DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 6/13/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 6/13/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Alek Manoah FD - P 10800 DK - SP 9800 Opponent - BAL (Kyle Bradish) Park - TOR FD - 42.46 DK - 22.8 To say Alek Manoah has lived up to the hype of being drafted 11th overall just three years ago would be a huge understatement. He is now 16-3 in 31 major league starts and while he has lost some of the elite K upside we saw last year, he has more than made up for it with control walking just 4.8% of batters(10th best in baseball) which has resulted in an elite 1.81 ERA(3rd best). It is about the matchup tonight as he faces a below-average Orioles offence and is the biggest favourite on the slate(-308). With pricing, there is a more challenging decision to make on FanDuel for top pitcher but on DraftKings, back under $10K, Manoah is my top arm on this slate. Alex Wood FD - P 8600 DK - SP 8300 Opponent - KC (Brady Singer) Park - SF FD - 29.69 DK - 15.59 The Giants are carrying a ton of momentum into Monday after sweeping the Dodgers over the weekend and look to stay hot at home against the AL's worst team. Alex Wood takes the bump and has been working hard on lowering that ERA(4.23) lately as he has allowed just three earned runs over his last two starts, also lowering his xFIP to a very promising 3.12 on the season meaning more positive regression is likely on its way. There isn't a ton of upside here as the Royals don't K a lot, especially against lefties(17.7%) but we are getting the second-biggest favourite on the slate at a mid $8K price tag making Wood my top SP2 on DraftKings in all formats and in serious consideration as top cash pitcher on FanDuel. Catcher/First Base Matt Olson FD 3500 DK 4700 Opponent - WSH (Josiah Gray) Park - WSH FD - 11.69 DK - 8.71 There is no shortage of plays at first base tonight and as much as I want to load up on Vlad here(I am a homer), I can't ignore the price tag on Olson. While the average(.251) is still not where he would like it, he has been better recently, especially from a fantasy production standpoint with six doubles, three home runs, and 15 RBI over the last two weeks. What really stands out is...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 6/12/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 6/12/22 This might be an unpopular opinion, but the baseball grind is what I love most about the sport. Looking at players' stats daily and adapting to different matchups is my favorite thing when it comes to baseball, and it has me excited every day to do some box score research. It also feels beneficial from a DFS perspective because every day feels like a new season of its own. Approaching DFS with a clean slate every day is the best way to approach this racket, and I'm ready to keep rolling here! Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Justin Verlander FD - P 10900 DK - SP 10500 Opponent - MIA (Edward Cabrera) Park - HOU FD - 39.68 DK - 21.96 What this old man is doing is unbelievable. It would have been easy for this guy to hang up his cleats after Tommy John surgery at 37, but this dude has come back as good as ever. The perennial All-Star leads all players on this slate with 24 DraftKings points per game, thanks to a 2.14 ERA and 0.84 WHIP. Those are obviously some of the best ratios in baseball, with JV dropping a season-high 37 fantasy points in his most recent outing. A matchup with Miami is marvelous, too, with the Marlins ranked near the bottom of every offensive metric. A Coors Field series in which they scored 26 runs in two days inflated their numbers, but this is one of the worst offenses in baseball. We also love that Verlander enters this matchup as a -230 favorite, with Miami projected for only three runs. Kyle Wright FD - P 10500 DK - SP 10100 Opponent - PIT (José Quintana) Park - ATL FD - 42.12 DK - 23.03 Wright looks to be in the midst of a breakout season. The Braves righty has a 2.39 ERA and 1.02 WHIP, striking out 71 batters across 67 innings. He's been even better recently, totaling a 1.69 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, and 9.0 K/9 rate over his last five starts. All of that is horrifying news for the Pirates, with Pittsburgh sitting 29th in runs scored, 28th in OPS, and 27th in wOBA. The oddsmakers agree with our assessment, making Wright a -250 favorite in this matchup, with the Pirates projected for just 3.5 runs. These two pitchers are easily the safest options on the board! Michael Kopech (FD $9200 DK $8100) has a 1.94 ERA...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 6/11/22(Early Slate)
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 6/11/22(Early Slate) Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Zack Wheeler FD 10500 DK 10100 Opponent - ARI (Madison Bumgarner) Park - ARI FD - 37.08 DK - 19.99 The early slate is loaded at the top when looking at pitching with both Gausman and Wheeler in great spots but I am leaning slightly leaning the latter as my top choice. Both get terrific matchup but Wheeler takes the mound at home and has been more consistent in the short term. Over his last seven starts, he is averaging over six innings per outing, has allowed just eight earned runs(1.61 ERA/2.60 xFIP) and has struck out seven in each of those starts(32%). He now faces a below-average Dbacks offence that strikes out 25% of the time(2nd most overall). Fire up Wheeler in all formats today. Zach Plesac FD 8100 DK 6500 Opponent - OAK (Frankie Montas) Park - OAK FD - 32.08 DK - 15.85 There is a path to paying up for both pitchers on DraftKings on this slate but I prefer the value route to help get more bats and Plesac is the one that stands out. After a rough start in Houston(7 ER), he has bounced back in a huge way allowing just two earned runs over his last two starts with 13 strikeouts while hitting at least 3x value at these prices in both. Yes, those were against lesser competition(BAL, KC) but the good news is that he gets another top matchup today facing an A's team that ranks dead last in wOBA and 2nd last in wRC+ against right-handed pitching with a 24.4% K rate. Please is easily our top PTS/$ value arm on this slate. Catcher/First Base Matt Olson FD 3600 DK 5300 Opponent - PIT (Zach Thompson) Park - PIT FD - 12.6 DK - 9.38 The Braves have gone from massively underpriced on DraftKings to one of the most expensive teams in the course of about a week. They sit with the highest implied total today and they are our top team to target in all formats. It starts with Matt Olson who has hits in five of six games since being moved back to the cleanup spot and overall has hits in 10 of his last 12 games with six doubles and two home runs. It is very close at the top with Vladdy and Olson both in good spots here but I lean toward the latter who comes...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 6/10/22 – Main Slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 6/10/22 - Main Slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Joe Musgrove FD 10900 DK 10500 Opponent - COL (Chad Kuhl) Park - COLFD - 39.93 DK - 21.61 Musgrove is in an excellent spot on Friday and could end up being one of the most popular pitchers on the slate. He’s facing the Rockies at home as a -264 favorite. Colorado, away from Coors, is one of the worst hitting teams in the league with a .284 team wOBA. Meanwhile, Musgrove has been ultra-efficient this season, with a 4.6:1 K:BB ratio while averaging more than 6.5 innings per start. He’s not as good as the 1.64 ERA would suggest, but he fits the bill for what we are looking for in a cash game pitcher on Friday. Luis Severino FD 10200 DK 10300 Opponent - CHC (Wade Miley) Park - CHCFD - 37.98 DK - 20.48 I suppose folks will be going back and forth between Musgrove and Severino in this price tier for Friday, and that makes sense. In terms of projection, they are very similar and have a lot of the same factors working in their favor. Severino is a -250 home favorite against the Cubs and has been striking out batters at an almost 10Ks/ 9 clip. He doesn’t go as deep into games as Musgrove, but he has more swing and miss stuff. Putting them together on DraftKings might be tough, especially when it comes to fitting in bats. Catcher/First Base Vladimir Guerrero Jr. FD 4000 DK 5400 Opponent - DET (Elvin Rodriguez) Park - DETFD - 13.54 DK - 10.19 The Blue Jays have one of the highest implied run lines on the day facing off against the Tigers and Elvin Rodriguez. The righty Rodriguez has gotten rocked in his first 16 major league innings and things have looked bad on that front for the 24-year-old. Meanwhile, Guerrero isn’t having the same kind of season he did the last time around when he was one of the best hitters in the league, but he’s running about 60 points off his average BABIP. He still has 13 home runs on the year and walks more than 11% of the time. He’s an excellent pay-up option in this matchup. MJ Melendez FD 2600 DK 3900 Opponent - BAL (Bruce Zimmermann) Park - BALFD - 11.48 DK - 8.67 Melendez should be hitting in the middle of the Royals’ order when they face the...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 6/9/22(Main Slate)
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 6/9/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Gerrit Cole FD - P 10800 DK - SP 10400 Opponent - MIN (Dylan Bundy) Park - MIN FD - 34.49 DK - 19.41 We have a ton of pitching options on this main slate tonight and I will start with a pitcher in Cole who provides an elite floor for multiple reasons. First of all, the Yankees are almost always -200 or great favourites when he is on the mound and he has completed six or more innings in eight straight starts giving him huge win equity. Then we look at the strikeouts and see he has tallied nine or more in three straight and six of his last eight starts with an elite 33% K rate. The matchup is average-at-best as the Twins are a Top 10 team against right-handed pitching but we are getting an elite pitcher whose price is trending back down. I will have exposure in all formats. Nick Pivetta FD - P 9100 DK - SP 8400 Opponent - LAA (Shohei Ohtani) Park - LAA FD - 31.45 DK - 16.52 After not making it through five innings in any of his first five starts, Pivetta has been elite over his last six going 6+ innings in each while allowing one or fewer earned runs in five of those starts for a 1.32 ERA. He is never going to give you that ultimate K upside but does have five or more in seven of his last eight with 7+ three times. What stands out the most here is the matchup against the struggling Angels who, going into Wednesday night, had lost 13 straight games while scoring just over three per game and striking out 24.9% of the time(2nd most in that time). With Mike Trout likely to miss his second straight game, Pivetta is our top PTS/$ pitcher on this slate. Also Consider: Max Fried(ATL) who is a big home favourite against a bottom-five Pirates offence or for more value Connor Pilkington(PHI) who is a home favourite against another bottom-five offence Catcher/First Base Matt Olson FD - 1B 3600 DK - 1B 5300 Opponent - PIT (JT Brubaker) Park - ATL FD - 13.18 DK - 9.81 The Braves have been red-hot winning seven straight games and have been carried by the offence that is scoring 7.4 runs per game during that stretch. For Olson, it has been a slow start to his tenure...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday, 6/8/22 – Main Slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday, 6/8/22 I was feeling risky yesterday, and it led to some of my strangest lineup construction ever. I decided to go with the two cheapest pitchers on DraftKings in German Marquez and Kyle Bradish, and it led to a min-cash day. Experimenting like that is something that everyone should do at different times because it's interesting to see how different lineups can play out. We definitely won't be doing that here because we have one of the top AL Cy Young candidates as our first recommendation. With that in mind, let's kick things off with the best Bieber that I know. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Shane Bieber FD - P 9700 DK - SP 9600 Opponent - TEX (Dane Dunning) Park - CLE FD - 38.22 DK - 20.77 It's strange that Bieber is still below $10K. This guy has been one of the best pitchers in baseball since his call-up, and it's clear these sites are still concerned about his early-season struggles. They shouldn't be, with Shane allowing three runs or fewer in nine of his 10 starts. The one dud was against Toronto, and that's an offense that's blown up numerous pitcher's ERAs and WHIPs. Outside of that stinker, Bieber has a 2.20 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, and 9.7 K/9 rate. He's also got at least 25 DraftKings points in each of his last three starts, one of the best stretches of his career. The matchup with Texas is tremendous, too, with the Rangers ranked 28th in OBP, 22nd in OPS, and 24th in wOBA. Ian Anderson FD - P 7700 DK - SP 6400 Opponent - OAK (Jared Koenig) Park - ATL FD - 33.14 DK - 16.91 Anderson is amid a sophomore slump, but this guy is too good to be this cheap. We're talking about a pitcher with a 3.61 ERA and 1.25 WHIP since his call-up late in 2020, showing some elite stuff in their most recent playoff run. This highly-touted prospect has been the victim of some tough matchups this season, but Oakland is possibly the best matchup in baseball. The A's rank bottom-three in runs scored, OBP, OPS, wOBA, and xwOBA this season, scoring two runs or fewer in six of their last seven games. The oddsmakers would say this is the best per-dollar play on the board, with Anderson entering this matchup as a -250 favorite, with Oakland projected for just 3.5 runs. Nestor Cortes (FD $11000...