DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday, 6/28/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW!   Pitchers Freddy Peralta FD 9500 DK 10500 Opponent - CHC (Kyle Hendricks) Park - CHC FD - 43.48 DK - 24.69 Of the ace-level pitchers going today, Peralta has by far the most appealing match-up. The Cubs are basically a league-average team in terms of wOBA, but with the 4th highest K rate in the Majors they represent a lot of DFS upside for a starting pitcher. Peralta, meanwhile, has been outrageously good this season, with his electric stuff seamlessly translating from the bullpen to the starting rotation. With a 12.67 K/9, the sky is the limit for him here. Zack Greinke FD 8700 DK 9800 Opponent - BAL (Thomas Eshelman) Park - BAL FD - 38.37 DK - 20.12 If you want a steady option with nearly guaranteed win upside, consider Zack Greinke. The Ks are down this season, but Greinke is a -286 favorite against the Orioles, who are just .010 wOBA points away from dead last in the Majors. Greinke doesn't have huge upside, but you're picking him for his floor here. If you can afford to pay up for two pitchers, I strongly prefer Trevor Bauer over Lucas Giolito today. Catcher/First Base José Abreu FD 3500 DK 5100 Opponent - MIN (Kenta Maeda) Park - MIN FD - 11.13 DK - 8.42 It's been a rather slow start to the season for Abreu, but the peripherals seem to support him heading back on track soon. He's running .043 BABIP points below his career levels in spite of no discernable change in his hard-hit percentage, and our model believes that should correct by the end of the season. As for Maeda, it looks for all the world like last season was an aberration, as he's drifted back into being a league-average pitcher with a proclivity to give up the long ball. I like Abreu a lot on a day where first base is shallower than usual. Luke Voit FD - 1B 2600 DK - Opponent - LAA (Dylan Bundy) Park - NYY FD - 12.56 DK - 10.15 Voit has been seeing more reps in the deadly Yankees lineup, but the price has yet to catch up. Voit hasn't been able to produce at the stratospheric levels we've seen in the past, but this is still plenty of bat if he's batting sixth or better against Dylan Bundy today. Vegas loves the Yankees thanks to Bundy's inability...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 6/21/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW!   Pitchers Yu Darvish FD - P 10000 DK - SP 10200 Opponent - LAD (Julio Urías) Park - SD FD - 37.88 DK - 20.96 It's a little odd to invest this much in a pitcher that's just a -116 favorite, but a tiny slate like this is going to bring us out of our comfort zone. Darvish's reputation is unimpeachable at this point. He's not quite the same pitcher he was in last year's abbreviated season, but honestly he had room to regress and still be dominant. He's still topping double-digit Ks/9 with excellent control, and going deep into games. The only issue here is the match-up, with the Dodgers ranking 2nd best in the Majors in wOBA. Still, if you want an ace today, Darvish is your guy. Tyler Mahle FD - P 8800 DK - SP 9800 Opponent - MIN (J.A. Happ) Park - MIN FD - 32.85 DK - 17.21 While no one would call Mahle a true-blue ace, he certainly has the upside of one. He's hit 45+ FanDuel points in each of his last three starts, including a 61 point outing in which he struck out 12 Brewers. Minnesota is no great match-up either, but they are "just" a top 10 offense, and if you want a little savings Mahle isn't an outrageous pivot from Darvish (or more realistically a pitcher 2 on DK). The rest: Kyle Gibson will get some attention today, but he hasn't been nearly as dominant as his ERA suggests. Urias is basically a poor man's Darvish at the same price, so I don't see myself playing him on FD (though you can make a case for playing both on DK). Catcher/First Base Willson Contreras FD - C 2600 DK - C 4100 Opponent - CLE (Aaron Civale) Park - CHC FD - 12.83 DK - 9.64 Anthony Rizzo FD - 1B 3000 DK - 1B 5000 Opponent - CLE (Aaron Civale) Park - CHC FD - 13.64 DK - 10.21 There's a theme running through today that will avail itself to you shortly, but I'll just give it away now: we're stacking this Cubs/Indians game. With a 10.5 run total, this game's number is a full run above every other game on the slate. And with good reason! These are two good offenses, and two sub-par pitchers. We'll start with Civale, who is in the Majors solely due to...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday, 6/17/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW!   Pitchers Joe Musgrove FD - P 8500 DK - SP 8900 Opponent - CIN (Wade Miley) Park - SD FD - 38.73 DK - 21.21 Musgrove looks fantastic on a slate where a lot of the other big name pitchers have question marks. His team is a -163 favorite in a game with just a 7 run total against the Cincinnati Reds. He's maintained a 12 K/9 after last year's breakout season, and he's posting a career best 1.75 BB/9. If there's one fly in the ointment it's relatively tough match-up with the Reds, but if Vegas isn't scared then I'm not either. Jose Urquidy FD - P 7500 DK - SP 7900 Opponent - CHW (Dylan Cease) Park - HOU FD - 32.66 DK - 16.99 Urquidy is not a conventional cash game play, but he does have a lot going for him here. His excellent 1.6 BB/9 walkrate helps him go deep into games, finishing 7 innings in three of his last six starts. His lack of big time strikeout stuff can get him chased on occasion, though, so there is certainly blowup potential. The White Sox are a tough match-up, but they are considerably better against left handed pitching, and I'm considering rolling the dice with Urquidy in my pitcher 2 slot on DraftKings. Also considered: Stroman and Ohtani. I don't trust Stroman's recent strikeout surge, though, and Ohtani hasn't been going super deep into games when coming off the mound. I prefer the above options as a result. Catcher/First Base Vladimir Guerrero Jr. FD - 1B 4400 DK - 1B 5900 Opponent - NYY (Michael King) Park - TOR FD - 12.84 DK - 9.74 It's amazing how young players can go from struggling to superstar in such a short period of time. I can't remember an explosion like this since Mike Trout went from zero to hero in a single year, but Guerrero seems to be up to the task. He's lapping the field in WAR, leads the league in homers, OBP, and SLG, and all of this at age 22. The bad news is that he'll be facing Michael King today. Just kidding. King is a journeyman type that projects as a long reliever, and Vlad should eat him for breakfast. Gary Sánchez FD - C 3000 DK - C 4800 Opponent - TOR (Undecided) Park - TOR FD - 11.16 DK - 9.12...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 6/14/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW!   Pitchers Tyler Glasnow FD - P 10800 DK - SP 10700 Opponent - CHW (Lance Lynn) Park - CHW FD - 42.14 DK - 24.01 Lance Lynn FD - P 11000 DK - SP 9900 Opponent - TB (Tyler Glasnow) Park - CHW FD - 33.46 DK - 17.7 We have the grim misfortune of having the two aces on the slate A) squaring off with each other and B) facing off against good opposing offenses. The White Sox and Rays have the fourth and thirteenth best offenses in the Majors, respectively, and the Rays are slight -135 favorites in this one. Glasnow is a better pitcher than Lynn, but the White Sox are a decidedly tougher match-up as well. Still, these two are in a league of their own today, and your first stop for cash game options. Our system leans Glasnow, even as a slight underdog. Adam Wainwright FD - P 8000 DK - SP 8800 Opponent - MIA (Braxton Garrett) Park - STL FD - 32.87 DK - 16.54 If you find yourself unable to pull the trigger on a top-tier guy, you find yourself without the money for both on DraftKings, consider Adam Wainwright. The aging Cardinal has his best xFIP since 2015 on the back of a reasonable K rate and a 2.32 BB/9. For DFS purposes he's also attractive because he's averaging better than 6 innings a start in 2021. The match-up is excellent as well, with the Marlins ranking in the top 5 in strikeout percentage and the bottom 5 in wOBA. Also considered: Alex Wood. Catcher/First Base Paul Goldschmidt FD - 1B 3100 DK - 1B 4000 Opponent - MIA (Braxton Garrett) Park - STL FD - 12.75 DK - 9.59 We'll start our position players with the aging Goldschmidt, who is undoubtedly having the worst season of his career. While it's generally exciting to run hitters during their decline phase, I think we have reason to take a risk here. Goldschmidt's BABIP is .050 points below his career levels, and while some of the power is gone, he's still got pop. Then there's the match-up. Braxton Garrett has been flat out terrible in his 20 or so Major League innings, with a walk rate in the mid 5s per 9. With the platoon advantage in his favor, Goldschmidt should farm him here. C.J. Cron FD - 1B 2900 DK - 1B...

FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Monday, 6/14/21 Head on over a for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, our MLB Optimizer and NHL Projections as well. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. It's a weird night of NBA DFS, with both of these games coming off of a game three blowout. If Conley plays, there is a relative lack of value since most of these teams have been playing set rotations since the playoffs began. That said, let's do our best to find some value. Point Guard Reggie Jackson FD - $5500 DK - $5200 Opponent - UTA Proj Pts FD - 28.52 DK - 29.82 Reggie Jackson's role looked in doubt in game one, with the Clips opting to try and chase Mitchell around with Patrick Beverley. It sure seems like the offensive is more stagnant with Jackson off the floor, though, and he immediately took 19 shots in game two. He lost minutes in the game three blowout, but if he's on the court for his full run (about 36 minutes) he should be what passes for a value play on a two-game playoff slate. The rest of the position is all over the place. If Conley sits, Clarkson becomes playable, but not exciting. Trae Young has been on pace for decent games on his prices, but Atlanta has been unable to hang. With a gun to my head I'd prefer Clarkson, but Young is passable if you have the money left over. I think I'd rather spend up on other stars, though. Shooting Guard Paul George FD - $9200 DK - $8600 Opponent - UTA Proj Pts FD - 48.94 DK - 51.27 George has come close to paying these prices in back to back games in spite of both being lopsided affairs, and Kawhi taking some of the defensive burden against Mitchell certainly helps matters. PG is looking confident for the first time this playoffs, to me, aggressively going into the paint but not forcing things just to keep his shot count up. If you can extrapolate last game's performance to 40+ minutes you have a solid value on your hands. Seth Curry FD - $5500 DK - $5100 Opponent - ATL Proj Pts FD - 24.59 DK - 25.58 Curry has really exploited Atlanta's defensive holes in a way the Knicks were never able to, draining jumper after...