Early DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 4/11/19
Early DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 4/11/19 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Early Pitchers Shane Bieber FD 9700 DK 9900 Opponent - DET (Spencer Turnbull) Park - DET FD - 33.81 DK - 18.07 It’s really just Bieber and Buehler on the high-end at pitcher on this early slate. You can include Wacha and Leake as well, but Wacha is an underdog and Leake is involved in a 10 O/U game. Between Bieber and Buehler, we’re leaning Bieber. Buehler is a probably a better overall pitcher, but he has a tougher match-up and was limited to just 87 pitches in his last outing. We know the Dodgers like to limit their pitchers and you could easily see these two teams battling it out until late, leaving the win for a reliever. Combine that with the Cardinals being the best team Buehler has faced yet and an 8 O/U against a patient lineup. I’ll pass. Shane Bieber draws a Tigers team that’s living on luck so far (2nd in BABIP) and is one of the absolute worst lineups in all of the league. They struck out 23% of the time last season and are projected to finish last in the Central. The bat of Christin Stewart can only lead them so far. Shane Bieber is one of the more hyped up pitchers coming into this season, and he’s delivered this far with an 11:2 K:BB ratio. The hype comes from his disgusting 4.7% walk rate in 2018. He can pinpoint his pitches and will very rarely get himself into trouble. While he has a lot of work to do before getting himself even on the same level as the rest of the Indians staff, he’s good enough to get through the Tigers. The Indians are the biggest favorites on this slate and Bieber is your safest cash game option. Sonny Gray FD 7300 DK 8900 Opponent - MIA (Pablo Lopez) Park - CIN FD - 32.02 DK - 16.66 If you’re looking to pay for some bats and don’t think Bieber is all that, there are two affordable options here that deserve legitimate interest. Let’s start with Sonny Gray, who’s a bit more established. He didn’t have a great 2018, but definitely got a bit unlucky. His BABIP allowed was high (.340) and xFIP (3.98) pretty low, so he didn’t have as bad of a season as we’d like to think. Gray came back out after a miserable opening start and struck out seven Pirates across...
DFSR’s Daily Fantasy MLB Podcast for FanDuel and DraftKings Wednesday 4/10/19
DFSR's Daily Fantasy MLB Podcast for FanDuel and DraftKings Wednesday 4/10/19 Listen to "Daily Fantasy MLB Podcast for FanDuel and DraftKings Wednesday 4/10/19" on Spreaker. DFSR’s Doug Norrie and James Davis take to the podcast breaking down two slates of Wednesday MLB action. They start with the early slate talking some of the bigger arms like Trevor Bauer and Tyler Glasnow. There’s also a game in Coors to deal with considering the Rockies are throwing Jeff Hoffman and the Braves have a high run line once again. Then on the evening slate, they look at Noah Syndergaard coming off a rough outing and whether Nick Pivetta can ever have his ERA catch his xFIP. And of course, they have to talk about FanDuel putting Chris Davis at $500. All of this and more on a full MLB podcast for FanDuel and DraftKings. Be sure to subscribe through iTunes or Stitcher...
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA picks for 4/10/19
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA picks for 4/10/19 It's the last day of the NBA regular season and it doesn't seem to come a moment too soon. The last few weeks of games have mostly been a mess of scratches, DNP, minutes limitations and more. But now the playoffs are right around the corner. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA optimizer and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below.START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW!First time with NBA? Be sure to read our free NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered.Speculation is a dangerous game in the DFS community but we really have no choice when we're playing the final day of the NBA season. There are so many injuries and so much resting going on, that we really won't have a good idea who to play until right before lineup lock. With that in mind, we're going to key in on guys who have something to play for, as those are really the only players we can trust. The teams we really want to key in on are the Charlotte Hornets and Detroit Pistons. These two teams are battling for the final playoff spot in the east and that makes them tough to fade. Point guardKemba Walker FD - $9800 DK - $9500Opponent - ORLProj Pts FD - 47.03 DK - 48.64With Charlotte fighting for the final playoff spot in the east, Walker could be in for his best game of the season. The fact that the Hornets blew out the Cleveland Cavaliers on Tuesday only adds to Walker's intrigue, as his 27 minutes there should allow him to play at least 40 minutes of action here. A guy posting a 30 percent usage rate while averaging close to 25 shots per game is hard to fade when he's looking at 40 minutes, especially in a do-or-die game. Prior to Tuesday's blowout, Walker had at least 49 DK points in four-straight games and it's clear that he's in full takeover mode with everything on the line. Damian Lillard FD - $9400 DK - $9300Opponent - SACProj Pts FD - 47.12 DK - 48.89It's unclear just how much Lillard will play here with Portland locked into the four-seed but he's a tough fade in this spot. What we really like about Lillard is this matchup, as he faces a Kings defense who ranks 26th in total defense while playing at the third-fastest pace in the NBA. That's just a small part of it, as they also allow the most fantasy points in the league to opposing point guards. That's crystal...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 4/10/19 – Early Slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 4/10/19 - Early Slate The early slate gives us a game in Coors with a hefty run total, plus Trevor Bauer looking to rebound from a disappointing (?!) no-hit bid last time out. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Trevor Bauer FD 11500 DK 11000 Opponent - DET (Matthew Boyd) Park - DETFD - 40.06 DK - 21.92 Bauer really struggled with the walks his last time out against the Blue Jays, offering up six free passes in seven innings while striking out eight. That being said, he had a no-hitter going when he exited in the 7th. So the truth lies somewhere in between. He’s clearly an ace arm, as evidenced by the 2018 campaign that saw him strike out more than 11 batters per nine, limit the walks to less than three per nine and rock a 2.21 ERA (3.14 xFIP). It all spelled top-tier ace level production and he’s in a great spot against a righty-heavy Tigers’ lineup. While *only* a -141 road favorite here, you have to like him as the overall top points play on the early slate of games. Tyler Glasnow FD 8900 DK 9700 Opponent - CHW (Reynaldo Lopez) Park - CHWFD - 36.58 DK - 19.77 Glasnow converted to a starter late last season and started this year with two solid performances. He’s pitched five and six innings respectively, allowing only one earned run and striking out ten. You love to see the 5:1 K:BB ratio considering walks had been something of a problem from when he came up with the Pirates a few years ago. Those seem to have gone by the wayside and he’s no exhibiting rather elite control in the short term. The White Sox start the year striking out at a 26% rate against righties which is along the lines of the preseason projections. This is a team with a lot of swings and misses in their bats. Glasnow is expensive to pair with Bauer on DK, though it’s possible if you sacrifice a bat or two. Also Consider: Nick Margevicius (FD $6400 DK $7300) against the Giants. He didn't show it in his first start, but has had strikeout potential in the minors. Listen to "Daily Fantasy MLB Podcast for FanDuel and DraftKings Wednesday 4/10/19" on Spreaker. Team Cash Stacks Tampa Bay RaysPark - CHWOpposing Pitcher - CHW (Reynaldo Lopez)Vegas Implied Run Total - 4.37 Reynaldo Lopez continues his run as one of the worst starting pitchers...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 4/10/19 – Main Slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 4/10/19 - Main Slate Wednesday's main slate gives us a little dash of Thor, some A's to stack, a ways to play a bunch of Phillies. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Noah Syndergaard FD 9900 DK 10400 Opponent - MIN (Jake Odorizzi) Park - NYMFD - 40.61 DK - 22.07 Thor’s peripherals have been very solid to start the season, though he’s run into the Mets’ bug that deGrom had last season. Namely, his team doesn’t want to score a bunch for him. Granted he gave up four earned runs in his first start, but he’s struck out 13 batters in 12 innings while only walking two. Now he enters Wednesday’s action as a massive -215 home favorite against the Twins and their non-imposing lineup. deGrom was a chalk start on Tuesday night and I expect Syndergaard to be the same on the main slate for Wednesday. The sub-$10K price on FanDuel makes him a rather easy call, and you aren’t breaking the bank on DraftKings either. Nick Pivetta FD 8900 DK 8500 Opponent - WSH (Jeremy Hellickson) Park - PHIFD - 32.59 DK - 17.39 Ok the bad news first: Pivetta hasn’t made it past five innings in either of his first two starts this season. He allowed a ton of hits (17 total) to the Braves and Twins and got chased early in both games. So the early start returns haven’t been there. Now the good news: Pivetta has had somethings we can hang our hat on. He’s cut the walk rate, allowing only two free passes in 9.2 innings while getting BABIP’ed hard (.412). The 3.82 xFIP trails the 6.52 ERA by almost three runs. He’s always *underperformed* in that respect so we need to take it with a grain of salt. But I do think we are still buying low on the profile. Also Consider: Robbie Ray (FD $8100 DK $9400) against the Rangers. Dude can walk the ballpark, but has as much K upside as anyone in the game when he can lock in. Listen to "Daily Fantasy MLB Podcast for FanDuel and DraftKings Wednesday 4/10/19" on Spreaker. Team Cash Stacks Oakland AthleticsPark - BALOpposing Pitcher - BAL (Josh Rogers)Vegas Implied Run Total - 5.12 The Orioles pitching staff is an epic disaster and they are (seemingly) having a new bum come up each night to get rocked by the opposing team. That could be Josh Rogers’ roll on Wednesday. His minor league stats...
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks – Tuesday 4/9/19
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Tuesday 4/9/19 The last few NBA weeks have been difficult to figure out but this slate has some clarity to it. With Monday being an off day for all 30 teams, there have been numerous injuries already released. That has opened up the door for tons of value and it makes for a fascinating slate. There’s one game we’re going to be focused on, as Boston will be without half of their roster. Finding the right combination of Boston players and matching it with a couple of studs will undoubtedly be the optimal lineup and hopefully, these recommendations will help weed it out. Head on over a for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, our MLB Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Point Guard Damian Lillard FD - $9100 DK - $9300Opponent - LALProj Pts FD - 55.26 DK - 57.34 With Portland battling for playoff positioning, Lillard has absolutely taken over this team. In fact, Lillard is averaging 20 shots and 36 minutes per game across his last 13 fixtures while posting a usage rate close to 30 percent. It shows in his fantasy numbers, with Lillard averaging 47 DK points per game across his last 16 outings. That role and production is hard to fade when you consider the fact that he plays a Lakers team who ranks 21st in total defense while playing at the fourth-fastest pace in the NBA. In three games against Los Angeles this season, Lillard is averaging 52 fantasy points per game. Brad Wanamaker FD - $3500 DK - $3200Opponent - WASProj Pts FD - 28.36 DK - 29.47 Terry Rozier FD - $6000 DK - $5200Opponent - WASProj Pts FD - 29.29 DK - 29.92 With Kyrie Irving, Marcus Smart and Gordon Hayward missing this game, that should leave all the ball-handling duties to these two. Rozier has been fantastic when starting for Irving, as he’s averaging 31 DK points per game in those starts dating back to last year. Wanamaker is no joke either, as he’s averaging about 0.9 DK points per-minute this season. With all of these guys out, that means Wanamaker could be looking at 25 minutes of action, which would equate to 23 DK points at that rate. Getting 23 DK points at $3,300 is a heck of a value and it’s going to...