DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 5/8/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 5/8/22 Man, how crazy has the weather been this week? We had six postponements on Friday and another three on Saturday. That leaves us with a couple of doubleheaders and more headaches in terms of guessing weather. The East Coast has been flooded by rain this weekend, and it looks like we could have more thunderstorms here. The skies are clearer than they were on Friday and Saturday, though, which means we could get a full day of baseball. With that in mind, let's kick things off with the pitchers! Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Joe Musgrove FD - P 10000 DK - SP 9800 Opponent - MIA (Trevor Rogers) Park - SD FD - 42.85 DK - 23 We have been waiting for Musgrove to break out for most of his career, but it looks like we're finally there. The former Pirate provided a 3.18 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in a breakout 2021 season. He's been even better this year, tallying a 4-0 record, 1.97 ERA, and 0.91 WHIP. That obviously makes him one of the best pitchers in baseball, scoring at least 17 DraftKings points in all five starts. All of that makes him tough to fade against Miami, with the Marlins ranked 20th in runs scored and 22nd in xwOBA. The oddsmakers agree with everything we mentioned, making Musgrove a -185 favorite in a game with a 6.5-run total. Alek Manoah FD - P 10400 DK - SP 10100 Opponent - CLE (Konnor Pilkington) Park - CLE FD - 34.79 DK - 18.83 We just discussed that Musgrove is amid a breakout campaign, and it looks like Manoah is in the same boat. The right-hander was spectacular in a limited role last season and has carried that over to the tune of a 1.45 ERA and 0.84 WHIP this year. Those are some of the best averages around, with Alek doing that damage against teams like the Yankees (2), Red Sox, and Astros. Cleveland has half the talent of those other rosters, with the Guardians ranked 24th in xwOBA. All of that will likely have Manoah entering this matchup as a -200 favorite! Patrick Sandoval (FD $9100 DK $8900) has a 1.29 ERA and 1.14 WHIP this season and faces weak Nationals lineups. Catcher/First Base Ty France FD - 1B 3800 DK - 1B 4400 Opponent - TB (Ryan Yarbrough) Park - SEA FD - 12.51 DK - 9.54 France hasn't gotten much...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 5/7/22 – All Day
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 5/7/22 - All Day Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Editor’s Note: Some of these plays will be the same as yesterday’s because of the sheer number of postponements that went down in baseball on Friday. Gerrit Cole FD - P 11000 DK - SP 8800 Opponent - TEX (Dane Dunning) Park - NYYFD - 40.66 DK - 23.22 Cole has the best win odds on the day, sitting at -212 at home against the Rangers. He hasn’t been quite as lights out as in other years though he’s still striking out more than 10 batters per nine. But the xFIP is up some and so are the walks. I don’t think there are crazy reasons for concern here, and Vegas doesn’t seem all that worried about it, but it at least warrants mentioning. Cole isn’t going to crush you on the price for either site and I expect he’ll be one of the more popular plays here. Max Scherzer FD - P 10800 DK - SP 10000 Opponent - PHI (Zach Eflin) Park - PHIFD - 37.52 DK - 21.16 It’s not a necessity, but I think we are going to want to go double expensive with our arms on this slate considering there are some real aces taking the mound on Friday. Scherzer has been electric once again this season, striking out more than 12 batters per nine and rocking a 2.61 xFIP. He’s one of the reasons the Mets have been so good this year and he comes in as a -140 road favorite against the Phillies with a 7 over/under. It’s not the best matchup on the slate, but Scherzer is arguably the best pitcher overall so it makes it a bit easier to stomach. Logan Webb (FD $9200 DK $9600) is interesting here. He’s a -149 home favorite against the Cardinals and gets to go in one of the best parks for pitchers. Sonny Gray (FD $8900 DK $7700) is a big home favorite against the lowly A’s and though he’s struggled this season is almost too good a bargain on DK to pass up. Catcher/First Base Max Muncy FD 3000 DK 4600 Opponent - CHC (Drew Smyly) Park - CHCFD - 12.54 DK - 9.27 We’re going to have some Dodgers on this list today, especially for the first leg of the doubleheader against the Cubs. Muncy is having a weird season in that he’s walking at an elite rate (19%)...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 5/6/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 5/6/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Gerrit Cole FD 10000 DK 9700 Opponent - TEX (Glenn Otto) Park - TEXFD - 48.38 DK - 27.56 Cole has the best win odds on the day, sitting at -212 at home against the Rangers. He hasn’t been quite as lights out as in other years though he’s still striking out more than 10 batters per nine. But the xFIP is up some and so are the walks. I don’t think there are crazy reasons for concern here, and Vegas doesn’t seem all that worried about it, but it at least warrants mentioning. Cole isn’t going to crush you on the price for either site and I expect he’ll be one of the more popular plays here. Max Scherzer FD 10800 DK 10500 Opponent - PHI (Kyle Gibson) Park - PHIFD - 41.88 DK - 23.57 It’s not a necessity, but I think we are going to want to go double expensive with our arms on this slate considering there are some real aces taking the mound on Friday. Scherzer has been electric once again this season, striking out more than 12 batters per nine and rocking a 2.61 xFIP. He’s one of the reasons the Mets have been so good this year and he comes in as a -140 road favorite against the Phillies with a 7 over/under. It’s not the best matchup on the slate, but Scherzer is arguably the best pitcher overall so it makes it a bit easier to stomach. Catcher/First Base Christian Walker FD 2400 DK 3300 Opponent - COL (Chad Kuhl) Park - COLFD - 10.15 DK - 7.69 We don’t usually go super cheap at first base, but we have a couple of expensive arms in great spots today so savings with the hitters is going to take precedence. Walker already has six home runs on the season and is on the way to the best power numbers of his career. He’s also walking 10% of the time and getting by despite the .133 BABIP being about as bad as it gets. I think some positive regression in that department and we are buying way low on this guy. Carson Kelly FD 2200 DK 3400 Opponent - COL (Chad Kuhl) Park - COLFD - 9.55 DK - 7.18 To fit a couple of the expensive pitchers into lineups on DraftKings (or one on FanDuel) we are going to need to try and...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 5/5/22(Main Slate)
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 5/5/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Shane McClanahan FD 10100 DK 9700 Opponent - SEA (Robbie Ray) Park - SEA FD - 37.83 DK - 20.38 The days of getting McClanahan as a value pitcher are long gone as he is quickly becoming one of the more dominant ace pitchers in baseball that nobody knows about. He posted a terrific 3.43 ERA/3.23 xFIP last season and has been even better through five starts this year with a 3.00 ERA and a sparkling 1.57 xFIP. That isn't even what stands out the most, however, as he is coming off an 11 strikeout effort against the Twins pushing his K rate up to 39.3% on the season. He now gets a plus matchup against a struggling Mariners team that has lost seven of their last eight games while scoring just 2.4 runs a game and striking out 25% of the time. McClanahan is our top pitcher in all formats tonight. Miles Mikolas FD 9600 DK 8200 Opponent - SF (Logan Webb) Park - SF FD - 29.89 DK - 15.1 Not nearly as dominant from a strikeout and upside perspective but Miles Mikolas has been having a solid start to the year and comes at a nice mid-range price on both sites. After struggling in his first start, he has been near-elite giving up just three earned runs, striking out 24, walking just two, and averaging 39.8 FD/23.3 DK points per game. The matchup doesn't stand out on paper as the Giants rank mid-pack in most categories and strikeout league average(23%) but have lost four of their last five games. Mikolas is my top SP2 on DraftKings and a terrific option on FanDuel in all formats if you are looking to get more bats in your lineup. Catcher/First Base Trey Mancini FD 2700 DK 3000 Opponent - MIN (Chris Archer) Park - MIN FD - 8.64 DK - 6.61 There is no one team that stands out above the rest on this slate but there is one game that stands out with two starting pitchers, more than due for regression, facing off. Let's pick on Chris Archer first as he enters the night with a tidy 2.93 ERA that I do not believe in at all considering the xFIP(4.87) that is nearly two runs higher along with the very unsustainable .200 BABIP against. For the Orioles, I start with Mancini who is at near punt prices on both...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday, 5/4/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday, 5/4/22 Tuesday's slate was annoying with all of the rainouts, but we finally saw some offense! It's been a struggle for most of these teams to hit through the opening month, but the weather is getting warmer, which means the bats are getting hotter. The scoring will pick up as we progress, and it'll be fun to watch some of these struggling bats turn it around. With that said, let's kick things off with one of the hottest pitchers in baseball! Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Justin Verlander FD - P 10800 DK - SP 10100 Opponent - SEA (Matt Brash) Park - HOU FD - 41.86 DK - 23.26 I wasn't so sure how Verlander would look after a year off due to Tommy John surgery, but the future Hall-of-Famer looks as good as ever. The 39-year-old has a 1.73 ERA and 0.69 WHIp through the first four starts of the season. That's the stud we've seen for well over a decade, with JV amassing a 3.31 ERA and 1.13 WHIP for his career. It's not like Seattle is a scary matchup either, sending out a bunch of underachieving prospects night after night. That was on full display when Verlander threw eight scoreless innings against them just two weeks ago. That has him entering this matchup as a -200 favorite, with the Mariners projected for just 3.3 runs. Freddy Peralta FD - P 8800 DK - SP 8900 Opponent - CIN (Vladimir Gutierrez) Park - MIL FD - 42.21 DK - 23.06 To say Cincinnati is the best matchup in baseball is a drastic understatement. Most Little League pitchers would abuse this lineup, with the Reds ranked dead-last in OBP, OPS, wOBA, and xwOBA. They literally have three wins! All of that makes Peralta one of the best plays on the board, generating a 3.19 ERA and 1.03 WHIP since 2020. His strikeout stuff is even more impressive, recording 265 Ks across those 192 innings. That should put him in line to mow down this horrific Reds lineup, with Peralta providing a 0.97 WHIP and 10.9 K/9 rate in four starts against them last season. The oddsmakers agree, making Peralta a -250 favorite, in a game with a 7.5-run total. Elieser Hernandez (FD $7200/DK $8100) is a great punt play against an atrocious Arizona lineup. Catcher/First Base C.J. Cron FD - 1B 4000 DK - 1B 5600 Opponent - WSH (Patrick Corbin) Park - COL FD - 14.06...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 5/3/22 – Main Slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 5/3/22 - Main Slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Brandon Woodruff FD 9700 DK 8900 Opponent - CIN (Tyler Mahle) Park - CINFD - 43.33 DK - 23.56 After struggling to get the K stuff going in his first two starts, Woodruff has started to round back into form over the last couple, striking out 15 batters in his last 10 innings. It’s a good sign for the righty who was electric last season. And on Tuesday he’ll have a chance to improve on that against a bottom-feeding Reds team. Cincinnati is easily the worst offense in the league with a .267 team wOBA, five points lower than the next-closest team. Woodruff and the Brewers are -245 home favorites, far and away the best win odds on the day. I suspect he’s the chalk pitcher here on Tuesday. Joe Ryan FD 10200 DK 9500 Opponent - BAL (Bruce Zimmermann) Park - BALFD - 39.82 DK - 21.84 With Ryan and Woodruff both coming under 10K on DraftKings, I think we’ll be able to fit them in lineups pretty easily together. The Orioles rank 24th in team wOBA this season and strike out at the second-highest rate (25.7%). It’s close to a dream matchup for Ryan who’s been awesome for his first 50 major league innings on the mound. He’s striking out close to 10 batters per nine and has a 4:1 K:BB ratio in that time. The matchup is too good to pass up and the peripherals point in the right direction for Ryan here. Catcher/First Base C.J. Cron FD 4000 DK 5300 Opponent - WSH (Erick Fedde) Park - WSHFD - 14.47 DK - 10.88 The Rockies’ 5.9 implied run line is easily the highest of the day, nearly a run higher than the next-closest team. So we are going to want to have exposure to some of these Coors bats. Cron has started off great in the power department this season, already belting eight home runs on the season with an OPS in the mid-900s. Fedde has been the definition of an average pitcher over the course of his career with a strikeout rate right around seven per nine innings. Cron predictably is doing most of his damage at home with a 1.153 OPS there this season. Let’s fire him up again there on Tuesday. Yasmani Grandal FD 2400 DK 4300 Opponent - CHC (Drew Smyly) Park - CHCFD - 10.69 DK - 7.87...