DraftKings MLB Picks and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 3/30/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 3/30/19 Greetings, MLB fans! It's my first baseball article of the season, and it's not a moment too soon. I've been knee deep in prospect reports, spring training news, and of course the first few days of the season, and I couldn't be any more pumped to finally be able to write about it. It's unclear as to whether that enthusiasm will still be here in July, but hey, let's make some hay while the sun is shining! Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Early Pitchers James Paxton FD 10400 DK 10800 Opponent - BAL (Nate Karns) Park - NYYFD - 40.77 DK - 22.4 On a small slate with a lot of big names, our system is calling out James Paxton in his first start in pinstripes. Paxton was an ace's ace last season, raising his already elite K/9 to 11.68 while shaving a little bit off his walk rate as well. I don't knwo that it's fair to project a similarly incredible season given that he'll be in the meat grinder that is the AL East (and Yankee Stadium), but I still think we can reasonably forecast him to be pretty awesome. Match-ups with the Orioles should help that. A team that was already dead last in the AL in terms of wOBA against left handed pitching lost their best rest right handed bat, and on a tiny slate they represent the best match-up on the slate. Paxton is also a cut above his peers here thanks to the truly absurd -340 money line, where the other big names are basically in pick'ems. Stephen Strasburg FD 9600 DK 10600 Opponent - NYM (Noah Syndergaard) Park - WSHFD - 37.61 DK - 20.27 Noah Syndergaard FD 10100 DK 10200 Opponent - WSH (Stephen Strasburg) Park - WSHFD - 33.02 DK - 17.68 The Mets and Nationals get back to work trading haymakers. After opening day's intense Scherzer-DeGrom match-up, we get treated to an encore of Syndergaard and Strasburg. Vegas sees Stras and the Nats getting their revenge after getting shut out on opening day, but man does this one rate to be close. So where do we land? Let's give you a tale of the tape. While Syndergaard and Strasburg are both ace level pitchers, there are some fundamental differences here. These two had nearly identical 3.28 and 3.29 xFIPs last year, but Strasburg struck out 1.76 more batters per 9 innings. That's naturally going to make him a bit...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks – Friday 3/29
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks - Friday 3/29 Day one of baseball is in the books and there are only roughly eleventy-million days left. Friday gives us a smaller (relatively speaking) set of games with some really low run totals. That could make the cash game stacks interesting. But we are seeing some quality arms taking the mound for sure. Let’s break down some Friday baseball for FanDuel and DraftKings. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Gerrit Cole FD 11300 DK 11200 Opponent - TB (Charlie Morton) Park - TBFD - 41.98 DK - 23.34 If you were a reader of our picks last season, then you know we loved us some Gerrit Cole basically from the jump. While others may have thought the spike in K rate was a fluke, there was a definitive change in approach that seemed like could sustain the new peripherals. He ditched the sinker which had been his secondary offering with the Pirates and replaced it with a curveball and more sliders. It worked. Cole finished the season with a 12.4 K/9 rate and a career-best 3.04 xFIP. Now he’ll get to face the Rays in the best pitcher’s park in baseball as a -140 road favorite with a game over/under of 7. Justin Verlander gave up a leadoff home run to Austin Meadows on Thursday, but then settled down and dealt with a below average Rays’ team. Cole is granted the same matchup and should be one of the more popular plays on the slate. German Marquez FD 9800 DK 9200 Opponent - MIA (Jose Urena) Park - MIAFD - 36.48 DK - 19.52 Despite pitching about half of his games in Coors Field last season, Marquez enjoyed a breakout campaign in his second full year. He, kind of out of nowhere, became a legit strikeout guy and ended up at 10.6 K’s per nine. The 3.10 xFIP was better than the 3.77 ERA and the biggest change in his repertoire was reducing his fastball offering from 66% to 55% and using that difference to throw many more sliders. It worked. 2019 will be a test to see if the changes were sustainable and he gets a great chance to start the season off right against a garbage Marlins team in a great pitcher’s park. We could see him as the chalk play for the afternoon slate considering he’s coming priced well below some of the other aces despite having possible ace-like stuff. Joey Lucchesi FD 7600 DK 7900 Opponent -...
DFSR’s Daily Fantasy MLB Podcast for FanDuel and DraftKings Friday 3/29/19
DFSR's Daily Fantasy MLB Podcast for FanDuel and DraftKings Friday 3/29/19 Listen to "Friday MLB DFS plays and Betting Angles for FanDuel and DraftKings 3/29/19" on Spreaker. DFSR’s Doug Norrie and James Davis take the MLB podcast discussing the second day of baseball with eight games for FanDuel and DraftKings. Unlike Opening Day, there seem to be fewer pitchers to stack against with run lines low across the board. On the mound, they talk about Gerrit Cole against the Rays. Cole made major strides in 2018 with his K rate and peripherals after coming over to the Astros and will follow a dominating performance by Justin Verlander. They also look at German Marquez against the Marlins in Miami and Joey Lucchesi against the woeful Giants. On the stacking side they talk about going back to the Blue Jays, the Padres against Derek Holland and both sides of the A’s/ Angels game. And be sure to check out MLB cash game plays for FanDuel and DraftKings. Be sure to subscribe through iTunes or Stitcher...
DFSR’s Daily Fantasy MLB Podcast for FanDuel and DraftKings Thursday 3/28/19 – Opening Day
DFSR's Daily Fantasy MLB Podcast for FanDuel and DraftKings Thursday 3/28/19 - Opening Day Listen to "DFS MLB Podcast for FanDuel and DratKings - Opening Day 3/28/19" on Spreaker. Baseball is back baby, and so is the DFSR are of James Davis and Doug Norrie talking the Opening Day slate of MLB action for FanDuel and DraftKings. The guys look at some of the cash game pitchers and stacks you can roll out for DFS purposes and where to find some value in already soft pricing on both sites. On the mound, they break down Max Scherzer, Justin Verlander, Masahiro Tanaka and some others. There are a lot of aces going on Thursday, but these three stand out because of peripherals and matchups. On the stacking side, they look at the Yankees against Andrew Cashner, the Blue Jays Jordan Zimmermann and some others. All in all, it’s a jam-packed first slate of baseball and we’ve got you covered. Be sure to subscribe through iTunes or Stitcher...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks – 3/28 Opening Day
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks - 3/28 Opening Day Oh man, I can't believe baseball is back already. It feels like only yesterday we were watching the Red Sox win the World Series, but here we are at the start of another season. Opening Day on FanDuel and DraftKings features a bevy of aces, some offenses in great spots and a whole lot more in between. Let's take a look at some of the cash game pitchers and team stacks to get you started on what should be a great season of baseball. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Early Masahiro Tanaka FD 9400 DK 9300 Opponent - BAL (Alex Cobb) Park - BALFD - 39.4 DK - 21.49 On an Opening Day full of aces, Tanaka comes in with easily the best win odds of the day, -317 at home against the Orioles. It’s easy to see why. The Orioles finished 2018 with a 47-115 (.290) record good for many an LOL, and did really nothing in the off season to improve. Hell, they might be worse with a whole season without Manny Machado and Adam Jones which would really be something. Which leaves us with Tanaka who comes off another season of excellent peripherals. He had a 4.6:1 K:BB ration and a 3.42 xFIP in 27 starts. Yankee Stadium isn’t a great place to pitch, but take one look at that Orioles’ projected batting order and wonder who gives him even a remotely hard time. Max Scherzer FD 11700 DK 11100 Opponent - NYM (Jacob deGrom) Park - NYMFD - 44.14 DK - 25.06 Scherzer has the unenviable task of having Jacob deGrom coming out of the opposing dugout, but still will stare down a Mets’ order that doesn’t inspire much fear. This game has a 7 over/under with the Nationals -140 home favorites. The Mets added Robinson Cano in the offseason and should be marginally better on offense if they can get full and quality seasons out of Nimmo/ McNeil/ Conforto. But this is still an exploitable lineup and Scherzer, in his age 34 year, is coming off arguably his best season yet. He struck out 12.24 batters per nine with the 2.08 BB/9 rate being the second-best of his career. His 3.06 xFIP trailed his 2.53 ERA but that’s splitting hairs. On a day with softer pricing on the offensive side of the diamond, rolling Scherzer in cash games doesn’t take much of a stretch. Listen to "DFS MLB Podcast for FanDuel and DratKings...