Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Playoffs – 10/8/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Playoffs - 10/8/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NFL Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NFL or MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Houston Astros @ Boston Red Sox Pitchers Brad Peacock FD 8600 DK 10200 Opponent - BOS (Fister) Park - @BOSFD - 30.47 DK - 20.29 Welcome back to playoff baseball! Per the usual, we dealt with some extremely unpredictable things yesterday.Bryce Harper went off in an L-L match-up and was severely low owned across the industry. However, there were some others things that made sense. Goldy and Contreras hit one out against a lefty. Everyone pitched well, and each offense showed some capability. Today, we have just 2 games. We start off with the Red Sox and Astros in Fenway Park. We'll start things off with Brad Peacock. The 'Stros are road favorites, so there has to be a bit of interest. The Red Sox have not been good in this series and there's a good chance they just lay down and die. They could also wake up at home and put a beating on anyone. Peacock wasn't a guy many had slated to be this good, but he's been close to elite all season long. Through 120 innings, he's allowed a .259 wOBA while striking out nearly 11.5 batters per 9 innings. He's also been just as good on the road as at home, so no worries there. This Red Sox order is obviously lethal, but it's not over-the-top in playoff terms. Peacock is a solid play in all formats, but like anyone in the playoffs, it's not without risk. Doug Fister FD 6600 DK 6900 Opponent - HOU (Peacock) Park - @BOSFD - 20.38 DK - 13.76 Doug Fister is not as good as any other pitcher on this slate. He's in a clear tier by himself and I have no interest. While he had a very solid 2nd half, he still allowed a .356 wOBA to lefties on the season. He faces off with an elite Astros order that has ranked 2nd against righties in wOBA. They have punched around Chris Sale and Pomeranz in the last 2 and will see a far worse arm in Fister. Additional to the struggles against lefties, he has been a lot worse in Fenway (.327 wOBA). I see no reason to target Fister here outside of some crazy large-field, low-dollar...
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Playoffs – 10/6/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Playoffs - 10/6/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NFL Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NFL or MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Boston Red Sox @ Houston Astros Pitchers Drew Pomeranz FD 8200 DK 6500 Opponent - HOU (Keuchel) Park - @HOU FD - 27.95 DK - 18.69 We finally have a good sized DFS slate for the playoffs, so it'll be interesting to see how ownership turns out. This game between the Red Sox and Astros should be a great one. The Red Sox are healthy +163 underdogs in what Vegas expects to be the highest scoring game of the day at 8.5. The Astros are expected to put up well over 4 runs and I can't in good conscious recommend Pomeranz here. He's, of course, a good pitcher, and he can have a solid game. He's struck out over a batter per inning and has posted a season-long .321 wOBA, struggling against righties. I just don't want anything to do with the Astros offense and a guy that will get pulled quickly. Remember to keep in mind that some teams will or have to go to the bullpen before others. Pomeranz likely has a 1 or 2 run leash here, which I don't think makes it into the 6th inning. The Astros lineup gave Chris Sale a taste last night and I wouldn't be surprised to wake up here either. Pomeranz is an interesting flier for some K's at very low-owned, but I won't be on that train. Dallas Keuchel FD 9000 DK 8900 Opponent - BOS (Pomeranz) Park - @HOU FD - 30.93 DK - 20.37 I really don't like either of these guys very much in any format, but Keuchel is preferred to Pomeranz. The Astros are solid favorites and the 'Stros should let Keuchel go if they have a lead (likely). Keuchel has been dominant all season long, tossing 145 innings with a .255 wOBA against. He's striking out just 7.22 batters per 9 innings, but it comes with just 2 walks. He's also been far better at home in Minute Maid, which is a lot better for pitchers than people like to admit. The Red Sox offense is obviously lethal, but this is the playoffs, so all offenses are going to have upside. They are an average playoff offense, though the numbers against lefties aren't nearly as good (.309...
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Playoffs – 10/4/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Playoffs - 10/4/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NFL Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NFL or MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks Pitchers Zack Greinke FD 9500 DK 8800 Opponent - COL (Gray) Park - @ARI FD - 38.37 DK - 20.4 We covered this game yesterday, but that was with the Yankees/Twins Wild Card game in thoughts. We now have 2 very different games on the slate, so we have to look at this game with a different scope. Greinke is definitely interesting, but I like a couple guys more. This game is still in Chase Field and the over/under is probably going to hit 9 before it's said and done. The D-Backs are decent favorites at -165 and have only gone up, which is a good sign. Greinke is still an elite guy with a 9.5 K/9 and a .282 combined wOBA. This Rockies order is pretty good, but this is playoff time. Every offense is capable. They are probably the weakest offense on the slate and I understand attacking them. I just think Chris Sale is in a spot that I'm not willing to pass up in cash games. All in all, Greinke could easily walk away as the highest-scoring arm on the slate, but he could also get shelled and have this turn into a classic Chase Field game. Jon Gray FD 8600 DK 7700 Opponent - ARI (Greinke) Park - @ARI FD - 27.44 DK - 14.02 Gray is talented and all, but the Diamondbacks are insane at home and I don't think Gray has a leash longer than a run or two. Especially if Greinke is cruising. He has been impressive in Coors Field with a .311 wOBA, but I'm not sure how much that matters in this spot. He's inexperienced, young, and in a spot that will surely give him butterflies. While it's tough to quantify that, we saw it last night with Severino. This is also a 1-game series, so these guys will have a shorter leash than the next 4. Gray is a guy I have absolutely no interest in. Both of these guys drew a lot more interest in yesterday's 2-game slate. Bats Though we don't have a total in the Yankees game, it's looking like this one is expected to be the highest scoring. Sitting at 8.5...
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 10/1/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 10/1/17 All right, here's the thing: this is the last day of the MLB season and if you are around for the last dying breath then you are a hardcore lifer that wants this s@#$ come hell or high water. Combine that with an NFL Sunday and if you're playing MLB last Sunday then you are a true hero of the highest order. We are going to roll through some of the plays on the super quick, but this might be the loneliest Sunday of them all in the MLB DFS world. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NFL Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NFL or MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitcher Johnny Cueto FD 8400 DK 9300 Opponent - SD (Perdomo) Park - @SF FD - 34.09 DK - 22.44 We are looking for pitchers whose teams don't give a crap and are in solid matchups. Cueto fits that bill. The Giants are going nowhere and he faces the Padres. They've sucked all season long with a K rate the second highest in the league and a team OPS v rhp ranking second to last. They stink. Cueto isn't exactly lighting the world on fire, but he's striking out 8.5/9 and hucking in one of the best pitcher's parks in the league. He's a slight (-135) favorite and coming cheap. We likely want to avoid the playoff arms who could be on pitch limits here making Cueto a solid play. Without Vegas lines in at the time of post, here are some other pitchers you can consider with a couple of notes. Jordan Montgomery FD 6500 DK 7500 Opponent - TOR (Anderson) Park - @NYY FD - 28.88 DK - 19.08 The Jays have been fielding some garbage lineups after the 4-hole and Mont has posted solid peripherals. Nick Pivetta FD 6700 DK 6900 Opponent - NYM (Syndergaard) Park - @PHI FD - 28.18 DK - 18.73 I looooovvvvvveeeeee, the K rate and he's run bad on BABIP and LOB% this season. He's a candidate to finish as one of the best pitching performances on the day considering the Mets' lineup and if you were going to roster a GPP upside arm on the slate, this would be the one. Josh Tomlin FD 6700 DK 7100 Opponent - CHW (Volstad) Park - @CLE FD - 29.58 DK - 19.53 I suppose...
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 9/29/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 9/29/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NFL Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NFL or MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitcher Zack Greinke FD 9500 DK 11300 Opponent - KC (Kennedy) Park - @KC FD - 36.37 DK - 24.1 With just a few days remaining in the regular season, there is no such thing as a safe pitcher. Rarely anyone will see over 90 pitches and the guys that couldn't arent in the best spots. Greinke has seen 89 and 107 in his last two, so he has as good of a shot as any to last over the 90 mark. He also has one of the more dramatic park shifts possible, moving from Chase Field to the spacious Kauffman Stadium. I can't stress how much of a difference it is to pitch in those 2 parks. Greinke would be in Cy Young discussions of he pitched half of his games in Kansas City. On the season, Greinke has sported a .278 wOBA against both lefties and righties. He's striking out 9.48 batters per nine innings and walking just under two. This version of Zack Greinke is as good as it's ever been, and the match-up is there as well. The Royals have been average against righties with a .314 wOBA and 22% strikeout rate. Greinke is the safest option on the board and a guy I'll have flooding my cash games. Stephen Strasburg FD 10500 DK 12000 Opponent - PIT (Cole) Park - @WSH FD - 40.29 DK - 26.44 If there is one manager in baseball who doesn't care about pitch count, it's Dusty Baker. While he's been a bit better this year, he's not a guy to pull a pitcher at 90 pitches that's cruising. He will let Stras get to at least 100 if the Pirates are whiffing left and right. He does have more inherent risk than a guy like Greinke, but the upside is greater too. The Pirates are far better against lefties and have ranked 22nd in the league against righties with a .307 team wOBA. They also strikeout at a solid 22% clip since the ASB. Strasburg is having his best season yet and is almost to the point where he's not that boom/bust we're used to. He has contained both sides of the plate with a combined .258 wOBA and 10.37...