DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 8/14/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 8/14/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! This shortened season has been nuts and it's crazy to say that we're nearly a third of the way through the year. That's hard to fathom and it really shows just how important every game is right now. That has me wanting to pick high-floor pitchers and high-upside offenses because these teams need big performances from their aces. With that in mind, let's kick things off with two of them! Pitchers Sonny Gray FD - P 10800 DK - SP 9600 Opponent - PIT (Chad Kuhl) Park - CIN FD - 34.27 DK - 18.13 Sonny for Cy Young? That would have sounded crazy if you said that a third of the way into last season but Gray looks like the stud we remember from his Oakland days. Through four starts this season, Sonny is pitching to a 2.25 ERA and 0.92 WHIP while striking out 35 batters across just 24 innings of action. Those are easily the best numbers of his career and we have to love it against a team like the Pirates. Pittsburgh currently owns a .273 OBP and .601 OPS ,which are easily the worst marks in the Majors. All of that has Gray and the Reds entering this matchup as a -210 favorite. Frankie Montas FD - P 8800 DK - SP 8400 Opponent - SF (Johnny Cueto) Park - SF FD - 35.03 DK - 18.17 Montas took down Player of the Week honors last week and appears to be back to his 2019 form. Dating back to last season, the right-hander is pitching to a 2.42 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. His numbers are even more sparkling this year and he's providing a 9.1 K/9 rate in that span as well. Those special numbers look even better against an offense like this, with the Giants ranked bottom-five in runs scored and OPS since the beginning of last season. That doesn't even take into consideration how pitcher-friendly ORACLE Park is. All of this has the A's entering this matchup as a -185 favorite with a total of eight. That means the Giants are projected for about three runs. Catcher/First Base Joey Votto FD - 1B 3200 DK - 1B 4400 Opponent - PIT (Chad Kuhl) Park - CIN FD - 12.07 DK - 9.09 Is Votto back to being a stud? Probably not, but he is showing flashes this season. A .369 OBP and three dingers in 15 games...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 8/13/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 8/13/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Yu Darvish FD - P 9600 DK - SP 10400 Opponent - MIL (Brett Anderson) Park - CHC FD - 36.91 DK - 20.11 Buckle up for the weirdest slate of the season with six games, all starting at the same time. Luckily, we do get some decent pitching options and it starts with Yu Darvish who is having a fantastic start to the season as he has allowed just four earned runs over his first three starts(2.12 ERA) and just one over his last two starts. On top of that, he is rolling with a 16:2 K to BB ratio and faces a team in the Brewers who are near the bottom of the league in offense to start the year and have an ugly 28% K rate. Darvish is easily my top pitcher on this weird all-day slate. Jake Arrieta FD - P 8300 DK - SP 7300 Opponent - BAL (Thomas Eshelman) Park - PHI FD - 31.13 DK - 15.62 From a PTS/$ perspective, it is impossible to ignore Arrieta tonight who, in my opinion, is greatly underpriced for this slate. He and the Phillies are the biggest favorites(-191) on the slate and while the game is in one of the best hitters parks, Arrieta is a groundball machine and also doesn't hand out free passes(2.4% BB rate). That alone puts him in cash consideration and he has also shown a little upside with a 24% K rate but I wouldn't bank on him breaking the slate. Either way, he is my top PTS/$ option tonight, especially on DraftKings as the SP2. Catcher/First Base Willson Contreras FD - C 3200 DK - C 4400 Opponent - MIL (Brett Anderson) Park - CHC FD - 12.16 DK - 9.17 Despite it being a small slate, we have two elite hitting catchers in great spots tonight but with the risk of Realmuto sitting(day game after night game) plus the discount, I side with Contreras tonight. The Cubs are one of my favorite teams to stack today and checks all the boxes as he hits cleanup on a Top 5 offense and has been very successful vs. southpaws posting a .381 wOBA, 137 wRC+, and .267 ISO in the split since the start of last season. He is one of the top bats on the slate and in play in all formats. Joey Votto FD - 1B 3200 DK...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 8/12/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 8/12/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Kenta Maeda FD - P 8700 DK - SP 9100 Opponent - MIL (Eric Lauer) Park - MIL FD - 32.69 DK - 18.09 Maeda will take the mound for the Twins on Wednesday and has been a welcome addition to the club after being traded from the Dodgers in the offseason. While he has yet to throw 90 pitches in a game, he has been efficient averaging 5.7 innings over three starts where he has only given up five earned runs(2.65 ERA) with a 16:3 walk rate. He now gets a plus matchup against a Brewers team that is bottom 10 in almost all offensive categories including K rate(28%). All things considered, Maeda is my top pitcher in all formats on the main slate. Zack Greinke FD - P 9800 DK - SP 10300 Opponent - SF (Undecided) Park - HOU FD - 34.11 DK - 17.81 At the time of writing this(Tues night), there is no line on this game as the Giants have yet to announce a starter but I am not going out on a limb predicting the Astros will be big favorites here at home. I am not thrilled about paying these prices for Greinke but SP2 is a little muddy on tonight's smaller main slate. The strikeout rate(18.6%) is somewhat concerning but digging deeper, he has improved each game in almost all facets(innings pitched, strikeouts, ER allowed). The Giants are another one of those struggling offenses to start the year giving Greinke a great shot at a win and his best performance of the season. Safe in all formats on this slate. Catcher/First Base Rhys Hoskins FD 2900 DK 3800 Opponent - BAL (Wade LeBlanc) Park - BAL FD - 12.56 DK - 9.28 J.T. Realmuto FD 3500 DK 5100 Opponent - BAL (Wade LeBlanc) Park - BAL FD - 12.36 DK - 9.41 We are back to a non-Coors main slate tonight and the first team I am targeting(you might see a lot of them this article) is the Phillies. They lead all team on the main slate in implied runs tonight as -171 home favorites and a lot of it has to do with the matchup against Wade LeBlanc who was terrible with the Mariners last season and that has carried over to Baltimore. He has given up at least one home run in each start and 11 earned runs in...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 8/10/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 8/10/20 Tuesday's slate has plenty of ways to go with high-priced aces but also a game in Coors. There are a number of ways to go with value all around. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Max Scherzer FD - P 10700 DK - SP 10800 Opponent - NYM (Rick Porcello) Park - NYMFD - 42.88 DK - 24.47 This could be a little risky seeing as how Scherzer left his last start after only one inning against the Mets. It turned out to be hamstring tightness, but the ace will take the mound again on Tuesday against these same Mets. Through his first 13.2 innings this season, Scherzer has struck out 22 batters but also issued eight walks. I suspect the control to settle in as the season goes on and he’s easily the best pitcher going on this slate. He opens as a -140 road favorite against the Mets so the win odds aren’t as high as we usually see with Max. But the K stuff wins out in cash games. Ross Stripling FD - P 8300 DK - RP 7900 Opponent - SD (Garrett Richards) Park - LADFD - 35.49 DK - 19.01 I’m encouraged by the pitch counts on Stripling over the first three games, topping 90 pitches in two of the first three. He projects to strike out right around a batter per nine and has always had solid control, walking only two batters per nine in his 400 major league innings. He’s the best money line win odds pitcher on Tuesday as a -182 home favorite against the Padres. San Diego is striking out about 25% of the time this season though it’s worth mentioning they have the second-best team wOBA to start, trailing only the Yankees. That included a trip to Coors, so the number should come down as the season moves along. Dylan Bundy FD - P 9700 DK - SP 9700 Opponent - OAK (Mike Fiers) Park - LAAFD - 32.16 DK - 17.08 Dylan Bundy has been locked in to start this season, looking like a fantastic pick up for the Angels in his first three games. He’s averaging more than seven innings per start, and has a 12.5:1 K:BB ratio thanks to 10.38 K’s per nine. He’s changed his approach since pitching with the Orioles, reducing the fastball rate to under 40% (55% for his career) and relying more on the slider and other breaking stuff....
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/10/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/10/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Patrick Corbin FD - P 10800 DK - SP 10400 Opponent - NYM (Steven Matz) Park - NYM FD - 35.25 DK - 19.11 It is a very interesting night for pitching in that we have a borderline ace priced over 10K and then a huge gap down to the next highest-priced pitcher. Let's start at the top with Corbin who draws a tougher matchup as the Nats are a slight -120 road favorite against the Mets Top 10 offense(10th in wOBA, 6th in wRC+). I am not overly concerned here as he is easily the most talented pitcher on the slate and despite giving up eight hits and three earned runs in his last start vs. the Mets last Tuesday tallied 21.4 DK points on the back of eight strikeouts. There is risk with almost every pitcher on this slate in some form or another so let's take the best of the bunch and get him into our lineups in all formats. Dallas Keuchel FD - P 7800 DK - SP 7800 Opponent - DET (Michael Fulmer) Park - DET FD - 29.74 DK - 14.53 There are a few different ways to go with your SP2 tonight and Keuchel is the one that stands out the most. The first thing he gives us is innings as he has gone at least 5.1 in each of his first three starts and while it was a little concerning he had just three K's in his first two starts, he cleared that up striking out eight Brewers last Wednesday, going seven innings. Tonight, he and the White Sox are -148 favorites in a favorable matchup against a Tigers team who may be swinging some hot bats at the moment but are striking out over 29% of the time for the season. Under $8K on both sites, Keuchel is a top PTS/$ play on the mound in all formats. Catcher/First Base Eric Hosmer FD - 1B 3100 DK - 1B 3300 Opponent - LAD (Dustin May) Park - LAD FD - 9.11 DK - 6.96 Hosmer made his return to the lineup on Saturday and while he went hitless for the first time this season, the price is too hard to ignore for the consistency we are used to getting at the plate. The matchup may not be at the top of the list against Dustin May but the Padres offense has...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 8/9/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 8/9/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! This slate was extremely tough. We have a lot of good offenses facing decent pitchers and it makes the offensive selections very difficult. With that said, there's one elite pitcher that we absolutely love and one value play, who's got a great matchup. With that in mind, let's kick things off with the NL Cy Young winner. Pitchers Jacob deGrom FD - P 11100 DK - SP 11600 Opponent - MIA (Pablo Lopez) Park - NYM FD - 48.2 DK - 27.15 deGrom is pretty much impossible to fade. We're talking about a guy with a 2.05 ERA and 0.93 WHIP since 2018. That's an unbelievable three-year span and it looks even more ridiculous when you consider his 546 Ks in that same span. All of that makes him a worthy play against anyone but getting to face the Marlins is an absolute treat. This is a team that finished either 29th or 30th in OBP, OPS and runs scored last season and will be lucky to get more than one run against deGrom. All of that has deGrom and the Mets entering this matchup as a projected -250 favorite with Miami projected for just three runs. Andrew Heaney FD - P 7500 DK - SP 7800 Opponent - TEX (Lance Lynn) Park - TEX FD - 34.18 DK - 18.72 I really wanted to ride Musgrove against the Tigers but he was scratched because of an ankle issue. That leaves us with Heaney, who's had a nice season up to this point. In fact, the southpaw has pitched to a 2.35 ERA and 0.98 WHIP so far, striking out 15 batters across 15.1 innings of action. That's the stud prospect we thought he was all along, and it looks like he could be maturing into the pitcher we thought he could be. What we really like here is this matchup though, with Texas ranked 27th in K rate last season and 25th in both runs scored and OBP this year. Catcher/First Base Miguel Sanó FD - 1B 3200 DK - 1B 5100 Opponent - KC (Brady Singer) Park - KC FD - 13.4 DK - 9.91 Sano just continues to be disrespected on FanDuel. The $5,100 price tag on DraftKings is about what he deserves but this FanDuel price doesn't make any sense. We're talking about a big masher who's got .500 SLG for his career to go along with a .255 ISO....