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DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday, 4/20/22

Posted by on Apr 20, 2022 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, DraftKings MLB Picks, FanDuel MLB Picks, featured |

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday, 4/20/22 The opening two weeks of the MLB season have been fantastic. My season-long leagues are cruising, and I've also had some profitable days in DFS. The volatility in MLB DFS can be frustrating at times, but it's essential to battle it every day and just power through the tough times. We haven't really gotten to those yet, but we want to keep our heads down and keep chugging along. With that in mind, let's get started with this Wednesday card! Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Brandon Woodruff FD - P 9700 DK - SP 9700 Opponent - PIT (Mitch Keller) Park - MIL FD - 42.17 DK - 23.05 We're going to have pitchers against the Pirates all season. This club had one of the worst lineups in baseball last year, sitting bottom-three in runs scored, OPS and xwOBA. That's scary since this lineup might be even worse, making Woodruff one of the easiest plays out there. Woodruff threw five scoreless innings in his most recent outing and provided a 2.56 ERA and 0.96 WHIP last season. He also went crazy against this putrid Pittsburgh lineup, averaging 41 FanDuel points per game in their previous three matchups. That has Woodruff entering this matchup as a -250 favorite, with the Buccos projected for fewer than 3.5 runs. Logan Gilbert FD - P 9500 DK - SP 9800 Opponent - TEX (Dane Dunning) Park - SEA FD - 33.9 DK - 18.29 Gilbert worked with Jacob deGrom in the offseason, and it looks like the best pitcher in baseball gave this kid some amazing tips. Gilbert has scored 33 FanDuel points in each of his first two games, pitching to a 0.90 ERA and 0.80 WHIP. We don't believe those absurd averages will maintain, but this kid has the stuff to be one of the best pitchers in baseball. He definitely showed that in the minors, generating a 2.12 ERA and 0.92 WHIP since 2019. Getting to face Texas might be the best part of this, though, with the Rangers ranked dead-last in OBP and OPS last season. The oddsmakers agree with this assessment, making Gilbert a -150 favorite, with Texas projected for a 3.5-run total. Merrill Kelly has been outstanding in the first two weeks and should continue that success against a weak Nationals lineup. Catcher/First Base Vladimir Guerrero Jr. FD - 1B 4100 DK - 1B 5800 Opponent - BOS (Nick Pivetta) Park - BOS...

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DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 4/19/22 – Main Slate

Posted by on Apr 19, 2022 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, DraftKings MLB Picks, FanDuel MLB Picks, Season Long MLB, Uncategorized |

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 4/19/22 - Main Slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Corbin Burnes FD - P 10800 DK - RP 10500 Opponent - PIT (JT Brubaker) Park - MILFD - 45.35 DK - 25.42 Burnes is coming off a Cy Young season in 2021 thanks to just an insane 36% K rate while never really walking anyone. It was one of the great pitching seasons we’ve seen in a while. Things haven’t started quite at the same rate this year, though he’s still been solid in the first two outings. The Pirates have been better than expected at the plate this season, ranking in the top 3rd in terms of wOBA, but it’s hard to imagine that continuing over the course of the season. They just don’t have the bats up and down the lineup. I like this spot for Burnes who comes in as a -250 favorite, the best win odds on this slate. Robbie Ray FD - P 9900 DK - SP 9800 Opponent - TEX (Jon Gray) Park - SEAFD - 43.13 DK - 24.09 Ray has struggled in his first two games as a Toronto Blue Jay this season, walking a bunch of guys last games and not dialing the K’s up to where he was last season. He comes into this one as a -139 home favorite against the Rangers who have improved their offense this season and aren’t striking out a ton. But the 7.5 run line is lower here and Ray is simply coming too cheap for how he projects over the course of the season. This is a guy who’s struck out more than 11.5 batters per nine over the last couple of years and last season finally got the walks under control. I’m going back to the well here on the lefty. Catcher/First Base J.T. Realmuto FD 3900 DK 5300 Opponent - COL (Kyle Freeland) Park - COLFD - 13.97 DK - 10.66 Rhys Hoskins FD 3800 DK 5500 Opponent - COL (Kyle Freeland) Park - COLFD - 14.22 DK - 10.55 The Phillies will play in Coors here on Tuesday with the chance to put up a bunch of runs in the mile-high air. Their 6.0 implied run line is the highest of the day, facing off against the lefty Kyle Freeland. The top of the order will feature some righties on the better side of their platoons and all are in good spots here. From a fantasy...

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DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 4/18/22

Posted by on Apr 18, 2022 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, DraftKings MLB Picks, FanDuel MLB Picks, featured, Season Long MLB |

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 4/18/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Sean Manaea FD - P 9700 DK - SP 9100 Opponent - CIN (Nick Lodolo) Park - SD FD - 37.82 DK - 20.52 Manaea is one of many Athletics players shipped out before the 2022 season and the Padres couldn't be happier to have him aboard. He tossed seven innings of no-hit ball in his first start and while he picked up the loss in his second start, he struck out six and allowed just two earned runs on four hits. He now faces a Reds team that has lost six straight and eight of their last nine and ranks dead last in wOBA(.251) and wRC+(53) while striking out just over 26% of the time. With all the top pitchers in much tougher matchups, it is Manaea sitting at the top of my rankings in all formats tonight. Shane McClanahan FD 9200 DK 8100 Opponent - CHC (Kyle Hendricks) Park - CHC FD - 36.44 DK - 19.7 While he has yet to make it through five innings in his first two starts, there are a lot of positives for McClanahan starting with a 3.00 ERA and even better 2.52 xFIP. Better yet are the elite K stuff he is showing us as he has already racked up 15 strikeouts( 39.5%) and backed it up with an insane 18% swinging-strike rate. The Cubs' offense has been no pushover but to say they are overperforming is probably not too much of a stretch. The other plus of a shaky(ish) start is that the price has stayed in check making him one of our top PTS/$ plays on the mound tonight. Catcher/First Base Sean Murphy FD - C 2600 DK - C 4800 Opponent - BAL (Spenser Watkins) Park - OAK FD - 11.37 DK - 8.56 We almost never mention catchers in our articles but it has been impossible to ignore what Murphy is doing for the A's right now. He comes into tonight with hits in five straight including three multi-hit efforts, two home runs, and seven RBI. I have no issue paying the premium catcher price on DraftKings for multiple reasons starting with the balanced attack I am taking at pitcher, the value throughout the A's lineup, and the fact the A's get one of the best matchups on the board against Spenser Watkins. Murphy is my top catcher on DraftKings tonight and a nice lower-owned target for...

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DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 4/17/22

Posted by on Apr 17, 2022 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, DraftKings MLB Picks, FanDuel MLB Picks, featured |

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 4/17/22 The opening week was bizarre, but we're starting to get back into the groove. Grinding every day is essential when it comes to MLB DFS, and that's tough when we have small sample sizes to deal with. The good news is that these rotations and lineups are finally solidifying, making things much easier on us going forward. We feel like we have a good read on this Sunday card, so let's go ahead and get into it! Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Alek Manoah FD - P 10000 DK - SP 10000 Opponent - OAK (Adam Oller) Park - TOR FD - 39.83 DK - 21.71 Manoah had a fantastic rookie season, and it looks like he's on his way to becoming an ace. The big right-hander had a 3.22 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in his impressive rookie campaign and added a new pitch to his repertoire. He presented it in the opener, holding a potent Yankees lineup scoreless across six innings of action. To say this is a step down in competition would be a drastic understatement, with Oakland owning the worst lineup in baseball. That has the Alek and the Blue Jays entering this matchup as a -250 favorite, with the A's projected for just 3.5 runs. Zack Wheeler FD - P 10200 DK - SP 10200 Opponent - MIA (Elieser Hernandez) Park - MIA FD - 38.28 DK - 20.61 How weird is it to see two pitchers at the same price on both sites? That really doesn't matter, but it's a completely random occurrence. In any case, Wheeler is the most expensive player on the board, and rightfully so. The right-hander registered a 2.78 ERA and 1.01 WHIP across 213.1 innings last season, striking out 247 batters! He showed glimpses of that in his shortened debut, surrendering just three baserunners across 4.2 one-run innings. He threw 65 pitches in that game, and it should have him ready for 80 here. That's really all he needs against Miami, with the Marlins ranked 29th in both runs scored and OPS while owning the worst xwOBA in baseball last season. In his previous three starts against them, Wheeler has allowed just five runs across 20 innings while flirting with a 1.00 WHIP. Nestor Cortes (FD $8400/DK $8200) has been fantastic filling in over the last two years, providing a 2.77 ERA and 1.06 WHIP since the start of last season. That's why he's a...

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DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 4/16/22 – All Day

Posted by on Apr 16, 2022 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, DraftKings MLB Picks, FanDuel MLB Picks, Uncategorized |

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 4/16/22 - All Day Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Julio Urías FD - P 9800 DK - SP 9900 Opponent - CIN (Hunter Greene) Park - LADFD - 39.15 DK - 21.11 Urias doesn’t play until the last game on the slate, but that shouldn’t matter for our purposes here. He’s in a tremendous spot against the Reds, and the Dodgers are the biggest favorites on the slate, sitting at -250 at home. Urias, for sure, had a weird first outing of the season, striking out no batters and lasting only two innings. But I’m not letting that dissuade me too much here going against the Reds, and this is a guy who was a 9.5 K/9 guy last year with an xFIP in the 3’s. The deal is too good to pass up, on DraftKings especially. Hyun Jin Ryu FD - P 10800 DK - SP 8500 Opponent - OAK (Paul Blackburn) Park - TORFD - 34.06 DK - 17.83 I hate the FanDuel price, but the DraftKings salary is definitely in play. He’s the second-biggest implied odds favorite for the win on this slate with the Blue Jays sitting at -233 at home against the Athletics. Ryu isn’t a huge K guy for his career, getting by on limiting the long ball and rarely walking batters over the last few years. This Oakland offense isn’t one you worry about and there’s a chance that Ryu can dial up some swing and miss stuff. Again, we are mostly looking at a DK play here with the FD price a bit out of bounds. Trevor Rogers FD 7100 DK 9200 Opponent - PHI (Ranger Suárez) Park - PHIFD - 32.8 DK - 17.61 Jameson Taillon FD 8600 DK 7000 Opponent - BAL (Tyler Wells) Park - BALFD - 32.53 DK - 17.09 I’m putting these two guys together because I think they are mispriced on FanDuel and DraftKings respectively. Rogers doesn’t have a great matchup against the Phillies, but the $7000 price tag on FanDuel is simply too low for a dude who’s struck out almost 11 batters per nine over his first 166 innings and has a career 3.59 xFIP. Paying this salary on a day with a ton of bats really helps round out lineups. And then there is Taillon who is a -188 road favorite against a weaker Orioles team. The $7K salary on DraftKings is coming a tier below expectation and Taillon...

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DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 4/15/22 – Main Slate

Posted by on Apr 15, 2022 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, DraftKings MLB Picks, FanDuel MLB Picks, Season Long MLB, Uncategorized |

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 4/15/22 - Main Slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Carlos Rodón FD 10100 DK 9800 Opponent - CLE (Zach Plesac) Park - CLEFD - 37.7 DK - 20.91 I hate the matchup against Cleveland but just about everything else is working for Rodon. For starters, if his first game of the year can be believed, then the 2021 stats weren’t a fluke at all. In his first outing with the Giants, Rodon came out and struck out 12 batters in just five innings. It was a lights-out performance that solidified the idea that the changes he made in his approach were going to carry over to this season. Frankly, it was awesome. If he is operating on this ace level, and it sure seems like he is, then the price is simply too low independent of who he has to face while on the mound. The Giants are -153 road favorites in this game with the over/under set at 8. It’s still a good spot and we might look back and wonder how we're ever getting Rodon this *cheap*. Freddy Peralta FD 9900 DK 10000 Opponent - STL (Miles Mikolas) Park - STLFD - 37.01 DK - 20.11 On the other side of this coin was the first game from Freddy Peralta. He struggled some out of the gate, walking four batters in his first four innings against the Cubs. Sure, he struck out six batters as well in that stretch, as a reminder of his swing-and-miss stuff. But the control is definitely a concern. I don’t mind the matchup against the Cardinals here though they don’t strike out a ton as a team (17% this season, fourth-least in the majors). But like Rodon, I do think we are still buying a bit low on the potential K upside just because of his track record. MacKenzie Gore FD 6400 DK 5000 Opponent - ATL (Kyle Wright) Park - ATLFD - 27.78 DK - 13.74 If looking for a speculative play with some upside, Gore might be the guy. He’s set to make the start for the Padres, replacing Blake Snell in the rotation. The 23-year-old has been one of the top prospects for years and this will be a chance to start realizing some of that potential. He has elite swing and miss stuff in his bag and has flashed it in his limited time in the minors. As always with this, there is real risk...

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