DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday, 8/3/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday, 8/3/22 How wild was that trade deadline? The Padres went full-on beast mode and added across the board, making them one of the most dangerous teams in baseball. That will have San Diego and Los Angeles battling all season, leaving the rest of the NL West in shambles. In any case, it's still anyone's ring to take down, and it'll be fun to watch these final 2-3 months play out. With that said, there were a ton of moves yesterday, and it's unclear who will be ready to suit up here. Keep an eye on lineups and only play if you can be face-first on your computer screen up until first pitch! Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Shohei Ohtani FD - P 11300 DK - SP 10000 Opponent - OAK (James Kaprielian) Park - LAA FD - 38.35 DK - 21.15 Many people were speculating that Shohei would be on the move at the trade deadline, but any reasonable person knows LA couldn't trade the most valuable player in baseball. We'll use Ohtani on the mound today because he's been one of the best pitchers in the sport. Shohei has a 1.73 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, and 13.8 K/9 rate over his last eight starts. Those are averages you'd usually see from an elite reliever, making him tough to fade behind that ridiculous K rate. Facing Oakland is outstanding, too, with the A's ranked 29th or 30th in runs scored, OBP, OPS, wOBA, and xwOBA. Look for him to be a -200 favorite in this spot, with the A's projected for a minuscule run total. Blake Snell FD - P 9100 DK - SP 7900 Opponent - COL (Chad Kuhl) Park - SD FD - 34.55 DK - 18.87 Snell was horrible through his first 10 starts, but the former Cy Young winner has been hitting his stride for a month now. Over his last five starts, Snell has a 2.81 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, and 14.0 K/9 rate. That WHIP isn't great, but it doesn't matter when you're striking out three batters every two innings. That should be even easier to do against the Rockies, with Colorado owning the worst road offense in baseball last season. They've been better this year, but it's scary with Snell posting a 2.94 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, and 12.6 K/9 rate at home since 2020. The oddsmakers certainly love Snell, projecting San Diego as a -300 favorite in this spot, with Colorado...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 8/2/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 8/2/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Corbin Burnes FD 11300 DK 10100 Opponent - PIT (Bryse Wilson) Park - PITFD - 43.46 DK - 24.7 It was looking like we are going to get a ton of aces on this slate, but Yu Darvish is pitching the first game of the doubleheader against the Rockies and Jacob deGrom is likely on a pitch count in his first game back. That leaves us Corbin Burnes at the top of the list. But luckily, he might be all we need. He’s having a Cy Young-worthy season with 11.55 Ks per nine, a 2.31 ERA, and 2.78 xFIP. The wins haven’t exactly followed, but he’s a -253 road favorite against the lowly Pirates. We can play him without hesitation. Kevin Gausman FD 10300 DK 9500 Opponent - TB (Drew Rasmussen) Park - TBFD - 42.17 DK - 22.69 Without Darvish or DeGrom, SP2 gets a little bit trickier. From a peripherals standpoint, Gausman has been as good as almost anyone on the mound this season, rocking a 6.4:1 K:BB ratio. His 2.76 xFIP is better than the 3.30 ERA and if anything he’s gotten a little unlucky with the BABIP against and LOB% this season. He isn’t a huge favorite against the Rays, but the latter only have a 3.3 implied run line and the park really keeps the power in check. Consider Cristian Javier (FD $9700 DK $8700) against the Red Sox. You really get some savings with him on DraftKings. Catcher/First Base Pete Alonso FD 4000 DK 5800 Opponent - WSH (Cory Abbott) Park - WSHFD - 13.93 DK - 10.41 The Mets have the highest run line on the slate for Tuesday, coming in at 5.6 against Cory Abbott. It should be mostly a bullpen game for the Nationals. Alonso has been excellent this season with an .888 OPS and 26 home runs. He’s on pace for his best power season yet and the 27-year-old has kept the K’s under 20%. He’s expensive on DraftKings for sure, but the Mets are the stack to spend up on. Ryan Mountcastle FD 3000 DK 2900 Opponent - TEX (Spencer Howard) Park - TEXFD - 10.18 DK - 7.78 If you are looking to go a little cheaper on DraftKings then Mountcastle isn’t a terrible option. He should move into the third slot in the lineup now that the Orioles have traded Trey Mancini to the Astros. He’s basically...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/1/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/1/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Max Scherzer FD 11500 DK 10600 Opponent - WSH (Patrick Corbin) Park - WSH FD - 44.82 DK - 25.51 Since returning from injury in early July, Max has been back to his dominant self allowing just five earned runs over his last five starts(1.39 ERA) while adding 45 strikeouts(36% K rate) and just four walks. The dominance should continue as he faces his old team who, outside of the Pirates and maybe the Tigers, has been the worst offence in baseball, especially in the second half. They may not K a lot but also could be without their top hitter in Juan Soto who could be traded as early as today. The price is where it should be on FanDuel but considering we have seen multiple pitchers reach $11K on DraftKings this season, Max is actually coming a bit too cheap here. He is easily our top pitcher in all formats tonight. Michael Kopech FD 8200 DK 7000 Opponent - KC (Brad Keller) Park - KC FD - 26.25 DK - 13.91 To say this isn't the season we expected from Kopech would be an understatement. The biggest issue has been the command of the strike zone which has both lowered the swing and misses while elevating the walk rate. It isn't all doom and gloom, however, as he comes into tonight having held opponents to two or fewer earned runs in three straight and has reached a near season-low price on both sites. On top of that, he faces a Royals' team that ranks bottom 10 offensively and have dropped five of their last six games. All things considered, Kopech is my top SP2 on DraftKings which allows us to spend up for some bats in terrific spots. Lock and load in all formats. Catcher/First Base Anthony Rizzo FD 3700 DK 4500 Opponent - SEA (Marco Gonzales) Park - SEA FD - 12.03 DK - 9.05 The Mets and Yankees lead all teams in projected scoring tonight and we will start with the latter who are surprisingly more affordable to stack, at least the top of the order. I turn to Rizzo first and don't get discouraged by the lefty/lefty matchup as he is excellent in the split with a .360 wOBA/137 wRC+ on the season and better yet, comes in red-hot with home runs in back-to-back games with multiple hits in three of his last five. It...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 7/31/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 7/31/22 The next 48 hours are going to be wild. This could be one of the craziest trade deadlines ever, with superstars like Juan Soto and Shohei Ohtani rumored as major targets. There will undoubtedly be many other unanticipated moves, and it could lead to chaos over the next three DFS slates. Not only will we have some strange lineups, but rotations could also change. With that said, there are so many good pitching options on this slate. We didn't even get Shane McClanahan in here, and he's been one of the best pitchers in baseball. We have two other aces that we love, though, so let's start there! Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Dylan Cease FD - P 10900 DK - SP 10200 Opponent - OAK (Adam Oller) Park - CHW FD - 39.32 DK - 21.73 Cease is the best option on this slate, and it's not close. Despite not making the All-Star team, Cease is one of the frontrunners for AL Cy Young. The hard-throwing right-hander has allowed one run or fewer in 11-straight starts, generating a 0.42 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in that span. That makes him tough to fade, but he's also leading all starters with a 12.5 K/9 rate for the season. That's a godsend for DFS, and we haven't even discussed that he faces the worst lineup in baseball. Oakland ranks 29th or 30th in runs scored, OBP, OPS, wOBA, and xwOBA, with Cease entering this matchup as a -260 favorite. Aaron Nola FD - P 10700 DK - SP 9700 Opponent - PIT (JT Brubaker) Park - PIT FD - 40.76 DK - 21.92 Nola's 6-8 record might look ugly, but this guy has been pitching like an ace all season. The Phillies righty has a 3.32 ERA and 0.94 WHIP, striking out 144 batters across 132.2 innings. Those are some of the best averages in fantasy, with Nola throwing at least seven innings in eight of his last nine starts. He should be able to reach that threshold again here, with Pittsburgh sitting 28th in runs scored and OBP while sitting 29th in K rate and OPS. That's no surprise since Nola has at least 30 FanDuel points in his last five matchups with the Pirates, entering this matchup as a -190 favorite in a game with a seven-run total. Reid Detmers (FD $8300/DK $7600) is a solid cheap option against a 24th-ranked Texas offense, posting a...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 7/30/22(Main Slate)
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 7/30/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Framber Valdez FD 10400 DK 9700 Opponent - SEA (Chris Flexen) Park - SEA FD - 37.05 DK - 19.27 We have a big decision to make at the top on this main slate with a couple of lefties who are both big favourites. With Kershaw taking the mound in Coors, I slightly lean Valdez in a home matchup against the Mariners who have had no answer for Astros pitching in the first two games of the series scoring a combined three runs. Consistency has been the name of the game for Valdez who has held opponents to three or fewer earned runs in 18 of 19 starts and two or fewer in 13 of those starts. All things considered, Valdez is our top pitcher on this slate. Ranger Suárez FD 8400 DK 7600 Opponent - PIT (Mitch Keller) Park - PIT FD - 29.55 DK - 14.54 Much like last night, we are going to be looking for some value at the SP2 spot to try and fit the Dodgers' bats in Coors or one of the other top/expensive offensive teams(ATL, HOU, STL). What draws me to Suarez is the fact he is a -160 favourite and cheaper than the opposing pitcher(Mitch Keller) who has worse numbers overall. Suarez may lack GPP winning upside with a 19% K rate but he has made up for it with consistency posting a 2.98 ERA/3.52 xFIP over his last eight starts. He also faces a Pirates team that has lost six of seven games out of the break and are a bottom-five team against left-handed pitching. I will have exposure to Suarez in all formats. Catcher/First Base Matt Olson FD 3800 DK 5500 Opponent - ARI (Corbin Martin) Park - ARI FD - 13.66 DK - 10.17 First base is loaded at the top and I wouldn't fault anyone for loading up on Goldy or Freeman but I am going to take the discount and ride with Olson who is in an equally good matchup. We are never rostering Olson because of his consistency(.250 average) but rather because of his fantasy production in the middle of the loaded Braves lineup. While he has yet to record a multi-hit effort in the second half, he does have two doubles, three home runs, and six RBI. He now faces Corbin Martin who has been running a slippery slop walking nine batters in his last...
Huge win odds and a game in Coors highlight DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 7/29/22
Aces with huge win odds, Coors game in DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 7/29/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Gerrit Cole FD 11000 DK 10400 Opponent - KC (Kris Bubic) Park - KCFD - 47.17 DK - 26.79 We have two of the biggest money line favorites you’ll ever see taking the mound on Friday and we are going to want to prioritize them for cash games. The first is Cole who is a -367 favorite against the Royals at home. It’s easy to see why. He’s having another excellent season with a 2.78 xFIP, 11.5 Ks per nine, and a 4.8:1 K:BB ratio. The Royals rank 24th in team wOBA on the season and just generally stink. Even with a game in Coors that has expensive bats, we are going to want to prioritize Cole here. Alek Manoah FD 10200 DK 9400 Opponent - DET (Bryan Garcia) Park - DETFD - 45.28 DK - 24.08 Manoah is cheaper than Cole and in just as good a spot against Detroit. He’s a whopping -396 home favorite, again one of the higher numbers you’ll ever see in that respect. The Tigers rank second-to-last in team offense this season and strike out nearly 24% of the time. Manoah’s peripherals aren’t as good as Cole but he’s still shown very good control on the season. The matchup is just too good to pass up and I like pairing them together on DK. Catcher/First Base Freddie Freeman FD 4400 DK 5800 Opponent - COL (Chad Kuhl) Park - COLFD - 17.1 DK - 12.88 Will Smith FD 3400 DK 5000 Opponent - COL (Chad Kuhl) Park - COLFD - 14.81 DK - 11.01 It’s going to be tough to fit the higher-priced arms in with some of the bats in the best spots. That’s jus the way this slate is shaping up. But when you have a team with an implied run line over 7.0 it’s time to really start prioritizing them in cash games. That’s the case with the Dodgers playing again in Coors on Friday. They put up 13 runs on Thursday evening and could be in line for a ton today as well. Freeman and Smith are expensive here, and with good reason. They should hit three-four in the order respectively against Kuhl and have plenty of power upside. Smith is a bit cheaper on FanDuel which really helps with some of the salary concerns. Plus Jake Lamb (FD $2600 DK $2100)...