's crystal clear by his 3.17 ERA and 1.00 WHIP, striking out 241 batters across 194.2 innings of action. Those absurd numbers put him in play against anyone and we're going to take a chance on him against the best offense in baseball. One thing that limits the Twins upside is the fact that they have to hit in Cleveland, which ranks as a pitcher-friendly park according to park factors. Bieber has actually had success against Minnesota all season long too, pitching to a 3.22 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and 12.2 K/9 rate in three starts against them this season. Wade Miley FD - P 7700 DK - SP 7400 Opponent - KC (Jake Junis) Park - KC FD - 31.7 DK - 16.63 If you're looking for someone with low ownership, Miley is your guy. This dude has been absolutely horrendous his last two starts but it's lowered his price tag to these intriguing numbers. Prior to the two worst starts of his season, Miley pitched to a 3.06 ERA and 1.22 WHIP over his first 28 starts. That's the guy we expect to see here, as he gets a stellar matchup against a bad offense. In fact, Kansas City currently ranks 27th in runs scored, 26th in OBP and 27th in OPS. That's why Miley and the Astros enter this matchup as a -230 favorite. We also like Jose Berrios opposing Shane Bieber as well. Catcher/First Base Freddie Freeman FD - 1B 3700 DK - 1B 4900 Opponent - WSH (Anibal Sanchez) Park - WSH FD - 13.31 DK - 10.09 Many people aren't really considering Freeman as an NL MVP candidate...