Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Houston Open
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Houston Open Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. As every week in DFS PGA changes with the course setup, field of players and weather, Chris will be providing a range of different picks for cash games as well as upside plays for tournaments. If you have any questions to lineup lock you can reach him a variety of ways. Leave your question/comment below in the comments section, find him in the DFSR Chat room or hit him up on Twitter(@Jager_Bombs9). Chris is also providing his DFS PGA Weekly cheatsheet where he provides stats, course history, current form, fantasy points, and much more. Grab your copy today and edge out the competition. Houston Open After a Kevin Na playoff win over Patrick Cantlay at the Shriners Open, the PGA Tour fall season continues with a trip to Humble, Texas for the Houston Open. It is an event making its Fall debut and was normally played in late March/early April and was a favorite stop of many were preparing for the Masters the following week. With the scheduling change, there are a few changes overall with the biggest being the field and lack of depth at the top as none of the Top 35 players and just two of the Top 50 in the World are teeing it up this week. The Golf Club of Houston is a Par 72 setup that stretches out to a listed 7,441 yards on the scorecard(from last event). The fairways widths here are about average and looking at the last five events here, the average driving accuracy was slightly over 60% for the field and closer to 65% for the cut makers. There are definitely some challenges on some of the holes with bunkers in key landing areas and like Hole #1, on both sides of the fairway. With this course annually set up to somewhat resemble Augusta the rough was always low and could be grown out a bit more this year but should still offer easier than average approaches if a golfer should miss the fairway. This puts more weight on Strokes Gained: Approach for me when breaking down the Ball Striking stats this week. Speaking of those approach shots, the greens here at GC of Houston are much larger than average(7,500 sq ft) and many of them are multi-tiered and this brings in the importance of not just hitting the green(70%+ GIR annually) but getting it close to the pin(Proximity). When it comes to difficulty, the course has ranked outside the Top 23 in each of the last...
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Shriners Hospitals for Children Open
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Shriners Hospitals for Children Open Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. As every week in DFS PGA changes with the course setup, field of players and weather, Chris will be providing a range of different picks for cash games as well as upside plays for tournaments. If you have any questions to lineup lock you can reach him a variety of ways. Leave your question/comment below in the comments section, find him in the DFSR Chat room or hit him up on Twitter(@Jager_Bombs9). Chris is also providing his DFS PGA Weekly cheatsheet where he provides stats, course history, current form, fantasy points, and much more. Grab your copy today and edge out the competition. Shriners Hospitals for Children Open This week the PGA Tour travels to TPC Summerlin in Las Vegas for the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open. World #1 golfer, Brooks Koepka, headlines the strongest field of the fall season and the last two winners of this event, Patrick Cantlay(#7 OWGR) and Bryson DeChambeau(#10 OWGR) will also be teeing it up this week. TPC Summerlin is a Par 71 setup that stretches just over 7,250 yards. As you can tell by the previous winning scores, this turns into a birdie fest quite fast if the wind stays down. It has ranked outside the Top 30 in difficulty in five of the last six years with the one outlier being two years ago where Patrick Cantlay won with a -9 in a very windy event. I will be tracking the weather forecast closely leading up to lineup lock but the early forecast from Windfinder is showing a slight advantage to the early Friday tee times with winds expected to climb up to 15 mph in the afternoon with gusts of up to 20 mph. Looking at the last five years stats and results and taking out the 2017 outlier(high winds) the average driving accuracy has been about average(55%-60%) which makes sense as the fairways are slightly wider than average on most holes. Like most modern designs, the fairways do tighten up after the 300-yard mark but with average rough length that won't hinder players a whole lot, the bombers will have no fear of taking it deep even if it means hitting their approach shot from the rough. This puts most of my ball striking weight this week towards Strokes Gained: Approach and with larger than average green sizes(7,570 square feet), I will also be looking closely at Proximity especially in the mid-distance ranges(125-150 and 150-175 yards). With a high chance we see a winning...
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Safeway Open
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Safeway Open Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. As every week in DFS PGA changes with the course setup, field of players and weather, Chris will be providing a range of different picks for cash games as well as upside plays for tournaments. If you have any questions to lineup lock you can reach him a variety of ways. Leave your question/comment below in the comments section, find him in the DFSR Chat room or hit him up on Twitter(@Jager_Bombs9). Chris is also providing his DFS PGA Weekly cheatsheet where he provides stats, course history, current form, fantasy points, and much more. Grab your copy today and edge out the competition. Safeway Open The Fall season continues this week with the Safeway Open. Through three events, this is easily the best field we have seen and is led by three Top 10 players(Official World Golf Ranking) in Justin Thomas(#6), Patrick Cantlay(#7), and Francesco Molinari(#9). For the last five years(back to 2014-15 season), this event has been hosted at Silverado Resort & Spa in Napa, California. It is a Par 72 course on the shorter side of things listed at 7,166 yards, has seen an average winning score of -15, and has ranked outside the Top 20 in difficulty in all five years as well. Off the tee, golfers see fairly tough fairways to hit averaging in the mid 50% range in terms of accuracy over the last five years. What makes this more of a second shot course is the fact the rough is not very penal with max length in the second cut around 2.5" in length. Looking at the past Strokes Gained data also backs this up as Strokes Gained: Approach has been about twice as correlated to finish position than Strokes Gained: Off the Tee. The four Par 5's are the easiest holes on the course and for this reason and I will be weighing Par 4 scoring over Par 5 scoring as this is where golfers can separate themselves from the pack and this also shows when looking at the correlations. To cap off the key stats, Birdie or Better % is always key and the most correlated stat in terms of fantasy scoring. With this, I love digging a bit deeper using Fantasy National Golf Club and looking not only at Birdie or Better but Opportunities Gained to find some golfers trending in the right direction. Let's now look at the course, previous winners, and key stats list then dive into the picks. The Course Silverado Resort & Spa -...
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Sanderson Farms Championship
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Sanderson Farms Championship Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. As every week in DFS PGA changes with the course setup, field of players and weather, Chris will be providing a range of different picks for cash games as well as upside plays for tournaments. If you have any questions to lineup lock you can reach him a variety of ways. Leave your question/comment below in the comments section, find him in the DFSR Chat room or hit him up on Twitter(@Jager_Bombs9). Chris is also providing his DFS PGA Weekly cheatsheet where he provides stats, course history, current form, fantasy points, and much more. Grab your copy today and edge out the competition. Sanderson Farms Championship The fall season continues with a trip to the Country Club of Jackson for the Sanderson Farms Championship. While the field is a bit stronger than last year when the event was played a month later, it is still a weak-field event(average 471 OWGR) and has seen more than one long shot winner. The course is a Par 72 setup that stretches over 7,400 yards and has ranked just outside the Top 20 in difficulty in each of the last two years. While the fairways hit % is lower than average here, the rough is not very challenging(about 2" on average) which puts a ton of importance on the iron game. This shows in the stats as well as Strokes Gained: Approach has been a major factor in players separating themselves here despite there being both bombers(Champ averaged 334 in 2018 win, Gribble averaged 312 in 2016 win) and plodders(Armour averaged 268 in 2017 win, Malnati averaged 271 in 2015 win) who have been successful here. With the driving accuracy number in the mid 50% range on average, I will also be looking at Rough Proximity in my model as well. You can see all my top stats below and in the model on the sheet, now let's get into the picks. The Course Country Club of Jackson - Jackson, MS Par 72 - 7,440 Yards Greens - Champion Bermuda **Click the image above to see a hole by hole breakdown from PGATour.com** Previous Five Winners 2018 - Cameron Champ(-21) 2017 - Ryan Armour(-19) 2016 - Cody Gribble(-20) 2015 - Peter Malnati(-18) 2014 - Nick Taylor(-16) Top Stats in the Model Strokes Gained: Approach Rough Proximity Birdie or Better % Par 4 Scoring When breaking down the top stats I use a combination of my own cheatsheet and the tools over at FantasyNational.com. Top Tier Targets Scottie Scheffler World Golf...
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. As every week in DFS PGA changes with the course setup, field of players and weather, Chris will be providing a range of different picks for cash games as well as upside plays for tournaments. If you have any questions to lineup lock you can reach him a variety of ways. Leave your question/comment below in the comments section, find him in the DFSR Chat room or hit him up on Twitter(@Jager_Bombs9). Chris is also providing his DFS PGA Weekly cheatsheet where he provides stats, course history, current form, fantasy points, and much more. Grab your copy today and edge out the competition. A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier Welcome back golf fans. After a long offseason(it's actually been just two weeks) the PGA tour is back to open the 2019/20 with A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier. It is the first of many schedule changes this season to accommodate for the Olympics at the end of July/start of August. One thing hasn't changed is the field strength or lack thereof as Bryson DeChambeau is the only player inside the Top 10 and joins just six others who start the season inside the Top 50 of the Official World Golf Rankings. One thing we do get with the first tournament of the season is the influx of rookies from the Korn Ferry Tour including Scottie Scheffler who topped the money list and is fully exempt this season. After a very impressive debut after turning pro last season, Viktor Hovland will also be in the field and is now a full member of the PGA Tour. The Old White TPC course has hosted the Greenbrier since 2010 so we do have some course history. When looking at the sheet you will notice 2016 is left off the list and that is because flooding destroyed the course that year to the point the Tour had to cancel the event. The course is a 7,286 yard Par 70 setup and has ranked outside the Top 25 in difficulty in each of the last four events and outside the Top 30 in difficulty(34th, 35th) in two of those four. It makes sense as looking at the last five events combined, the average winning score has been -15. The course has fairly generous fairways with the average fairways hit sitting around 65% over the last five events and even higher for those who made the cut. This automatically hoists Strokes Gained: Approach to the top of my stats...
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Tour Championship
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Tour Championship Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. As every week in DFS PGA changes with the course setup, field of players and weather, Chris will be providing a range of different picks for cash games as well as upside plays for tournaments. If you have any questions to lineup lock you can reach him a variety of ways. Leave your question/comment below in the comments section, find him in the DFSR Chat room or hit him up on Twitter(@Jager_Bombs9). Chris is also providing his DFS PGA Weekly cheatsheet where he provides stats, course history, current form, fantasy points, and much more. Grab your copy today and edge out the competition. Tour Championship Another long season has come to an end with the final 30 players in the standings traveling to East Lake to play for a massive $60 million purse. That right, the Tour and main sponsor, FedEx have made some changes in 2019 starting with a massive 15 million dollar prize to the winner. That is not the biggest or most important change, however, as the scoring system has also changed and most importantly simplified. No more multiple leaderboards and two trophy ceremonies for the Tour Championship winner and FedEx Cup Champion. Win the Tour Championship. Win the FedEx Cup and the $15,000,000 that goes along with it. The one thing that changes things from a fantasy perspective is how players will start the event. To give an advantage to those who rank higher in the standings entering this week, players will start with a score relative to their place in the standings. Justin Thomas is 1st in standings and will start at -10, Patrick Cantlay is #2 and will start at -8. To see the complete list of the players and their scores click HERE. On both DraftKings and FanDuel, this means players will start with those finish position points which is the main reason for the somewhat odd pricing this week. For example, Justin Thomas starting the tournament at -10 and in 1st place will start with 30 DK & FD points but will need to maintain 1st place to keep them. After the start of the event, everything is scored as normal. Hit me up in the chat for a further explanation. The biggest decision this week is going to be whether to play or fade Thomas at his price. If he wins, I feel he is more than worth the money but if he finishes outside of a Top 4 or 5 position he is not going to be...