Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 5/17/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 5/17/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitcher Clayton Kershaw FD 12500 DK 14400 Opponent - SF (Cueto) Park - @SF FD - 44.58 DK - 29.43 When Clayton Kershaw is pitching, you can expect him to be mentioned. When he's pitching on a short slate, it's tough to go anywhere else, especially when the match-up is so nice. While the Giants are typically decent against lefties (8th in 2016), they have been no match for Kershaw. While BvP (Batter vs Pitcher) is a stat without much merit due to its usual small sample size, Kershaw has pitched against the Giants a ton. He's dominated their lineup and has already pitched a 7 IP/ 7 K game in AT&T Park this season. Though it's not anywhere near the front of the list on why I love Kershaw, it's great to see a guy dominate in an identical situation multiple times. While I think it goes without being said, Kershaw is the best pitcher in baseball. I don't think that's arguable either. In 2016, he sported a combined .186 (LOL) wOBA and followed it up with a 10.39 K/9. Kershaw has gotten extremely unlucky this season against righties, sporting a .377 wOBA and 3.13 xFIP. He's still dominating and will continue to do so all season long. This Giants team is not the same as it's been in years past, already holding the league-low .276 wOBA this season. Kershaw is an elite cash game and tournament play, giving you the highest floor and ceiling on the slate. With that being, look at that price! Kershaw is going to cost you a pretty penny and there is always merit in getting some extra funds for the bats. Cueto and McCullers are both pretty interesting, though I really like the upside McCullars brings against the Marlins. All in all, Kershaw is the clear top option. If you are looking to pay up for bats, McCullers is a great option. Michael Pineda FD 8600 DK 10100 Opponent - KC (Vargas) Park - @KC FD - 31.71 DK - 21 On this main slate, the pitching isn't great. While we definitely have some solid options to choose from, nobody is safe. Kyle Hendricks and Michael Fulmer are the two most expensive guys, but have tough...
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 5/15/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 5/15/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitcher The Indians and Rays play at 6:10 EST, before the main slate. Both Carrasco and Archer are elite plays, with Carrasco being a bit safer. If you're playing the all-day slate, you almost have to have exposure to the mound in this game. Chase Anderson FD 8500 DK 6800 Opponent - SD (Perdomo) Park - @SD FD - 26.99 DK - 18.09 This slate is probably the worst we have seen all year long in terms of pitching. We don't even have any good pitchers. The most talented pitcher on the slate is Brandon McCarthy. That's why I may end up playing the all-day slate for the sole reason of getting exposure to Carlos Carrasco and Chris Archer. They are far above the field and could outscore the field 2x with no surprise. There are a few decent options in the main slate and I'll do my best to find the 2 guys who I think have the best chance of not getting destroyed. Chase Anderson and the Brew Crew travel to Petco Park, which has been the best pitchers ballpark in baseball over the last few years. The Padres are a bad offense and it's never a bad idea to target them when you're looking for pitchers. Everyone in this lineup has either a high K rate or no power. Wil Myers and Ryan Schimpf are the 2 best bats against righties and will be the 2 guys who give Anderson the most trouble. I can't sit here and pretend Chase Anderson is some kind of good pitchers. He's very average and has been all over the place in terms of peripherals over the last 2 seasons. He was horrible against righties last year but has turned that around and given up a .295 wOBA to them this season. On the flip side, he's now allowing a .370 wOBA to righties, though a .390 BABIP has something to do with that. I think Anderson will start to straighten out his numbers against lefties and if he can keep up the production against righties, he will be in for some solid starts. While I don't think Anderson is a guy with huge upside in this spot, I see him being my favorite...
Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings – 5/14/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 5/14/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitchers Luis Severino FD 9100 DK 9100 Opponent - HOU (Fiers) Park - @NYY FD - 31.66 DK - 20.9 We touched on DeGrom and Samardzija in the main article and they stand as strong options. We're now going to look at a few guys who deserve some tournament ownership. Severino is in a very interesting match-up, as the Astros as a team are very boom-or-bust. Guys like George Springer, Evan Gattis, and Carlos Correa have very high strikeout rates and are seeing a ballpark downgrade from Minute Maid Park to Yankees Stadium, which is an underrated tough park for righties. Severino has been phenomenal in Yankees Stadium, striking out 10 and 11 in 2 earlier starts this season. While I'm not completely sure I'm willing to trust these 2017 numbers as gospel, I do think Severino has improved a lot since just last year. He has 3 ++ pitches and is striking out righties at a 12 per 9 clip. The upside is ginormous here and so is the floor. The Astros can hit homers and if Severino is missing his spots, things can get ugly. I will have some Severino exposure in tournaments, mostly where I am stacking the Yankees and looking for a big night out of a lower-owned stud. Jose Quintana FD 8700 DK 10200 Opponent - SD (Weaver) Park - @CHW FD - 33.37 DK - 22.07 Well, you have to pay attention when the Padres are facing a lefty. They are easily a bottom-5 offense in baseball against southpaws and strikeout a ton as well. They travel today into U.S. Cellular Field to take on the White Sox and Jose Quintana. Quintana is a bit of an enigma. He's been in the Cy Young conversation at times but has usually ended up being very under-rated and not much of a conversation piece. I think it's because he doesn't have huge strikeout numbers and keeps his name out of headlines. He's a very good pitcher overall and is extremely dominant against lefties (.261 wOBA). He's not bad against righties either, sporting a .320 wOBA in 2016. He...
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 5/14/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 5/14/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitcher Jeff Samardzija FD 8600 DK 9200 Opponent - CIN (Adleman) Park - @SF FD - 33.65 DK - 22.19 This slate isn't too great from a pitcher perspective. We don't really have anyone at the top that stands out above the rest, nor any value options that are in a positive spot. We do have a few guys that are in good spots, though the risk is very evident in each spot. Jeff "Shark" Samardzija will start us out here at home against the Reds. While the Reds are an offense we typically don't target much, they do see a huge downgrade with AT&T Park and it's pitiful hitting environment. The Reds are an offense used to hitting in Great American Ballpark, where routine fly balls often end up in the seats. We also avoid the Reds due to Billy Hamilton and Jose Peraza. While they are still very present, Shark is good at holding runners and should do a pretty good job of keeping those guys off base. Samardzija is a pitcher who doesn't leave too much up to the imagination. He's slightly below average against lefties (.330 wOBA) and dominant against righties (.246 wOBA). He strikes out around 7 per 9 innings and doesn't have many problems with control. While he's not a guy you look to go out and have a 8 inning, 8 strikeout performance, he's also not one you're usually worried about getting knocked out in the first 3 innings. He's a very consistent arm in AT&T Park and this week Reds offense should be a rather easy match-up. Samardzija is my top option in cash games and tournaments on both FanDuel and DraftKings. Jacob deGrom FD 10700 DK 11000 Opponent - MIL (Peralta) Park - @MIL FD - 36.4 DK - 24.08 If you feel the need to pay up, Jacob DeGrom is a fantastic option. He's been consistent all season long and has flashed the 55 FP+ twice already. While this Brewers lineup is one with a lot of noise around it, they are a lot worse than the average fan thinks. Eric Thames and Ryan Braun are great, but they do strike out a ton and both are inevitably due for regression. Outside of...
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 5/13/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 5/13/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Arizona Diamondbacks When a team outside of Coors Field has a higher implied team total than both teams inside Coors, you must take notice. The Diamondbacks currently hold a 5.77 total and I don't think Vegas is too bullish. Trevor Williams is absolutely horrible ad will be pitching in Chase Field, which is the 2nd best hitting environment in baseball. While the D-Backs are typically a team we stack against lefties, they have plenty going for them against right-handers. The usual suspects, Jake Lamb and David Peralta, are the 2 anchors here. They both hold .370+ wOBA's against righties and in Chase Field, aren't many better. Then we have A.J. Pollock and Paul Goldschmidt, the 2 best players on the team. While both righties, they have no problem with the same handedness. If you have the ability to pay up, I would recommend going with the top 4. If you need to pay down a bit or would like to get super sneaky, there are some options here. Yasmany Tomas and Brandon Drury both have a ton of power and could easily hit 2 HR's against Williams and this Pirates bullpen. Mathis and Owings are the 2 guys I would likely ignore, though Owings has definitely shown flashes in the past. Main stack - A.J. Pollock, David Peralta, Paul Goldschmidt, Jake Lamb Sneaky stack - Paul Goldschmidt, Jake Lamb, Yasmany Tomas, Brandon Drury Dodgers / Rockies Of course, these 2 offenses are in play. We have an 11 over/under with both teams projected to score around 5.5 runs. Personally, I like the Rockies a bit more. With Ian Desmond back, they are set up much better for lefties. Alex Wood does have a solid changeup, though I don't see that moving anywhere near how it does on most nights. In Coors Field, you like to target pitchers who rely on movement. Due to the elevation, the ball doesn't move the same way and will often hang up in the zone. For example, it's why we see the Rockies picking up guys like Jon Gray and Senzatela, who throw close...