DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 5/6/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 5/6/19 After a wacky pitching day with very few reliable options to choose from, things get (a bit) back to normal on Monday. We've got dudes taking the bump in good spots and some interesting offenses to target. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below.START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Cole Hamels FD - P 9000 DK - SP 9000 Opponent - MIA (Sandy Alcantara) Park - CHCFD - 39.24 DK - 20.61 It’s very much a thing to just roll out pitchers against the Marlins this season and I don’t expect that trend to stop anytime soon. They rank second to last in the league in wOBA against lefties this season and are striking out 18% of the time in that split. Hamels has rounded back into his old form since leaving the Rangers at the trade deadline last season and is K-ing more than a batter an inning with a 3.50 xFIP. I expect we see heavy ownership on both sites for Hamels even on the full slate of games. He’s the pretty straightforward play. Gerrit Cole FD - P 11500 DK - SP 10700 Opponent - KC (Jake Junis) Park - HOUFD - 45.91 DK - 25.55 Cole took some of the gains he made last season after coming over from Pittsburgh and actually has improved on them this season. He’s striking out batters at a 38% clip (35% in 2018) with a 2.67 xFIP that’s tailing the ERA by more than a run. The Royals haven’t been a pushover this season, ranking among the top third in the league in wOBA against righties. But Cole is the biggest money line favorite (-245) on the slate and makes for an interesting pay up if you are thinking of getting away from Hamels. Chris Paddack FD - P 9200 DK - SP 9200 Opponent - NYM (Jacob deGrom) Park - SDFD - 36.39 DK - 20 This game opens with the lowest over/under of the day at 6.5 thanks to the Paddack/ deGrom matchup. While the latter is the clear ace arm, Paddack has enjoyed an excellent start to his rookie season. He’s striking out batters at almost a 9.5 per nine clip, limiting the walks (4:1 K:BB ratio) and has gone six or more innings in each of his last three starts. The Mets rank 20th against righties this season in wOBA and strike out 24% of the time making for Paddack a solid upper-middle tier arm. Catcher/First Base Ji-Man Choi FD - 1B...
FanDuel and DraftKings MLB Picks for Sunday, 5/5/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 5/5/19Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below.START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW!Mother nature has been a nightmare for fantasy owners this week but we actually have a pretty weather-free slate here. The only games we need to keep an eye on are Pittsburgh, Philly, New York and Baltimore. All of those cities have rain in the forecast but none are expected to be too serious. With that in mind, let's get to some of our plays. PitchersKenta Maeda FD - P 8600 DK - SP 8700 Opponent - SD (Nick Margevicius) Park - SDFD - 34.55 DK - 18.74While Maeda's 4.41 ERA and 1.50 WHIP are distressing signals, he's hard not to like in this game. The peripherals indicate that he has some positive regression headed his way, with Maeda posting a 3.17 FIP for his career while generating a 26 percent K rate. That alone makes him an attractive option below $9,000 on both sites but the matchup is simply superb. Not only does San Diego rank 26th in runs per game, they also rank 25th in xwOBA and 27th in xBA. That's why they're projected for only 3.5 runs here, with Maeda being a -140 favorite. Zach Eflin FD - P 7600 DK - SP 8800 Opponent - WSH (Anibal Sanchez) Park - PHIFD - 31.84 DK - 16.54Outside of one nightmarish start against the Marlins (of all teams), Eflin has been superb this season. In fact, Eflin hasn't allowed more than three runs in any other start while posting a 3.34 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. The only thing lacking with Eflin is the strikeouts but a team like the Nationals could really help him in that category. Not only does Washington own the second worst K rate in the majors, they'll also be without Juan Soto and Trea Turner for at least the next week. That's why Vegas has Eflin projected as a -180 favorite in this matchup, with the Nationals projected to score fewer than four runs. Also considered: Rick Porcello is coming off his best start of the season and faces a White Sox team here who ranks 25th in K rate. Catcher/First BaseJoey Votto FD - 1B 3300 DK - 1B 3700 Opponent - SF (Jeff Samardzija) Park - CINFD - 12.01 DK - 9Votto has been a huge disappointment the last two seasons but this price is simply getting too low. This is a guy who hovered in the $5,000's just two years ago and we have to believe he's fully healthy. Any player...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 5/4/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 5/4/19 We've got a smaller early slate, and then a medium size main slate tonight, but both present some pretty big challenges. I'll cover the main slate and break it down for you, and if you want our projections for the early games feel free to click the button below and grab a free trial. Let's take a look at see where we can dig up the value tonight. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Rich Hill FD - P 9400 DK - SP 9600 Opponent - SD (Joey Lucchesi) Park - SD FD - 35.22 DK - 19.24 It's at least a little awkward to recommend a guy in his second start after a long DL stint, especially given how conservative the Dodgers are generally when it comes to their starting pitchers. That being said, Hill was as good as you could have asked for in his first start back. He struck out 6 Pirates while walking none over the course of 6 innings, and while he gave up 5 runs only one of those was earned. He only threw 85 pitches, but I think we could see him get stretched out slightly here. This Padres team is not quite the doormat they've been in the past thanks to their new additions, but I mean, they're still pretty bad. They're rocking a sub .300 wOBA with a 26.8% K rate against southpaws, so we could be looking at another solid start for Hill. I get why you might not want to play him in cash games, but I'm oddly fine with it. Chris Bassitt FD - P 9500 DK - SP 8000 Opponent - PIT (Trevor Williams) Park - PIT FD - 28.18 DK - 14.18 Just highlighting Bassitt here as an interesting pitcher two option. I'll break down the others (including the semi-obvious play in Corbin) below, but I think Bassitt is worth highlighting as an interesting case study. He's got 12 Ks in 12 innings so far this year, which is solid. You have to love the .75 ERA, of course. But what can we really make of this sample size? Generally 30 year old "come from nowhere" pitchers are pretty unexciting, and Bassitt is really no exception. Nothing about his approach seems to have changed - only the results. In cases like that we're going to temper our enthusiasm. Still, the Pirates own a sub .300 wOBA against righties, and Bassitt should have a reasonably high...
DFSR’s Daily Fantasy MLB Podcast for FanDuel and DraftKings Friday 5/3/19
DFSR's Daily Fantasy MLB Podcast for FanDuel and DraftKings Friday 5/3/19 Listen to "Friday's Top DFS Picks and Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings - 5/3/19" on Spreaker. DFSR crew of Doug Norrie and James Davis are on the podcast discussing Friday night’s MLB action for FanDuel and DraftKings. The guys take a bunch of time looking at all of the starting pitching options and how to weight career numbers against short term (this season) sample sizes. They break down Chris Sale, Matthew Boyd, James Paxton, Tyler Glasnow and more. There are really about 8-10 pitchers to really consider in cash games depending on your process. For stacks, they look at the game in Coors between the Diamondbacks and Rockies, the Rays facing off against Dan Straily, plus games in great hitters’ parks like Cincinnati and Texas. And finally, they try to target some cash stacks you can fit with some higher-priced arms. Be sure to subscribe through iTunes or Stitcher...
FanDuel and DraftKings MLB Picks for Friday, 5/3/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 5/3/19 We've had a nightmarish week in terms of weather and luckily, this site has very little rain in the forecast. There are only two games we need to keep an eye on, with Pittsburgh and Arlington projected to have some rain in the forecast. The Pirates game is the only one in jeopardy of a postponement, so we're going to fade that game altogether. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below.START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW!PitchersMatthew Boyd FD - P 10400 DK - SP 9300 Opponent - KC (Jorge Lopez) Park - DETFD - 37.6 DK - 20.02It's hard to argue with Boyd's numbers this season, as he's truly turned into the Tigers ace. While his 3.13 ERA is nothing special, his 1.02 WHIP and 32 percent K-rate are fantastic numbers. That's why he has a FIP of 2.21, which is much more indicative of his ridiculous form. Facing the Royals is definitely a matchup he can exploit too, with Kansas City ranking 20th in xwOBA, 21st in xBA and 19th in OBP. All that should be huge in a pitcher's park like Comerica and that's why the Royals are projected for less than four runs. Tyler Glasnow FD - P 10500 DK - SP 9600 Opponent - BAL (Dan Straily) Park - BALFD - 34.95 DK - 19It's hard to understand why Glasnow is below $10,000 on both sites, as he's simply been one of the best pitcher's in the majors. In fact, Glasnow has posted a 1.75 ERA and 0.94 WHIP, striking out 38 batters across 36 innings of action. That alone makes him worth using against anyone, let alone a terrible lineup like the Orioles. Baltimore currently ranks 24th in both xBA and xLG while sitting 25th in xWOBA. Not to mention, Glasnow allowed just four baserunners across seven scoreless innings while striking out seven in his one start against the Orioles earlier this seasonChris Sale (FD $9900 DK $9900) has been much better his last two starts and he's worth considering against his former team considering they rank 22nd in K-rate. If you think he's fully turning a corner away from the early season disaster numbers, then at these prices he would make a fairly straightforward cash game play. Listen to "Friday's Top DFS Picks and Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings - 5/3/19" on Spreaker. Catcher/First BaseJesus Aguilar FD - 1B 2900 DK - 1B 3800 Opponent - NYM (Steven Matz) Park - MILFD - 12.1 DK - 9.07Aguilar was being dropped like...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 5/1/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 5/1/19 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Jose Berrios FD - P 10200 DK - SP 9900 Opponent - HOU (Brad Peacock) Park - MIN FD - 31.91 DK - 16.94 It feels like every ace pitcher was on the bump on last night's main slate but despite the quiet Thursday, we are left with some nice second-tier options. My top choice is Jose Berrios and you are probably wondering why. First of all, Noah Syndergaard is arguably more talented but has struggled mightily this season and is not safe for cash. The second ? is the matchup against a Top 5 offense but hear me out as they are on the wrong side of every single split. Their numbers are considerably lower over the last week to 10 days vs. the season numbers, they are much better at home vs. the road, and much better against left-handed pitching vs. right-handed pitching. Then we look at Berrios' splits and see he has been a different pitcher at home posting a 2.83 ERA, 3.28 xFIP and allowing just a .242 wOBA against at home in Target Field(4.74 ERA, 4.71 xFIP, .342 wOBA on the road). All things considered, I will have exposure to Berrios in all formats. Jon Gray FD - P 8400 DK - SP 8000 Opponent - MIL (Freddy Peralta) Park - MIL FD - 30.88 DK - 16.46 After Berrios, who isn't a slam dunk himself, the options are pretty thin on this small slate. Gray's matchup is no better as the Brewers are a Top 10 offense but it appears they will once again be without MVP Christian Yelich which is a considerable upgrade. Gray is a pitcher I am always looking to target away from Coors Field and while he got blown up in Atlanta in his last start, he has allowed just five earned runs combined in his other three road starts this season. He makes an excellent salary relief GPP option on FanDuel and can be considered in all formats as the SP2 on DraftKings. Also Consider: Charlie Morton(TB) or Matt Strahm(SD) Catcher/First Base Daniel Murphy FD - 1B 3900 DK - 1B 4400 Opponent - MIL (Freddy Peralta) Park - MIL FD - 10.31 DK - 7.92 The Rockies are right near the top of my list on this slate despite their overall and road struggles this season. The good news is that they have been better lately with a collective .346 wOBA...