Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Farmers Insurance Open
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Farmers Insurance Open Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. As every week in DFS PGA changes with the course setup, field of players and weather, Chris will be providing a range of different picks for cash games as well as upside plays for tournaments. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! This week starts with a bit of a rant as I am pretty disappointed in myself for not playing the Pete Dye narrative more last week. Let's break it down using Fantasy National Golf Club and look at Tee to Green rankings(all players on Tour) on Pete Dye courses(L50 rounds) and their finish last week: #2 Si Woo Kim - Won #5 Paul Casey - T8 #8 Patrick Cantlay - 2nd #13 Francesco Molinari - T8 #16 Byeong Hun An - T8 #21 Russell Knox - T16 That is about as far as I will go as the knife just keeps cutting deeper as these are players who were either in my player pool or at least are consistently throughout the season(outside of Molinari). Moving on! This week the Tour stays in Cali and moves to Torrey Pines, right outside of San Diego, for the Farmers Insurance Open. Like last week, players will have a multi-course rotation to deal with as they will play one round on each of the South and North courses on Thursday and Friday. Those players who make the cut will then play out the tournament on the South course on Saturday and Sunday. Speaking of the South course, it will also host the 2021 U.S. Open in June. Headling the field is World #2, Jon Rahm who is back after a Monday WD last week following a supposed injury in the gym. Joining him are two others ranked inside the Top 10(Schauffele, Mcilroy) and 24 of the Worlds Top 50 golfers. Being a Seaside course, the weather is always a huge factor in the winning score so...
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – The American Express
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – The American Express Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. As every week in DFS PGA changes with the course setup, field of players and weather, Chris will be providing a range of different picks for cash games as well as upside plays for tournaments. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! As expected, we saw a ton of scoring at the Sony Open in Hawaii last week as Kevin Na took home the trophy with a -21 winning score. This week the PGA Tour heads back to the mainland and La Quinta, California for The American Express. For those who follow golf closely(pretty much anyone reading this), this is the event that kicks off pro-am season and is usually a three-course rotation with a 54-hole cut. With COVID restrictions, there will be no Pro-Am and there will only be two courses(PGA West Stadium & Nicklaus Tournament) used with a normal cut after two rounds. This is the point of the article where you fist pump in glory as no one really likes the Pro-Am, do they?? The field saw am early WD from Jon Rahm and while it is on the weaker side overall, does feature Patrick Cantlay, Patrick Reed, Brooks Koepka, and Matthew Wolff, all of which rank inside the Top 15 in the Official World Golf Rankings. Before getting into the picks, let's take a look at the course's, previous winners, and then some key stats from my model. The Course PGA West TPC Stadium Course Par 72 - 7,113 Yards Greens - Bermuda PGA West Nicklaus Tournament Course Par 72 - 7,159 Yards Greens - Bermuda Previous Five Winners 2020 - Andrew Landry(-26) 2019 - Adam Long(-26) 2018 - Jon Rahm(-22) 2017 - Hudson Swafford(-20) 2016 - Jason Dufner(-25) Top Stats in the Model Birdie or Better % No better place to start the model this week as both courses have ranked inside the Top 10-15 easiest every season. Since...
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Sony Open
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Sony Open Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. As every week in DFS PGA changes with the course setup, field of players and weather, Chris will be providing a range of different picks for cash games as well as upside plays for tournaments. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! The PGA Tour stays in Hawaii this week but jumps north to O'ahu Island for the Sony Open and the first full-field event of 2021. That field is led by three of the World's Top 10 golfers(Webb Simpson, Patrick Reed, Adam Scott) but is a little weaker overall with just 17 of the World's Top 50 teeing it up this week. The host course, Waialae Country Club, is a Par 70 listed at 7,044 yards on the scoreboard. The fairways may not be nearly as wide as last week but the cut-makers are still hitting over 65% fairways on average over the last five years. This also elevates the average GIR%(around 70%) on a yearly basis which then also produces some very low scores. Outside of last year when the first two rounds were very windy leading to a lower -11 winning score, the winner has made it to at least -17 in seven straight events. For fantasy, remember with this full-field event, we have a cut of Top 65 and ties after the first two rounds. For cash games, this means we are back to trying to get all six golfers through to the weekend which I like trying to do with a balanced build. In GPP, we are also going to need 6/6 to cash anything substantial but construction can be much different as we want to maximize our upside which also can present more risk. Before getting into the picks lets look at the course and a few of my core stats in my model. The Course Waialae Country Club Par 70 - 7,044 Yards Greens - Bermuda **Click the...
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Sentry Tournament of Champions
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Sentry Tournament of Champions Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. As every week in DFS PGA changes with the course setup, field of players and weather, Chris will be providing a range of different picks for cash games as well as upside plays for tournaments. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! It feels like forever but the PGA Tour season is finally back. We did get to see Charlie Woods look like the next coming of....well his dad and also got to see him trash talk Justin Thomas which was wildly entertaining. It was Thomas and his father who got the last laugh, however, winning the event. We kick off(sorry NFL still rolling) the 2021 portion of the season with a handshake of sorts as the Tournament of Champions is invite-only to winners from the previous calendar year. This year's field has 42 players including eight of the Top 10 players in the Official World Golf Rankings and each of the last four winners(JT, Xander, DJ, JT). For fantasy, this is a no-cut event so all 42 players will play four rounds and this can lead to a much more viable stars and scrubs strategy. You don't have to worry about a slow start derailing your lineup on Thursday and with a limited field the scrubs are not actually scrubs. Before getting into the picks, let's take a look at the course, scorecard, and some of my key stats. The Course Plantation Course at Kapalua Par 73 - 7,596 Yards Greens -Bermuda **Click the image above to see a hole by hole breakdown from PGATour.com** Previous Five Winners 2020 - Justin Thomas(-14) 2019 - Xander Schauffele(-23) 2018 - Dustin Johnson(-24) 2017 - Justin Thomas(-22) 2016 - Jordan Spieth(-30) Top Stats in the Model Strokes Gained: Approach/Proximity With some of the widest, most forgiving fairways on Tour, it really takes the emphasis off hitting them(as everyone will) and shifts the focus to who...
Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Leverage Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 17
Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Leverage Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 17 The 2020 NFL season is now in full swing and the DFSR team has covered in every area. Earlier in the week, we covered Cash Game Plays, our Top Bets, and looked at Injury Report. Now let's take a look at a few possible low owned GPP plays based on some of the industry buzz and ownership projections. Keep in mind, these are not safe plays and are generally very boom or bust. Roster accordingly. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Running Back The Chalk - David Montgomery, Jonathan Taylor The Pivot Aaron Jones FD 8000 DK 7100 Opponent CHI Proj Points FD - 15.11 DK - 16.61 There is absolutely no safety here with Jones in Week 17 as not only is Williams coming back but AJ Dillon is coming off a breakout rookie performance, albeit in a blowout. With the Packers in a "win and take division title" scenario and Aaron Rodgers/Devante Adams on a complete rampage of the league, Jones is going to come in very low owned especially with chalk Montgomery on the other side and Jonathan Taylor for the Colts. There is a ton of risk here but he is more than capable of 100+ yards multiple touchdowns in this offense and is a terrific leverage play off the passing game in which we don't need a ton of exposure to take advantage. Quarterback The Chalk - Lamar Jackson, Ryan Tannehill, Aaron Rodgers The Pivot Josh Allen FD 8200 DK 7600 Opponent MIA Proj Points FD - 19.06 DK - 19.82 I am all aboard the risk train in GPP this week and this pick highlights that. The Bills are in great shape to capture the #2 seed but would lose it with a loss and Steelers win so I see them playing the starters here and that is great news as they are likely very low owned. Allen is having an MVP-like season and comes into this one red-hot throwing for 320+ yards in three of his last four games with a total of 14 touchdowns(12 passing, 2 rushing). It helps he has one of the best wideouts in the league in Stefon Diggs who I will be stacking him with this week. With Cole Beasley out, I will also be looking at value with Gabriel Davis and Dawson Know. The matchup is a tougher one as the Dolphins rank 5th in DVOA defense vs. the pass and 7th...