The Red Sox and Mets Highlight DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 9/2/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 9/2/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers David Peterson FD 8000 DK 8300 Opponent - WSH (Josiah Gray) Park - WSHFD - 36.42 DK - 18.93 The pitching options aren’t amazing on this slate though there are some guys in reasonable spots all things considered. Peterson has moved between the bullpen and the starter’s role this season and has been reasonably effective, striking out more than 10 batters per nine and sporting an ERA and xFIP in the low 3’s. The walks are a bit of an issue, but he is a -280 home favorite against the Nationals, easily the best money line win odds on the slate. I like him on both sites, but especially FanDuel where we can roster big bats because of the lower price point. Charlie Morton FD 9800 DK 9300 Opponent - MIA (Sandy Alcantara) Park - MIAFD - 37.63 DK - 19.83 The Braves are also solid home favorites today, coming in at -179 against the Marlins. The only reason Morton isn’t a bigger favorite here is he has to face off against Sandy Alcantara, the Marlins’ best pitcher. Otherwise, this is a great spot for Morton who is striking out batters at a 29% clip this season. The walks are a little on the high side but his 3.53 xFIP is much better than his 4.10 ERA and he’s run a little bad on his Hr/FB rate compared to his career numbers. Catcher/First Base Pete Alonso FD 3700 DK 5500 Opponent - WSH (Josiah Gray) Park - WSHFD - 12.93 DK - 9.66 Only two teams have a run line over 5.0 on Friday’s slate but we are going to be able to stack some hitters from those squads for sure. The Mets are one them facing off against Josiah Gray and the Nationals. Alonso is having another excellent season with an .852 OPS thanks to 31 home runs and a strikeout rate less than 20%. He is a good price on FanDuel and I think we can pay up for him on DraftKings as well. Paul Goldschmidt FD 4600 DK 6500 Opponent - CHC (Adrian Sampson) Park - CHCFD - 13.7 DK - 10.39 Goldschmidt has been one of the best hitters in baseball this season with a 1.035 OPS, .440 wOBA, and 33 home runs. The 34-year-old has been amazing and it’s why the price is so high. But he’s got a good matchup against Adrian Sampson and...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 9/1/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 9/1/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Shane Bieber FD 10200 DK 9000 Opponent - BAL (Kyle Bradish) Park - BAL FD - 39.93 DK - 21.86 After giving up six runs in his first start of the second half, Bieber has been a force for the Guardians holding opponents to just seven earned runs over his last six starts while averaging 26.1 DK/46.1 FD points per game. While the K rate has dropped a bit in 2022, it has also picked up in the short-term as he has tallied eight or more in four of those six starts and faces an O's team that has lost two straight while scoring just two runs and striking out 19 times(32%). All things considered, Bieber is our top projected pitcher and an elite play in all formats. Spencer Strider FD 10000 DK 9500 Opponent - COL (Chad Kuhl) Park - COL FD - 47.01 DK - 25.99 It's a close race for the NL Rookie of the Year between two Braves with the odds leaning towards Spencer Strider who has been phenomenal, especially in the second half. He comes into Thursday's action having held opponents to one earned run in five of six second-half starts(2.51 ERA/2.60 xFIP) and shown a ton of upside striking out 34% of batters in that span. What is even more incredible is the fact he is putting up these numbers with pretty much two elite pitches(fastball/slider). On Thursday, he gets another plus matchup against the Rockies who are a bottom-three road offence(.29th in wOBA & wRC+) and a bottom-five offence overall in the second half. Fire up Strider in all formats. Catcher/First Base Matt Olson FD 3900 DK 5300 Opponent - COL (Chad Kuhl) Park - ATL FD - 14.2 DK - 10.58 Travis d'Arnaud FD 3000 DK 3900 Opponent - COL (Chad Kuhl) Park - ATL FD - 10.5 DK - 8 The Braves are once again topping our projections as a team with an outstanding matchup on Thursday. They will face a struggling Chad Kuhl who has posted a 9.39 ERA/6.03 xFIP over his last seven starts while giving up a whopping 11 home runs. My exposure to the Braves starts at first base with Matt Olson who remains affordable on both sites, mostly due to the lack of consistency on a day-to-day basis(.252 average) but there is no denying the upside as he entered Wednesday with 27 home runs and 87...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 8/31/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday, 8/31/22 It's the final day of August, and it means we're down to the stretch run. Only one month of baseball remains, and each game gets more important than the last. Some of the division races are heating up, and it'll be fun to watch these clubs compete for the final 35 days. With that in mind, let's get started with a former Cy Young winner! Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Gerrit Cole FD - P 11100 DK - SP 10800 Opponent - LAA (Patrick Sandoval) Park - LAA FD - 42.14 DK - 23.87 Many people have talked about the demise of Cole, but that's a silly notion. This is still one of the best pitchers in baseball, providing a 3.31 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, and 11.7 K/9 rate. His recent form is even more absurd, accruing a 2.05 ERA and 0.87 WHIP across his last four starts. That form should be easy to continue against this awful Angels offense, with Los Angeles sitting 26th in OBP and dead-last in K rate. He showed how wretched they were last season when Cole compiled a 1.42 ERA, 0.55 WHIP, and 17.1 K/9 rate in their two matchups! That has him entering this matchup as a -210 favorite, with LA projected for just three runs. Freddy Peralta FD - P 8600 DK - SP 8200 Opponent - PIT (Undecided) Park - MIL FD - 34.04 DK - 18.46 It's strange to see Peralta this cheap. This dude has been an ace since his call-up, collecting a 3.08 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, and 27 percent K rate since the start of last season. That's usually what you see from many of the $10K players, making the pricing tough to understand. What makes it even more mind-boggling is his recent form, registering a 2.55 ERA and 0.89 WHIP across his last five starts. The matchup with Pittsburgh is the best part of this, though, with the Pirates ranked bottom-three in runs scored, OBP, OPS, wOBA, and K rate. Not to mention, he enters this matchup as a -250 favorite, scoring at least 43 FanDuel points in three of their last four matchups. Triston McKenzie (FD $10300 DK $10200) has a WHIP sitting around 1.00 and should have no problem holding down a 24th-ranked Orioles offense. Catcher/First Base Paul Goldschmidt FD - 1B 4700 DK - 1B 6300 Opponent - CIN (Mike Minor) Park - CIN FD - 16.49 DK - 12.5...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 8/30/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 8/30/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Max Fried FD 10500 DK 9900 Opponent - COL (José Ureña) Park - COLFD - 45.94 DK - 25.08 There are a few different aces taking the mound on Tuesday though not are all on the main slate. Fried is going against the Rockies who are one of the worst offenses in the league when they are away from Coors and he’s in an excellent spot to get the win. He’s a crazy -384 home favorite against Colorado, some of the best win odds you’ll ever see. Though he isn’t striking out a batter an inning on the season, he’s going more than 6.3 innings per start because he limits the walks and induces ground balls at more than a 50% rate. Kevin Gausman FD 10200 DK 8700 Opponent - CHC (Marcus Stroman) Park - CHCFD - 41.3 DK - 22.37 Gausman is another big favorite on Tuesday, though doesn’t have quite the same win odds as Fried. He’s sitting at -217 at home against the Cubs and coming under $9K on DraftKings. Pairing these two should be no problem over there. He’s struggled in two of his last three starts but has put together an excellent season, striking out more than 10 batters per nine while sporting a 7:1 K:BB ratio. That’s some of the best peripherals you will see. I slightly prefer Fried on FanDuel but it’s very close because Gausman has more K upside. Catcher/First Base Matt Olson FD 4000 DK 5100 Opponent - COL (José Ureña) Park - COLFD - 13.32 DK - 9.91 There are a few teams in good spots on Tuesday with the run lines trending into the mid-5s. The Braves are one of them facing off against Jose Urena. Olson hasn’t put up quite the same power numbers as his last season in Oakland when he hit 39. But he does have 27 on the season with an .835 OPS. The price is up there because the Braves are a good offense, but I think you can afford him considering they are in one of the best spots on the slate. Shea Langeliers FD 2800 DK 3000 Opponent - WSH (Erick Fedde) Park - WSHFD - 10.51 DK - 8.03 For their purposes, the A’s are actually in a pretty good spot against Erick Fedde and the Nationals. Oakland has a mid-4’s implied run line which, for them, represents an above-average number....
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/29/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/29/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Corbin Burnes FD - P 11100 DK - SP 10400 Opponent - PIT (JT Brubaker) Park - MIL FD - 39.23 DK - 22.57 The Dodgers got to him last time out but it doesn't really change the big picture which has been another Cy Young-worthy season. He is one of just seven pitchers in baseball with an ERA(2.84) and xFIP(2.97) under three and then adds a ton of upside with a 31.4% K rate and 15.4% swinging strike rate. He will look to add to those numbers tonight in an elite matchup against a Pirates team that ranks dead last in wOBA(.271) and wRC+(71) in the second half while striking out 26% of the time. Burnes leads our projections on Monday and is an elite play in all formats. Frankie Montas FD - P 9100 DK - SP 7200 Opponent - LAA (José Suarez) Park - LAA FD - 35.6 DK - 19.44 It has been an up-and-down start with the Yankees since being traded but to be fair, he has faced some tough offences and ran a BABIP that is 44 points higher than his time with the A's. More good news as he easily gets his best matchup since the trade against an Angels team that is bottom five in wOBA(.284) and wRC+(82) in the second half with a 25% K rate as a team. The DraftKings optimizer is always going to lean on double pay-up at starting pitching but it is hard to ignore the absurd price on such a talented arm in Montas. I will have exposure in all formats. Catcher/First Base Paul Goldschmidt FD 4700 DK 6200 Opponent - CIN (Chase Anderson) Park - CIN FD - 16.17 DK - 12.26 It should come as no surprise that Paul Goldschmidt leads our overall projections on Monday as he is chasing Triple Crown history. He leads in average(.338) and RBI(105) and is just two home runs(33) behind Schwarber and not that it counts but he also leads the slash line Triple Crown with a crazy .338/.421/.629 line. It's no secret he has been all-world against lefties but has definitely held his own(lol) against righties with a .415 wOBA/173 wRC+ on the season. Paying up for pitching and a big bat is not that hard these days and Goldy is one of those elite bats we can build around in all formats. Rhys Hoskins FD 3400...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 8/28/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 8/28/22 We're getting down to the final few weeks of the fantasy baseball regular season, and it has me more zoned in more than ever. I have more season-long teams than I'd like to admit, but it forces me to pay more attention than the average person. We're just hoping that can be beneficial for you guys because season-long fantasy and DFS have a ton of correlation. The pitching pool on this particular slate is amazing, so let's kick things off with the best pitcher of this generation. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Justin Verlander FD - P 11400 DK - SP 11000 Opponent - BAL (Austin Voth) Park - HOU FD - 45.69 DK - 25.67 Verlander is the heavy favorite for AL Cy Young, and it's crazy to see him have such a massive season after Tommy John surgery. The future Hall-of-Famer has a 1.87 ERA and 0.85 WHIP this season, en route to a 15-3 record. That makes him one of the best options in fantasy, entering this matchup as a -275 favorite in a game with a seven-run total. That means Baltimore is projected for less than three runs! That's easy to understand when looking at this matchup, with the Orioles ranked 25th in OBP, 21st in OPS, and 20th in wOBA. Not to mention, JV has at least nine Ks in each of his last five meetings with the O's dating back to 2017. Dylan Cease FD - P 10600 DK - SP 10600 Opponent - ARI (Zach Davies) Park - CHW FD - 41.69 DK - 23.29 Cease is quietly having a monster season for an underperforming White Sox team, leading all starters in K rate. That makes him an elite option in DFS, but his recent form is absurd. Over his last 16 starts, Cease has compiled a 1.27 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, and 10.8 K/9 rate. He's actually scored at least 29 FanDuel points in all but two of those, and that threshold should be easy to reach in this matchup. The Diamondbacks rank 22nd in OBP, 20th in OPS, and 21st in xwOBA. All of that has Cease and the Sox entering this matchup as a -180 favorite, with Arizona projected for just 3.5 runs. Max Scherzer (FD $11000 DK $11400) is a -350 favorite against the Rockies and is one of the safest plays if you're willing to pay up. Catcher/First Base Vladimir Guerrero Jr. FD -...