DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 5/20/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 5/20/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Nestor Cortes FD 10200 DK 10600 Opponent - CHW (Dallas Keuchel) Park - CHWFD - 39.95 DK - 21.84 Well, this guy has been a little piece of awesome this season. Cortes comes into the game with a 1.35 ERA (2.78 xFIP) and has had about as good a 40IP stretch as you’ll see in the majors. The K’s have spiked to over 11 per nine thanks in part to throwing a cutter much more than he ever has in the past. He’s a -214 home favorite against the White Sox, the best money line odds on the day and he’ll almost definitely be one of the chalkier plays for this slate. It makes sense considering what he’s doing on the mound so far this season. Eric Lauer FD 10400 DK 10400 Opponent - WSH (Erick Fedde) Park - WSHFD - 38.12 DK - 20.03 Lauer has been another guy who’s had a completely out of nowhere season so far. His 2.52 xFIP is easily the best of his career, and all of a sudden he’s a strikeout machine. The dude has a 23% K rate for his career, but this season it’s jumped to almost 36%. It looks like there are two reasons for this. The first is he’s just throwing harder than ever before. The fastball is averaging 94 mph when it used to be around 92. And he’s also completely changed his pitch selection, throwing a cutter much mire, ditching the changeup and adding a slider as a bigger offering. It’s working and I think these gains are sustainable seeing as how he’s just augmented his approach. Catcher/First Base Ty France FD 3400 DK 3600 Opponent - BOS (Michael Wacha) Park - BOSFD - 13.12 DK - 10 France has been a sneaky-good hitter over the last couple of seasons and this time around is no different. He’s putting up a .871 OPS with eight home runs already while putting the ball in play around 82% of the time. And facing off in a righty-righty matchup against Wacha is no issue either considering he’s right around platoon neutral for his career. The ISO is lower against righties but the walk rate is higher, evening things out a bit. He should be hitting second in the Mariner’s lineup here on Friday. Dominic Smith FD 2500 DK 3300 Opponent - COL (Germán Márquez) Park - COLFD - 10.02 DK...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 5/19/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 5/19/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Early Jordan Montgomery FD 8100 DK 7800 Opponent - BAL (Bruce Zimmermann) Park - BAL FD - 34.07 DK - 18.16 We have options on this early slate but with some of the top pitchers in tougher matchups, I am going to lean on Jordan Montgomery as the Yankees are heavy favourites here. He hasn't popped off for one of those slate-breaking performances this season but he has been very consistent holding opponents to two or fewer earned runs in six straight starts while averaging 13.8 DK/25.3 FD points per game. The matchup is what really stands out however, as he faces an Orioles team that is 27th in wOBA and 28th in wRC+ against left-handed pitching while striking out at an ugly 28% rate in the split. All things considered, Monty is my top play on the mound on this early slate. Main Zac Gallen FD 10600 DK 10300 Opponent - CHC (Marcus Stroman) Park - CHC FD - 34.75 DK - 18.19 Gallen is arbitration-eligible after this season and is about to get paid based on his early start to the season. He has been elite with five plus pitches and comes in tied with Pablo Lopez with a league-leading 1.05 ERA and has seen an uptick in K's recently with 16 over his last two starts(27% K rate on the season). He gets a matchup against a below-average Cubs offense that strikes out over 25% of the time against right-handed pitching. Even with the high price, I am on board in all formats. Catcher/First Base Early Hunter Dozier FD 2700 DK 4400 Opponent - CHW (Vince Velasquez) Park - CHW FD - 9.54 DK - 7.25 The early slate picks are going to be heavily tilted towards this White Sox/Royals game as both offences get favourable matchups. At first, I like taking the value with Hunter Dozier who was moved up the lineup at the start of May after a solid start to the season and comes in having got on base in eight of his last nine games. He has been better against lefties but still above-average against righties(108 wRC+) and faces Velasquez who has reverse splits and has given up a .458 wOBA to righties. Dozier is my top PTS/$ option at first on the early slate. Main Ty France FD 3200 DK 3800 Opponent - BOS (Rich Hill) Park - BOS FD - 11.64...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday, 5/18/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday, 5/18/22 The fantasy baseball season has been terrific! It's been fun watching these pitchers and lineups adapt to the new environment, but it feels like the offenses are starting to come around. Baseball is all about grinding away night after night, and we have to do the same thing as these players. It's not always going to work out every night, but putting yourself in the best position to succeed should put you ahead of the pack. These articles are a good starting point for any slate, and we love the pitching recommendations for this card. With that in mind, let's start with last year's NL Cy Young winner. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Corbin Burnes FD - P 10300 DK - RP 10000 Opponent - ATL (Max Fried) Park - MIL FD - 41.37 DK - 22.94 Burnes took down NL Cy Young honors last year, but this has been one of the best pitchers in baseball for three years now. CB has a 2.25 ERA and 0.93 WHIP since 2020. His strikeout numbers are even more impressive, recording 379 whiffs across those 272 innings. We love that when looking at his recent form, throwing at least six innings in each of his last six starts en route to a 1.33 ERA, 0.71 WHIP, and 11.7 K/9 rate in that span. Some of you might be worried about a matchup with the defending champs, but they rank 21st in OBP and dead-last in K rate this season. The most strikeout-heavy team facing one of the best strikeout pitchers makes Burnes one of the safest plays out there. Sonny Gray FD - P 8200 DK - SP 6700 Opponent - OAK (Daulton Jefferies) Park - OAK FD - 41.25 DK - 21.95 This DraftKings price is silly. Gray has been an $8K player on both sites for most of his career, totaling a 3.61 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in his nine-year career. That's pretty good, and we love this recent resurgence, registering a 3.49 ERA and 1.16 WHIP since 2019. His Ks have been on the uptick, too, striking out 452 batters across those 381 innings. His pitch count was held back earlier on, but 82 pitches in his most recent outing mean he should be close to a full workload. That looks even better with Sonny slinging a 2.16 ERA and 16.2 K/9 rate over his last two starts. Facing Oakland in a revenge game...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 5/17/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 5/17/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Jameson Taillon FD 8300 DK 9100 Opponent - BAL (Spenser Watkins) Park - BALFD - 32.78 DK - 17.15 Pitching on the main slate is a bit rough for Tuesday so we are going to need to make the best of what we are given. Taillon comes in as the biggest money line favorite for the evening with the Yankees at -230 on the road against the Orioles. Baltimore strikes out the 7th most in the league and they rank 22nd in team wOBA. They are a below-average squad all the way around. Meanwhile, Taillon’s 2.93 ERA masks the 3.65 xFIP, but both are pretty good all things considered. He doesn’t strike out a ton of batters, but he really doesn’t walk anyone either. For this slate, he seems like the safest play, which might not be saying all that much. Dylan Bundy FD 7000 DK 8500 Opponent - OAK (James Kaprielian) Park - OAKFD - 33.46 DK - 17.01 Bundy is coming off an IL stint so it will be interesting to see just how far he goes in this game. That, in and of itself, makes him a riskier proposition for this main slate of games. But again, the options aren’t all that great and even some of the other decent arms are up against tough opponents. The Oakland A’s aren’t that. For the season, they rank dead last in team wOBA and it really isn’t all that close seeing as how they are 14 whole points behind the next closest team. Plus they strike out the fifth-most in the league. So Bundy has the best matchup on the board. It’s just a matter of how long he can last in the game. Catcher/First Base Brandon Belt FD 3800 DK 4500 Opponent - COL (Chad Kuhl) Park - COLFD - 16.45 DK - 12.25 The Giants could be popular plays once again facing off against the Rockies in the thin air of Colorado. Their 6.5 implied run line is easily the highest of the slate and really one of the higher ones you will ever see in the majors. It speaks to Chad Kuhl on the mound against them and their ability to hit pretty well around the top of the order especially. Belt should be in the cleanup slot on Tuesday against the righty and is coming off a 29-home run season. He has four already this...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 5/16/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 5/16/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Freddy Peralta FD - P 9700 DK - SP 10500 Opponent - ATL (Ian Anderson) Park - MIL FD - 37.39 DK - 20.12 All of the ace pitchers were on the mound over the weekend but good news for the Brewers as they seemingly have three of them in one of the best rotations in baseball. Peralta takes the mound on Monday and has been terrific lately holding opponents to just 15 hits and five earned runs(2.08 ERA) over his last four starts with 28 strikeouts(32.2%) and five walks(5.7%). While the matchup against the world champs doesn't appear great at first they are just league average in terms of wRC+(100) on the season and have seen their strikeouts go up recently(26%), as well. Peralta is our top projected pitcher and in play in all formats. Yusei Kikuchi FD - P 7500 DK - SP 6300 Opponent - SEA (Chris Flexen) Park - TOR FD - 31.33 DK - 16.25 One thing that was a nice mix with all the elite pitching over the weekend was all the cheap SP2 options and we get more cheap options on Monday. My favorite of the bunch is Kikuchi who opens as a -165 favorite against his former team who have been trending down in the short term with an 87 wRC+ and 27% K rate over the last week. For Kikuchi, it has been the opposite trend as he started the season slow but comes in red-hot having given up just five hits and three earned runs over his last two starts, both against the Yankees, while striking out 14(33%). All things considered, Kikuchi is my favorite SP2 on DraftKings allowing us to stack some big bats. Catcher/First Base Brandon Belt FD - 1B 3800 DK - 1B 4500 Opponent - COL (Antonio Senzatela) Park - COL FD - 15.89 DK - 11.84 Let's get the bats started with a matchup in Coors which checks all the boxes from a Giants perspective. It starts with the matchup as they face Senzatela who has given up at least seven hits in all six of his starts while tallying just eight total strikeouts. This means a ton of hard bit balls(7+ in five of six starts) and when looking at the splits, we can attack from both sides as he has given up a .400+ wOBA to lefties and righties. For Belt, he hasn't...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 5/15/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 5/15/22 Picking pitchers on this slate was quite the task. There are a million guys worth using, including Justin Verlander, Carlos Rodon, Triston McKenzie, Carlos Carrasco, Nestor Cortes, Joe Ryan, Michael Kopech, Alek Manoah, Robbie Ray, Aaron Nola, and Patrick Sandoval. Amazingly, none of those guys made it into our pitcher section, but we have two guys that are incredible values. With that in mind, let's start with one of the best pitchers in the NL. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Brandon Woodruff FD - P 9600 DK - SP 9000 Opponent - MIA (Elieser Hernandez) Park - MIA FD - 40.17 DK - 21.75 Woodruff has struggled through the first month of the season, but this guy will get going sooner rather than later. The track record tells you everything you need to know, with Woodruff amassing a 2.70 ERA and 0.97 WHIP between 2020 and 2021. He also struck out 302 batters across 253 innings and has flashed a 14.8 K/9 rate over his last four appearances. That tells us that things are headed in the right direction, and a matchup with Miami is the way to get him back on track. The Marlins rank 23rd in K rate and 25th in hard-hit rate. That's why Woodruff enters this matchup as a -160 favorite, with Miami projected for only three runs. Tarik Skubal FD - P 9300 DK - SP 6000 Opponent - BAL (Tyler Wells) Park - DET FD - 36.05 DK - 19.5 Um, what the hell is DraftKings doing here? Skubal will be used in every lineup over there, and it's easy to understand why. This guy has been pitching at a $9K level for most of the season, scoring at least 24 DraftKings points in four of his last five starts. The lefty is also producing a 2.12 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, and 9.4 K/9 rate in that span. All of that makes the DK price complete;y laughable, sitting below gas cans like Tyler Wells, Hunter Greene, and Elieser Hernandez. The matchup might be the best part of this, with Baltimore ranked 24th in K rate, 27th in runs scored, and 23rd in xwOBA. Justin Verlander (FD $10500/DK $10300) has returned to the stud we saw before his Tommy John surgery, providing a 1.55 ERA and 0.64 WHIP. Catcher/First Base C.J. Cron FD - 1B 4100 DK - 1B 5300 Opponent - KC (Daniel Lynch) Park - COL FD - 14.17...