DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 7/7/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 7/7/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Dylan Cease FD 10400 DK 9800 Opponent - DET (Beau Brieske) Park - DET FD - 44.59 DK - 24.74 There are some elite arms on this slate but Cease gets the edge as our top guy and it almost entirely comes down to matchup. While the Tigers have been much better in the short term(won four straight), they still rank bottom three in almost every statistical category on the season and have been slightly worse against right-handed pitching, as well. For Cease, he has been in the AL Cy Young conversation all season and has been especially good as of late holding opponents to just two earned runs over his last eight starts(.46 ERA) with a 33.1% K rate. Fire up Cease in all formats tonight, especially on DraftKings where he remains under $10K. Joe Musgrove FD 11100 DK 9700 Opponent - SF (Logan Webb) Park - SF FD - 40.65 DK - 21.73 The projections and optimizer already love paying up for both pitchers on DraftKings and with a real lack of value on the mound, it is really hammering that home tonight. Much like Cease, Musgrove is having a breakout season with some eye-popping numbers starting with his stamina as he has gone into the 6th inning in all 14 starts. Then it's the consistency that stands out as he has held opponents to two or fewer earned runs in 12 of those starts(2.25 ERA) and he has also flashed big upside with 7+ strikeouts eight times. To cap it off, he comes at a sub $10K price tag on DraftKings and faces a struggling Giants team that is striking out over 24% over the last two weeks. Fire up Misgrove in all formats. Catcher/First Base C.J. Cron FD 4400 DK 5000 Opponent - ARI (Dallas Keuchel) Park - ARI FD - 14.13 DK - 10.62 We aren't normally targeting the Rockies' bats outside of Coors that is unless they are facing a lefty as they lead the league in wOBA(.354) in the split. Not only that, they get the best matchup on the board against Dallas Keuchel who has given up four or more earned runs in four straight starts(22 total). Cron is the most expensive bat on the team but still underpriced considering he is having an All-Star season hitting .297 with 20 home runs, 65 RBI, and an elite .382 wOBA. All things considered,...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday, 7/6/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday, 7/6/22 Tuesday's slate was interesting. Yusei Kikuchi was used in nearly 30 percent of the lineups out there, and he finished with negative fantasy points in most formats. That's just the obscurity in fantasy baseball, and many people should have considered the risk of using such a volatile pitcher like Kikuchi. That's why we like to pay up at that position, so let's kick things off with two high-priced pitchers! Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Shohei Ohtani FD - P 10800 DK - SP 9300 Opponent - MIA (Trevor Rogers) Park - MIA FD - 40.52 DK - 22.19 It blows my mind to think about what this guy is doing. Ohtani is not only one of the best hitters in our sport, but he's developed into an ace as well. His numbers as of late are genuinely absurd, accruing a 0.34 ERA, 0.75 WHIP, and 12.1 K/9 rate over his last four starts. That led to him scoring at least 33 FanDuel points in eight of his previous nine starts, which should be easy to attain here. We say that because the Marlins rank 17th in runs scored and 18th in OBP. That doesn't even consider that they're missing Jazz Chisholm and Jorge Soler, who are likely their two best hitters. Vegas loves him too, making the Angels a -180 favorite, with the Marlins projected for just 3.5 runs. Shane Bieber FD - P 10100 DK - SP 9100 Opponent - DET (Michael Pineda) Park - DET FD - 38.1 DK - 20.69 The Biebs is always a Cy Young candidate, and it's hard to understand why he's in this price range in such a magical matchup. Let's start there, with Detroit scoring the fewest runs in baseball while sitting bottom three in OBP, OPS, wOBA, and xwOBA as well. That should allow Bieber to bludgeon this nightmarish lineup, with Shane sporting a 2.65 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, and 9.9 K/9 rate over his last nine starts. He's absolutely destroyed Detroit throughout his career, too, scoring at least 46 FanDuel points in each of his last seven meetings with them dating back to 2019. That's why he's a -175 favorite in a game with a 7.5-run total. Corbin Burnes (FD $11200 DK $10500) has been one of the best pitchers in the NL over the last three years and is obviously a good option against a terrible Cubs offense. Catcher/First Base Freddie Freeman FD - 1B...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 7/5/22 – Main Slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 7/5/22 - Main Slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Yusei Kikuchi FD 7900 DK 7800 Opponent - OAK (Adrian Martinez) Park - OAKFD - 35.45 DK - 18.79 Kikuchi has had a weird season. On the one hand, he’s got his K’s up to a 26% rate while striking out more than 10 batters per nine. But the walks have gotten a bit out of control as well, leading to him getting pulled from games early and averaging a little more than four innings per start. But on Tuesday he gets a great matchup against the A’s who rank dead last in offensive wOBA on the season and strike out nearly 24% of the time. Kikuchi is a -187 road favorite and is likely to be a popular play on this slate. Mitch White FD 7400 DK 7400 Opponent - COL (Germán Márquez) Park - COLFD - 32.16 DK - 16.3 Pitching is something of a problem on this main slate of games with not that much in the way up high upside. But White is a way to save some money on both sites and comes in as the biggest money line favorite on the day at -240 against the Rockies at home. Away from Coors, The Rockies has a paltry .638 team OPS and White has been solid since joining the rotation as a full-time starter. I like saving here and spending up on some bats, especially with the pitching options so weak. Catcher/First Base Darin Ruf FD 2600 DK 3100 Opponent - ARI (Tyler Gilbert) Park - ARIFD - 14.33 DK - 10.77 The Giants have a 5.7 implied run line on Tuesday, easily the highest of the day when they face off against lefty Tyler Gilbert and the Diamondbacks. Ruf isn’t having the same success at the plate this season that he saw in 2021 with the OPS sitting in the .600s right now. His Hr/RB rate is down by more than half from the last couple of years so there’s some run bad in there. But this is a guy who’s smashed lefties for his career with a .917 OPS and .389 wOBA in that split. I’m still willing to run him with this run line and based on his success in this platoon. Rhys Hoskins FD 3600 DK 4300 Opponent - WSH (Paolo Espino) Park - WSHFD - 12.53 DK - 9.3 The Phillies have a 5.4 implied run line,...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 7/4/22(Main Slate)
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 7/4/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Alek Manoah FD 11000 DK 9300 Opponent - OAK (Cole Irvin) Park - OAK FD - 41.64 DK - 22.22 Manoah is the most expensive arm on both sites and for good reason, as he opens as a -235 favourite against the A's who rank bottom three in almost every hitting category. While he lacks the same elite ceiling as other aces, there is no arguing his value as he has allowed more than three earned runs just once entering the night with an elite 2.09 ERA and has tallied 19 or more DK points in seven of his last eight starts. All things considered, Manoah is our top pitcher and in play in all formats. Julio Urías FD 9500 DK 8300 Opponent - COL (Kyle Freeland) Park - COL FD - 37.74 DK - 19.24 The pitch count or lack thereof for Urias(90+ pitches in just three starts) can limit his upside at times but don't mistake that for a lack of consistency. Coming into Monday's start, he has gone at least five innings in 14 straight while holding opponents to two or fewer earned runs in 11 of those. Urias and the Dodgers are also the biggest favourites(-286) on the slate going up against a Rockies team that is a bottom-five offence on the road. While he is best used in cash games, I will have exposure in all formats tonight. Catcher/First Base Vladimir Guerrero Jr. FD 4100 DK 5300 Opponent - OAK (Cole Irvin) Park - OAK FD - 11.9 DK - 8.96 Alejandro Kirk FD 3400 DK 4900 Opponent - OAK (Cole Irvin) Park - OAK FD - 7.64 DK - 5.8 When looking at implied runs tonight, the Jays are somewhat buried and sit mid-pack but are very high on my list. They also get a plus matchup vs Cole Irvin who is being hit hard by the regression we have been talking about for some time and it could get worse as he has given up a .316 wOBA and .426 SLG but the advanced stats are much worse with a .374 xwOBA and .554 xSLG. Irvin has also been much worse against right-handed batters so that's where we will begin. Let's start with Vladdy who has snapped out of that early-season slump and is hitting .290 since the start of June with an elite .402 wOBA and 164 wRC+. The price is still...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 7/3/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 7/3/22 Saturday was a sensational day for yours truly. George Kirby had a monster start for me, and it has me ready to keep rolling here. This is another typical Sunday card, with all but two games in action between 1ET and 4ET. That always makes this one of the best slates of the week because we tend to have all the lineups ready in a timely manner. We have a couple of Cy Young caliber pitchers, so let's go ahead and start there! Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Brandon Woodruff FD - P 10000 DK - SP 9500 Opponent - PIT (José Quintana) Park - PIT FD - 40.14 DK - 21.87 Facing Pittsburgh is one of the best matchups in DFS. The Pirates rank bottom-three in runs scored, OBP, OPS, wOBA, and xwOBA. That would put almost any pitcher in play against them, but Woodruff is one of the best arms in the NL. He hasn't necessarily shown that form this season, but an IL stint got him right back on track. The righty threw five one-run innings in his return, striking out 10 batters. That's the stud we've seen over the last two years, with Brandon collecting a 2.98 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, and 30 percent K rate since 2020. The oddsmakers also like him, making Woodruff a -170 favorite in this game, with Pittsburgh projected for just 3.5 runs. Robbie Ray FD - P 10600 DK - SP 9300 Opponent - OAK (Frankie Montas) Park - SEA FD - 39.17 DK - 21.28 Ray got off to an atrocious start this season, but he's recaptured the form that earned him an AL Cy Young last season. He's allowed two runs over his previous three starts, posting a 0.67 ERA, 0.67 WHIP, and 9.7 K/9 rate in that span. That's obviously the best stretch of his season, and he should keep that sparkling form against Oakland. The A's rank dead-last in OBP, OPS, wOBA, and xwOBA while scoring the second-fewest runs in baseball. That has Ray as the most favorable pitcher from an odds perspective, entering this matchup as a -160 favorite in a game with a 6.5-run total. Lucas Giolito (FD $8500 DK $6800) has been a Cy Young candidate in the past and remains way too cheap on DraftKings at just $6,800. Catcher/First Base Garrett Cooper FD - 1B 2800 DK - 1B 3100 Opponent - WSH (Erick Fedde) Park - WSH...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 7/2/22 – Afternoon and Evening Slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 7/2/22 - Afternoon and Evening Slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers George Kirby FD 8500 DK 7800 Opponent - OAK (Paul Blackburn) Park - OAKFD - 36.62 DK - 19.48 Kirby has had an excellent first season in the majors, registering a 3.68 xFIP while striking out 8.32 batters per nine. He’s been able to limit the walks to right around a free pass per nine innings and has gone six innings in four of his last six starts. On Saturday he’ll face the A’s who have the league’s worst team wOBA and strike out 23% of the time. Kirby is a -184 favorite in this one and could be a popular play on the afternoon slate of games. Aaron Ashby FD 6800 DK 7500 Opponent - PIT (Bryse Wilson) Park - PITFD - 30.54 DK - 16.37 There are some aces going on Saturday, but I think we can go a little cheaper on the mound if we play our cards right. Ashby is an interesting case in that he’s coming pretty cheap here and has gone from a long reliever to a full-time starter over the last five starts. He’s been going about five-inning per start in that stretch On Saturday, he’s going against the Pirates who are the third-worst offense in the league and strike out a whopping 25% of the time. Ashby is a -188 road favorite in this matchup and is coming so very cheap on both sites. Consider Tyler Anderson (FD $8800 DK $9000) for the evening. Dylan Cease (FD $10700 DK $9500) is another interesting option, especially on DraftKings. Catcher/First Base J.T. Realmuto FD 3200 DK 4600 Opponent - STL (Matthew Liberatore) Park - STLFD - 11.06 DK - 8.43 Rhys Hoskins FD 3300 DK 4200 Opponent - STL (Matthew Liberatore) Park - STLFD - 12.84 DK - 9.53 The Phillies are coming in with a 5.4 implied run line against Matthew Libartore on Saturday and could be one of the more popular stacks on DraftKings for the afternoon. Realmuto should hit cleanup against the lefty though he’s struggled this season with the OPS sitting under .700 on the year. He’s been mostly platoon neutral for his career so you aren’t getting an overwhelming advantage in the lefty versus righty matchup, but I still like the price on him for both sites even with the struggles. Meanwhile, Hoskins has put together a strong season with 16 home runs and...