DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 5/26/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 5/26/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Shohei Ohtani FD 9900 DK 8700 Opponent - TOR (Hyun Jin Ryu) Park - TOR FD - 39.01 DK - 21.25 The options up top are not very appealing tonight so let's get things started with Ohtani who easily tops our PTS/$ projections. He has been elite on the mound lately averaging six innings per start while holding opponents to just five earned runs(1.50 ERA), striking out 33% of batters, and averaging 26.3 DK/ FD points per game. I am not in love with the matchup against the Jays but the good news is Shohei is catching them at the right time as they rank bottom three in runs scored, wOBA, and wRC+ since the start of May. All things considered, Ohtani is our top pitcher and in play in all formats. Martin Pérez FD 9700 DK 8300 Opponent - OAK (Frankie Montas) Park - OAK FD - 31.28 DK - 15.55 This is a bit of a flashback season for Perez who has returned to Texas, after stops in Boston and Minnesota and is playing some of the best ball of his career. Since being limited in his first two starts, he has been near elite holding opponents to just three earned runs over his last six starts with a 31:8 strikeout to walk ratio. While the upside is somewhat limited with a lack of K's(20% K rate) he gets a terrific matchup against the A's who are ranked bottom five in runs scored, wOBA, wRC+, and strike out at the 6th highest(24.2%) rate overall. Perez is an excellent mid-tier option to pair with Ohtani and still leaves you lots of salary left for bats. Catcher/First Base C.J. Cron FD 3900 DK 6100 Opponent - WSH (Patrick Corbin) Park - WSH FD - 9.75 DK - 7.33 While it seems wild to start things off with Cron who is the most expensive option at first, he has actually been better than most of the superstars at the position(Vladdy, Freeman) to start the year. Cron leads all first basemen in home runs(12), is 2nd in RBI(33), and 4th in wRC+(151) and while he has been better at Coors he gets an elite matchup that cannot be ignored. He faces lefty Patrick Corbin who enters with an ugly Ag ERA after giving up 10 earned runs over his last two starts and more alarming is the fact he has given up...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday, 5/25/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday, 5/25/22 The NBA Conference Finals have been terrible so far, so we're lucky to still have baseball! There are always good games in MLB every night, with the Mets-Giants game last night being one of the craziest matchups I've ever seen. It ended 13-12, and most of those runs were scored in the final two innings. That can cause chaos for DFS purposes, but it's fun nonetheless. With that in mind, let's dive into this Wednesday card! Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Robbie Ray FD - P 9300 DK - SP 8000 Opponent - OAK (Paul Blackburn) Park - SEA FD - 37.94 DK - 20.56 Ray hasn't been quite as good as he was last year, but it's hard to follow up any type of Cy Young season. The left-hander has disappointed with a 4.77 ERA this season but has a 3.71 xFIP and 27 percent K rate. That means some positive regression is headed his way, and we anticipate him getting closer to his 2.84 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, and 32 percent K rate from last year. We expect him to pitch more like that in this matchup, with Oakland ranked dead-last in OBP, wOBA, and xwOBA. All of that has Ray entering this matchup as a -175 favorite, with the A's projected for just 3.5 runs. Dylan Bundy FD - P 6900 DK - SP 9300 Opponent - DET (Rony García) Park - MIN FD - 32.31 DK - 16.46 This is undoubtedly a risky play, but Bundy is my favorite GPP option of the day. His biggest asset in this spot in his matchup, facing a Detroit club that has one of the worst lineups in baseball. They actually rank last in runs scored and OPS, sitting 32 runs behind the team with the third-worst mark in baseball (123-102)! That puts any pitcher in play against them, particularly a talented guy like Bundy. The Twins righty has a 3.16 ERA this season and a 23 percent career K rate. Those two tell you that this guy has some serious upside in this matchup, mainly since he's a -190 favorite in a game with a 7.5-run total. Julio Urías (FD $9800 DK $8600) has been terrible recently, but a matchup as a -230 favorite against a bad Washington lineup might be the way to get him back on track. Catcher/First Base Freddie Freeman FD - 1B 3800 DK - 1B 5700 Opponent - WSH...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 5/24/22 – Main Slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 5/24/22 - Main Slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Corbin Burnes FD 10600 DK 10100 Opponent - SD (Blake Snell) Park - SDFD - 43.31 DK - 24.61 On a day that has a bunch of solid pitching options, Burnes is the best of the bunch and continues to just put up elite numbers across the board. The K rate is down off his career average, but this is still a guy who strikes out batters at a 32% clip and this year is walking fewer guys than at any point in this run. The knock on him here has less to do with him and more to do with the opponent. Even though their team wOBA is in the bottom third, this is still a good offense at the top and Burnes is really at even win odds for the day. That does cut into his projection some. Sonny Gray FD 8200 DK 6800 Opponent - DET (Beau Brieske) Park - DETFD - 37.32 DK - 19.56 If looking for some better win odds, Sonny Gray could fit the bill considering he’s coming in as a -217 home favorite against the Tigers on Tuesday. Gray has flashed elite upside K stuff over the last few years with his issue being around the control. He still walks far too many guys (almost four per nine this season) which can cut into his overall innings. But the Tigers rank second-to-last in team wOBA this season, making them one of the better matchups for an opposing pitcher. Gray is a fantastic deal on DraftKings especially. As I said, there are a number of good arms to pick from today. Kevin Gausman (FD $9400 DK $9500) has had a fantastic move back to the AL East and has struck out 57 batters this season while walking only three. Walker Buehler (FD $9800 DK $9200) has a good matchup, but the K’s have fallen off some this season. George Kirby (FD $7000 DK $6000) gets to face off against the league’s worst offense in the A’s and does project to have some major league K stuff. He’s a solid DK SP2 flyer and is close to a cash play considering the price. Catcher/First Base Pavin Smith FD 2300 DK 3400 Opponent - KC (Jonathan Heasley) Park - KCFD - 10.36 DK - 7.94 The Diamondbacks have one of the better team implied run totals on the day at 5.0 and...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 5/23/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 5/23/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Gerrit Cole FD - P 11000 DK - SP 10500 Opponent - BAL (Jordan Lyles) Park - NYY FD - 49.53 DK - 28.1 We didn't see the big upside game from Cole in his last start(5 K's) as we had projected but he was efficient in holding the Orioles to just two runs en route to his fourth win in his last five starts. Cole has been elite during that stretch posting a 1.67 ERA backed up by a 2.22 xFIP and 30% K rate. Tonight he gets another crack at this Orioles lineup that has dropped eight of their last 10 games while scoring under three runs per game. Cole is our top projected pitcher and an elite play in all formats. Tyler Anderson FD 9000 DK 9400 Opponent - WSH (Joan Adon) Park - WSH FD - 33.39 DK - 17.27 There is not a whole lot of value on the mound tonight so a large portion of my salary cap will be going towards pitching. Anderson has seen his price reach a season-high but it is justified as he has started the season 4-0 and outside of one start, has been very consistent holding opponents to two or fewer earned runs in six of his seven appearances. The upside is somewhat limited as he strikes out just 23% of batters while facing a Nats team that K's under 20% as a team but he and the Dodgers are huge -225 favourites against an offence who is struggling to score runs. Fire up Anderson in all formats tonight. Catcher/First Base Anthony Rizzo FD - 1B 3800 DK - 1B 5100 Opponent - BAL (Jordan Lyles) Park - NYY FD - 13.24 DK - 9.95 The Yankees' offence once again gets the best matchup on the board Monday as they face Jordan Lyles for the fourth time already this season tagging him for eight earned runs over the last two meetings. Lyles has also really struggled against lefties giving up a .376 wOBA and four of his five home runs on the season. While Rizzo went into Sunday hitting just .230 on the season, he has been very productive for fantasy with a 147 wRC+, 10 home runs, 25 RBI, and 25 runs scored. He is my top play at first base in all formats tonight. Ty France FD 3400 DK 3700 Opponent - OAK (Zach Logue) Park...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 5/22/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 5/22/22 This weekend has been wild. The amount of sports we have right now is mind-blowing, but we're going to keep grinding away in MLB. This sport is the biggest grind of them all, but it's the most rewarding if you stay with it. We've been doing that at DFSR and feel like we have an excellent read on the baseball landscape. The one thing we don't have a good read on is the weather, but who does? It's actually been snowing here in Denver and raining all over the east coast. Just be sure to check weather reports before submitting lineups! Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Freddy Peralta FD - P 10500 DK - SP 10500 Opponent - WSH (Aaron Sanchez) Park - MIL FD - 34.83 DK - 18.91 The Brewers have quietly developed the best rotation in baseball, and Peralta is a significant reason why. The right-hander has a 2.95 ERA and 0.99 WHIP since the beginning of last season, striking out 243 batters across 180 innings. Those strikeout numbers are some of the best you'll see, and it's clear that Peralta is developing into an ace. The matchup with Washington is wonderful, too, with the Nationals ranked 19th in wOBA and 20th in runs scored. That was clear when Freddy threw seven one-run innings in their most recent matchup en route to 49 FanDuel points. We obviously don't mind that Peralta enters this matchup as a -250 favorite, either. Patrick Sandoval FD - P 9500 DK - SP 9300 Opponent - OAK (Zach Logue) Park - LAA FD - 34.32 DK - 18.13 Sandoval was one of my top picks to break out this season, and it's hard to understand why more people weren't on him. This guy had a 3.31 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, and 10.3 K/9 rate over the final 12 starts of last season and has been even better this year behind a 1.91 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. It's his change-up that's gotten him to this point, and the A's won't be able to produce against him. The Athletics rank bottom-two in runs scored, OBP, OPS, and xwOBA. All of that has Sandoval entering this matchup as a -200 favorite, with Oakland projected for just 3.5 runs. Jose Urquidy (FD $7400 DK $6500) has seen his price drop massively with some horrific outings, but he still has a career WHIP sitting around 1.05. That should be much easier to duplicate...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 5/21/22 – All Day
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 5/21/22 - All Day Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Brandon Woodruff FD - P 9500 DK - SP 9500 Opponent - WSH (Patrick Corbin) Park - MILFD - 40.12 DK - 21.65 Don’t let the 5.35 ERA fool you, he’s been much better than this for the season and has run bad in a few key areas. He’s actually still striking out batters at a 29% clip for the season and the 3.39 xFIP is almost two full runs lower than the ERA. He has a BABIP against that’s 50 points higher than his career average and the 61% LOB is well below his career average as well. That’s a lot of bad luck in there and going to keep some folks away. But don’t worry about it. He’s been a solid pitcher this season and the matchup works for cash games as well. The Nationals have been terrible this season. Nestor Cortes FD 10200 DK 10600 Opponent - CHW (Dallas Keuchel) Park - CHWFD - 39.95 DK - 21.84 Well, this guy has been a little piece of awesome this season. Cortes comes into the game with a 1.35 ERA (2.78 xFIP) and has had about as good a 40IP stretch as you’ll see in the majors. The K’s have spiked to over 11 per nine thanks in part to throwing a cutter much more than he ever has in the past. He’s a -214 home favorite against the White Sox, the best money line odds on the day and he’ll almost definitely be one of the chalkier plays for this slate. It makes sense considering what he’s doing on the mound so far this season. Justin Verlander (FD $10800 DK $10300) is looking like a strong option for the evening slate. Catcher/First Base Ji-Man Choi FD 2600 DK 3800 Opponent - BAL (Kyle Bradish) Park - BALFD - 11.08 DK - 8.27 We have to try and find some cheaper options at the plate because there are some superstars we are going to want to pay for later. Choi helps with some of the salary concerns, especially on FanDuel where he’s coming at only $2600. He’s striking out a lot this season (33%) but the 14% walk rate plays and he still has an OPS in the mid-700s. Kyle Bradish does have some K stuff in his bag, which is a bit of a concern, but Choi is significantly better for his career against...