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DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 4/21/21

Posted by on Apr 20, 2021 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, DraftKings MLB Picks, FanDuel MLB Picks, featured, Season Long MLB |

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 4/21/21 On Wednesday, we get another full day of games with a large variety of slates so I will be trying to cover it all with my top picks at each position. Let's get started. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Kenta Maeda FD - P 7900 DK - SP 7400 Opponent - OAK (Frankie Montas) Park - OAK FD - 35.07 DK - 18.54 The first thing that stands out today is the low price on Kenta Maeda on the early slate. He enters the day with a 3.07 ERA/3.66 xFIP and while the walks(5) have pushed up the pitch count and limited his overall upside, he is generating a 16.5% swinging-strike rate and the A's are striking out 28% of the time vs. right-handed pitching. The matchup isn't great here but the price is too hard to avoid, especially in Draftkings as an SP2. Tyler Mahle FD - P 8800 DK - SP 9500 Opponent - ARI (Merrill Kelly) Park - CIN FD - 36.08 DK - 19.04 On the main slate, we get even more PTS/$ value(2nd highest on the day) with Tyler Mahle who is off to a great start in 2021. Like Maeda, he has had some issues with control limiting the length of his outings but has given up just seven hits and four earned runs in 14 innings with an insane 39% K rate. He nows gets a plus matchup against a D-backs team that is 24th in wOBA(.291) and 25th in wRC+(80) against right-handed pitching. He is my top pitcher on the main slate in all formats. Catcher/First Base Yuli Gurriel FD - 1B 3600 DK - 1B 4900 Opponent - COL (Austin Gomber) Park - COL FD - 12.38 DK - 9.5 Even a trip to Coors Field is not enough for the sites to boost up Guriel's price making him one of my top plays on the day. Despite back-to-back hitless games, he entered Tuesday with a .358/.477/.491 slash line to open the season and with the team not fully healthy again, he has been hitting in the top four in the lineup. On top of all that, he gets a matchup vs. a lefty and has posted an elite .400 wOBA/163 wRC+ in the split since the start of last season. Fire him up in all formats today. Joey Votto FD - 1B 2800 DK - 1B 4500 Opponent - ARI (Merrill Kelly) Park - CIN...

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DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 4/20/21

Posted by on Apr 20, 2021 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, DraftKings MLB Picks, FanDuel MLB Picks, featured, Season Long MLB |

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 4/20/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Welcome back baseball fans. Today we a wide range of slates on DraftKings and they have also included games one and two of the Twins/A's double-header so keep in mind those games are only seven innings each. Instead of splitting the slates up in the article, I will try to cover players and teams from the entire day. Let's get started. Pitchers Carlos Rodón FD - P 10000 DK - SP 10100 Opponent - CLE (Zach Plesac) Park - CLE FD - 29.11 DK - 14.56 Kind of hard to follow up a no-hitter(almost perfect game if not for the toe-ball) but the early slate of games is pretty weak for pitching. The good news is that the new and improved Carlos Rodon is an absolute bulldog on the mound and all three pitches(4-seamer, slider, changeup) have been dominant creating an elite 16% swinging-strike rate. While I don't expect the same result, the Indians are a plus matchup sitting outside the Top 20 in almost all stats and have struck out 27.5% of the time over the last seven days. Rodon is in play for me in all formats today. Zack Wheeler FD - P 9400 DK - SP 9800 Opponent - SF (Logan Webb) Park - PHI FD - 33.56 DK - 17.64 The main slate has a much better selection of pitchers but matchups(Burnes, Ryu) and pitch counts(Ohtani) also present some interesting decisions. For cash games, I think the decision is clear with Zack Wheeler who is following up his impressive 2020 season(2.92) with a nice start to 2021 as he has posted a 3.00 ERA/3.31 xFIP while striking out 27% of batters and has given up a low .295 wOBA against. He is now a -155 favorite against the Giants who are 28th in runs scored, 25th in wOBA(.290), and 28th in wRC+(82) overall and strike out 30% of the time against right-handed pitching. At these prices, Wheeler is my favorite PTS/$ pitcher on Tuesday. Catcher/First Base Matt Olson FD - N/A DK - 4500 Opponent - MIN (Matt Shoemaker) Park - OAK FD - 12.6 DK - 9.4 The A's bats have really heated up over the last week(.373 wOBA, 149 wRC+, .245 ISO) and are a core team for me on the early slate today. They face Matt Shoemaker who gives up a lot of flyballs(48%) and has been punished giving up three home runs in...

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DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 4/19/21

Posted by on Apr 18, 2021 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, DraftKings MLB Picks, FanDuel MLB Picks, featured, News |

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 4/19/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW!   Pitchers Joe Musgrove FD - P 10500 DK - SP 10200 Opponent - MIL (Brandon Woodruff) Park - SD FD - 37.33 DK - 20.01 It's a short slate on Monday, and with so many games with tight money lines we are in a bit of a bind. If you're looking for electric upside, you don't have to look a lot further than Joe Musgrove. The Padres' burgeoning ace has built upon 2020's break out with a bang, compiling a 1.93 xFIP (and a no-hitter!) through three starts in this young season. Musgrove had big prospect pedigree before being tainted by the Pirates, and appears ready to lean into being an ace in his first season in San Diego. Milwaukee is a fantastic match-up, with the 2nd worst wOBA in the Majors and the 6th highest K rate. Musgrove is a little pricey but should be worth it here. Dustin May FD - P 9300 DK - SP 9700 Opponent - SEA (Justus Sheffield) Park - SEA FD - 33.94 DK - 18.22 Speaking of young pitchers realizing their prospect pedigree, I present to you Dustin May. He hasn't been super-efficient thus far this season, but he's combining his characteristically great ground-ball rate with the best strikeout numbers of his career. It's just 10 innings, but the signs have been there in the past, and he doesn't need to be this good in order to justify these prices. The Dodgers are the biggest favorites on the day against a Seattle team with a top 10 strikeout rate, and on a slate like today that might be enough for cash games. Also considered: Kevin Gausman, if you need some savings. Catcher/First Base Brandon Belt FD - 1B 2300 DK - 1B 3400 Opponent - PHI (Chase Anderson) Park - PHI FD - 9.92 DK - 7.42 People were probably overly enthusiastic about last year's performance from Belt, and they are probably overly pessimistic based on this year's slow start. The truth probably lies somewhere between, with Belt projecting out as a high .700s OPS guy. He's been .080 OPS points better against righties for his career, and Anderson has to be considered below average at this point in his career. It's a reasonable hitters' park as well, and Belt is just so cheap that he helps you pay up for pricier options elsewhere. Carlos Santana FD - 1B 2600 DK -...

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DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 4/19/21

Posted by on Apr 17, 2021 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, DraftKings MLB Picks, FanDuel MLB Picks, Uncategorized |

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 4/19/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Shane Bieber FD - P 11500 DK - SP 10000 Opponent - CIN (Wade Miley) Park - CINFD - 46.81 DK - 26.73 Bieber is *only* a -155 road favorite against the Reds on Sunday, but rings in with the highest projection of the early games. That’s what happens when you put up video game stats for your last 100 innings pitched. In that span, Bieber is averaging 14.5 strikeouts per nine with an xFIP in the low 2’s. He’s one of, if not the, best pitchers in baseball. The Reds have been a very good offense to start the season so this isn’t a total layup for Bieber, but the strikeout upside is nearly in a class of its own. Aaron Nola FD - P 8500 DK - SP 8800 Opponent - STL (John Gant) Park - PHIFD - 40.95 DK - 22.28 Nola comes at a price point a bit cheaper than some of the other stud arms on this slate, but he’s also one of the better pitchers in the league. The righty has a 6:1 K:BB ratio to start the season and has been in command of the strike zone for the better part of two seasons now. He’s a -170 home favorite against the Cardinals who’ve been a bottom-third offense to start the season and are striking out 25% of the time as a team. Freddy Peralta (FD $8500 DK $9500) could be a great cash option against the Pirates. He’s a big, -195 home favorite. Catcher/First Base Rhys Hoskins FD - 1B 3400 DK - 1B 4600 Opponent - STL (John Gant) Park - PHIFD - 12.38 DK - 9.1 Gant has been a reliever for most of his career but shifted to a starter this season. The ERA is fine but the 4.85 xFIP and six walks through nine innings show a guy struggling some with control. Hoskins meanwhile has been very patient for his career but has barely drawn any walks to start the season. Something has to give here and I’m leaning Hoskins in this matchup. He could round out to a .900 OPS guy again if the peripherals tick up some and this is a matchup to get going with. Keston Hiura FD - 1B 2500 DK - 1B/2B 4400 Opponent - PIT (Chad Kuhl) Park - MILFD - 10.74 DK - 8.13 Chad Kuhl has been pretty terrible this...

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DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 4/17/21

Posted by on Apr 16, 2021 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, DraftKings MLB Picks, FanDuel MLB Picks, Uncategorized |

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 4/17/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Tyler Glasnow FD - P 11000 DK - SP 11400 Opponent - NYY (Jordan Montgomery) Park - NYYFD - 36.74 DK - 20.33 Glasnow has been a revelation to start the season, posting eye-popping numbers through his first three starts. He’s struck out 29 batters in 19 2/3 innings with just three walks in that span. The 1.79 xFIP only looks high compared to the 0.46 ERA. He’s just started the season as one of the very best pitchers in all of baseball. This isn’t a great matchup against the Yankees of course, but that’s something of the story with this Saturday slate. There are issues everywhere when it comes to the pitching options. For the early games, just go with the best arm out there. Zack Greinke FD - P 8700 DK - SP 8700 Opponent - SEA (Chris Flexen) Park - SEAFD - 34.22 DK - 17.87 Greinke is only a -125 road favorite here against the Mariners and there could be more than a little concern about what his returns will be. The 37-year-old has struggled to start the season and has only struck out 10 batters through is first 17 innings. It isn’t a velocity issue though his FB speed is down enough off his peak. But he’s made do with that in previous seasons. I think we are buying a little low on him here and I don’t think the righty is completely cooked just yet. Seattle meanwhile has been a below-average hitting team this season and is in the top-10 in strikeouts. This is a good time for Greinke to bounce back some. I don’t mind Sandy Alcantara (FD $8500 DK $10800) in this spot against the Giants. Though the DK price is a little steep. Catcher/First Base Josh Bell FD - 1B 3200 DK - 1B 4800 Opponent - ARI (Luke Weaver) Park - WSHFD - 12.65 DK - 9.44 Bell has been mostly injured to start the season but is back in the starting lineup now and coming way too cheap, especially on FanDuel on Saturday. He’s not going to get back to the 27 home run power we saw in 2019, but this is still a guy with a very patient approach who has walked about 12% of the time for his career. He’s in a decent matchup with Luke Weaver who isn’t as good as his low 2’s ERA would...

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DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 4/16/21

Posted by on Apr 16, 2021 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, DraftKings MLB Picks, FanDuel MLB Picks, featured, Season Long MLB, Uncategorized |

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 4/16/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! We have made it through another week and it's time to get ready for a big weekend with a huge 14-game main slate. Let's jump in and have a look at some of my top plays at each position for FanDuel and DraftKings. Pitchers Jacob deGrom FD - P 11000 DK - SP 11000 Opponent - COL (Chi Chi Gonzalez) Park - COL FD - 51.71 DK - 30 The Mets/Phillies game was postponed due to rain on Thursday so we get deGrom headlining this huge 14-game Friday slate. It has been a typical deGrom run here to start the season as he has struck out 43% of batters he has faced, given up just one solo homer, and has yet to get a win in two starts. I don't get it and it will be talked about forever but we can't fade him on this slate against a Rockies team that ranks 2nd to last in team wRC+(64) while striking out 26.5% against right-handed pitching. Fire up deGrom and hope the Mets can put up some runs(seriously give the man a ONE run) in Coors. **Update - The Mets/Rockies game is postponed** Anthony DeSclafani FD - P 8200 DK - SP 8100 Opponent - MIA (Undecided) Park - MIA FD - 34.43 DK - 18.31 I always try to keep my pitcher allotment on DraftKings to $20K or less(40% of cap) so if using deGrom at Sp1 I am headed down to the mid to low range of salary. The one name that stands out is Anthony DeSclafani who is coming off a rough season with the Reds but with a fresh start in San Fran he has looked much better to start the 2021 campaign. Over his first two starts, he has only given up one run on 10 hits while striking out 12 and that K rate could have some room to grow as he has also generated a 14.4% swinging-strike rate. The Marlins are league average overall but looking at the splits, most of their success has come against lefties(134 wRC+) while they have struggled against righties(86 wRC+) and lacked power(.103 ISO). DeSclafani is my favorite SP2 on DraftKings and an excellent salary saver for GPP builds on FanDuel. Catcher/First Base Yuli Gurriel FD - 1B 2900 DK - 1B 3900 Opponent - SEA (Yusei Kikuchi) Park - SEA FD - 9.5 DK - 7.29 The Astros...

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