DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 4/4/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 4/4/19 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Early Pitchers Stephen Strasburg FD 9900 DK 10300 Opponent - NYM (Noah Syndergaard) Park - NYM FD - 39.1 DK - 21.39 These two pitchers faced off just a few nights ago, so this encore will be a very interesting one to watch. Strasburg muffled his way through the first two innings, but was great after that. While the damage was done, he at least showed the ability to navigate his way through this Mets lineup. Strasburg has revolutionized himself as a pitcher and is now a lot more consistent than ever. He held both righties and lefties under a .311 wOBA and struck out 10.80 batters per nine innings. The match-up with the Mets was a great one last year, but they may be a lot better this year. They will still strikeout 23% of the time and the bottom of the order is still lifeless. He's the cheapest of the three expensive pitching options and the difference between the three isn't huge. Paxton is the raw favorite, but he's expensive and by no means safe. I'll stick with Strasburg 100% on such a small slate. Team Cash Stacks New York Yankees Park - BAL Opposing Pitcher - BAL (Alex Cobb) Vegas Implied Run Total - 4.72 The Orioles are giving Alex Cobb the start after lasting through five innings of extended spring training minor league ball without injury. He’ll now face the best lineup in all of baseball. The Yankees haven’t hit their stride just yet, but will go crazy when they do. Even after seeing a line of below average pitchers, this may be the absolute worst one yet. In ‘18, Cobb allowed a .360 wOBA to righties, a .330 wOBA to lefties, and only struck out six batters per nine innings. He gave up a monstrous 1.5 HR/9 and backed it all up with an even worse 4.60 xFIP. Unless he starts throwing his splitter a ton and it’s effective, Cobb isn’t going to last this entire year. If the Yankees are at their norm, they’ll make quick work of him and move on to an Orioles bullpen that’s as weak as it gets. They’re also in Camden Yards, which is one of the absolute best hitter ballparks in the entire league. The Yankees are the chalk stack of the early slate and you’re going to be looking at 30-50% ownership for some of these guys. Potential...
DFSR’s Daily Fantasy MLB Podcast for FanDuel and DraftKings Wednesday 4/3/19
DFSR's Daily Fantasy MLB Podcast for FanDuel and DraftKings Wednesday 4/3/19 Listen to "DFSR's Daily Fantasy MLB Podcast for FanDuel and DraftKings" on Spreaker. The DFSR Crew of Doug Norrie and James Davis take to the MLB Podcast discussing a double slate of baseball action for FanDuel and DraftKings. They break down the early slate of games, talking about pitchers like Corey Kluber, Charlie Morton and German Marquez along with some stacking options like the Indians and Reds. On the evening slate they debate Ross Stripling’s matchup against the Giants and his possibly low pitch count against Gerrit Cole in a worse matchup and park but likely to go longer into the game. They also discuss how much you can pay on offense with these two elite pitchers tying up a ton of salary. All of this and more on a full MLB podcast for FanDuel and DraftKings. Be sure to subscribe through iTunes or Stitcher...
DraftKings MLB Picks and FanDuel MLB Picks for 4/3/19
DraftKings MLB Picks and FanDuel MLB Picks for 4/3/19 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Early slate Pitchers Corey Kluber FD 10200 DK 10900 Opponent - CHW (Carlos Rodon) Park - CLEFD - 41.78 DK - 22.9 So pitching on the early slate is actually pretty tough today. There are a lot of decent pitchers going, and the highest total on in the first 6 games today is a meager 8.5. That of course means that you have a lot of pretty solid pitchers going, so where should we ultimately land? Right now the stars seem to be well aligned with Mr. Kluber. Vegas likes Kluber as the most likely pitcher to get a win on the early slate, and thinks the White Sox will score the fewest runs of any team. While they've mixed up their lineup a bit this year, the White Sox also struck out at the very highest rate against right-handed pitching last year as well. While there is some concern that Kluber is slowly giving back his once elite K rate after dropping down to just over a strikeout per inning last year, that shouldn't matter much in such an elite match-up. Be prepared to see Kluber as cash game chalk, particularly on slates that only consider the 12:35 and 1pm games. Charlie Morton FD 8500 DK 9400 Opponent - COL (German Marquez) Park - COLFD - 37.43 DK - 20.24 German Marquez FD 9800 DK 9500 Opponent - TB (Charlie Morton) Park - TBFD - 36.33 DK - 19.35 Vegas sees this game as essentially a pick'em with a 7 combined total. That means we should see precious few runs given up by these two excellent pitchers. I'm highlighting both of them here because both are really pretty interesting big tournament plays on FanDuel and pitcher two options on DraftKings. Morton is one of the guys I'm most intrigued by this season. He just landed a two year, 30 million dollar contract with the Rays after two Cinderella story years in Houston. As we've seen recently, Houston seems to have the magic touch when it comes to reinventing previously plateaued pitchers. But can Morton keep it up in a new environment at age 35? His first start looked pretty good, and grabbing the Rockies on the road is usually a good thing. As for Marquez, his story is really the opposite. He pitches in one of the worst historical places to pitch ever, and still managed a 3.10 xFIP in his age...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks – Tuesday 4/2/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks - Tuesday 4/2/19 MLB’s early season hasn’t left us short of stories. Christian Yelich can’t stop hitting home runs. The Yankees are already all injured. David Hess gets pulled 80 or so pitches into a no-hitter against the Blue Jays. It’s all happening in baseball. And Tuesday gives us a whole host of aces, some weaker arms and everything else in between. Let’s take a look at the cash game plays for FanDuel and DraftKings. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Blake Snell FD 10200 DK 9500 Opponent - COL (Kyle Freeland) Park - TBFD - 39.9 DK - 22.04 Snell had the unenviable task of opening his season against Justin Verlander on the opposite side as well as the Astros bats on offense. He struggled in six innings, allowing five earned runs and striking out only three. The matchup here against the Rockies is much more forgiving. While they have Arenado and Story in the middle of the lineup, getting them outside of Coors Field is a boost considering Tropicana is about as forgiving a park as there is in the majors. Snell is coming much cheaper than the other *aces* on Tuesday, and is coming off a season in which he struck out 11 batters per nine and finished with a 3.16 xFIP (that did trail the 1.89 ERA). I like buying the peripherals a bit cheaper than the other stud arms who are running into some tougher matchups themselves. He’s a full $2K cheaper than Scherzer and Verlander on DraftKings and more than $1K cheaper on FanDuel. Hyun-Jin Ryu FD 8700 DK 9300 Opponent - SF (Madison Bumgarner) Park - LADFD - 34.8 DK - 18.53 Rye was pulled after just 82 pitches on Opening Day, but dude was still dominant. He pitched six full innings and allowed only one earned run while striking out eight D-Backs. The Dodgers are going to handle their starters with kid gloves again this season, much like they did last year and we are going to have to account for that especially in terms of safety and upside. Luckily, some of that is built into Ryu’s price and considering his peripherals and matchup he’s coming rather cheap on both sites. The Giants are a total and complete mess of a lineup, starting some has-beens and never-will-bes and down the order. Rye had a 6:1 K:BB ratio last season with a 3.11 xFIP. He’s a -174 home favorite on Tuesday and if you think...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks – Monday 4/1/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks - Monday 4/1/19 Monday's baseball action brings us a few games spread throughout the day and then an evening slate. We've got you covered with a breakdown of everything you need to know for the day to get you started on FanDuel and DraftKings. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Touching on the early slate Pitchers Mike Clevinger FD 10000 DK 8700 Opponent - CHW (Ivan Nova) Park - CLEFD - 38.91 DK - 20.91 Clevinger is really the only legitimate cash game option on this early slate. Chris Archer, Adam Wainwright, and Ivan Nova all have a chance to have solid games, but none are facing a team with a 3.15 projected total. He's one of the more underrated pitchers in baseball, finishing 2018 with more than a strikeout per inning while averaging 6.25 innings per start. Now he gets to face off against one of the most K-happy lineups in baseball who also project to rank in the bottom five against right-handed pitching. He's a -174 favorite at home, giving him the best win odds of the early slate. If you must go elsewhere, Archer is interesting against the Cardinals. His strikeout pitch has been working throughout the spring and we will see if it works against the Cards here. He’s always one of the most volatile pitchers and can give it all up in a matter of minutes. Wainwright and Nova aren’t on my list, though neither are bad pitchers by any means. They’re just the weakest links on this slate and we have to target hitters on the other side as well. Personally, I’ll do my best to get 100% Clevinger. I feel he’s far safer than the field and I’m comfortable making up that salary elsewhere. Hitters Jose Ramirez FD 4400 DK 5300 Opponent - CHW (Ivan Nova) Park - CLEFD - 12.75 DK - 9.65 Carlos Santana FD 3500 DK 4400 Opponent - CHW (Ivan Nova) Park - CLEFD - 10.36 DK - 7.73 Tyler Naquin FD 2200 DK 3900 Opponent - CHW (Ivan Nova) Park - CLEFD - 8.29 DK - 6.38 None of these four pitchers are gas cans, but there are definitely some spots to target. The first of which is left-handers against Ivan Nova. Since the beginning of 2017, Nova has allowed a .360 wOBA and 5.12 xFIP to opposing lefties. He also only strikes out 4.5 batters per 9 innings and has a HR/9 rate close to 2. He is known to...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 3/31/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 3/31/19 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below.START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Main Pitchers J.A. Happ FD 9300 DK 10100 Opponent - BAL (Dylan Bundy) Park - NYYFD - 41.5 DK - 22.35 Happ is not going to be the same pitcher he was last year for very much longer. He has struggled mightily in spring training, but the Yankees are expecting him to turn it around in the regular season. Vegas agrees. It has a lot to do with Dylan Bundy, but the Yankees are -355 favorites, giving you as close as it gets to a guaranteed Happ victory. He struck out over 9 batters per 9 innings against both sides of the plate in 2018 and only struggled with right-handed power. This Orioles lineups is up there with the Marlins and Giants as the worst in baseball and we'll be taking advantage of them all season long. They don't have much of a power pop and strike out over 23% of the time as a group. Happ is cheaper than both Carrasco and Corbin and has a much higher floor than both. Patrick Corbin FD 9800 DK 10000 Opponent - NYM (Zack Wheeler) Park - WSHFD - 36.4 DK - 19.76 This Mets lineup is going to underwhelm all season long, and I think we'll end up targeting them against lefties. Michael Conforto and Robinson Cano are their two best bats and both are much worse against lefties. They'll instead rely on Pete Alonso and Wilson Ramos, who are more than volatile bats. Patrick Corbin is a legitimate superstar when healthy and is probably the best number three in baseball. He struck out 11 batters per 9 innings in '18, while holding an elite 2.61 xFIP. The bottom of this order is high-upside and low-risk, with strikeouts aplenty and homers barren. If Corbin is on his game, he will go six or seven innings and could reach double-digit strikeouts. Corbin is my favorite tournament pitcher on the slate. Jon Gray FD 7900 DK 9400 Opponent - MIA (Sandy Alcantara) Park - MIAFD - 36.01 DK - 19.08 Outside of a tough outing in his last game, Jon Gray had one of the best spring trainings in the league. With a 22:1 K:BB ratio, hes obviously hitting his spots and is fully healthy. He now gets to match-up against the worst lineup in baseball in Miami. And he's in Miami! Marlins Park is one of the best pitchers ballparks in baseball and the Marlins will have...