Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 5/1/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 5/1/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitcher Clayton Kershaw FD 12600 DK 13900 Opponent - SF (Cueto) Park - @LAD FD - 46.35 DK - 30.63 Ah, you gotta love when Clayton Kershaw is on the hill. He's by far the best pitcher in baseball and gets a match-up here that he has always dominated in. He faced these Giants just a week ago, going 7 innings, striking out 7 and getting the win. This Giants lineup is a really great one for Kershaw, as it relies on lefties for production. Kershaw has sported a .137 wOBA dating back to 2016 and strikes them out an 11.51 /9 clip. The likes of Brandon Belt, Joe Panik, etc. are all in a very bad spot. That's not to say the righties are in some kind of good spot. They're still facing a guy who allowed a .227 wOBA to righties in 2016, the best in the majors. Dodgers Stadium is a solid piptchers ballpark and Kershaw has pitched better there over his entire career. His price is high, though it has come down a little bit since his last start. He remains an elite cash game option and the top point projected play of the day. Without any expensive offenses I need to pay up for, Kershaw will be a mainstay in my cash lineup. Luis Severino FD 8500 DK 8000 Opponent - TOR (Estrada) Park - @NYY FD - 34.64 DK - 22.71 Luis Severino is a very good pitcher. While he has shown flashes of his upside, he hasn't been able to piece it all together. In 2015 and '16, he sported a 2.5 BB/9. He also just got hit a little bit. His fastball was down in velocity and he wasn't throwing his change-up as much. So far this season, you can throw that out of the window. While he may not be as good as his box scores may suggest, this is a pitcher with 12K upside every time he takes the mound. He has taken the cutter out of his arsenal and has held batters under a .100 wOBA with both his change-up and slider. He faces off with the Blue Jays tonight, who exaggerate all aspects of Severino. They strikeout a lot and have...
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 4/30/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/30/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitcher Dallas Keuchel FD 10500 DK 9400 Opponent - OAK (Hahn) Park - @HOU FD - 34.86 DK - 22.88 It looks like Cy Young Dallas Keuchel is back. While he hasn't been bad over the last year, he hasn't shown the same upside or consistency we have seen at other times. So far this season, he has held a .207 combined wOBA that's backed up by an elite 22% hard contact rate allowed. He has been around 7 strikeouts for 3 seasons now and it looks like the type of pitcher he is now. He faces off with the Oakland Athletics, who are a very inept offense. Just looking at the lineup, it's not hard to see why we like picking on them. The projected top 3 in this order is Adam Rosales - Jed Lowrie - Ryon Healy. Khris Davis is the only bat to be scared of here and I expect Keuchel to pitch around him. Lower in the lineup, Keuchel should have some easy outs with the likes of Joyce, Decker, and Pinder. He's at home, where's he has pitched much better over his career. As long as he's able to do what he's been doing and staying inside the strike zone, he'll have a great game. He can get into trouble when he starts walking batters and is forced to make uncomfortable pitches to good hitters in bad counts. Keuchel is actually more expensive on FanDuel, and by a pretty good margin. I like him a lot more on DraftKings and would say he's definitively my top cash game option. On FanDuel, there's a discussion to be had with Archer more than $1000 cheaper. Let's take a look at the spot he's in. Chris Archer FD 9100 DK 10500 Opponent - TOR (Sanchez) Park - @TOR FD - 34.05 DK - 22.59 We know what were going to get when we roster Archer, but not at all. He is pretty consistent and after the 1st inning, you will have a pretty good idea of how your night is going to end up. This match-up with the Blue Jays will only exaggerate that. He had his worse start of the year last time out against the Orioles, who seem...
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 4/27/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/27/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitcher Early Noah Syndergaard FD 11500 DK 12700 Opponent - ATL (Dickey) Park - @NYM FD - 40.67 DK - 26.68 I wrote yesterday about Syndergaard against the Braves, before he was scratched. Here's that with a few slate-specific adjustments. Thor gave up 3 early runs to the Phillies last time out but regained his composure and ended up going 7 innings and striking out 10. This match-up with the Braves is actually quite similar. They are known to have lower than average K rates and are both teams that focus on making contact. With that being said, they don't see Noah Syndergaard every day. He is extremely special and can strikeout the best of them. Freddie Freeman and Ender Inciarte are really the only 2 lefties to worry about as Freeman has great pop and Inciarte can be a menace on the bases (Syndergaard is horrible at holding runners). Outside of those two, this lineup is filled with guys like Brandon Phillips, Tyler Flowers, and Dansby Swanson. Syndergaard is a clear number 1 option and I will likely end up with 100% exposure in cash games. This Braves team has struck out at a 5.7% higher clip so far in 2017 than they did in 2016. While the sample is surely too small to conclude anything, it makes sense. They added Matt Kemp, Brandon Phillips, and Swanson, who all hold 22%+ K rates against righties. Syndergaard is expensive and you will have to sacrifice elsewhere. Luckily, there is some strong value on this early slate. Carlos Martinez FD 9200 DK 8900 Opponent - TOR (Latos) Park - @STL FD - 35.51 DK - 23.32 Like Syndergaard, Carlos Martinez was supposed to pitch yesterday. The game got postponed early and Martinez had his start moved back to tonight. Carlos Martinez has been a bit inconsistent to start the season, but it's expected/. He's always been a bit up and down and one thing that we haven't seen in the past is the stable strikeouts. In the past, he would struggle due to not having his putout pitch. Even in the start against the Brewers last week, Martinez was able to strikeout 7 in just 5 innings. Martinez has seen a slight increase in BB/9 and...
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 4/26/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/26/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Washington Nationals / Colorado Rockies Yep, obviously. These teams each scored 100 runs last night and you never know, they could do it again tonight. This is Coors Field here and even when it's cold, the ball absolutely flies. On the Rockies side, you have to love everyone from 1-6. Trea Turner and Daniel Murphy are my two favorites, with Bryce Harper and Adam Eaton coming in next. Tyler Chatwood isn't a horrible pitcher but he does struggle in Coors and Washington is a very good offense. Vegas currently has an 11.5 over/under and the Nats are sitting at a 5.63 implied run total. I do think they will be extremely highly owned, so you can always fade. This is baseball. On the Rockies side, I don't like it just as much. Tanner Roark is a pretty decent pitcher and does induce a lot of groundballs. With that being said, this is still Coors Field and the Rockies currently have the highest run total on the board. Charlie Blackmon and Carlos Gonzalez are the top 2 options with Arenado and Parra coming next. They should be a bit lower owned as I don't see anywhere near the amount of attention on them around the industry. With how great Coors Field is, you can be burned if you don't have exposure. With that being said, there are some really nice spots elsewhere. Let's take a look. Arizona Diamondbacks I was all in on the Diamondbacks last night and it ended up pretty well. They get just as good of a match-up tonight against Trevor Cahill, if not better. These Diamondbacks bats are really good and MUCH better in Chase Field. Jake Lamb and David Peralta are definitely my favorites with Goldschmidt and Pollock following closely behind. Trevor Cahill really hasn't been that. He had an inflated wOBA with the Cubs last season and ended up with a 4,56 xFIP. Cahill and the Padres have an amazing home stadium for pitching. They move into Chase Field, which ranked 2nd worst for right-handed pitchers in 2016. Looking lower in the lineup, Brandon...
Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings – 4/26/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/26/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitchers Dylan Bundy FD 8100 DK 7800 Opponent - TB (Cobb) Park - @BALFD - 32.64 DK - 21.5 With Syndergaard being scratched and the Cardinals game being washed out, we look towards Dylan Bundy. Bundy has been terrific all season long, posting a combined ..236 wOBA along with a 17% hard contact rate. Bundy is a huge prospect and while a lot of people thought it would take him a few years to put it together, it looks like that process may have been hurried. With that being said, the sample size is extremely small this year and I'm a bit hesitant to go all in. The Rays do strikeout a ton and have ranked top 3 against righties for 2 straight seasons. His price is very low on both sites and I don't know if I see a way around him on DraftKings. They have much a much stricter salary cap than FanDuel and pitching is pretty hard to come by. Camden Yards is a hitter's ballpark and the Rays do have a chance to hit an HR or two. While we aren't expecting a clean slate, I do think Bundy strikes out 6 or 7 and goes long enough for the win. Bundy is currently my top option in both cash games and tournaments with Syndergaard and Martinez being out. Johnny Cueto FD 9600 DK 11100 Opponent - LAD (Wood) Park - @SFFD - 34.62 DK - 22.77 With Syndergaard out, I have no problem going with Johnny Cueto, who is generally safe. Even when he has a bad start, he eats a ton of innings and ends up striking out enough batters to get it done. The Los Angeles Dodgers are a good team against righties but also moves into AT&T Park, which is likely the absolute worst stadium in the league for hitting. Dating back to 2016, Cueto sported a .276 combined wOBA along with an elite 24% strikeout rate. The price is high, though still cheaper than you would be paying for Syndergaard. While Cueto really isn't a guy I'm in love with, you don't...