FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks – Saturday 9/5/20
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Saturday 9/5/20 Head on over a for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, our MLB Optimizer and NHL Projections as well. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Celtics (1) vs. Raptors (-1) Well, this was a truly incredible game three. The Kemba assist. The OG shot, of course. And now instead of wondering if the series will be a sweep we have the Celtics who have to be sweating just a little bit. From a DFS perspective, our system likes this game a lot better than the other game for a couple of factors. First of all, these teams are playing tight games, and losing minutes to blowout likely goes out the window at this point. Second of all, both of these teams are consolidating minutes to an absurd degree, relying on their starters rather than their benches. The Raptors' bench played just 43 minutes in game three, and the Celtics' bench played just over 54 minutes. As a result, our system likes every single one of the Raptors' starters, and prioritizes game three hero OG Anunoby (FD $5800 DK $5600), who played nearly every minute of game three before hitting the game winner. It ranks Kyle Lowry (FD $9000 DK $7800) as the worst buy on FanDuel, but a very solid play on DraftKings. Both of the Toronto guards shot more than 20 times in game three, and have to be considered high floor options regardless. On the Celtics' side we see more of the same. The best play is a guy who is playing unexpectedly high minutes in Marcus Smart (FD $5500 DK $6500), whose FanDuel price in particular hasn't caught up with the minutes. With four guys who shot 15 times or more, things are spread out enough that you're not really forcing any given Celtic into your lineup, but instead just mixing and matching based on what priced player you need where. Clippers (-9) vs. Nuggets (+9) Now we head into a game two of a series where we learned precious little. We can't get a sense for where the minutes are headed here since both teams rested their starters on account of the blowout. So where do we begin? Unfortunately, we sort of begin where we started. Let's start with the Nuggets, who are by far the riskiest team to prioritize on today's...
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks – Thursday 9/3/20
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Thursday 9/3/20 Head on over a for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, our MLB Optimizer and NHL Projections as well. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Celtics (1) vs. Raptors (-1) On to game three for the Celtics and Raptors after the Raps lost a heartbreaker in game two. Fred Vanvleet and Kyle Lowry literally can't shoot any worse, and watching Marcus Smart do his best Jason McElwain impersonation had to have been simply brutal. Vegas still has the Raptors as 1 point favorites here, so at the very least we can count on this one to be competitive enough that the starters from both sides play their minutes. Our system thinks the Raptors are largely in play as a squad, but it really is honing in on Pascal Siakam (FD $8200 DK $7900). Siakam played 43 minutes and contributed across the board in game two, going for 17/8/6 with four defensive stats to boot.OG Anunoby (FD $5300 DK $5100) ranks closely behind him, though, after seeing a huge minutes bump to 38 minutes in game two. He is an easy 5x points per dollar on lock at these prices. The guards are looking like reasonable values as well, with both Kyle Lowry (FD $7800 DK $7500) and Fred Vanvleet (FD $7700 DK $7700) running terribly from the field so far. I haven't loved VanVleet's looks so far, so if I had to leave one of these Raptors out it might be him. On the Celtics side of the ball, our system loves all five starters. We'll continue to ride Marcus Smart (FD $5700 DK $6300), who we've been running for the entire playoffs so far. He won't always be lights out from deep, but as we've seen in other games he can contribute across multiple categories. If I had to pick two other Celtics (and again, I'm fine with any of them), I'd just go with the high usage guys in Kemba Walker (FD $7600 DK $7700) and Jayson Tatum (FD $9200 DK $9200). Tatum getting to the line 14 times shows you well enough that this Raptors team just can't guard him, and I'm ready to double down on him once again. Look for Kemba to bounce back after an off night from the field. Clippers (-8.5) vs. Nuggets (+8.5) Round two begins for the...
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks – Sunday 8/30/20
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Sunday 8/30/20 Head on over a for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, our MLB Optimizer and NHL Projections as well. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Celtics (+2.5) vs. img id="profilepic" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/3/36/Toronto_Raptors_logo.svg" alt="Raptors" width="43.55" height="60.29" align="" /> Raptors (-2.5) Ah, our first round two write-up of this bizarre's season's playoffs. The Raptors enter this game as 2.5 favorites, which flies in the face of what we saw when these two teams met during the bubble regular season. The Celtics built a 40 point lead in that game before coasting to a 22 point victory. The starters were out there for both teams in that game, and I can't imagine that Gordon Hayward's absence accounts for all that much. Still, it's just one game, and we have the rest of the season to look at as well. Boston did win the season series 3-1, and while both teams had guys coming and going throughout the season, I think it's safe to at least say this will be a closely contested series where blowouts aren't a top concern. A relevant piece of news heading into this one is the status of Kyle Lowry (FD $7500 DK $7900), who tweaked his ankle last Sunday against the Nets and has missed every practice since. If you think he's at full strength, our system thinks he's a great play at these reduced prices. He's a warrior, and he'll be out there if he can be, but if he's operating in a limited capacity the Raps will have to rely even more on Fred Vanvleet (FD $7600 DK $7700) than usual, and our system likes him as a great DFS option today. I also like OG Anunoby (FD $5000 DK $4700) as a high floor option at a shallow small forward position. Meanwhile, our system is racing out of the door to play Marcus Smart (FD $5300 DK $5600) and Jaylen Brown (FD $6500 DK $7100) at these price points, given that both looked to be locked into 40+ minute rotations at the same prices they were at when they were playing 35 minutes a game. Jayson Tatum (FD $9600 DK $9200) and Kemba Walker (FD $7800 DK $7200) look like respectable plays, and I wouldn't be shocked to see Kemba slice up the hobbled Toronto back court. Heck, our system thinks you...
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks – Sunday, 8/23/20
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Sunday, 8/23/20 Head on over a for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, our MLB Optimizer and NHL Projections as well. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Raptors (-13) vs. Nets (+13) The theme of the day is going to be changing spreads, which starts with Vegas giving the Nets 2.5 more points than they did going into game three. It's hard to blame the oddsmakers, though. The Raptors absolutely stomped the Nets in game three, and it looks like one of the feel-good stories of the bubble is about to come to an end. The Nets really have fought valiantly with what we were calling the "G-League Nets" throughout the bubble, but going up against the defending champs playing at max motivation has proven too much so far. But can we get some DFS value here anyway? We'll start with the world champion Raptors, who have made this look awfully easy. Throughout the series the Raps have basically stuck with their normal rotations in spite of point spreads, but they finally yielded to their back-ups when the yield was firmly cemented in the 20s in game three. Cash game stalwarts like OG Anunoby (FD $4700 DK $4500), Fred Vanvleet (FD $7800 DK $7700), and Kyle Lowry (FD $8200 DK $8100) are still playable in what remains a great match-up, but only Lowry paid value before the starters were pulled in game three. If you think the Raptors keep the pedal down to end this series you might sneak a few more minutes out of them here, but the blowout risk at least has to be considered. On the Nets side of the ball, I think you can get a lot more safety. We saw the starters play their full run of minutes in game three, and with plenty of time to rest if they get eliminated I believe Jacque Vaughn will see this game as the final item on his resume to get the Nets' head coaching job for next season. I'd be comfortable playing Caris Levert (FD $8200 DK $8200) in cash games if need be, and love him as a part of a two man game script stack with VanVleet at a position where they aren't likely to be the chalk plays. Elsewhere I'm happy to mix and match Nets where I need to fill...
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks – Friday, Saturday, 8/22/20
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Friday, Saturday, 8/22/20 With the playoffs starting to get a bit repetetive with how plays break down, we are going to start going game-by-game with values and considerations. Head on over a for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, our MLB Optimizer and NHL Projections as well. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Bucks (-12) vs. Magic (+12) Well, somebody woke up the Bucks. After the Magic stole game one it tentatively looked like this could be a series where we could glean some reliable DFS value, but game two quickly dispelled me of that illusion. There is still some value from this series, but it's going to be a risky one to target. Nikola Vucevic (FD $8500 DK $9100) still managed to scrape some value together in spite of the Magic getting blown out, and it looks like he could still be playable in spite of this series leaning in a one sided direction. He's the only realistic offensive option for the Magic, and as good as the Bucks are defensively they haven't had an answer for him yet. He's still cheap on FanDuel, and still a cash game option. Outside of Vuc? Eek. Evan Fournier (FD $5300 DK $5200) is the only guy that I can imagine running in cash games. He played 35 minutes in a one sided game, and his 13 shots were second among starters. I don't give credit to Terrence Ross, who got most of his attempts up in the Magic's desperate comeback attempt. Fournier still paid 5x points per dollar on his relatively cheap prices, though, and on smaller slates you can't rule him out. As we swing over to the Bucks, Giannis Antetokounmpo (FD $11300 DK $11000) chased himself off the court by going into superhero mode in game two, and if he can get the extra 4 minutes he should in close games these prices are a joke. Our system is also intrigued by Brook Lopez (FD $5700 DK $5300) in particular, who the Bucks are priced into keeping on the court as the only guy who can sort of defend Vucevic. He played 33 minutes in game two, and supplied 20 points from the field. Our system frankly thinks any of the Bucks' non-Wesley Matthews starters are in play here, and even gives a nod to George Hill...