DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 8/2/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 8/2/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Great night for DFSR baseball last night! A near miss for the FanDuel optimal lineup to come in straight up first place in double ups, but hey, we'll take it. The COVID craziness has wreaked havoc on MLB recently and it looks like we'll be without two or three games here. That limits the field for us and has completely destroyed the pitching. This is one of the weakest slates for pitching that I can remember but it's going to allow us to stack the Coors game with so many cheap arms available. With that in mind, let's look at some of the pitching options! Pitchers Yonny Chirinos FD - P 7900 DK - SP 8600 Opponent - BAL (Tommy Milone) Park - BAL FD - 28.02 DK - 14.58 Man, the pitchers on this slate are downright atrocious. DFSR's James Davis and I had a hard time coming up with guys to use and this is what we're left with. It's by no means a disparaging mark toward Chirinos though, who's been pretty solid over the last two years. In fact, the righty has a 3.74 ERA and 1.06 WHIP since the beginning of last season. That WHIP is truly impressive and it makes us believe that he can slow down this terrible O's offense. This is a team that finished 25th in OPS last season and they should be even worse this year without Trey Mancini. That has Chirinos and the Rays entering this matchup as a -195 favorite which only adds to his value. Jeff Samardzija FD - P 7200 DK - SP 6500 Opponent - TEX (Kolby Allard) Park - SF FD - 29.63 DK - 14.82 If this doesn't tell you everything you need to know about this slate, I don't know what will. Shark has flashed moments of brilliance throughout his career though and makes for a cheap pivot in a good situation. The biggest reason we like him is that he's at home, with ORACLE Park playing as one of the most pitcher-friendly ballparks in baseball over the last decade. Shark has actually maintained a WHIP below 1.29 in six of his last seven seasons in total too, which is all you can ask for in a spacious park like this. The matchup might be the best part about this though, with Texas ranked dead-last in scoring and 29th in OPS. That definitely puts Samardzija in play...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 8/1/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 8/1/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! The Padres stepped up big time for us yesterday thanks to Wade Davis and it's true that Coors Field never fails. We're not going to be quite as high on that game today but it's always difficult to fade any matchup in Denver. With that in mind, let's start things off with some pitchers. Pitchers Tyler Glasnow FD - P 9800 DK - SP 9300 Opponent - BAL (Wade LeBlanc) Park - BAL FD - 37.74 DK - 20.87 Glasnow honestly might be a Top-5 pitcher in the league in terms of stuff. While he's still young, Glasnow has proven to be one of the most dangerous arms around over the last two years. Between this year and last, he's pitched to a 1.81 ERA and 0.88 WHIP while striking out 85 batters across 64.2 innings. Those look like dominant numbers from a reliever and it's clear that he's got the capability to be an absolute ace. What we like today is that he gets to face the Orioles. This is a team that ranked 22nd in runs scored and 26th in OPS last season, and they've lost their best hitter this year (Trey Mancini). That's why the Rays enter this matchup as a -210 favorite and why Baltimore is barely projected to crack three runs. Mike Fiers FD - P 7000 DK - SP 8000 Opponent - SEA (Yusei Kikuchi) Park - SEA FD - 30.36 DK - 15.04 This is more of a DraftKings pitcher 2 sort of pick, but Fiers can definitely take advantage of a lineup like this. We're talking about a team that had the second-worst batting average last season and ranks 25th in K rate this year. Having Daniel Vogelbach as your All-Star representative tells you everything you need to know. That was evident in Fiers' final three starts against the Mariners last season, scoring at least 20 FanDuel points in all of them. A lot of that is representative in the -150 spread in favor of the A's, only adding to Fiers value. Zack Greinke is expensive but he does get to face a struggling Angels team without Mike Trout. Catcher/First Base Paul Goldschmidt FD - 1B 3700 DK - 1B 4500 Opponent - MIL (Brett Anderson) Park - MIL FD - 11.36 DK - 8.53 Goldy is the model of consistency and we have to love him anytime he faces a weak lefty. That's certainly what...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 7/31/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 7/31/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! It's been a crazy first week to the season and we're already halfway through the year! Just kidding, but it is strange to see every game matter this early into the year. For this slate, we have a daunted Coors Field game. That means it will be featured heavily in this article, so, let's get into some pitchers to stack with those bats. Pitchers Trevor Bauer FD - P 11400 DK - SP 10500 Opponent - DET (Spencer Turnbull) Park - DET FD - 39.58 DK - 21.6 Bauer has always had a ton of potential and he really showed that in the opener. He actually struck out 13 batter across 6.1 one-run innings, allowing just three base runners. What makes that look even better is the fact that is came against the same opponent, the Tigers. Owning the Motor City Kitties is a rather easy task too, posting a lineup with Miguel Cabrera and Christian Stewart in the heart of it. That's why Bauer and the Reds are projected to enter this matchup as a -160 favorite and why Bauer could be looking at another 10-K game. Jordan Montgomery FD - P 6800 DK - SP 7800 Opponent - BOS (Ryan Weber) Park - NYY FD - 33.63 DK - 17.33 This probably looks strange on the surface but we need to find some value at pitcher with so many Coors Field bats. Montgomery is just that, facing the Red Sox as a monster favorite. In fact, he and the Yankees enter this game as a -230 favorite. That's one of the biggest spreads of the season and getting that win bonus could be huge for someone priced so affordably. This is a guy who's dominated in the minors throughout his career as well, generating a 2.46 ERA and 1.15 WHIP since 2015. Boston isn't as tough as they used to be either, owning one of the worst bottom halves of a lineup in the AL. Blake Snell is on a pitch count but is definitely worth keeping an eye on going forward. Catcher/First Base Yasmani Grandal FD - C 2800 DK - C 4500 Opponent - KC (Kris Bubic) Park - KC FD - 12.74 DK - 9.46 José Abreu FD - 1B 3100 DK - 1B 4200 Opponent - KC (Kris Bubic) Park - KC FD - 13.42 DK - 10.2 Edwin Encarnación FD - 1B 3000 DK - 1B 4500...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 7/30/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 7/30/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Dinelson Lamet FD - P 9200 DK - SP 9200 Opponent - SF (Undecided) Park - SF FD - 38.05 DK - 21.07 After a night full of aces on the mound, we get a much weaker player pool at the position tonight but short of some high floor/high upside options. The first name that stands out is Dinelson Lamet who currently tops the raw points projections and is coming off a tremendous start vs. the D-Backs where he allowed just five and one earned run while striking out eight and walking just one. This wasn't just a one-off upside game either as he posted a 33.6% K rate last season over 14 starts. With a combination of a price under 10K on both sites and a matchup vs. the Giants bottom five offense has him as my top pitcher on Thursday in all formats. Ross Stripling FD - P 8400 DK - RP 8400 Opponent - ARI (Robbie Ray) Park - ARI FD - 32.24 DK - 17.13 Next up we have Ross Stripling who, like Lamet, had a great start to the season giving up just four hits and one earned run while striking out seven and walking just one. He came in super cheap in that start and crushed value with 29 DK/49 FD points and that is about what we are looking for tonight against a D-Backs team that has only scored 13 runs over their first six games going into last night. Stripling and Lamet are my top pitchers and paired on DraftKings, still gives you an average of over $4K per hitter to fill out your lineup. Catcher/First Base Pete Alonso FD - 1B 3900 DK - 1B 5100 Opponent - BOS (Martin Perez) Park - NYM FD - 13.45 DK - 10.02 The Polar Bear made my article last night and is currently 3 for 3 and while the price went up $100 on both sites, he is once again one of my top PTS/$ bats when paying up at any position. Tonight he faces a weak lefty in Martin Perez who has been pretty terrible throughout his career and got blown up in his first start allowing five runs(4 earned) on six hits while striking out just two batters. Alonso is in play on both sites but his best value comes on DraftKings where he is the 13th most expensive bat on...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 7/29/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 7/29/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers After a night where you could almost throw a dart to pick the best of the worst, we get an elite slate for pitching so let's jump in a look at few that stand out in the system. Gerrit Cole FD - P 11700 DK - 11400 Opponent - BAL (Asher Wojciechowski) Park - BALFD - 42.44 DK - 24.4 Cole is coming off an incredible season in 2019 and pretty much picked up where he left off in his first start with the Yankees on Friday. We went five innings allowing just a solo home run to Adam Eaton while striking out five and walking one. He was also limited to just 75 pitches and should get a full run tonight against an Orioles team that has seen their games against the Marlins postponed over the last two days and were a bottom 10 offense(.308 wOBA, 88 wRC+, 23% K rate) overall last season. Cole is an elite pitcher who we have seen more expensive in worse spots so he is easily the top pitcher for me on the main slate. Chris Paddack FD - P 9700 DK - SP 8400 Opponent - SF (Johnny Cueto) Park - SF FD - 38.78 DK - 21.16 Up next is Chris Paddack who was excellent in his rookie season(3.33 ERA, 26.9% K rate, .268 wOBA against) and like Cole, has picked up where he left off in his first start. He didn't flash the upside with just four punch-outs but was incredibly efficient allowing just four walks and walking just one over six innings on just 81 pitches. Tonight, he gets a Giants team that finished last season bottom 3 in almost every offensive category and are now without Buster Posey who opted out which has resulted in another bottom 5 offensive start to the season. At these prices, Paddack is the likely pitcher in both FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer lineups on Wednesday. A great play in all formats. Catcher/First Base Pete Alonso FD - 1B 3800 DK - 1B 5000 Opponent - BOS (Nathan Eovaldi) Park - NYM FD - 12.91 DK - 9.61 The 2019 NL Rookie of the Year is off to a bit of a slow start but I am not concerned.......yet. It can be expected for some players to push the envelope early in a shortened season and that appears to be the case for Alonso...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 7/28/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 7/28/20 On Monday, things got real weird real fast with the Marlins spiking cases of Covid-19 and having to cancel their game against the Orioles. They've already canceled Tuesday's game as well. But the season pushes on (hopefully) though Tuesday has some issues from a DFS perspective. The pitching situation is suspect at best, a disaster at worst. Let's take a look at some of the plays for FanDuel and DraftKings. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Walker Buehler FD - P 10500 DK - SP 11800 Opponent - HOU (Framber Valdez) Park - HOUFD - 31.84 DK - 17.4 Just a heads up that Tuesday is one of the worst pitching slates you’ll see in DFS and the season isn’t even a week old. But this is the part of the the rotation for some teams that comes just before turning back over to the aces. Buehler is, by far, the most talented arm on this slate and it isn’t particularly close. The issue is he draws one of, if not the, toughest matchup against the Astros. He’s a -150 road favorite in Houston with a 9 over/under which is about the lowest for Tuesday’s games. Buehler was magnificent in 2019, striking out 10.63 batters per nine, walking fewer than two and finishing with a 3.37 xFIP. He’s justifiably expensive on both sites and because of that and the matchup you may decide the juice isn’t worth the squeeze. But Buehler has to be at the top of any list for Tuesday because of the talent gap behind him. Patrick Sandoval FD - P 5600 DK - SP 6600 Opponent - SEA (Justus Sheffield) Park - LAAFD - 30.22 DK - 15.54 See how ugly things got and how quickly? Sandoval does have some things going for him on Tuesday though. He’s the slate’s best money line favorite at -170 at home against the Mariners. Seattle is mostly a young, inexperienced and bad lineup putting up two or fewer runs in three of the first four games this season. In nine starts in 2019 Sandoval struck out more than 9.5 batters per nine and his 4.02 xFIP was a run better than the 5.03 ERA mostly because he appeared to run very bad on the HR/Fb rate. He’s coming incredibly cheap on both sites on a day on which you’ll most definitely want to stack some expensive bats. Look, starting pitching on this slate is a moderate disaster....