DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 7/21/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 7/21/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Jon Gray FD - P 9000 DK - SP 8600 Opponent - MIA (Pablo López) Park - MIA FD - 33.07 DK - 17.06 This game presents us with an interesting choice on the mound and I am probably going the least popular route with Gray. While Lopez is the better pitcher overall, Gray has a lot going for him today and it starts with his form going into the All-Star break as he posted a 2.06 ERA/2.56 xFIP over his last seven starts. The biggest reason I am on Gray here is the matchup as he faces a Marlins' offence that ranked dead last in runs scored, home runs, wOBA, and wRC+ over the final two weeks going into the break. I wouldn't talk anyone off Lopez here or even the idea of pairing them together but for me, Gray is my top play on this slate. Zach Logue FD - P 7500 DK - 5700 Opponent - DET (Tarik Skubal) Park - OAK FD - 19.67 DK - 10.12 If you aren't pairing Lopez and Gray or taking a risk with an arm in the Yankees/Astros game, there is really only one other place to end up for SP2 on DraftKings. While the A's dumped pretty much all talent in the offseason it did mean there would be a ton of opportunities for young players in their system. Zach Logue is one of those and while it has been a roller coaster ride, the good news is that he has held opponents to two or fewer earned runs in five of his six starts including his latest start holding the Astros to just three hits. The matchup also helps as he faces the Tigers who are a bottom-three offence and went into the break losers of eight of their last nine games. He is my top value SP2 on DraftKings to help me get to more bats. Catcher/First Base Sean Murphy FD 2500 DK 4200 Opponent - DET (Tarik Skubal) Park - DET FD - 8.59 DK - 6.47 What makes this small slate the most difficult is the fact that the best matchup for bats is also one of the worst offences in baseball. Either way, I am fully on board targeting against Tarik Skubal who really struggled coming into the break posting a 6.86 ERA with seven home runs against(16% HR/FB) in his final eight starts....
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – 3M Open
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – 3M Open Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! The Course TPC Twin Cities Par 71 - 7,431 Yards Greens - Bentgrass **Click the image above to see a hole-by-hole breakdown from PGATour.com** Previous Three Winners 2021 - Cameron Champ(-15) 2020 - Michael Thompson(-19) 2019 - Matthew Wolff(-21) Top Tier Targets Hideki Matsuyama World Golf Ranking (#14) Vegas Odds (18/1) Draftkings ($10,300) FanDuel ($11,900) We definitely have the "returning from the Open" travel narrative this week but I am not too concerned and will try and target the lowest owned of the group, at least in the top tier. Early indications show Finau and Theegala as the chalk options at the very top and that has me turning to Hideki for leverage. It is a good news/bad news situation and let's start with the latter as he is coming off a T68 at the OPEN and missed cut at the Scottish Open which probably helps drive the lower ownership projection. The good news here is that he is the highest ranking player in the field in terms of OWGR and looking at my short-term model(via FNGC), he ranks 4th in SG: Approach, 1st in Proximity, 6th in Par 4 Scoring, 2nd in Opp Gained, and 10th in Birdie or Better gained and he also has history here with a Top 10 back in 2019. He is my top play in this top tier this week. Adam Hadwin World Golf Ranking (#85) Vegas Odds (20/1) Draftkings ($9,600) FanDuel ($11,400) I really don't trust the chalk at this event so will again look to take some risks with lower-owned players. Coming into the week, I honestly didn't think Hadwin would fall in this category given he has picked up a Top 10 in both trips to TPC Twin Cities but he missed cut at the John Deere and terrible putting recently seem to be driving that as of now....
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 7/17/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 7/17/22 This is the final slate before the All-Star break! These tend to be strange slates because many star players rest before they go on and participate in the LA festivities. I'm not so sure that will happen here, but it'll be interesting to see what these lineups look like. In any case, we have two elite pitchers that we love, so let's get started there! Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Shane Bieber FD - P 10500 DK - SP 9400 Opponent - DET (Beau Brieske) Park - CLE FD - 34.08 DK - 18.42 Bieber has been one of the best pitchers in baseball since 2018, and it's hard to understand why he's below $10K on DraftKings. The right-hander allowed seven runs to the Blue Jays back in the first week of May but has a 2.73 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, and 9.3 K/9 rate in his other 17 starts this year. That alone makes him a good option against anyone, but this Detroit team ranks 29th or 30th in runs scored, OBP, OPS, wOBA, and xwOBA. Biebs has also had his way against them throughout his career, collecting a 2.61 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, and 11.7 K/9 rate in 11 starts against the Motor City Kitties. That's why he'll likely be a -250 favorite in this sensational spot! Aaron Nola FD - P 10200 DK - SP 9900 Opponent - MIA (Trevor Rogers) Park - MIA FD - 40.96 DK - 22.22 Nola is extremely unlucky to have a 5-7 record because his 3.35 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, and 9.7 K/9 rate are some of the best marks in baseball. He's become a horse for his team, too, throwing at least seven innings in seven consecutive starts. That's some Sandy Alcantara stuff right there, and Nola will undoubtedly put it to Sandy's team here. We say that because the Marlins rank 19th in OPS and 23rd in OBP. They're even worse than those statistics indicate, playing without their best player, Jazz Chisholm. All of that has Miami projected for just 3.5 runs in, with Aaron entering this matchup as a -160 favorite. Mike Clevinger (FD $7800 DK $8400) is a good pivot if you want to save some salary. He has a 3.79 ERA and 1.17 WHIP and faces a 25th-ranked Arizona offense here as a -160 favorite. Catcher/First Base Rhys Hoskins FD - 1B 3400 DK - 1B 4800 Opponent - MIA (Trevor Rogers) Park -...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 7/16/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 7/16/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Justin Verlander FD 11100 DK 11100 Opponent - OAK (Jared Koenig) Park - OAK FD - 44.1 DK - 24.47 Max Fried FD 10700 DK 10400 Opponent - WSH (Paolo Espino) Park - WSH FD - 37.66 DK - 20.46 This huge early slate has a major lack of value on the mound which is going to force us to pay up as much as possible. It isn't impossible to pay up for both of these aces so I paired them together as they have a ton of similarities when looking at all the angles. They both go deep into games and average over six innings per start, they both have average K rates of around 25%, and both have been very efficient recently with Fried allowing two or fewer earned runs in nine of his last 10 while Verlander has done so in five of his last six. Then you look at the matchups and both stand out as Fried gets the Nats who have dropped 13 of their last 14 while Verlander gets the A's who rank dead last in wOBA(.252) against right-handed pitching. If you aren't just stacking them together and forcing me to choose between them, I would go Verlander who is at home. Miles Mikolas FD 10000 DK 8700 Opponent - CIN (Nick Lodolo) Park - CIN FD - 34.73 DK - 18.37 I mentioned the lack of value options so we don't go down the board very far to find our top PTS/$ SP2 today. Mikolas has been very similar to the above two options in that the strikeouts have been down but he has been very efficient in holding opponents to two or fewer earned runs in six of his last seven starts. Today he faces a Reds team that has been on a heater as of late but have also struck out at a crazy 29% rate and on the season rank as a bottom-five offence. All things considered on this early slate, Mikolas is in play for me in all formats. Catcher/First Base Trey Mancini FD 3000 DK 2800 Opponent - TB (Ryan Yarbrough) Park - TB FD - 9.08 DK - 6.94 We are going to need some value on this slate and the Orioles provide just that. It starts at first base with Trey Mancini who is not only sub $3K on DraftKings but also comes in red-hot with...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 7/15/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 7/15/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Alek Manoah FD - P 9600 DK - SP 9000 Opponent - KC (Zack Greinke) Park - TORFD - 35.78 DK - 19.12 The Royals brought a skeleton crew up to Toronto for this series because they have so many players on the restricted list, but it didn’t seem to matter all that much on Thursday. They still beat the Blue Jays 3-1. That being said, it’s not likely to repeat for the series and Alek Manoah is in an incredible spot just like Gausman was last night. He’s a -356 home favorite, a number you simply don’t see these days except in extreme examples, and will be tough to not play in cash games based almost solely on this number alone. Clayton Kershaw FD 10100 DK 9400 Opponent - LAA (Patrick Sandoval) Park - LAAFD - 38.71 DK - 21.05 He’s more expensive with worse win odds than Manoah, but we should talk about Kershaw here. The dude is having a fantastic season with a 2.40 ERA and a 2.91 xFIP that isn’t too far behind. He’s got a 5.8:1 K:BB ratio and is putting down batters at a 28% clip. The elite control has him going close to six innings per start on the season and some of that is even low because the pitch counts never get too crazy. On a normal day, he’d probably be the top cash pitcher but there is wackiness going on in Toronto. Catcher/First Base C.J. Cron FD 4300 DK 5400 Opponent - PIT (José Quintana) Park - PITFD - 16.56 DK - 12.45 Cron has put together a fantastic season with an .892 OPS and 20 home runs already. He has Coors to thank in a big way with a 1.064 OPS in the friendly confines of Coors. He could add to it today. He’ll face off against the lefty Jose Quintana and for his career Cron has been significantly better against southpaws. The Rockies have the highest run line of the day and though they are expensive could be popular plays on this slate. Ty France FD 3000 DK 4300 Opponent - TEX (Matt Bush) Park - TEXFD - 14.35 DK - 10.94 France has an .829 OPS on the season with 10 home runs. All well and good, but he makes for a solid cash game pick on almost a day-in-day-out basis because he’s so patient at the plate....
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 7/14/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 7/14/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Framber Valdez FD 10300 DK 9700 Opponent - LAA (Reid Detmers) Park - LAA FD - 35.12 DK - 18.18 You really can't go wrong at the top as we get three aces including an elite matchup between Burnes and Rodon but I am going to start Valdez. He and the Astros open as -165 favourites as they try to bounce back after a 7-1 loss to the Angels last night. I still like the matchup as the Angels' strikeout the 4th most against lefties and even with last night's 7-spot, have an ugly 59 wRC+ and 34% K rate over the last two weeks. For Valdez, he got hit hard by the Angels back in April but has been elite since posting a 2.37 ERA and has tallied 7+ strikeouts in half of his 14 starts. This is a night where I have pretty even exposure to the top three pitchers in my builds but if having to choose just one, I would go Valdez. Nestor Cortes FD 9900 DK 8800 Opponent - CIN (Luis Castillo) Park - CIN FD - 37.83 DK - 20.81 No situation is going to give you more anxiety coming into tonight than the Yankees pitching. Severino was a -330 favourite last night and got rocked and now Cortes is coming off his worst start of the season in Boston last Friday. The system is not concerned at all as the PTS/$ value is somewhat off the charts as we are now getting Cortes at early season prices. Outside of a few bad starts, he has been tremendous holding opponents to two or fewer earned runs in 11 of 16 starts and despite those mishaps, comes in with a 2.74 ERA/3.66 xFIP and has also shown upside with a 27% K rate. Catcher/First Base Matt Olson FD 3700 DK 4500 Opponent - WSH (Aníbal Sánchez) Park - WSH FD - 13.87 DK - 10.33 Shocker! The Braves are the top projected offence tonight facing Anibal Sanchez making his season debut. He hasn't pitched since 2020 and hasn't been good since joining the Nats with a 4.52 ERA/5.15 xFIP while giving up 33 home runs across 41 starts. For Olson, it comes down to price for me on DraftKings as his teammates surrounding him are all in the $5K/$6K range. The average is never going to be there for Olson but the fantasy numbers rely...