FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks – Thursday, 6/10/21
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Thursday, 6/10/21 Head on over a for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, our MLB Optimizer and NHL Projections as well. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. The big question for tonight surround's Mike Conley's status. We're going to proceed with this article as though he's out, but if he winds up playing that throws a significant monkey wrench into things. Point Guard Kyrie Irving FD - $9700 DK - $9700 Opponent - MIL Proj Pts FD - 57.12 DK - 58.23 Jrue Holiday FD - $8200 DK - $7600 Opponent - BKN Proj Pts FD - 41.81 DK - 42.17 Point guard is really hard tonight. Kyrie and Jrue are really the only safe options (unless Conley sits, more on that in a second), but neither is a classic value on these prices. The expensive price tags only complicate things, as you're playing sub-optimal plays for high price tags. Still, it's not all a disaster. Kyrie has been absolutely up to the task of going up against Holiday, and Holiday himself has a very nice match-up with Brooklyn. We can't expect the Bucks to be this bad (or the Nets to be this good) forever, so I think you just plug these guys in and try to find savings elsewhere. You'll have to make your own mind up about the Clippers point guards. I'd like to trust Reggie Jackson, but it's terrifying that he saw just 17 minutes in a close game 1. If Conley is out, Jordan Clarkson is close to a must play if he's going to play 28 minutes and take 18 shots off the bench. Shooting Guard Donovan Mitchell FD - $9500 DK - $8900 Opponent - LAC Proj Pts FD - 45.24 DK - 47.51 With Conley out, Mitchell launched 30 shots into the air en route to 47 points from the field. It's clear that the Jazz think this is the main vector they can attack the Clippers' defense on, and if Beverley is only going to play 6 minutes per game the Clippers clearly don't have anyone to keep him in check. It's tough to spend up everywhere, but Mitchell looks like a must-play. Bruce Brown FD - $5900 DK - $4200 Opponent - MIL Proj Pts FD - 24.78 DK - 24.42 Brown was terrific in game two, compiling...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 6/7/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 6/7/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Adbert Alzolay FD - P 9900 DK - SP 8800 Opponent - SD (Ryan Weathers) Park - SD FD - 30.94 DK - 16.14 This might be the worst set of pitching options I can remember. I wouldn't be excited to play Alzolay on a normal slate, but this is no normal slate. And Alzolay, honestly, has been pretty good. His 3.35 xFIP is his best figure since rookie ball, and while it might not maintain all season, we're going to try and ride the wave today. San Diego is basically a league-average offense, and getting Alzolay out of his tough home park and into one of the best pitcher's parks in the Majors can only be a good thing. Nick Pivetta FD - P 9300 DK - SP 8000 Opponent - MIA (Pablo López) Park - BOS FD - 29.48 DK - 14.68 Pivetta and the BoSox are the biggest favorites on the slate today against this Miami team. The 28 year old righty is showing glimpses of his 2018 form, posting a double-digit K/9 and a sub 4 ERA. It's nothing to write home about at these prices, but again, it's a three game slate with no amazing pitching options. Miami finds themselves in a familiar position as one of the league's best DFS match-ups for opposing pitchers, pairing the league's 4th highest K% with the 10th worst wOBA. Position players You have one game with an 8.5 point total, and two others with a 7.5 point total. This might be the smallest number of runs per game on a main slate ever, and it puts us in a very sticky position when it comes to forecasting player performance today. I'll try to provide you with a few options, but on a small slate your mistakes will be amplified, so where there is a clear-cut option I'm only going to give you one. Catcher/First Base Jesús Aguilar FD - 1B 2800 DK - 1B 4300 Opponent - BOS (Nick Pivetta) Park - BOS FD - 9.2 DK - 6.92 Yep, it's looking pretty thin out here today. Still, Aguilar isn't a terrible option. He's been a hair worse than platoon neutral over the course of his career, so we're not too worried about him not having the platoon in his favor. He strikes out too often, but he also is a serious long-ball threat, with 11 homers...
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks – Monday, 6/7/21
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Monday, 6/7/21 Head on over a for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, our MLB Optimizer and NHL Projections as well. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Point Guard Kyrie Irving FD - $9700 DK - $9200 Opponent - MIL Proj Pts FD - 57.12 DK - 58.23 With Harden out today, it's going to be a race to try and fit Kyrie and Durant together. Chances are good you won't be able to play both, though, so some tough decisions will have to be made. Both were similar in terms of their fantasy points per dollar on these prices, and while Kyrie has a tougher match-up than KD, he also played more minutes. My guess is that Kyrie is slightly more important given that he'll assume most of Harden's ball-handling duties, and given the cheaper price point I'd like to have him out there. Jrue Holiday FD - $8400 DK - $7800 Opponent - BKN Proj Pts FD - 41.81 DK - 42.17 Most point guards are flat-out unplayable today, so if we don't get a chance to play Mike James (more on him in a minute), we might be "stuck" playing Jrue. I actually like Jrue at this price point, and going up against Kyrie is a terrific match-up, but if we spent $18k on point guards we live ourselves very little for the other positions, which makes things very tough on a two game playoff slate where most players are efficiently priced. A fundamental question for today's slate is what will happen with James Harden's minutes. Brown started the second half for the Nets, but it was Mike James who played 31 minutes total. If James gets the start, he's a terrific DFS play. I could also see playing Brown if he gets the start, though it would be a little closer. Shooting Guard Devin Booker FD - $8700 DK - $8500 Opponent - DEN Proj Pts FD - 47.51 DK - 49.7 Austin Rivers FD - $4900 DK - $4000 Opponent - PHO Proj Pts FD - 23.72 DK - 24.41 Normally I wouldn't lump these guys together, but there are essentially no other options at the position today. Neither Brooklyn nor Milwaukee will field a starter that qualifies at shooting guard on FanDuel, and if Bruce Brown does get the start he's not...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday, 6/5/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday, 6/5/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Kevin Gausman FD - P 11200 DK - SP 8900 Opponent - CHC (Kohl Stewart) Park - SF FD - 35.45 DK - 18.81 A highly touted prospect, Gausman is the definition of a late bloomer. Critics will point to the small sample size over the last couple of years, but digging a little deeper shows that these improvements are legit. Gausman dramatically changed his pitching repertoire last season to great effect, and this year's 3.05 xFIP is nearly identical to last year's 3.06 number. He's maintained his double digit K/9 while improving on his already solid control, and certainly qualifies as an ace in today's game. The Cubs are far from an easy match-up, but they do own a top 10 K rate this season. At -165, Gausman is the most heavily favored pitcher on the main slate, and is a great cash game option. Jacob deGrom FD - P 11500 DK - SP 11100 Opponent - SD (Joe Musgrove) Park - SD FD - 46.84 DK - 26.77 It would be tough to heap enough superlatives on Jacob deGrom given the pitcher he's become, and he's going to be an obvious cash game option any time he takes the hill. The Padres are projected for fewer than 3 implied runs here, which is pretty astounding for a lineup that solid. The only thing holding us back from running deGrom in cash games is the combination of the price and the match-up. As just a -130 favorite against Musgrove and the Padres, you could get screwed playing deGrom even if he's as good as ever. Also considered: Clayton Kershaw. I wrote these guys up by accident before seeing there were two slates, so please enjoy these bonus pitcher picks for the early slate: Lucas Giolito FD - P 11600 DK - SP 9500 Opponent - DET (Tarik Skubal) Park - CHW FD - 41.18 DK - 22.37 After three straight years, I think we can pretty safely say that this is who Giolito is at this point: a mid-3s xFIP guy with 11+ Ks/9, and a nightmare for opposing batters. He's a -200 favorite against the hapless Tigers, who enter this game with the league's worst wOBA and highest K rate. It's very rare to get a pitcher this good in the best possible match-up, and you can believe cash game players will be all over him here....
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks – Thursday, 6/3/21
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Thursday, 6/3/21 Head on over a for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, our MLB Optimizer and NHL Projections as well. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Point Guard Our system likes exactly zero point guards tonight. You heard that correctly: none of the available point guards are projected for 5x+ points per dollar. Let's break down your options with their various strengths and weaknesses. Damian Lillard: Put up a performance like nobody has ever seen in game 5, shooting an unfathomable 17/24 en route to 55 points in the double overtime affair. But he's $11k, and he averaged just 4x points per dollar on these prices in the regular season. Math suggests he won't replicate his career performance, and any regression at all makes him a non-starter. Chris Paul: No way. Not if he can still play just 25 minutes. If he sits for some reason you can consider Cameron Payne, but Payne is unplayable if Paul is starting. Dennis Schroder: Totally playable on tonight's unfortunate slate of point guards, but you can't be psyched about the game 5 no-show (0-9 from the field!). Still, you have to roster someone at point guard, and we can at least be pretty confident Schroder will have the ball in his hands. If Davis sits, Schroder becomes a lot more appealing. You can honestly consider Alex Caruso if you feel better about punting away point guard. The Nuggets: Campazzo got run off the floor in game 5, yielding to Monte Morris. Morris was quite good, but let's remember that he had 41 minutes to provide his fantasy numbers. If Morris gets the start he's an auto-play for DFS purposes. Coming off the bench, he brings a fair bit of risk. Given that every point guard carries risk, playing Morris might be worth it. Shooting Guard Devin Booker FD - $8400 DK - $8200 Opponent - LAL Proj Pts FD - 47.27 DK - 49.37 With CP3 hobbled, Booker is running the offense a lot more than he was during the regular season, and he's certainly been up to the task. He put up a fantastic 30/7/5 line in the game 5 blowout, and you get the feeling that there was room for more if the Lakers managed to keep it close. The Lakers just don't have a defensive answer for...