DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 9/26/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 9/26/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! The final weekend of the regular season is always a nightmare for DFS and we saw why on Friday. There were numerous starters held to just three or four innings, making it hard to know what to expect here. That's why we're going to focus on teams who have something to play for, so, let's start things off with one of those pitchers! Pitchers Brandon Woodruff FD - P 9300 DK - SP 8700 Opponent - STL (Adam Wainwright) Park - STL FD - 36.91 DK - 19.7 Woodruff has quietly been one of the best pitchers in the NL this season and we love that his team is actually playing for something. There's only a handful of teams doing that and it makes Woodruff one of the only reliable options out there. Getting a pitcher in a must-win game on a volatile slate is enough incentive to use Woodruff but he's been amazing for the second-straight year. In fact, he's pitching to a 3.43 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 11.1 K/9 rate this season. That fantastic K rate has led to an impressive floor, with Woodruff scoring at least 16 FanDuel points in all 12 starts this season. Getting to face a 24th-ranked Cardinals offense is the icing on the cake though. Lance McCullers Jr. FD - P 9500 DK - SP 8300 Opponent - TEX (Kyle Gibson) Park - TEX FD - 34.76 DK - 18.62 McCullers is a risky pitcher but his upside is hard to fade. We're talking about a guy who has at least 45 FanDuel points in three of his last four starts, pitching to a 1.83 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and 10.1 K/9 rate in that span. That's the stud we love to see and the matchups against Texas is the thing that really makes him attractive here. The Rangers currently rank 29th or 30th in OBP, OPS, wOBA and runs scored. That's bad news against a hot pitcher like McCullers, particularly one who just went seven scoreless innings against them last week. That's why he and the Astros enter this matchup as a -210 favorite. Catcher/First Base Freddie Freeman FD - 1B 4300 DK - 1B 5500 Opponent - BOS (Tanner Houck) Park - ATL FD - 13.98 DK - 10.5 It's hard to overlook just how good this guy has been this season. He was actually in this article on Friday and unfortunately, didn't find his way...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 9/25/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 9/25/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! We're finally to the final weekend of the regular season. It's been an absolute sprint to get to this point and fortunately for us, there are still things that need to be decided. That means most big players should be in the lineup but there's certainly going to be some wackiness as the weekend progresses. That means you need to keep an eye on updates and capitalize on any major value out there. With that in mind, let's get into our Friday plays! Pitchers Carlos Carrasco FD - P 10800 DK - SP 10400 Opponent - PIT (Mitch Keller) Park - CLE FD - 42.54 DK - 23.23 While Carrasco is definitely a great pitcher, this is more about facing the Pirates. This offense is downright dreadful, ranked bottom-three in runs scored, OBP, OPS and wOBA. Their .631 OPS is on par with some of the worst hitters in any lineup and it's crazy that they're doing that as a unit. It's not like Carrasco is some bum either, owning a 2.90 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 10.7 K/9 rate this season. He's actually coming off of his best start of the year too, dropping 64 FanDuel points in seven scoreless innings. That has Cookie and the Indians entering this matchup as a -260 favorite. Chris Bassitt FD - P 8600 DK - SP 7900 Opponent - SEA (Yusei Kikuchi) Park - OAK FD - 32.26 DK - 16.71 This guy really deserves more credit. A 2.57 ERA and 1.21 WHIP on the season is impressive on its own but he's actually been better recently. Over his last three starts, Bassitt is pitching to a 0.46 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 8.7 K/9 rate. All of that makes him one of the best pitchers in this rotation and it's scary to think that he has a 0.89 ERA and 1.09 WHIP at home this season as well. Getting to face Seattle is the icing on the cake, with the Mariners sitting 24th in runs scored, 23rd in OBP, 28th in OPS and 22nd in K rate. All of that has Bassitt as a -210 favorite in this matchup. Catcher/First Base Freddie Freeman FD - 1B 4400 DK - 1B 5400 Opponent - BOS (Chris Mazza) Park - ATL FD - 15.22 DK - 11.44 This dude has been in these articles a lot recently and it's easy to understand why when you see his numbers. For...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 9/24/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 9/24/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Ian Anderson FD - P 9900 DK - SP 8800 Opponent - MIA (Pablo Lopez) Park - ATL FD - 37.32 DK - 20.04 With almost every ace going last night combined with a few on the early and all-day slates, we are left with few options tonight. Rookie Ian Anderson has been a breath of fresh air for a Braves team that has been hammered with injruies in the rotation. He struggled with the move from AA to AAA in 2019 but the jump to the majors has been something else as he enters his final start of the season with a 2.36 ERA/3.51 xFIP and has also provided a ton of upside with a 31.5% K rate. Tonight he and the Braves are -165 home favorites against the Marlins who have lost four in a row and strike out around 24% of the time against right-handed pitching. Anderson is the top pitcher in the system and in play in all formats at these prices. Corbin Burnes FD - P 10600 DK - RP 8400 Opponent - STL (Kwang Hyun Kim) Park - STL FD - 32.33 DK - 17.08 The number two option tonight is another young arm from the 2016 draft that made his way to the bigs quickly spending the entire 2019 season in the Brewers pen with a few spot starts. It took him until mid-August to get stretched out this shortened season but since then, he has been incredible posting a 1.13 ERA backed up by a 2.33 xFIP. He has gone at least five innings in those seven starts and has held opponents to one or fewer earned runs in six of those while recording a godly 37.6% K rate. He now gets a matchup against a below-average Cardinals offense that has been even worse down the stretch posting a .290 wOBA and 82 wRC+ over the last 14 days. Both Anderson and Burnes are solid options in all formats and I love pairing them together on DraftKings. Catcher/First Base Christian Vázquez FD - C 2900 DK - C 4500 Opponent - BAL (Alex Cobb) Park - BOS FD - 10.19 DK - 7.86 As far as catchers are concerned, this is one of the best slates of the year with four guys in great spots and in play. The system sides with Vazquez here from a DraftKings PTS/$ perspective as he...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 9/23/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 9/23/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Trevor Bauer FD - P 11400 DK - SP 9800 Opponent - MIL (Adrian Houser) Park - CIN FD - 40.93 DK - 22.35 Wednesday brings us a ton CY Young candidates and with Shane Bieber in a tougher matchup against the White Sox, I will defer to Trevor Bauer as my top option. Not a bad secondary option as Bauer is having a career-year as he enters this game with a 1.80 ERA/3.31 xFIP and has also flashed his elite upside with a 35% K rate. In his final regular season start, he opens a -154 favorite against a Brewers bottom 10 offense that strikes out over 26% of the time on the season. Bauer is my top pitcher on the early slate(FanDuel) and a top option overall when looking at raw points projections. Kenta Maeda FD - P 10000 DK - SP 9200 Opponent - DET (Casey Mize) Park - MIN FD - 44.54 DK - 24.87 While Shane Bieber is pretty much a lock to win the AL Cy Young award, Kenta Maeda sure made a case for himself on his new team in 2020. Through 10 starts, he has gone 5-1 with a very impressive 2.52 ERA which is backed up by a 2.73 xFIP and he has also flashed some big upside lately with seven or more strikeouts in six straight starts(31.6% K rate on the season). On Wednesday, he gets a terrific home matchup against a Tigers team that ranks bottom 10 in almost every offensive category and have been even worse lately with a .261 wOBA and 66 wRC+ over the last 14 days. Fire up Maeda in all formats. Catcher/First Base Christian Walker FD - 1B 3000 DK - 1B 3300 Opponent - TEX (Wes Benjamin) Park - ARI FD - 8.9 DK - 6.7> The Diamondbacks aren't a team I go out of the way to stack but love some of the value pieces that we can target allowing us to pay up for pitchers(two on DK) and more bats. One of those values is Christian Walker who has been average on the season(.280/.343/.477 slash line) but comes in hot with hits in five straight and eight of his last nine games with eight runs scored. At these prices and hitting third in the lineup, Walker is in play in all formats. Paul Goldschmidt FD - 1B 3600 DK - 1B...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 9/22/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 9/22/20 The MLB season is drawing to a close but there are still games to be played. Let’s take a look at some baseball picks for FanDuel and DraftKings. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Framber Valdez FD - P 10000 DK - RP 9700 Opponent - SEA (Ljay Newsome) Park - SEAFD - 37.23 DK - 19.59 Valdez struggled in starts against the Dodgers and Angels but bounced back last time around against the Rangers, striking out 11 batters in 6 1/3 innings while allowing only a single run. He’s had an excellent season with a 3.02 xFIP and is striking out batters 26% of the time while issuing only a 6% walk rate. These are near ace-level peripherals and on Tuesday he’ll face the Mariners who have the 27th-ranked team wOBA in the league right now. They are a light-hitting crew that strikes out 25% of the time on the season. This is a smash spot for Valdez as a -172 opening money line favorite. Blake Snell FD - P 9200 DK - SP 9500 Opponent - NYM (Seth Lugo) Park - NYMFD - 35.05 DK - 19.21 After getting up over 100 pitches in two of his previous four games, the Rays dialed it back for Snell in the doubleheader against Baltimore on Thursday, throwing him only 72 pitches though that did take him through more than five innings. He’s been excellent in his shortened season with a 3.07 xFIP and a strikeout rate close to 11 per nine. The only hesitation here on Tuesday is that the Mets are a very good offensive team and that could cause some issues. But pitching is pretty weak all around on this slate and Snell rates as the best overall arm opponent notwithstanding. Catcher/First Base Freddie Freeman FD - 1B 4000 DK - 1B 5400 Opponent - MIA (Jose Urena) Park - ATLFD - 14.37 DK - 10.79 Freeman is putting together a monster, MVP-caliber season with just about every number checking the right box. He’s walking (17%) more than he’s striking out (14%), has a 1.084 OPS and has just generally been crushing. Only the power is lagging behind his per plate appearance numbers from last season, but notably much. And this is a near-perfect matchup for Freeman against Jose Urena who has only struck out six batters per nine for his career while walking more than three. He’s the very definition of a below-average...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 9/21/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 9/21/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Luis Castillo FD - P 10200 DK - 9800 Opponent - MIL (Brandon Woodruff) Park - CIN FD - 37.17 DK - 19.43 With Jacob deGrom pulled with a hamstring strain in his last start and likely still not 100% tonight, it makes the decision at the top fairly straight forward here with Luis Castillo. He is coming off arguably his best start of the season holding the Pirates to three over seven innings while striking out 10 and walking just one. Not only is the 3.03 ERA on the season impressive but his xFIP(2.84) is actually lower really backing up this solid season. Tonight the Reds are only slight -124 favorites but the Brewers have only been slightly above league average in wOBA and wrC+ and strike out 26% of the time overall(27% vs. RH pitching). Fire up Castillo in all formats. Lance McCullers Jr. FD - P 8700 DK - SP 8300 Opponent - SEA (Marco Gonzales) Park - SEA FD - 34.42 DK - 18.33 From a PTS/$ perspective, McCullers sits right at the top of the rankings on both sites as he checks almost every box. He and the Astros are -145 favorites in a game that has the second-lowest total(8.0) on the slate facing a Mariners team that ranks in the bottom third of the league in almost every offensive category for the season and over the last couple weeks. For McCullers, he is also coming off his best start of the season holding the Rangers to just two hits over seven innings, striking out eight and walking none. He is my top SP2 on DraftKings with Castillo and also in play on FanDuel if you want to go with a bats-heavy build. Catcher/First Base Luke Voit FD 4400 DK 5400 Opponent - TOR (Matt Shoemaker) Park - TOR FD - 9.49 DK - 7.12 The Yankees are finally getting healthy and that is a scary thought considering how they have performed without Stanton and Judge in the lineup. It comes down to other players stepping up and Luke Voit has done just that and is having a monster season hitting .286 with 21 home runs and 49 RBI in his first 49 games. To put that into perspective, he had just 21 home runs and 62 RBI all of last season(118 games). What stands out the most tonight for the Yankees is the...