Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings – 7/22/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 7/22/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitchers Jon Lester FD 9600 DK 12200 Opponent - STL (Wainwright) Park - @CHCFD - 35.56 DK - 23.35 We touched on Archer, Price, and Tanaka in the main picks article and they remain very solid in all formats. We'll first look at Lester on this early slate, who is clearly the way to go. With just 2 games to choose from, Lester should be around 80-90% owned. He faces the Cardinals, a team he has always fared well against. They are worse against lefties and have held a 21% k rate on very underwhelming peripherals. The Cardinals are never a team I actively target, but if I'm going to, its with a lefty. Matt Carpenter is much worse against lefties and the same can be said for Fowler (sometimes). The Cardinals will throw out a bad lineup full of righties that don't mesh together. If Lester is throwing strikes and not allowing guys on the bases, he will have a very solid game. If he starts picking the corners and walking guys, brace for impact. It's the nature of the game and if you're playing an all-day slate, he's a solid way to go in a tournament. On the early slate, you don't really have an option. Sean Manaea FD 8600 DK 6600 Opponent - NYM (Wheeler) Park - @NYMFD - 28.5 DK - 18.97 Folks are still coming around on Sean Manaea and his ownership has taken a hit because of it on a weekly basis. He deserves to be looked at like a very good pitcher, because he most certainly is one. Manaea has stepped up in a huge way this year against both sides of the plate, sporting a .308 (R) and .211 (L) respectively. He's also striking out 9 batters per 9 and holding opposing batters to a 20% line drive rate. He'll now face off with the New York Mets in Citi Field. We know the Mets are much worse against lefties and it makes sense. All of their big lefty bats have serious trouble hitting same-handed pitching. This leaves the Mets with a bunch...
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 7/22/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 7/22/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Houston Astros Chris Tillman has finally put together some decent starts, but still nothing at all to get excited about. He's been absolutely brutal all season long and has struggled to get guys out from both sides of the plate. He has posted a .417 wOBA against lefties and a .396 against righties. He's given up 26 XBH in under 50 innings, to add on to the laundry list of issues. Tillman was once a huge prospect and hasn't shown signs of being this bad prior to this season. He'll take on one of the top offenses in the league tonight in the Houston Astros. If the Astros don't get to Tillman, I don't know who will. They are obviously one of the most lethal offenses in the game and have been one of the top 3 teams against righties. With Correa on the DL, we do get some to narrow our options down a little bit. Altuve, Springer, and Reddick are my 3 favorites and I don't see myself leaving them off a stack. However, you can definitely get sneaky and target some of the bats lower in the order. Guys like Brian McCann and Marwin Gonzalez have plenty of upside, but will likely fall short of 25% ownership. Main Stack - Jose Altuve, Josh Reddick, George Springer, Carlos Beltran Sneaky Stack - George Springer, Josh Reddick, Marwin Gonzalez, Brian McCann Kansas City Royals The Royals have put up 23 runs over the last 2 games and Vegas expects them to keep it up tonight. They definitely have a good shot, considering Mike Pelfrey is on the mound. If you've been playing MLB DFS, you're familiar with Pelfrey all too well. So far this year, he has cut down his numbers to righties and has been ultra bad against lefties. He's posted a .368 wOBA against them and is striking out less than 4 per 9. The Royals are going to put the bat on the ball here and they have plenty of options that can do damage. Hosmer and Moustakas are the top 2 clear options and...
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 5/17/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 5/17/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitcher Lance McCullers Jr. To put it simply, this is a bad pitchers slate. We don't have many good options and the options we do have come with plenty of risk. First, we'll take a look at Lance McCullers. He's at home in Minute Maid Park, facing the Seattle Mariners. The Mariners are a pretty average offense and are heavily dependent on 2 or 3 bats for production. He has started against these guys twice this season, going for a total of 11 innings, 15 strikeouts, and 2 earned runs. He's done pretty well against them and if he can reach his typical 7-8 innings, the upside is tremendous. McCullers has turned a huge corner in 2017, jolting himself into the elite top 10 in baseball. He's striking out 10.5 batters per 9, walking just 2.5, and maintaining a sub 3.00 xFIP. He's also holding righties to a .294 wOBA and lefties to a .250. He's elite, at home, and facing an average offense. On a slate without much safety, he comes in as the top option in both cash games and tournaments. McCullers is only 23 and the risk will always be there, but it's not like you have a safe pivot to turn to. Jon Lester FD 9500 DK 9800 Opponent - ATL (Teheran) Park - @ATL FD - 32.63 DK - 21.59 Jon Lester is always a tricky pitcher to target. We all know he's super talented and has the ability to pitch a CGSO every time he takes the mound. He also seems inherently more risky than other aces, due to his inability to slow down the running game. While he has shown strides in throwing to 1st, teams have still been able to run with ease. However, it's tough to run when you can't get to 1st. The Braves only real running threat, Ender Inciarte, hits from the left side. Lester has always dominated lefties and this year has been no different, posting a .218 wOBA and striking out over 11 per 9. The Braves will be forced to throw at least 3-4 lefties in the order, who will only slow things down. The righties do have potential to do damage and SunTrust Park has played towards the...
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 7/15/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 7/15/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Houston Astros We do have a bunch of intriguing offenses to choose from, so I don't want to say any of these teams are musts. However, there is a very good shot of these Astros doing damage. They face off with Ervin Santana, at home in the hitter-friendly Minute Maid Park. Ervin Santana was having a good season, but we all knew it was going to crash soon. The Astros hold the slate highest implied team total of 5.39 and are big favorites in Vegas. Santana gave up a .393 wOBA in June, where his regression finally caught up with him. He also holds a 4.79 xFIP and strikes out just 6.8 batters per 9 innings, which are both very underwhelming numbers. He also still holds a .217 BABIP, so more regression is still coming. The Astros are extremely lethal and I see no way they don't do some damage here. Altuve and Correa are the 2 obvious options and I wouldn't make a stack without either of them. You then get into guys like George Springer and Josh Reddick, who are very elite options, but not musts. Gattis, McCann, Beltran, and Bregman are another 4 great hitters who simply don't make the cut in a 4-man stack. However, in tournaments, you can really go anywhere. Main Stack - Jose Altuve, Carlos Correa, George Springer, Josh Reddick Sneaky Stack - Jose Altuve, Carlos Correa, Brian McCann, Carlos Beltran Chicago Cubs It looks like the Cubs are starting to get things rolling. They put up 9 runs last night and made some moves over the break. When the Cubs do start putting things together, watch out. There will be a stretch where they put up at least 5 or 6 runs on a nightly basis and they aren't priced like it at all. At least not yet. They'll be facing off with Wade Miley tonight, who is one of the easier guys in the league to figure out. While he's not the worst pitcher, you know exactly what to expect. Miley is trash against righties and very good against...
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Luckiest / Unluckiest Hitters
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Luckiest / Unluckiest Hitters & Pitchers - 7/12/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Lucky Aaron Judge HR - 30 wOBA- .466 BABIP - .425 HR/FB % - 41.2% There is absolutely no way to bash Aaron Judge for what he has done over the first half of the 2017 season. He has been the best player in the game and is hitting bullets in what seems like every single at-bat. While it's really fun and exhilarating to watch, it won't last. Unfortunately, Aaron Judge is worse than the likes of Ted Wiliams, Mickey Mantle, etc. He's not going to put up these gaudy numbers for too much longer.The first big caution flag is the BABIP. For a guy who isn't very fast, a .425 BABIP is out of the water. It will fall back down to around .310 by the time it's all said and done and his wOBA will follow. You also see a 41.2% HR/FB rate that is nearly comical. A guy like Stanton, or even Barry Bonds, will hold a 25% number in their best seasons. 41% is unheard of and while there's a chance Judge is just that dominant, I find it hard to believe. Now to be clear, I still think Judge is an extremely dominant OF'er and a guy who will be around a long time in the pinstripes. I just don't think he's anywhere near the player a guy like Trout, Kershaw, Goldschmidt, or even Bryce Harper is. Mark Reynolds HR - 19 wOBA - .390 BABIP - .364 HR/FB % - 26% We go from a younging to and oldie in Mark Reynolds. It's great to see Reynolds hit well in Coors Field, where we often use him for DFS. The problem is the guy is on the downswing of his career and has no business rejuvenating like he has. He's already hit 19 homers on the season and is on pace to have one of his best seasons ever. Unfortunately, math has something to say. Reynolds has posted a .364 BABIP and 26% HR/FB rate. While those numbers aren't nearly as crazy as Judge, a guy who can barely run should hold a BABIP around .290. The Rockies have relies on Reynolds a ton with Cargo struggling and we may see him take a load off in...