Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – The PLAYERS Championship Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. As every week in DFS PGA changes with the course setup, field of players and weather, Chris will be providing a range of different picks for cash games as well as upside plays for tournaments. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page This week the PGA Tour heads to TPC Sawgrass for The PLAYERS Championship and one of the strongest fields in golf. Each of the Top 10 and 47 of the Top 50 players in the world are teeing it up this week and 110 players in the field have at least one PGA Tour win. TPC Sawgrass is a Par 72 listed at 7,189 yards on the scorecard and is a classic Pete Dye design with tight fairways, Bermuda rough(2.5 inches on average), and small Bermuda greens(5,500 sq feet on average). Accuracy off the tee is very important if you want a decent lie and opportunity to hit the smaller greens and this leads to a fairly heavy "less than driver" strategy for most of the field. The second key here is the approach shot to the smaller greens and this is where the winners have mostly separated themselves in past years. Five of the 10 Par 4's are also 450+ yards so there will also be a lot of approaches coming from 175+ yards so players will need to be on with their long irons. With the smaller greens, there is going to be a lower Greens in Regulation % which means getting up and down is very important so Scrambling/Strokes Gained: Around the Green is weighted heavy in my model as well. Finally, with a winning score in the mid-teens on average year to year, Birdie or Better % is a great stat to look at as well, especially if you are playing showdown contests on DraftKings. From a cash game lineup construction perspective, I always like going balanced and this week it makes even more sense as the strong field has lowered the prices on some top players. For GPP formats, balanced also works but stars and scrubs is likely preferred and is easy to do as there are...

Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Arnold Palmer Invitational Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. As every week in DFS PGA changes with the course setup, field of players and weather, Chris will be providing a range of different picks for cash games as well as upside plays for tournaments. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page The Florida swing continues this week with a trip to Bay Hill Club & Lodge in Orlando, Florida for the Arnold Palmer Invitational. A loaded field of 121 players is led by World #1 Rory McIlroy and consists of four other players(Koepka, Scott, Reed, Fleetwood) inside the Top 10 in the Official World Golf Rankings. Bay Hill became the host course for this event back in 1979 and has been a staple on Tour ever since. It is a par 72 setup that has a posted distance of 7,454 yards on the scorecard and has ranked Top 15 in difficulty over the last three years(8th, 15th, 9th). The difficulty comes from the number of long iron shots players are forced to hit and it starts with the Par 3's as they are all over 190 yards with three of them 215 yards or longer. The trend continues on the Par 4's as five of the 10 are longer than 450 yards. Looking at the approach shot distribution(pictured below via FNGC), almost 32% of all approaches come from the 200+ yard range. Long irons are the key this week with Strokes: Gained Approach sitting #1 in my model with emphasis on Proximity from the 200+ yard range. Despite the overall difficulty ranking I mentioned above, we have seen the winning score reach double digits in eight straight year and almost reach -20 on a few occasions(Rory McIlroy -18 in 2018, Jason Day -17 in 2016, Matt Every -19 in 2015). This keeps Birdie or Better % fairly high in the model, especially considering the correlation to fantasy scoring, but I will have some Bogey Avoidance in there as well. With all that, let's jump in and take a look at some core plays at each price point. The Course Bay Hill Club & Lodge - Orlando, FL Par 72 - 7,454 yards Greens...

Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Honda Classic Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. As every week in DFS PGA changes with the course setup, field of players and weather, Chris will be providing a range of different picks for cash games as well as upside plays for tournaments. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page After a pit stop in Mexico for the second World Golf Championship fo the season, the PGA Tour will begin the four-event Florida swing in Palm Beach Gardens with The Honda Classic. I mentioned last year about the weaker field at this event with it being sandwiched between a WGC event and the Arnold Palmer Invitational. We get a similar situation this year as the field is a bit weaker at the top with Brooks Koepka(#3) the only player currently ranked inside the Top 10 Official World Golf Rankings teeing it up this week. The PGA National Champion Course has hosted this event going back to 2007 so there is plenty of course history trends to look at this week. The course itself is a Par 70 that is posted at 7,140 yards on the scorecard and is annually one of the toughest tests on Tour. Over the last five years, PGA National has ranked Top 5 in difficulty(stroke average) four times with a winning score reaching double digits below par just once. We are also back to a 36-hole cut this week which will include the Top 65 & ties with the past five cutlines being above par(+3, +6, +1, +4, +5). One of the things we will be hearing a ton about this week is the Bear Trap which consists of Holes #15, #16, and #17 which make up one of the toughest three-hole stretches on Tour. That is not the only tough stretch on this beastly course, however, as holes #5, #6, and #7 are also a daunting task and ranked 1st, 5th, & 7th hardest last year(Bear Trap ranked 6th, 11th, & 10th hardest). The fairways are fairly tight here but the biggest defense that forces a lot of players into a "less than driver" strategy off the tee is the thick, gnarly rough. This has led to a...

Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – WGC Mexico Championship Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. As every week in DFS PGA changes with the course setup, field of players and weather, Chris will be providing a range of different picks for cash games as well as upside plays for tournaments. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page It wasn't exactly the finish I had hoped for at the Genesis Invitational but it was awesome to see Adam Scott grab his first PGA Tour win since 2016 as he edged out Sung Kang, Matt Kuchar, and Scott Brown by one stroke. This week is one of four weeks this season with multiple tournaments going on so buckle up and get ready for tons of golf action. In this article, I will be concentrating on the WGC Mexico Championship which has, by far, the best contests this week. That is largely due to the elite field which shows up for the WGC events and this one gives us seven of the Top 10 and 20 of the Top 25 golfers in World(via OWGR). This WGC event has been played in Mexico at the Club de Golf Chapultepec since 2017 so we are starting to get a nice sample size of course history and that narrative is most definitely led by the top players in the field as Rory, DJ, and JT have yet to finish outside the Top 10 in eight combined appearances. The par 71 course is listed at 7,330 yards on the scorecard but playing at almost 7,500 feet of elevation has it playing more like 6,500 yards. This shows in the average driving distance as only six players last year averaged under 300 yard for the tournament. Running the stats over the three years, I have also noticed Strokes Gained: Approach to be a little more correlated than Off the Tee and Par 4 Scoring almost double as important as par 5 scoring. This would be due to a couple of things including there only being three par 5's and around 56% of all birdies coming on the Par 4's. There are also six of the 11 par 4's that are under 410 yards so that will be...

Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Genesis Invitational Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. As every week in DFS PGA changes with the course setup, field of players and weather, Chris will be providing a range of different picks for cash games as well as upside plays for tournaments. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page. The West Coast swing continues this week as the PGA Tour visits Riviera Country Club for the Genesis Invitational. Before this season it was a 144-man open field but will now consist of 121 invited players(119 in the field) in an absolutely stacked field led by nine of the Top 10 players in the World. From a DFS standpoint especially, this week feels like a major in terms of pricing as there are a ton of players who have seen $500 to $1000 drops in price compared to the other events to start the season. This most definitely opens up a more balanced lineup construction but it also helps in stars and scrubs builds as the scrubs aren't that scrubby(compared to other weeks). The thing I am most excited about this week is that we are back to a single course and 54-hole cut(Top 65 and ties) after another multi-course rotation last week. Riviera Country Club has been the host course at this event going all the way back to 1973 when it was the Northern Trust Open. It held that name up until 2017 when it changed to the Genesis Open for each of the last two years. In terms of difficulty, the course has ranked as a Top 10 hardest course on Tour in two straight and three of the past five years, ranking 21st and 23rd in the other two years. The fairways are tight, the Kikuyu rough can be tricky to play out of in certain spots, and the greens are also smaller than Tour average which leads to a tougher event overall. Looking at some stats over the last five years of play here, the average fairways hit has been between 50-55% and the average Greens in Regulation in the 55-60% range. Despite this, the winning score has hit double digits in each of the last four years...

Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. As every week in DFS PGA changes with the course setup, field of players and weather, Chris will be providing a range of different picks for cash games as well as upside plays for tournaments. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. You can get access to the sheet in the member's chatroom. Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page After a four-day party in Phoenix, the PGA Tour heads back to California for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. This means we are back to a multi-course rotation with three being used this week much like the Desert Classic. Each player/pro-am partner will get one round on each of Pebble Beach GL, Monterey Peninsula CC, and SpyGlass Hill GC with a cut of Top 60 and ties being made after the third round on Saturday. The final round will be played on Pebble Beach GL. The field is led Dustin Johnson(#5) and Patrick Cantlay(#7) who are the only two players teeing up this week ranked Top 10 in the World. Overall, the field is much weaker than it was last season but a large part of that was players using this event as a tune-up for the 2019 US Open at Pebble Beach in June. One thing is for sure, no matter the field strength, this is a frustrating event to track either on TV or online. Pebble Beach is the only course of the three with Shot Tracker and watching the telecast is painful as it comes with constant sub-par swings from celebs combined with constant shots of the ocean and interviews of CEO's. I suggest plugging a lineup in and tuning in Sunday for the final round. Looking at the courses, all three come in under 7,000 yards and from a complete tournament standpoint has seen fairways hit and greens in regulation around 70% or more in both areas. This easier setup has led to an average winning score of -19 over the last five years. Pebble Beach has played as the hardest of the three in each of the last two years and in three of the last six but the gap between it and SpyGlass Hill...