DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 7/19/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Yu Darvish FD - P 11200 DK - SP 9200 Opponent - ATL (Kyle Muller) Park - ATL FD - 33.59 DK - 18.86 Buckle up tonight if you fall into the recency bias category as my top pitchers both went into the All-Star break struggling. The good news here is that both were All-Stars and have been very consistent overall. Darvish's short outing vs. the Nats can be attributed to hip inflammation which also put him on the 10-day IL but he is back healthy, with no restrictions, and gets a matchup vs. the Acuna-less Braves. This is also a buy-low opportunity as he is at his lowest price since early in the season. Darvish tops our projections and is my favorite pitcher in all formats. Kyle Gibson FD - P 9100 DK - SP 9000 Opponent - DET (Casey Mize) Park - DET FD - 31.91 DK - 17.27 Gibson bookended the first half with terrible starts(5 ER in each) but the good news is it was the work in between that earned him a spot on the All-Star team. Even with those two bad starts, he still held opponents to two or fewer earned runs in 14 of 17 starts good for a 2.29 ERA which is 5th-best in baseball. He opens his second half against a Tigers team that has won three straight but I am not worried as they rank bottom 10 in almost all offensive categories including wOBA, wRC+, and ISO. Gibson is in play in all formats. Catcher/First Base Yuli Gurriel FD - 1B 2700 DK - 1B 4700 Opponent - CLE (J.C. Mejía) Park - HOU FD - 12.32 DK - 9.45 First article for me out of the ASB so of course I have to go with one of my favorite plays all season in terms of PTS/$ value. I have mentioned over and over that Yuli is having a career year at age 37 as he enters the night hitting .314 with an elite .379 OBP and 137 wRC+. He and the Astros not only get a plus matchup against JC Mejia who has given up six earned runs in three of his last four starts, Gurriel's price continues to sit below $5K on DraftKings making him a core play for me in all formats. Anthony Rizzo FD - 1B 3100 DK - 1B 3700 Opponent - STL (Jake Woodford)...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 7/18/21 - Main slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clickiang the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Zack Wheeler FD - P 11000 DK - SP 9500 Opponent - MIA (Undecided) Park - PHIFD - 38.59 DK - 21.08 Wheeler is having a total breakout of a season, spiking the strikeouts to career numbers and turning into one of the best pitchers in the league. He’s K-ing batters close to 31% of the time and shown elite control with a 5.5:1 K:BB ratio. The Marlins rank as the third-worst offense in the league this season, striking out more than 26% of the time. Even at elevated prices, Wheeler will likely be the chalk on this slate and it makes sense. Hyun-Jin Ryu FD - DK - SP 7600 Opponent - TEX (Kolby Allard) Park - TORFD - 0 DK - 18.98 Ryu isn’t going to dial up the strikeouts much based on the way he is pitching this season. He is K-ing fewer than 7.5 batters per nine which is a drop off from his numbers over the last few seasons. But he still induces ground balls about 50% of the time and limits the walks. The Rangers rank 24th on offense this season and strike out more than 24% of the time. Plus, Ryu comes in as a -235 home favorite, the best win odds on the slate. He’s not available on FanDuel, but run him on DraftKings. Catcher/First Base Darin Ruf FD - OF 2900 DK - 1B 5000 Opponent - STL (Wade LeBlanc) Park - STLFD - 11.44 DK - 8.65 Ruf is having an awesome season with a .952 OPS through his 144 plate appearances. He’s totaled up nine home runs already and is walking an elite 17% of the time. And he’s done real damage against lefties for his career with a 157 wRC+, .401 wOBA and .952 OPS in that split. Those are some of the best numbers you will see. Against a very weak arm in Wade leBlanc this is a great spot for Ruf if he’s hitting in the middle of the lineup. If Buster Posey is back in the lineup then he would be looking like a cash game play as well. Jeimer Candelario FD - 1B 2700 DK - 3B 4000 Opponent - MIN (J.A. Happ) Park - DETFD - 10.51 DK - 7.94 I think we can go cheaper at 1B on this slate with some middle-of-the-order bats coming really cheap. Candelario should...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 7/17/21 - Main slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clickiang the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Gerrit Cole FD 10100 DK 10000 Opponent - BOS (Nathan Eovaldi) Park - BOSFD - 41.42 DK - 23.27 Cole had struggled for a couple of outings, possibly related to the new rules around Spider tack and other grip substances. But he turned right back around last outing with a complete-game shutout against the Astros. He struck out 12 and walked only two over the game, his best of the year. He doesn't get a great matchup against the Red Sox here, but along with Woodruff is just the best overall pitcher on the slate. Alex Cobb FD 8800 DK 8200 Opponent - SEA (Yusei Kikuchi) Park - SEAFD - 35.81 DK - 19.12 Cobb has basically turned into a totally different pitcher this season, striking out more than 10 batters an inning when the career number is 7.25/9 over a sizable sample. And the 3.04 xFIP would represent the second-best number of his career if the season ended today. He’s throwing his curveball less and his changeup more, which is helping and he is getting people to swing outside of the zone more. Plus, Cobb is throwing his fastball harder than at any point in his career as well. It is all working and he has been one of the surprise stories on the mound this season. Strongly consider Tylor Megill (FD $6500 DK $8000) against the Pirates. Catcher/First Base Will Smith FD 3200 DK 4800 Opponent - COL (Kyle Freeland) Park - COLFD - 15.7 DK - 11.66 With the Dodgers playing in Coors once again, we can stack them without wringing our hands all that much. Against the lefty Freeland, Smith should be in the middle of the order. It is worth noting that the catcher has been better against righties for his career, and that isn’t a luck thing either. He takes more walks in that split. But that BABIP definitely is a factor here. If the Dodgers are going to believe in him hitting here, then we should too and he’s just too cheap on FanDuel rolling in Coors. Chris Gittens FD 2000 DK 2000 Opponent - BOS (Nathan Eovaldi) Park - BOSFD - 6.67 DK - 5.13 He’s not a household name, but Gittens has been called into service with the Yankees having to shelve players because of COVID issues. He hit the minors pretty well in his last couple of...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 7/16/21 - Main slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clickiang the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Robbie Ray FD 9800 DK 9300 Opponent - TEX (Jordan Lyles) Park - TEXFD - 36.88 DK - 19.48 Robbie Ray is putting together the season the Arizona Diamondbacks dreamed about for all those years. They never got it and now he’s awesome with Toronto. On the season, Ray is striking out more than 11 batters per nine and has finally limited the walks to fewer than two free passes per nine. He has a career-best 3.15 xFIP which is right in line with his 3.13 ERA. He is a -225 home favorite against the Rangers on Friday, the best win odds on the slate by far. Chris Bassitt FD 9900 DK 8500 Opponent - CLE (Eli Morgan) Park - CLEFD - 40.31 DK - 22 Like Robbie Ray, Bassitt is having the best season of his career, striking out a batter an inning and going longer into games as well. He’s averaging more than six innings per start on the season. The 3.97 xFIP is a bit worse than his 3.28 ERA, but he’s still in a good spot against the Indians on Friday. The A’s are -190 home favorites with an 8 over/under. The implied runs against are about the best on the slate outside of the doubleheaders. This is a great spot to run Ray/ Bassitt on DraftKings. Catcher/First Base Cody Bellinger FD 4000 DK 5000 Opponent - COL (Antonio Senzatela) Park - COLFD - 16.93 DK - 12.62 Max Muncy FD 4400 DK 5800 Opponent - COL (Antonio Senzatela) Park - COLFD - 16.83 DK - 12.4 The Dodgers are going to be a popular stack on Friday with the return from the All-Star Break, and for very good reason. They are heading into Coors and facing Antonio Senzatela in the best matchup and park on the slate. Muncy should be in the second slot in the lineup for LA and is having another fantastic season. His .973 OBA is elite, walking (18%) more than he strikes out (17%) and cranking out 19 home runs already. You have to pay for him for sure, like all the Dodgers, but not paying out the nose for pitching helps here. Meanwhile, Bellinger has really struggled so far this season with an OPS under .600, striking out at the highest rate of his career (27%). The more concerning number is the hard contact rate which is...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 7/11/21 - Main slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clickiang the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Brandon Woodruff FD - P 11200 DK - SP 10000 Opponent - CIN (Luis Castillo) Park - MILFD - 43.44 DK - 24.93 The Reds are a really good offense this season which makes this something of a more questionable play. But it’s tough to look at Woodruff’s numbers and not just basically run him sight unseen. He’s striking out 10.5 batters per nine and he limits the walks as well. His 2.91 xFIP is among the best of the league and he’s running even better on the ERA. He’s been among the best WAR pitchers in the league this season and even with a bad matchup, he makes for the best cash game arm on the slate. José Berríos FD - P 9900 DK - SP 8000 Opponent - DET (Wily Peralta) Park - MINFD - 35.4 DK - 19.47 The Tigers rank in the bottom third of the league in team offense with a .304 wOBA. And they strike out more than 27% of the time as well, giving Berrios big-time K upside in this matchup. Berrios is having one of the best seasons of his career with a 3.52 xFIP that would be his best number over the last six seasons. He’s striking out more than a batter per inning and been able to get the walks back to what he was doing in 2019. He’s a -215 home favorite which gives him the best win probability on the slate. Catcher/First Base José Abreu FD - 1B 3600 DK - 1B 5900 Opponent - BAL (Spenser Watkins) Park - BALFD - 14.73 DK - 11.14 For the second day in a row, you are going to see a bunch of White Sox bats in this writeup. That’s what happens when you get a team facing a middling arm who doesn’t project to strike anyone out. That’s the case with Spenser Watkins who has a low ERA in his first few innings but hasn’t had swing and miss stuff at almost any level. Abreu’s power numbers and OPS are down this season, but that’s somewhat keeping the price in check and he’s got such a good matchup here. Trey Mancini FD - 1B 2900 DK - 1B 4400 Opponent - CHW (Dylan Cease) Park - BALFD - 11.56 DK - 8.79 Mancini hit second in the order for the Orioles on Saturday and could be...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 7/10/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Afternoon Lucas Giolito FD - P 9600 DK - SP 10300 Opponent - BAL (Thomas Eshelman) Park - BALFD - 36.26 DK - 19.76 Giolito has an xFIP more than half a run lower than his ERA (3.65) and is striking out almost 11 batters per nine on the season. He’s a -192 road favorite against the Orioles and I’m only a little concerned about the 10 over/under that opens here. That being said, he’s the best high-upside K guy on this slate. Anthony DeSclafani FD - P 8200 DK - SP 9500 Opponent - WSH (Jon Lester) Park - SFFD - 29.75 DK - 15.49 DeSclafani isn’t as good as the sub-3 ERA would suggest, but he’s still put together a very good season so far. He’s striking out about a batter an inning and has been able to keep the runs in check because he’s a fly ball pitcher in a huge pitchers park. He is allowing a 48% flyball rate which plays perfectly in San Francisco and comes into this game as a -180 home favorite against the Nationals. Pitching is on the weaker side for this slate. Evening Freddy Peralta FD - P 9900 DK - SP 9200 Opponent - CIN (Vladimir Gutierrez) Park - MILFD - 42.29 DK - 24.23 Peralta is putting up huge strikeout numbers this season, putting down 12.5 batters per nine on the season. This isn’t a great matchup against the Reds who have a good offense, but he is still tough to pass up considering what he can get you for the upside. He’s a -190 home favorite here with an over/under of 9. The price isn’t reflective of what he can dial up with the strikeouts. Walker Buehler FD - P 10400 DK - SP 9600 Opponent - ARI (Caleb Smith) Park - LADFD - 40.08 DK - 22.03 Buehler enters the evening slate as a -260 favorite against the Diamondbacks who are among the worst teams in the league on offense. They rank 26th in team wOBA this season and are striking out around 24% of the time. Buehler has seen the Ks dip a little bit this season down to about a strikeout an inning, but he is still rocking decent peripherals. The xFIP is about a run higher than the ERA but he is still a borderline ace. On the evening slate he is the best...