DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 4/26/22 – Main Slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 4/26/22 - Main Slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Carlos Rodón FD 11100 DK 10100 Opponent - OAK (Daulton Jefferies) Park - OAKFD - 49.8 DK - 27.75 Rodon had the best season of his career in 2021 and has somehow found a way to improve on it this time around. He’s been an ace’s ace over his last 150 innings or so, striking out close to 13 batters per nine innings and cutting down the walk rate considerably. His first 17 innings in a Giants’ uniform this season have been electric and he gets a good matchup against the A’s on Monday and is a whopping -269 home favorite, the second-best of any pitcher on this slate. This is a pretty easy call all things considered and I suspect he’s the highest-owned pitcher on the slate. Luis Severino FD 8300 DK 9200 Opponent - BAL (Jordan Lyles) Park - BALFD - 37.71 DK - 20.3 After struggling mightily with injuries over the last couple of seasons, it looks like Luis Severino is back now and has had a great start to this season. Through his first 13 innings this year, the righty has a 25% K rate with an ERA in the low-2’s. The 3.26 xFIP shows that he’s been running a bit hot, but you have to like that he’s gone five innings in each of the last two. And now’s he’s a -289 home favorite, which are the best win odds on the slate. I think Rodon is the better play, but Severino rings in as a SP2 on DraftKings and an upside play on FanDuel if you decide to fade Rodon over there. Catcher/First Base Yasmani Grandal FD 2400 DK 4200 Opponent - KC (Daniel Lynch) Park - KCFD - 11.33 DK - 8.34 The White Sox face off against the lefty Daniel Lynch on Tuesday and have one of the highest implied run lines on the slate. Lynch has been mostly below average for his career, failing to deliver much in the way of strikeouts while sporting a 5.13 xFIP over his first 78 innings. Grandal has really struggled out of the gate this season but for his career, the switch-hitter has been better against southpaws. He moves up in the order with the injury to Eloy Jimenez and the price is way down because he’s started so slow. This is a good time to buy. Freddie Freeman FD 3900 DK...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 4/25/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 4/25/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Max Scherzer FD - P 10800 DK - SP 9300 Opponent - STL (Miles Mikolas) Park - STL FD - 42.82 DK - 24.13 Max has gone at least five innings in each of his three starts and seems to have shed the pitch count going seven innings against the Giants on 102 pitches while limiting them to one hit. Not only does he go deep into games giving him a better chance at the win/quality start(FD), but he also provides a ton of upside and comes in striking out 33.3% of batters he faces. In a time when it is very rare for pitchers to go much past the 5th inning or third time through the order, I love locking in the raw points with Max in all formats, especially on DraftKings in the mid $9K range. Kyle Gibson FD - P 8400 DK - SP 6800 Opponent - COL (Kyle Freeland) Park - PHI FD - 34.93 DK - 17.46 If you are not looking to spend around 40% of your salary cap on pitching on DraftKings, we do some decent value in Kyle Gibson as the Phillies are currently the biggest favorites(-193) on the slate. Gibson has also been consistent to start the season with quality starts in two of his three outings with a 27.5% K rate backed up by a slate-leading 16.3% swinging-strike rate. The matchup is average-at-best as the Rockies have been no pushover to start the season but Gibson at a sub $7K price, Gibson is easily my top SP2 if you want to stack a few top bats with a top pitcher. Catcher/First Base Freddie Freeman FD - 1B 4000 DK - 1B 5300 Opponent - ARI (Merrill Kelly) Park - ARI FD - 13.9 DK - 10.47 The first base position is loaded tonight and definitely a spot you are going to want to pay up. Now the question is who to build around and while I don't think you can really go wrong with Vlad or Freddie here, I lean toward the latter. First of all, he comes slightly cheaper on both which could come into play with wanting to pay up at pitcher but more than anything it's about current form as Freeman has been red-hot over the last week with hits in five of seven games while averaging 13.6 DK/17.9 FD points per game. Freeman is our top...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 4/24/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 4/24/22 It's been a heck of a start to the baseball season. We at DFSR are sports degenerates, and there's no better time to get involved than this month. We're in full swing in the MLB regular season and still have you covered for the NBA Playoffs as well. Most eyes will be fixated on basketball, but we're going to get zoned in on this massive baseball card. We have every team in action and all but one game making up the day slate! Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Robbie Ray FD - P 9800 DK - SP 9000 Opponent - KC (Carlos Hernández) Park - SEA FD - 43.07 DK - 23.92 I never thought this guy would win an AL Cy Young, but weird things have been going on the past two years. Ray was rewarded with the AL Cy Young in 2021, pitching to a 2.84 ERA and 1.04 WHIP. More importantly, he struck out 248 batters across 193.1 innings, despite throwing in the best division in baseball. Moving to the AL West has him facing much easier opposition, and it also has him in one of the most pitcher-friendly ballparks around. That makes him a great target for the rest of the season, but we love him against Kansas City. The Royals currently rank 27th in runs scored and 28th in OPS. That has him entering this matchup as a -190 favorite, with KC barely projected for three runs. Gerrit Cole FD - P 8800 DK - SP 10400 Opponent - CLE (Aaron Civale) Park - NYY FD - 47.09 DK - 26.75 We all know that Cole has been terrible through the first two weeks, but it's just a matter of time before he gets going. We're talking about a former Cy Young pitcher who's got a 2.85 ERA and 0.99 WHIP between 2018 and 2021. The most ridiculous thing is his league-leading K rate, striking out 939 batters across 667 innings in that span. That means he could be the highest-scoring player on any given slate, and we're willing to gamble on him while his price is at its lowest. Cleveland is not a concerning matchup either, with the Guardians ranked 18th in runs scored and 21st in OPS last season. He actually threw seven one-run innings while striking out 11 batters in this matchup last April. Clayton Kershaw (FD $10800, DK $10400) has been cruising, and the future Hall-of-Famer should keep that...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 4/23/22 – Main Slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 4/23/22 - Main Slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Noah Syndergaard FD - P 10200 DK - SP 8600 Opponent - BAL (Spenser Watkins) Park - LAAFD - 36.73 DK - 18.87 Ok, the good news first. Syndergaard is a huge favorite in this game, coming in at -228 at home, easily the best win odds on the day. He’s facing off against an Orioles team that ranks third-to-last in the league in team wOBA and who strikes out the at the second-highest rate in the league. The matchup and win probability are about as good as it gets. The issue for Thor is that in his first 11 innings this season he’s only struck out five batters and the 1.59 ERA is a bit of smoke and mirrors compared to the 4.13 xFIP. It’s still early of course, but that is a bit concerning. If he’s going to turn it around, from that respect, this is the matchup to do it. Ian Anderson FD - P 9700 DK - SP 9600 Opponent - MIA (Elieser Hernandez) Park - ATLFD - 35.38 DK - 18.23 Anderson is another odd case here. He’s coming off a couple of solid seasons with xFIPs under 4.00 and an almost a K-per-inning strikeout rate. And he’s facing a mediocre Marlins offense that doesn’t do all that much particularly well. Plus, Anderson is a -169 home favorite, one of the better implied win odds on the day. But he’s also struggled to start this season, striking out only eight and walking six in the first eight innings. It’s an issue for sure, but he has a track record that would suggest this won’t last. Catcher/First Base Matt Olson FD - 1B 3800 DK - 1B 4500 Opponent - MIA (Elieser Hernandez) Park - ATLFD - 13.62 DK - 10.14 Bringing Matt Olson on board in the off-season is already looking like the right choice for the Braves with the first basemen rocking a 1.100+ OPS through the first couple weeks of the season and walking more than he’s striking out. Sure, the .486 isn’t anywhere close to sustainable, but the patience at the plate should mitigate the regression there. Elieser Hernandez has some K stuff in his repertoire, but he struggled with control at times as well. The Braves are in a good spot on Saturday’s slate and Olson is coming a bit too cheap. Jared Walsh FD - 1B 3600...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 4/22/22 – Main Slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 4/22/22 - Main Slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Tarik Skubal FD 7900 DK 8600 Opponent - COL (Antonio Senzatela) Park - DETFD - 33.32 DK - 17.84 Skubal started to realize some of his prospect potential last season and that’s been able to carryover early on into this campaign. Through his first two outings the young lefty has a 10:1 K:BB rate and has looked excellent to start the season. Getting the Rockies out of Coors is a huge advantage here and Skubal is coming in as a -141 home favorite with the over/under sitting at 8. That gives the Rockies one of the lowest implied run lines of the day and Skubal is coming cheap enough on both sites. Running him in cash would give us a lot of flexibility with bats. Reid Detmers FD 6700 DK 7700 Opponent - BAL (Bruce Zimmermann) Park - BALFD - 29.9 DK - 15.24 Detmers is coming as one of the biggest moneyline favorites on the day at -187 and it’s for pretty good reason considering the matchup. The Orioles are one of the worst offenses in the league, ranking 28th in team wOBA so far this season while striking out 27% of the time, the second-most in the league. This lines up real well for the the young lefty Detmers who’s struck out close to a batter an inning through his first 28 major league innings. It’s a bit speculative for sure, but he’s coming so cheap I think we can easily take the risk here considering the matchup and the K upside. Strongly consider Justin Verlander (FD $10500 DK $10500) on both sites. He’s a -172 home favorite though draws a tougher matchup against the Blue Jays. Catcher/First Base Darin Ruf FD 2600 DK 2400 Opponent - WSH (Patrick Corbin) Park - WSHFD - 12.59 DK - 9.46 It sure doesn’t look like we are ever going to get a return to the Patrick Corbin of 2018 and 2019. That guy hasn’t been around for a while and he’s struggled to start this season as well with a 4.79 xFIP, a load of walks, and a K-rate below his career averages. Ruf has stunk so far this year, but this is a guy who’s crushed lefty pitching in his shorter career. He has a .392 wOBA, 150 wRC+ and .927 OPS against southpaws. Run should hit second in the lineup with the lefty on the...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 4/21/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 4/21/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Carlos Carrasco FD - P 10100 DK - SP 9800 Opponent - SF (Anthony DeSclafani) Park - NYM FD - 33.48 DK - 17.62 To say the Mets are absolutely loaded at starting pitcher would be a massive understatement as today's starter, Carlos Carrasco, is the #4 starter in the rotation. After a rocky 2021, he is off to a terrific start in 2022 giving up just five hits and one earned run over his first two starts while striking out 13(33%) and walking just two. All this on a pitch count of 72 and 82 but the good news is seeing it climb each start so we likely see around 90 tonight in a plus matchup against the Giants who are mid-pack in wOBA(.303) but are striking out at a 25.5% rate. The price is rising but Carrasco is still my top pitcher on this slate. Paul Blackburn FD - P 7600 DK - SP 8600 Opponent - BAL (Tyler Wells) Park - OAK FD - 31.51 DK - 16.93 At first glance, it was very close at SP2 for me between Joe Ryan and Paul Blackburn but I am leaning the latter here for multiple reasons starting with the elite matchup. Both pitchers face bottom five offenses but Blackburn faces an Orioles team that leads the league in strikeouts(28%) and 10% more than the Royals. The other thing I like with Blackburn here is when he isn't striking guys out he is creating a ton of ground balls(59%). All things considered, he is my top PTS/$ play at pitcher today. Catcher/First Base Vladimir Guerrero Jr. FD - 1B 4100 DK - 1B 5900 Opponent - BOS (Tanner Houck) Park - BOS FD - 13.79 DK - 10.38 Zack Collins FD - C 2700 DK - C 2700 Opponent - BOS (Tanner Houck) Park - BOS FD - 7.34 DK - 5.44 The Jays lead all teams in implied runs and with the amount of value at both the pitcher position and with the bats, it is not all that hard to build around Vlad in all formats. If not for Ohtani who was doing modern-day Babe Ruth things, Vlad would have won the MVP last year and is off to a hot start in 2022 as he went into last night with a .317/.364/.707 slash line with five home runs and 10 RBI. One of the value plays...